InPlay Oil Corp. (TSX: IPO) (OTCQX: IPOOF) (“InPlay” or the
“Company”) announces its record setting financial and operating
results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022 and
the implementation of an inaugural base dividend. The
implementation of the inaugural base dividend is a significant
milestone in the Company’s strategy of providing additional strong
returns to shareholders through the return of capital along with
the generation of free adjusted funds flow (“FAFF”)(4) and top-tier
light oil weighted production per share growth which has been made
possible by the Company’s strong financial and operational
position.
InPlay’s condensed unaudited interim financial
statements and notes, as well as Management’s Discussion and
Analysis (“MD&A”) for the three and nine months ended September
30, 2022 will be available at “www.sedar.com” and our website at
“www.inplayoil.com”. An updated presentation will be posted to our
website in due course.
Inaugural Base Dividend
InPlay is pleased to announce that its Board of
Directors has approved the implementation of a base cash dividend
of $0.015/share per month. The initial dividend is payable on
November 30, 2022 to holders of the Company’s common shares of
record at the close of business on November 18, 2022. The Company
continues to make strong progress with respect to its debt
reduction targets with a trailing 12 month net debt(2) to earnings
before interest, taxes and depletion (“EBITDA”) ratio(4) of less
than 0.4x at the end of the third quarter, which is forecast to be
approximately 0.1x to 0.2x at year end (inclusive of the monthly
base dividend). Any dividend payment after the initial one will be
subject to the approval of InPlay’s Board of Directors at the time
of declaration.
In determining the initial base dividend rate,
InPlay’s Board of Directors took into account the Company’s strong
balance sheet and the sustainability of the dividend in the event
of a significant drop in commodity prices. In accordance with the
recently released long term forecast, the Company projects that the
base dividend is sustainable in a flat US$55/bbl WTI price
environment in 2023 through 2025 with net debt to EBITDA levels
remaining below 0.3x. Using forward strip pricing, as disclosed in
our long term forecast announced on Sept 28, 2022 (which is
approximately USD $5 - $7 per barrel lower than current WTI forward
strip pricing), the Company is forecasting strong FAFF resulting in
a build in our positive working capital balance (inclusive of
capital expenditures and the monthly base dividend) to $91 - $98
million through the end of 2025 as outlined in greater detail in
the “Outlook” section below. Over time, the Company anticipates
that excess FAFF will be used for special dividends, share
buybacks, tactical capital investment and strategic
acquisitions.
The monthly cash dividend is expected to be
designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian federal and
provincial income tax purposes.
Third Quarter 2022 Financial &
Operating Highlights
- Achieved record
average quarterly production of 9,495 boe/d(1) (54% light crude oil
and NGLs), an increase of 58% from third quarter production in 2021
of 6,011 boe/d(1) (64% light crude oil and NGLs) and an increase of
5% compared to our previous record of 9,063 boe/d(1) (57% light
crude oil and NGLs) in the second quarter of 2022. Average
production per weighted average basic share increased 24% compared
to the third quarter of 2021 (37% on a debt adjusted(4) basis) and
4% compared to the second quarter of 2022 (6% on a debt adjusted
basis).
- Generated
quarterly adjusted funds flow (“AFF”)(2) of $30.2 million ($0.35
per weighted average basic share(3)), an increase of 94% compared
to $15.6 million ($0.23 per weighted average basic share) in the
third quarter of 2021. On a year-to-date basis, generated AFF of
$100.5 million ($1.16 per weighted average basic share(3)), an
increase of 236% compared to $29.9 million ($0.44 per weighted
average basic share) in 2021.
- Increased
operating netbacks(4) on a year to date basis by 49% to $48.78/boe
from $32.66/boe in 2021.
- Realized
quarterly operating income(4) of $34.5 million, an increase of 68%
compared to $20.5 million in the third quarter of 2021. On a
year-to-date basis, realized quarterly operating income $119.0
million, an increase of 145% compared to $48.6 million in
2021.
- Maintained
operating expenses at $12.53/boe compared to $12.23/boe in the
third quarter of 2021 and $12.28/boe in the second quarter of 2022,
despite rising costs of industry services as well as fuel and
energy costs.
- Generated FAFF
of $5.7 million resulting in a 10% reduction to net debt from June
30, 2022 with the majority of 2022 annual capital expenditures
already incurred. Strong FAFF and resulting debt reductions
are expected to accumulate throughout the fourth quarter (inclusive
of the monthly base dividend).
- Achieved a
trailing twelve month net debt to EBITDA ratio of less than 0.4x to
September 30, 2022 with a ratio of between 0.1x to 0.2x forecasted
by year end (inclusive of the monthly base dividend).
- Realized net
income of $15.4 million ($0.18 per basic share; $0.17 per diluted
share). On a year-to-date basis, realized net income of $63.2
million ($0.73 per basic share; $0.69 per diluted share).
Financial and Operating Results
(CDN) ($000’s) |
Three months endedSeptember
30 |
Nine months endedSeptember
30 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
Financial |
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas sales |
56,985 |
|
31,331 |
|
180,429 |
|
76,599 |
|
Adjusted funds flow(2) |
30,232 |
|
15,555 |
|
100,534 |
|
29,879 |
|
Per share – basic(3) |
0.35 |
|
0.23 |
|
1.16 |
|
0.44 |
|
Per share – diluted(3) |
0.33 |
|
0.22 |
|
1.10 |
|
0.43 |
|
Per boe(3) |
34.61 |
|
28.13 |
|
41.23 |
|
20.05 |
|
Comprehensive income |
15,352 |
|
8,289 |
|
63,160 |
|
59,880 |
|
Per share – basic |
0.18 |
|
0.12 |
|
0.73 |
|
0.88 |
|
Per share –diluted |
0.17 |
|
0.12 |
|
0.69 |
|
0.86 |
|
Capital expenditures – PP&E and E&E |
24,542 |
|
10,457 |
|
63,954 |
|
27,410 |
|
Property (dispositions) |
- |
|
(2 |
) |
(1 |
) |
(83 |
) |
Corporate acquisitions |
89 |
|
- |
|
501 |
|
- |
|
Net debt(2) |
(45,615 |
) |
(71,331 |
) |
(45,615 |
) |
(71,331 |
) |
Shares outstanding |
87,150,301 |
|
68,293,616 |
|
87,150,301 |
|
68,293,616 |
|
Basic weighted-average shares |
87,139,344 |
|
68,290,573 |
|
86,824,199 |
|
68,269,114 |
|
Diluted weighted-average shares |
91,157,267 |
|
70,434,134 |
|
91,004,595 |
|
69,303,639 |
|
(CDN) ($000’s) |
Three months endedSeptember
30 |
Nine months endedSeptember
30 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
Operational |
|
|
|
|
Daily production volumes |
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude oil (bbls/d) |
3,717 |
|
3,154 |
|
3,718 |
|
2,922 |
|
Natural gas liquids (bbls/d) |
1,432 |
|
663 |
|
1,358 |
|
731 |
|
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d) |
26,075 |
|
13,166 |
|
23,129 |
|
10,831 |
|
Total (boe/d) |
9,495 |
|
6,011 |
|
8,931 |
|
5,458 |
|
Realized prices(3) |
|
|
|
|
Light and medium crude oil & NGLs ($/bbls) |
96.98 |
|
75.82 |
|
103.89 |
|
66.41 |
|
Conventional natural gas ($/Mcf) |
4.60 |
|
3.89 |
|
5.77 |
|
3.51 |
|
Total ($/boe) |
65.24 |
|
56.66 |
|
74.00 |
|
51.41 |
|
Operating netbacks ($/boe)(4) |
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas sales |
65.24 |
|
56.66 |
|
74.00 |
|
51.41 |
|
Royalties |
(12.14 |
) |
(6.06 |
) |
(11.49 |
) |
(4.67 |
) |
Transportation expense |
(1.02 |
) |
(1.28 |
) |
(1.15 |
) |
(1.12 |
) |
Operating costs |
(12.53 |
) |
(12.23 |
) |
(12.58 |
) |
(12.96 |
) |
Operating netback |
39.55 |
|
37.09 |
|
48.78 |
|
32.66 |
|
Realized (loss) on derivative contracts |
(0.59 |
) |
(3.47 |
) |
(2.75 |
) |
(6.42 |
) |
Operating netback (including realized derivative contracts) |
38.96 |
|
33.62 |
|
46.03 |
|
26.24 |
|
Third Quarter 2022 Financial &
Operations Overview
Production averaged 9,495 boe/d(1) (54% light
crude oil & NGLs) of sales in the third quarter of 2022, the
sixth consecutive quarter that the Company has increased its
quarterly production record. Quarterly production increased by 58%
compared to 6,011 boe/d(1) (64% light crude oil & NGLs) in the
third quarter of 2021 and 5% compared to 9,063 boe/d(1) (57% light
crude oil & NGLs) in the second quarter of 2022, our previous
quarterly record. This resulted in $30.2 million of AFF generated
during the third quarter of 2022 and $5.7 million of FAFF which has
reduced net debt levels by 10% to $45.6 million at September 30,
2022. On a year-to-date basis, the Company has generated AFF of
$100.5 million and FAFF of $36.6 million resulting in a 43%
reduction to net debt from December 31, 2021. Liquidity ratios to
the end of the quarter continued to improve resulting in a trailing
twelve month net debt to EBITDA ratio of less than 0.4x to
September 30, 2022.
InPlay’s capital program for the third quarter
of 2022 consisted of $24.5 million of capital expenditures. During
the quarter, the Company completed and brought on production two
(1.9 net) Extended Reach Horizontal (“ERH”) wells in Willesden
Green that were drilled in the second quarter. Also in
Willesden Green, the Company drilled, completed and brought on
production three (2.9 net) ERH wells. Drilling operations were
completed on an additional two (1.9 net) ERH wells in Willesden
Green during the third quarter and these wells were brought on
production in October. The Company also allocated capital to the
construction of two Vapor Recovery Units which will increase gas
conservation and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Efficient field operations and increased
production levels allowed the Company to limit operating cost
increases, achieving operating costs of $12.53/boe compared to
$12.23/boe in the third quarter of 2021 and $12.28/boe in the
second quarter of 2022. The Company continues to focus on
operational efficiency and is proactive in reducing the impact of
the inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions that are
impacting the oil and gas industry. This resulted in strong
operating income and operating netbacks during the quarter of $34.5
million and $39.55/boe respectively.
Outlook
InPlay began its fourth quarter capital program
drilling one (0.95 net) ERH well in Willesden Green which was
brought on production in late October and is flowing without
artificial lift and the start of drilling operations with our first
two (2.0 net) Belly River wells. InPlay utilized the
technologies and expertise developed in our Cardium play over the
years to complete these Belly River drills in 5.4 and 5.6 days
respectively. This was a dramatic improvement compared to our most
recent two one-mile drilling operations in the area in 2016
averaging approximately 10 days per well and approximately 2.5 days
quicker than recent one-mile wells drilled in the area by other
operators.
Given the continued strong operational results
and positive future commodity prices, the Company reiterates its
2022 guidance and long-term forecast as released September 27, 2022
with the incorporation of the base dividend. The Company remains
committed to providing top-tier production per share growth and a
return of capital to shareholders. This base dividend and the
recently implemented share buyback program in addition to our
forecasted measured production per share growth places InPlay in a
solid position to continue realizing on meaningful returns to
shareholders over the long term.
The table below reiterates the highlights of our
2022 guidance and long-term forecast at our current share price,
including the impact of our inaugural base dividend:
|
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
WTI (US$/bbl) |
93.25 |
75.00 |
70.00 |
65.00 |
Production (boe/d) (1) |
9,150 – 9,400 |
9,900 – 10,400 |
10,650 – 11,200 |
11,300 – 11,900 |
Capital ($ millions) |
70 – 72 |
69 – 71 |
75 – 77 |
80 – 82 |
Net wells |
17.5 |
17.5 – 18.5 |
18.5 – 19.5 |
21.0 – 22.0 |
DAPPS Growth (%) (4) * |
61 – 66 |
25 – 32 |
19 – 26 |
14 – 21 |
AFF ($ millions) (2) |
139 – 143 |
134 – 140 |
136 – 142 |
133 – 139 |
FAFF ($ millions) (4) |
67 – 73 |
63 – 71 |
59 – 67 |
51 – 59 |
Working Capital (Net Debt) at Year-end ($ millions) (2) |
(14) – (18) |
25 – 32 |
63 – 69 |
91 – 98 |
Dividend ($ millions) |
2 – 3 |
15 – 16 |
15 – 16 |
15 – 16 |
Annual Net Debt / EBITDA (4) |
0.1 – 0.2 |
(0.2) – (0.3) |
(0.4) – (0.5) |
(0.6) – (0.7) |
EV / DAAFF (4) * |
2.1 – 2.2 |
2.0 – 2.1 |
1.7 – 1.8 |
1.5 – 1.6 |
* Assumes a $3.50 share price
- The amounts
above do not include potential future purchases through the
Company’s normal course issuer bid (“NCIB”).
As outlined above in the long term forecast, the
Company is forecasting to generate material FAFF resulting in a
growing positive working capital balance through to 2025. Our
strategy for the accumulating additional FAFF is to provide
additional means for returns to shareholders through dividends,
share buybacks, increased tactical capital investment and accretive
strategic acquisitions.
InPlay is pleased to achieve this significant
milestone of implementing our inaugural base dividend and would
like to thank our employees, board members, lenders and
shareholders for their support. The Company looks forward to
releasing our 2023 budget outlining our capital program for the
year in early January.
For further information please contact:
Doug BartolePresident and Chief Executive OfficerInPlay Oil Corp.
Telephone: (587) 955-0632 |
|
Darren Dittmer Chief Financial Officer InPlay Oil Corp. Telephone:
(587) 955-0634 |
Notes:
- See “Production
Breakdown by Product Type” at the end of this press release.
- Capital
management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”
contained within this press release.
- Supplementary
financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”
contained within this press release.
- Non-GAAP
financial measure or ratio that does not have a standardized
meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
and GAAP and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations
of similar measures for other companies. Please refer to “Non-GAAP
and Other Financial Measures” contained within this press
release.
Reader Advisories
Non-GAAP and Other Financial
Measures
Throughout this press release and other
materials disclosed by the Company, InPlay uses certain measures to
analyze financial performance, financial position and cash flow.
These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any
standardized meaning prescribed under GAAP and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. The
non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered
alternatives to, or more meaningful than, financial measures that
are determined in accordance with GAAP as indicators of the Company
performance. Management believes that the presentation of these
non-GAAP and other financial measures provides useful information
to shareholders and investors in understanding and evaluating the
Company’s ongoing operating performance, and the measures provide
increased transparency and the ability to better analyze InPlay’s
business performance against prior periods on a comparable
basis.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Ratios
Included in this document are references to the
terms “free adjusted funds flow”, “operating income”, “operating
netback per boe”, “operating income profit margin”, “Net Debt to
EBITDA” and “Debt adjusted production per share”. Management
believes these measures and ratios are helpful supplementary
measures of financial and operating performance and provide users
with similar, but potentially not comparable, information that is
commonly used by other oil and natural gas companies. These terms
do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should
not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than
“profit (loss) before taxes”, “profit (loss) and comprehensive
income (loss)”, “adjusted funds flow”, “capital expenditures”,
“corporate acquisitions, net of cash acquired”, “net debt”,
“weighted average number of common shares (basic)” or assets and
liabilities as determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of
the Company’s performance and financial position.
Free Adjusted Funds Flow
Management considers FAFF an important measure
to identify the Company’s ability to improve its financial
condition through debt repayment and its ability to provide returns
to shareholders. FAFF should not be considered as an alternative to
or more meaningful than AFF as determined in accordance with GAAP
as an indicator of the Company’s performance. FAFF is calculated by
the Company as AFF less exploration and development capital
expenditures and property dispositions (acquisitions) and is a
measure of the cashflow remaining after capital expenditures before
corporate acquisitions that can be used for additional capital
activity, corporate acquisitions, repayment of debt or
decommissioning expenditures or potentially return of capital to
shareholders. Refer below for a calculation of historical FAFF and
to the “Forward Looking Information and Statements” section for a
calculation of forecast FAFF.
(thousands of dollars) |
Three Months EndedSeptember 30 |
Nine Months EndedSeptember 30 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
Adjusted funds flow |
30,232 |
|
15,555 |
|
100,534 |
|
29,879 |
|
Exploration and dev. capital expenditures |
(24,542 |
) |
(10,457 |
) |
(63,954 |
) |
(27,410 |
) |
Property dispositions (acquisitions) |
- |
|
2 |
|
1 |
|
83 |
|
Free adjusted funds flow |
5,690 |
|
5,100 |
|
36,581 |
|
2,552 |
|
Operating Income/Operating Netback per
boe/Operating Income Profit Margin
InPlay uses “operating income”, “operating
netback per boe” and “operating income profit margin” as key
performance indicators. Operating income is calculated by the
Company as oil and natural gas sales less royalties, operating
expenses and transportation expenses and is a measure of the
profitability of operations before administrative, share-based
compensation, financing and other non-cash items. Management
considers operating income an important measure to evaluate its
operational performance as it demonstrates its field level
profitability. Operating income should not be considered as an
alternative to or more meaningful than net income as determined in
accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s performance.
Operating netback per boe is calculated by the Company as operating
income divided by average production for the respective period.
Management considers operating netback per boe an important measure
to evaluate its operational performance as it demonstrates its
field level profitability per unit of production. Operating income
profit margin is calculated by the Company as operating income as a
percentage of oil and natural gas sales. Management considers
operating income profit margin an important measure to evaluate its
operational performance as it demonstrates how efficiently the
Company generates field level profits from its sales revenue. Refer
below for a calculation of operating income, operating netback per
boe and operating income profit margin.
(thousands of dollars) |
Three Months EndedSeptember 30 |
Nine Months EndedSeptember 30 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
Revenue |
56,985 |
|
31,331 |
|
180,429 |
|
76,599 |
|
Royalties |
(10,607 |
) |
(3,352 |
) |
(28,017 |
) |
(6,963 |
) |
Operating expenses |
(10,946 |
) |
(6,763 |
) |
(30,660 |
) |
(19,315 |
) |
Transportation expenses |
(888 |
) |
(708 |
) |
(2,802 |
) |
(1,674 |
) |
Operating income |
34,544 |
|
20,508 |
|
118,950 |
|
48,647 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales volume (Mboe) |
873.5 |
|
553.0 |
|
2,438.1 |
|
1,490.0 |
|
Per boe |
|
|
|
|
Revenue |
65.24 |
|
56.66 |
|
74.00 |
|
51.41 |
|
Royalties |
(12.14 |
) |
(6.06 |
) |
(11.49 |
) |
(4.67 |
) |
Operating expenses |
(12.53 |
) |
(12.23 |
) |
(12.58 |
) |
(12.96 |
) |
Transportation expenses |
(1.02 |
) |
(1.28 |
) |
(1.15 |
) |
(1.12 |
) |
Operating netback per boe |
39.55 |
|
37.09 |
|
48.78 |
|
32.66 |
|
Operating income profit margin |
61 |
% |
65 |
% |
66 |
% |
64 |
% |
Net Debt to EBITDA
Management considers Net Debt to EBITDA an
important measure as it is a key metric to identify the Company’s
ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other
obligations. EBITDA is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds
flow before interest expense. When this measure is presented
quarterly, EBITDA is annualized by multiplying by four. When this
measure is presented on a trailing twelve month basis, EBITDA for
the twelve months preceding the net debt date is used in the
calculation. This measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula
prescribed under the Company's Senior Credit Facility. Net Debt to
EBITDA is calculated as Net Debt divided by EBITDA. Refer below for
a calculation of Net Debt to EBITDA and to the “Forward Looking
Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast
Net Debt to EBITDA.
|
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|
|
Sept. 30,2022 |
|
Sept. 30,2021 |
|
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
117.7 |
|
38.0 |
|
Interest expense (Credit Facility and other) |
$ millions |
5.2 |
|
5.8 |
|
Interest expense (Lease liabilities) |
$ millions |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
EBITDA |
$ millions |
122.9 |
|
43.8 |
|
Net Debt |
$ millions |
45.6 |
|
71.3 |
|
Net Debt/EBITDA |
|
0.4 |
|
1.6 |
|
Production per Debt Adjusted Share
InPlay uses “Production per debt adjusted share”
as a key performance indicator. Debt adjusted shares should not be
considered as an alternative to or more meaningful than common
shares as determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the
Company’s performance. Debt adjusted shares is a non-GAAP measure
used in the calculation of Production per debt adjusted share and
is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the
change in net debt divided by the Company's current trading price
on the TSX, converting net debt to equity. Debt adjusted shares
should not be considered as an alternative to or more meaningful
than weighted average number of common shares (basic) as determined
in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of the Company’s
performance. Management considers Debt adjusted share is a key
performance indicator as it adjusts for the effects of capital
structure in relation to the Company’s peers. Production per debt
adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production divided
by debt adjusted shares. Management considers Production per debt
adjusted share is a key performance indicator as it adjusts for the
effects of changes in annual production in relation to the
Company’s capital structure. Refer below for a calculation of
Production per debt adjusted share and to to the “Forward Looking
Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast
Production per debt adjusted share.
|
|
|
|
Three Months EndedSeptember 30 |
|
|
|
|
2022 |
|
2021 |
|
Production |
|
|
Boe/d |
9,495 |
|
6,011 |
|
Net Debt |
|
|
$ millions |
45.6 |
|
71.3 |
|
Weighted average outstanding shares |
|
|
# millions |
87.1 |
|
68.3 |
|
Assumed Share price(2) |
|
|
$ |
3.08 |
|
|
|
Production per debt adjusted share growth(2) |
|
|
|
37 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
Sept. 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
Production |
|
|
Boe/d |
9,495 |
|
9,063 |
|
Net Debt |
|
|
$ millions |
45.6 |
|
50.5 |
|
Weighted average outstanding shares |
|
|
# millions |
87.1 |
|
86.9 |
|
Assumed Share price(2) |
|
|
$ |
3.08 |
|
|
|
Production per debt adjusted share growth(2) |
|
|
|
6 |
% |
|
|
(1) |
Production per
debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company as production
divided by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares is calculated
by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the change in net
debt divided by the Company's current trading price on the TSX,
converting net debt to equity. |
(2) |
Weighted average share price throughout the third quarter of
2022. |
EV / DAAFF
InPlay uses “enterprise value to debt adjusted
AFF” or “EV/DAAFF” as a key performance indicator. EV/DAAFF is
calculated by the Company as enterprise value divided by debt
adjusted AFF for the relevant period. Debt adjusted AFF (“DAAFF”)
is calculated by the Company as adjusted funds flow plus financing
costs. Enterprise value is a capital management measures that is
used in the calculation of EV/DAAFF. Enterprise value is calculated
as the Company’s market capitalization plus working capital (net
debt). Management considers enterprise value a key performance
indicator as it identifies the total capital structure of the
Company. Management considers EV/DAAFF a key performance indicator
as it is a key metric used to evaluate the sustainability of the
Company relative to other companies while incorporating the impact
of differing capital structures. Refer to the “Forward Looking
Information and Statements” section for a calculation of forecast
EV/DAAFF.
Capital Management Measures
Adjusted Funds Flow
Management considers adjusted funds flow to be
an important measure of InPlay’s ability to generate the funds
necessary to finance capital expenditures. AFF is a GAAP measure
and is disclosed in the notes to the Company’s consolidated
financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2021 and the
most recently filed quarterly financial statements. All references
to AFF throughout this document are calculated as funds flow
adjusting for decommissioning expenditures and transaction and
integration costs. This item is adjusted from funds flow as
decommissioning expenditures are incurred on a discretionary and
irregular basis and are primarily incurred on previous operating
assets and transaction costs are non-recurring costs for the
purposes of an acquisition, making the exclusion of these items
relevant in Management’s view to the reader in the evaluation of
InPlay’s operating performance. The Company also presents AFF per
share whereby per share amounts are calculated using weighted
average shares outstanding consistent with the calculation of
profit (loss) per common share.
Net Debt / Working Capital
Net debt / working capital is a GAAP measure and
is disclosed in the notes to the Company’s consolidated financial
statements for the year ending December 31, 2021 and the most
recently filed quarterly financial statements. The Company closely
monitors its capital structure with a goal of maintaining a strong
balance sheet to fund the future growth of the Company. The Company
monitors net debt / working capital as part of its capital
structure. The Company uses net debt / working capital (bank debt
plus accounts payable and accrued liabilities less accounts
receivables and accrued receivables, prepaid expenses and deposits
and inventory) as an alternative measure of outstanding debt.
Management considers net debt / working capital an important
measure to assist in assessing the liquidity of the Company.
Supplementary Measures
"Average realized crude oil
price" is comprised of crude oil commodity sales from
production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the
Company's crude oil production. Average prices are before deduction
of transportation costs and do not include gains and losses on
financial instruments.
"Average realized NGL price" is
comprised of NGL commodity sales from production, as determined in
accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's NGL production.
Average prices are before deduction of transportation costs and do
not include gains and losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized natural gas
price" is comprised of natural gas commodity sales from
production, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the
Company's natural gas production. Average prices are before
deduction of transportation costs and do not include gains and
losses on financial instruments.
"Average realized commodity
price" is comprised of commodity sales from production, as
determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company's
production. Average prices are before deduction of transportation
costs and do not include gains and losses on financial
instruments.
"AFF per weighted average basic
share" is comprised of AFF divided by the basic weighted
average common shares.
"AFF per weighted average diluted
share" is comprised of AFF divided by the diluted weighted
average common shares.
"AFF per boe" is comprised of
AFF divided by total production.
Forward-Looking Information and
Statements
This news release contains certain
forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of
applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends", “forecast”, "targets”,
"framework" and similar expressions are intended to identify
forward-looking information or statements. In particular, but
without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains forward
looking information and statements pertaining to the following: the
Company's business strategy, milestones and objectives including,
without limitation, the Company’s forecast net debt to EBITDA ratio
at year ended 2022; InPlay’s expectations regarding the
sustainability of the base monthly dividend, including in the event
of a drop in commodity prices; the projection that the dividend is
sustainable in a flat $US 55/bbl WTI price environment; the
expectation that the net debt to EBITDA ratio will continue to
drop; the anticipated generation of strong FAFF through 2025 and
our expected working capital balance; the expectation that
additional FAFF will be used for special dividends, share buybacks,
tactical capital investment and strategic acquisitions; the
expectation of strong debt reductions in the fourth quarter of
2022; the expected results from the construction of the two Vapor
Recovery Units; the anticipated timing of the release of the
Company’s 2023 budget; expectations regarding future commodity
prices; future oil and natural gas prices; future liquidity and
financial capacity; future results from operations and operating
metrics; future costs, expenses and royalty rates; future interest
costs; the exchange rate between the $US and $Cdn; the anticipated
tax treatment of the monthly base dividend; future development,
exploration, acquisition, development and infrastructure activities
and related capital expenditures, including our planned 2022
capital program and associated guidance and long-term forecast to
2025.
Without limitation of the foregoing, readers are
cautioned that the Company's future dividend payments to
shareholders of the Company, if any, and the level thereof will be
subject to the discretion of the Board of Directors of
InPlay. The Company's dividend policy and funds available for
the payment of dividends, if any, from time to time, is dependent
upon, among other things, levels of FAFF, leverage ratios,
financial requirements for the Company's operations and execution
of its growth strategy, fluctuations in commodity prices and
working capital, the timing and amount of capital expenditures,
credit facility availability and limitations on distributions
existing thereunder, and other factors beyond the Company's
control. Further, the ability of the Company to pay dividends will
be subject to applicable laws, including satisfaction of solvency
tests under the Business Corporations Act (Alberta), and
satisfaction of certain applicable contractual restrictions
contained in the agreements governing the Company's outstanding
indebtedness.
Forward-looking statements or information are
based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions
of InPlay which have been used to develop such statements and
information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although InPlay
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward looking
statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not
be placed on forward-looking statements because InPlay can give no
assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In
addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified
herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:
the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the
economic and political environment in which InPlay operates; the
timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of
InPlay to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a
timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of
the operator of the projects in which InPlay has an interest in to
operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the
ability of InPlay to obtain debt financing on acceptable terms; the
timing and amount of purchases under the Company’s NCIB; the
anticipated tax treatment of the monthly base dividend; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and the ability of InPlay to
secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices;
that various conditions to a shareholder return strategy can be
satisfied; expectations regarding the potential impact of COVID-19
and the Russia/Ukraine conflict; currency, exchange and interest
rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which InPlay
operates; and the ability of InPlay to successfully market its oil
and natural gas products. The forward-looking information and
statements included herein are not guarantees of future performance
and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and
statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof,
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from
those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements
including, without limitation: the continuing impact of the
COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia/Ukraine conflict; inflation and
the risk of a global recession; changes in our planned 2022 capital
program; changes in our approach to shareholder returns, including
in relation to the Company’s NCIB and the timing and amount of any
potential purchases thereunder; changes in commodity prices and
other assumptions outlined herein; the risk that dividend payments
may be reduced, suspended or cancelled; the potential for variation
in the quality of the reservoirs in which we operate; changes in
the demand for or supply of our products; unanticipated operating
results or production declines; changes in tax or environmental
laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters; changes in
development plans or strategies of InPlay or by third party
operators of our properties; changes in our credit structure,
increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate
estimation of our light crude oil and natural gas reserve and
resource volumes; limited, unfavorable or a lack of access to
capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance
coverage; the impact of competitors; and certain other risks
detailed from time-to-time in InPlay's continuous disclosure
documents filed on SEDAR including our Annual Information Form and
our MD&A.
This press release contains future-oriented
financial information and financial outlook information
(collectively, "FOFI") about InPlay’s financial and leverage
targets and objectives, InPlay’s long-term forecast, and potential
dividends and share buybacks, all of which are subject to the same
assumptions, risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set
forth in the above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of
InPlay and the resulting financial results will likely vary from
the amounts set forth in this press release and such variation may
be material. InPlay and its management believe that the FOFI has
been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management's best
estimates and judgments. However, because this information is
subjective and subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied
on as necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required
by applicable securities laws, InPlay undertakes no obligation to
update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about InPlay's anticipated future
business operations and strategy. Readers are cautioned that the
FOFI contained in this press release should not be used for
purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.
The internal projections, expectations, or
beliefs underlying our Board approved 2022 capital budget and
associated guidance, as well as management's preliminary estimates
and targets in respect of plans for 2023 and beyond, are subject to
change in light of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and any
related actions taken by businesses and governments, ongoing
results, prevailing economic circumstances, volatile commodity
prices, and industry conditions and regulations. InPlay's financial
outlook and guidance provides shareholders with relevant
information on management's expectations for results of operations,
excluding any potential acquisitions or dispositions, for such time
periods based upon the key assumptions outlined herein. In this
document reference is made to the Company's longer range 2023 and
beyond internal plan and associated economic model. Such
information reflects internal targets used by management for the
purposes of making capital investment decisions and for internal
long range planning and budget preparation. Readers are cautioned
that events or circumstances could cause capital plans and
associated results to differ materially from those predicted and
InPlay's guidance for 2022, and more particularly 2023 and beyond,
may not be appropriate for other purposes. Accordingly, undue
reliance should not be placed on same.
The forward-looking information and statements
contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof and
InPlay does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise
any of the included forward-looking statements or information,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
except as may be required by applicable securities laws.
The key budget and underlying material
assumptions used by the Company in the development of its 2022
guidance and long-term forecast including forecasted production,
operating income, capital expenditures, AFF, FAFF, working capital
(net debt), Net Debt/EBITDA, production per debt adjusted share and
EV/DAAFF are as follows:
|
|
ActualsFY 2021 |
GuidanceFY 2022(1) |
ForecastFY 2023(1) |
ForecastFY 2024(1) |
ForecastFY 2025(1) |
WTI |
US$/bbl |
$67.91 |
$93.25 |
$75.00 |
$70.00 |
$65.00 |
NGL Price |
$/boe |
$37.79 |
$50.50 |
$43.00 |
$40.00 |
$37.25 |
AECO |
$/GJ |
$3.44 |
$5.15 |
$4.90 |
$4.50 |
$4.65 |
Foreign Exchange Rate |
CDN$/US$ |
0.80 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
MSW Differential |
US$/bbl |
$3.88 |
$1.90 |
$3.75 |
$3.75 |
$3.75 |
Production |
Boe/d |
5,768 |
9,150 – 9,400 |
9,900 – 10,400 |
10,650 – 11,200 |
11,300 – 11,900 |
Royalties |
$/boe |
5.51 |
10.10 – 11.60 |
7.75 – 9.25 |
6.25 – 7.75 |
5.00 – 6.50 |
Operating Expenses |
$/boe |
12.83 |
11.00 – 14.00 |
10.50 – 13.50 |
10.00 – 13.00 |
9.50 – 12.50 |
Transportation |
$/boe |
1.11 |
1.05 – 1.30 |
1.00 – 1.25 |
0.90 – 1.15 |
0.85 – 1.10 |
Interest |
$/boe |
2.67 |
1.20 – 1.60 |
0.00 – 0.50 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
General and Administrative |
$/boe |
2.83 |
2.40 – 2.95 |
2.25 – 2.75 |
2.20 – 2.70 |
2.15 – 2.65 |
Hedging loss |
$/boe |
6.20 |
1.90 – 2.20 |
– |
– |
– |
Decommissioning Expenditures |
$ millions |
$1.4 |
$2.0 – $2.5 |
$3.5 – $4.0 |
$5.0 – $5.5 |
$5.0 – $5.5 |
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$47.0 |
$139 – $143 |
$134 – $140 |
$136 – $142 |
$133 – $139 |
Dividends |
$ millions |
- |
$2 – $3 |
$15 – $16 |
$15 – $16 |
$15 – $16 |
|
|
ActualsFY 2021 |
GuidanceFY 2022(1) |
ForecastFY 2023(1) |
ForecastFY 2024(1) |
ForecastFY 2025(1) |
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$47.0 |
$139 – $143 |
$134 – $140 |
$136 – $142 |
$133 – $139 |
Capital Expenditures |
$ millions |
$33.3 |
$70 – $72 |
$69 – $71 |
$75 – $77 |
$80 – $82 |
Free Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$13.6 |
$67 – $73 |
$63 – $71 |
$59 – $67 |
$51 – $59 |
|
|
ActualsFY 2021 |
GuidanceFY 2022(1) |
ForecastFY 2023(1) |
ForecastFY 2024(1) |
ForecastFY 2025(1) |
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$47.0 |
$139 – $143 |
$134 – $140 |
$136 – $142 |
$133 – $139 |
Interest |
$/boe |
2.67 |
1.20 – 1.60 |
0.00 – 0.50 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
EBITDA |
$ millions |
$52.6 |
$143 – $147 |
$135 – $141 |
$136 – $142 |
$133 – $139 |
Working Capital (Net Debt) |
$ millions |
($80.2) |
($14) – ($18) |
$25 – $32 |
$63 – $69 |
$91 – $98 |
Net Debt/EBITDA |
|
1.5 |
0.1 – 0.2 |
(0.2) – (0.3) |
(0.4) – (0.5) |
(0.6) – (0.7) |
|
|
ActualsFY 2021 |
GuidanceFY 2022(1) |
ForecastFY 2023(1) |
ForecastFY 2024(1) |
ForecastFY 2025(1) |
Production |
Boe/d |
5,768 |
9,150 – 9,400 |
9,900 – 10,400 |
10,650 – 11,200 |
11,300 – 11,900 |
Opening Working Cap. (Net Debt) |
$ millions |
($73.7) |
($80.2) |
($14) – ($18) |
$25 – $32 |
$63 – $69 |
Ending Working Cap. (Net Debt) |
$ millions |
($80.2) |
($14) – ($18) |
$25 – $32 |
$63 – $69 |
$91 – $98 |
Weighted avg. outstanding shares |
# millions |
69.8 |
86.9 |
87.1 |
87.1 |
87.1 |
Assumed Share price |
$ |
1.16(4) |
3.50 |
3.50 |
3.50 |
3.50 |
Prod. per debt adj. share growth(2) |
|
31% |
61% - 66% |
25% - 32% |
19% - 26% |
14% - 21% |
|
|
ActualsFY 2021 |
GuidanceFY 2022(1) |
ForecastFY 2023(1) |
ForecastFY 2024(1) |
ForecastFY 2025(1) |
Share outstanding, end of year |
# millions |
86.2 |
87.1 |
87.1 |
87.1 |
87.1 |
Assumed Share price |
$ |
2.18(3) |
3.50 |
3.50 |
3.50 |
3.50 |
Market capitalization |
$ millions |
$188 |
$305 |
$305 |
$305 |
$305 |
Working Capital (Net Debt) |
$ millions |
($80.2) |
($14) – ($18) |
$25 – $32 |
$63 – $69 |
$91 – $98 |
Enterprise value |
$millions |
$268.2 |
$319 – $323 |
$273 – $280 |
$236 – $242 |
$207 – $214 |
Adjusted Funds Flow |
$ millions |
$47.0 |
$139 – $143 |
$134 – $140 |
$136 – $142 |
$133 – $139 |
Interest |
$/boe |
2.67 |
1.20 – 1.60 |
0.00 – 0.50 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
0.00 – 0.10 |
Debt Adjusted AFF |
$ millions |
$49.7 |
$143 – $147 |
$135 – $141 |
$136 – $142 |
$133 – $139 |
EV/DAAFF |
|
5.4 |
2.1 – 2.2 |
2.0 – 2.1 |
1.7 – 1.8 |
1.5 – 1.6 |
(1) |
As previously
released September, 2022, with net debt (working capital) updated
for the cumulative impact of the inaugural base dividend assuming
the inaugural dividend in the amount initially declared is
maintained at the same level. All future dividends remain subject
to formal declaration and approval by the Board of Directors on a
monthly basis |
(2) |
Production per debt adjusted share is calculated by the Company
as production divided by debt adjusted shares. Debt adjusted shares
is calculated by the Company as common shares outstanding plus the
change in working capital (net debt) divided by the Company's
current trading price on the TSX, converting working capital (net
debt) to equity. Share price at December 31, 2022 through December
31, 2025 is assumed to be consistent with the current share
price. |
(3) |
Ending share price at December 31, 2021. |
(4) |
Weighted average share price throughout 2021. |
• |
See “Production Breakdown by Product Type” below |
• |
Quality and pipeline transmission adjustments may impact
realized oil prices in addition to the MSW Differential provided
above |
• |
Changes in working capital (net debt) are not assumed to have a
material impact between Dec 31, 2021 and Dec 31, 2022. |
• |
InPlay's plans for 2023 and beyond remain preliminary in nature
and do not reflect Board approved capital expenditures budgets at
this time. |
• |
The assumptions above do not include potential future purchases
through the Company’s NCIB. |
Production Breakdown by Product
TypeDisclosure of production on a per boe basis in this
press release consists of the constituent product types as defined
in NI 51-101 and their respective quantities disclosed in the
table below:
|
|
Light and MediumCrude
oil(bbls/d) |
|
NGLS(boe/d) |
|
Conventional
Naturalgas(Mcf/d) |
|
Total(boe/d) |
Q1 2021 Average Production |
|
2,665 |
|
802 |
|
8,994 |
|
4,965 |
Q2 2021 Average Production |
|
2,942 |
|
730 |
|
10,286 |
|
5,386 |
Q3 2021 Average Production |
|
3,154 |
|
663 |
|
13,166 |
|
6,011 |
2021 Average Production |
|
2,981 |
|
782 |
|
12,030 |
|
5,768 |
Q1 2022 Average Production |
|
3,571 |
|
1,307 |
|
20,054 |
|
8,221 |
Q2 2022 Average Production |
|
3,865 |
|
1,333 |
|
23,191 |
|
9,063 |
Q3 2022 Average Production |
|
3,717 |
|
1,432 |
|
26,075 |
|
9,495 |
2022 Annual Guidance |
|
4,014 |
|
1,340 |
|
23,530 |
|
9,275(1) |
2023 Annual Forecast |
|
4,355 |
|
1,380 |
|
26,500 |
|
10,150(2) |
2024 Annual Forecast |
|
4,660 |
|
1,500 |
|
28,600 |
|
10,925(2) |
2025 Annual Forecast |
|
4,590 |
|
1,645 |
|
32,200 |
|
11,600(2) |
Notes:
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s 2022 production guidance range of
9,150 to 9,400 boe/d.
- This reflects
the mid-point of the Company’s annual production forecast
range.
- With respect to
forward-looking production guidance, product type breakdown is
based upon management's expectations based on reasonable
assumptions but are subject to variability based on actual well
results.
References to crude oil, NGLs or natural gas
production in this press release refer to the light and medium
crude oil, natural gas liquids and conventional natural gas product
types, respectively, as defined in National Instrument 51-101,
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("Nl
51-101").
BOE Equivalent Barrel of oil
equivalents or BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an
energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of
crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different
than the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion
basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
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