Emerson In-Line, Optimistic Guidance - Analyst Blog
February 07 2012 - 8:53AM
Zacks
Emerson Electric Company (EMR) released its
first quarter 2012 earnings results, reporting earnings per share
from continuing operation of 50 cents, in line with the Zacks
Consensus Estimate. Earnings for the quarter were down 21.0% year
over year. Profits continue to be impacted by damage caused by the
Thailand floods.
Total revenue was $5.3 billion, down 4% year over year.
Underlying sales also declined 4% with U.S. sales down 4% and total
international sales down 3%. Supply chain disruptions due to the
flooding in Thailand continued to affect Process Management and to
a lesser extent Network Power, in total delaying about $300 million
of revenue,. However, the company expects to recover most of it in
fiscal 2012.
In addition, Investment deferrals by U.S. telecommunications
carriers, global HVAC channel inventory destocking, residential
construction weakness in the U.S. and China, and European economic
uncertainty also led to a contraction of the top line.
Segment Results
The Industrial Automation segment witnessed a
sales growth rate of 2%, primarily due to stable demand of capital
goods across its end markets and also due to favorable pricing.
Underlying sales also grew 2%, with Europe surging 5% and Asia
increasing 2%. Sales were flat in the U.S., due to weakness in the
hermetic motors business, driven by a sharp decline in compressor
demand.
Sales in the Network Power segment declined 10
percent, primarily attributable to weakness in telecommunications
and information technology end markets. Underlying sales also
decreased 10%, with the U.S. contracting 17%, Asia declining 6% and
Europe down 10%.
Demand in the embedded computing and power business also
declined substantially, as global customers were significantly
affected by Thailand flooding, telecommunications and information
technology end markets reflected broad weakness, and the product
line rationalization also continued.
Revenue in the Process Management segment was
also significantly affected by supply chain disruption caused by
flooding in Thailand and it restricted the availability of
electronics components. However, the supply has been restored to a
large extent and the overall impact to 2012 results are expected to
me marginal as the company intends to focus on reducing its record
level of backlog over the next three quarters.
Total and underlying sales decreased 1%, with the U.S. flat,
Asia down 8% and Europe up 6%, while total orders in the quarter
increased 15% year over year.
Climate Technologies sales declined 9% during
the quarter, due to broad weakness across the segment. Underlying
sales also decreased 9%, with the U.S. down 5%, Europe down 11% and
Asia declining 21%. U.S. and China residential air conditioning end
market weakness was due to channel inventory reductions, while
European markets were a challenge because of the economic headwind
in the region.
China residential and light commercial construction has weakened
in the last five months as the government curtailed investments to
restrain inflation.
Balance Sheet
Operating cash flow of $334 million in the quarter increased 4%,
as lower investment in working capital compared with the prior year
quarter more than offset the earnings decline. The company had a
long-term debt of $4.3 billion with a debt-to-capitalization ratio
of 30%.
Outlook
Although, the company had a tough start to the year, Emerson is
optimistic about its outlook for 2012. The positive outlook is
based on the company’s strong fundamentals in the industrial
businesses and management expectations for improvement in
telecommunications and HVAC end markets and recovery from the
Thailand flooding disruptions.
However, these partially offset by the impact of deterioration
in the European economy and mixed global economic indicators.
Therefore, the company has revised its outlook for fiscal 2012.
Emerson now expects Underlying sales and orders growth 4% to 6% and
sales growth of 2% to 4%. The operating profit margin is expected
at approximately 18% while pretax margin is expected at
approximately 15.5%.
For fiscal 2012, earnings are expected to be in the range of
$3.45 to $3.60 a share. Operating cash flow for 2012 is expected to
be at approximately $3.5 billion while capital expenditures are
expected at $700 million.
Founded in St. Louis in 1890, Emerson is the largest publicly
traded company in Missouri. The major competitors of Emerson are
ABB Ltd. (ABB), General Electric
Co. (GE) and Hitachi Ltd. (HIT).
The company has a Zacks #4 Rank which implies a short-term
‘Sell’ recommendation.
ABB LTD-ADR (ABB): Free Stock Analysis Report
EMERSON ELEC CO (EMR): Free Stock Analysis Report
GENL ELECTRIC (GE): Free Stock Analysis Report
HITACHI (HIT): Free Stock Analysis Report
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