Studio Chiefs See DVD Market Stabilizing
September 16 2010 - 7:39PM
Dow Jones News
Tom Rothman, co-chairman of Fox Filmed Entertainment, and Warner
Bros. Chief Executive Barry Meyer both said the DVD sales market is
stabilizing now after it suffered a sharp downturn in 2009.
The comments came as the two studio chiefs were interviewed
separately at an investor conference in California by a sell-side
analyst.
DVD sales have been a key source of profits for film studios,
and their decline, which many observers view as a permanent result
of the rise of digital video distribution, has weighed on the
studio arms of major media and entertainment conglomerates.
"Nobody has a crystal ball, but I think there's growth ahead
next year," said Rothman, and he said Fox has a particularly strong
set of films set for release in DVD in the company's fiscal fourth
quarter.
Fox is owned by News Corp. (NWS, NWSA), which also owns Dow
Jones & Co., publisher of this newswire and The Wall Street
Journal.
For his part, Meyer said he thinks physical DVDs will have more
staying power in the marketplace than expected.
U.S. consumers spent an estimated $2.26 billion on DVD and
Blu-ray movies in the second quarter, down 14% from the same period
a year ago, according to Nash Information Services LLC, a
home-video market-data provider. That figure has been in steady
decline since the third quarter of 2007--the year that spending in
the category peaked at nearly $16 billion. Last year, the market
shrank to less than $13 billion.
The film industry is experimenting with emerging digital
distribution channels and it's tinkering with the timing of film
releases on different platforms in order to offset DVD sales
declines and cobble together a new business model that will spur
growth.
Both Rothman and Meyer said there is room for a new premium
video-on-demand offering for films that would become available
after their theatrical release and before their DVD release, but
they also said the 30-day lag-time after the theatrical release
date that has been reported in the media is too short. In
considering such a business, studios risk straining their
partnerships with powerful theater chains on one side, and
retailers and pay-TV operators on the other.
Meanwhile, Meyer said that Epix--the premium movie network
launched in a joint-venture between Viacom Inc. (VIA), Lions Gate
Entertainment Inc. (LGF) and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Inc.--didn't carve
out a new window in its new distribution deal with Netflix Inc.
(NFLX). By making films available on Netflix's on-demand streaming
service 90 days after their premium-pay TV and on-demand debuts in
a billion-dollar, five-year deal, Meyer said Epix was encroaching
on the pay-TV business--a potential threat to the television
industry's most lucrative source of revenue.
At the same conference a day earlier, Time Warner Cable Inc.
(TWC) Chief Financial Officer Rob Marcus signaled his own
disapproval of the Epix-Netflix deal. Epix has yet to reach a
distribution deal with Time Warner Cable, the nation's
second-largest cable operator, as well as Comcast Corp. (CMCSA),
the nation's largest cable operator.
With its Epix deal, Netflix became a more direct competitor with
HBO, which is owned by Time Warner Inc. (TWX), which also owns
Meyer's Warner Bros. But Meyer dismissed questioning about whether
its corporate parent would prevent Warner Bros. from fully
exploiting its content through Netflix in order to protect HBO.
"More competition is good for our business," he said. "If
Netflix can pay more for our content, then I would expect that HBO
can too."
-By Nat Worden, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2472;
nat.worden@dowjones.com
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