Bitcoin Miners Always Sell Into Halvings, Is This Time Any Different?
April 18 2024 - 11:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows Bitcoin miners have always sold as Halvings
have occurred. With the next one just around the corner, how are
miners behaving this time? Next Bitcoin Halving Is Less Than Two
Days Away Now In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst discussed
Bitcoin miners’ behavior in the build-up to the next Halving. The
“Halving” is a periodic event on the Bitcoin network where the
cryptocurrency’s block rewards (the compensation miners receive for
solving blocks) are permanently slashed in half. Related Reading:
Chainlink (LINK) Forms Bullish Pattern That Led To 50% Rally On
Average This event occurs approximately every four years, and
according to NiceHash’s countdown, the next one will occur in just
over 32 hours. The countdown to the next halving event | Source:
NiceHash Bitcoin miners earn revenue from two sources: transaction
fees and block rewards. Historically, the former has been quite low
on the BTC network, so the miners primarily depend on the latter to
pay off their running costs. Since the block rewards are cut in
half during Halvings, these events naturally deal a significant
blow to the miner’s revenues. As such, it’s not surprising that the
miners have generally shown a reaction to the event in the past
cycles. “One of the common dynamics that occur in every cycle of
cutting the issuance of new BTC is the significant selling pressure
exerted by miners,” says the quant. One way to gauge the degree of
selling pressure coming from these chain validators is via the
Miner to Exchange Flow metric. This indicator tracks the total
amount of Bitcoin moving from miner-associated addresses to wallets
connected to centralized exchanges. As miners usually deposit
Bitcoin to these platforms for selling, this flow can provide hints
about their selling behavior. Now, here is a chart that shows the
trend in the 30-day moving average (MA) BTC Miner to Exchange Flow
over the last few years: Looks like the 30-day MA value of the
metric has observed a steep plunge in recent days | Source:
CryptoQuant As displayed in the above graph, the 30-day MA Bitcoin
Miner to Exchange Flow had surged to high levels in the 2020
Halving event, implying that this group had potentially been
participating in a selloff. This selling push may have come from
the miners planning to exit, given the sharp revenue reduction that
was set to occur. The graph, though, clearly shows that no such
selling pressure has emerged this time around despite the event
being just around the corner. Related Reading: 69% Of PEPE Holders
Left In Profits After 26% Plunge So, what’s going on here? The
analyst suggests that the Bitcoin miners may have already completed
the latest round of selling in advance (as the exchange inflows
from the cohort did spike in February). If this is true, the quant
thinks this could benefit the market in the short term. BTC Price
Bitcoin has continued to move sideways inside a range recently, as
its price is still trading around $63,500. The price of the coin
appears to have rebounded a bit from its latest drop | Source:
BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from NisonCo PR and SEO on
Unplash.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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