2nd UPDATE: Aston Resources Shares Make Lackluster Debut, Down 4.7%
August 17 2010 - 4:25AM
Dow Jones News
Shares in Aston Resources Ltd. (AZT.AU) slid 4.7% to A$5.68
after the novice coal miner debuted on the Australian Securities
Exchange on Tuesday, in a sign of continuing lackluster demand for
Australian initial public offerings.
Just 4.7 million shares changed hands before the market closed,
meaning the company was not even in the top 10 most-traded mining
and materials companies.
The day's trade wiped A$18.8 million off the value of the
offering, which had an issue price of A$5.96 a share, valuing it at
A$400 million for one-third of Aston's total equity.
Chief Executive Todd Hannigan said that first-day movements
would mean little to the long-term value of the company, which
hopes to start producing 10.8 million metric tons a year of coal
from its Maules Creek mine by 2014.
"This is a development asset so any investor in our stock should
be in it for a minimum of 12 months. Whether it's down slightly or
up slightly, it doesn't matter," he said.
Aston's founder Nathan Tinkler bought the mine from Coal &
Allied Industries Ltd. (CNA.AU), a majority-owned subsidiary of Rio
Tinto Ltd. (RIO.AU), for US$480 million at the bottom of the market
in early 2009.
Tinkler, a former mining electrician turned bloodstock and
mining entrepreneur, took up 35% of the equity offered in the
IPO.
Aston's float was the subject of intense speculation in advance
from investors concerned about the health of the Australian IPO
market.
Shares in Myer Holdings Ltd. (MYR.AU) are still down nearly 10%
on the listing price from their multi-billion dollar float in
November.
Investor skepticism about how IPOs are priced in Australia led
German construction company Bilfinger Berger AG (GBF.XE) to pull
the up-to-A$1.39 billion float of its Australian arm, Valemus, in
July. The float was widely seen as a bellwether for the market as a
whole.
A person familiar with the deal defended the first day's
performance of Aston, saying that the overall market was already
down 2.3% since the deal was priced on Aug. 6 and that most of the
selling had been "scraps" from retail investors and a few
institutions.
"The IPO market is as good as closed at the moment, it's very
challenging," he said.
He said the deal would likely have had an even harder time if it
had involved a more typical broad array of institutions and retail
investors, rather than the tight group of institutional
shareholders on Aston's opening share register.
Another investment banker said Aston was a poor guide for future
IPOs, such as the A$5 billion-A$8 billion privatization of
state-owned Queensland Rail expected later this year, because of
the preponderance of institutions and because the deal is in the
already-hot coal sector.
Aston's valuation was cut by 20% from an original A$1.5 billion
target to A$1.2 billion as other raisings, such as Gloucester Coal
Ltd.'s (GCL.AU) assets-for-equity swap with its majority
shareholder Noble Group Ltd. (N21.SG), sucked capital out of the
market.
Australian IPOs have dwindled since their recent peak in the
second half of 2005, when A$7.8 billion was raised, according to
data from Dealogic.
Just A$329 million was raised in the first six months of the
year, an improvement on the figures for 2008 and 2009 but still
well below the A$3.6 billion raised in the first half of 2007.
Aston is only the third Australian IPO worth more than A$100
million since the global financial crisis, following the Myer float
and the A$140 million carsales.com Ltd. (CRZ.AU) IPO last
September.
Hannigan said that the sharp increase in the value of Maules
Creek, from the US$480 million paid to Coal & Allied to the
A$1.2 billion valuation of Aston, was justified by the improving
infrastructure prospects for the site, 380 kilometers northwest of
Newcastle in east central New South Wales state.
Port capacity at Newcastle, the world's biggest coal export
port, will hit 180 million tons a year by 2014 under new
investments announced by the port's major operators in recent
months.
Feasibility studies by the Australian Rail Track Corporation
Ltd., a government-owned infrastructure group, have also improved
the prospects for rail capacity to the Maules Creek site since the
sale was agreed with Rio Tinto, Hannigan said.
The company is applying for port allocation at Newcastle and
expects a result by the end of the year.
The A$400 million raised by the IPO will pay for A$250 million
of debt used in the purchase of Maules Creek, A$20 million in
investment banking fees, and A$130 million of cash toward the
project's A$463 million development costs.
Hannigan said that Aston was "highly confident" about raising
the rest of that money, and was in talks with Japanese commodity
trader Itochu Corp. (ITOCY) over buying a 25% stake in Maules
Creek.
He said the company could also look at a U.S. dollar bond issue
or project finance to pay for the remaining costs.
-By David Fickling, Dow Jones Newswires; +61 2 8272 4689;
david.fickling@dowjones.com (Cynthia Koons in Sydney contributed to
this article)
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