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1 hour ago
Investors Cautious on Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Before Earnings
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | February 25, 2025
• Nvidia will announce fourth-quarter results after tomorrow's close
• The shares have inched into the red for the year
Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) is gearing up for its fourth-quarter report, due out after the close tomorrow, Feb. 26. NVDA typically has a strong earnings showing, closing six of its last eight post-earnings sessions higher, and yet it's still sliding ahead of the event, gathering plenty of attention from investors.
The stock's upward momentum has slowed over the past few months, with concerns swirling over China's artificial intelligence (AI) breakthroughs and the potential for slowing demand from key customers. Per Wolfe Research, this report is a "make or break" moment for the chip darling.
At last glance, NVDA was down 1.8% at $127.95. The shares are headed for their third-straight loss as they fall further from their Jan. 7 record high of $153.13. The tech stock added 171.2% in 2024, and 238.9% in 2023, but since the start of 2025, it is down 4%.
The options pits are pricing in a 15.2% post-earnings move this time around, regardless of direction. Over the last two years, the security has averaged a 9.2% next-day swing.
Nvidia is consistently a favorite amongst options traders, yesterday topping Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of stocks with the highest options volume in the past 10 days. So far today, 1.3 million calls and 1.2 million puts have been traded, with the most activity at the weekly 2/28 140-strike call.
These options are reasonably priced, too. NVDA's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 70% ranks in the low 19th percentile of its annual range, meaning options traders are pricing in low volatility expectations.
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DiscoverGold
20 hours ago
Chinese firms boost Nvidia H20 chip orders amid DeepSeek AI boom- Reuters
By: Investing.com | February 24, 2025
Chinese tech giants are significantly increasing orders for Nvidia’s H20 artificial intelligence chips, driven by soaring demand for DeepSeek’s low-cost AI models, Reuters reported on Tuesday citing sources familiar with the matter.
Tencent (HK:0700), Alibaba (HK:9988), and ByteDance have notably ramped up purchases of the H20 — a chip tailored for China to comply with U.S. export controls — as DeepSeek’s models gain traction globally, the Reuters report stated.
These companies, which also offer cloud computing services, are leveraging the chips both for internal needs and to support customers accessing AI tools, Reuters reported.
The surge extends beyond major tech firms. Smaller companies in healthcare and education are acquiring AI servers equipped with DeepSeek’s models and Nvidia’s H20 chips, a shift from previous trends where such high-powered systems were mainly used by financial and telecom firms, according to the report.
The H20 remains the primary chip Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is allowed to sell in China following tightened regulations in late 2023. Analysts estimate Nvidia shipped around 1 million H20 units in 2024, generating over $12 billion in revenue, the report said.
While concerns over potential further U.S. curbs loom, the report stated that DeepSeek’s rapid rise — not geopolitical tensions — is the key driver behind the surge in orders.
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1 day ago
Fri’s Big Selloff Appears Before NVDA’s Earnings Results Due Wed, With Stock Suffering Rejection In Jan At Nov High
By: Hedgopia | February 24, 2025
• Last Friday’s sudden selloff in equities speaks of heightened investor nerves. Amidst this, NVDA, the poster child of the AI revolution and the associated tech rally, reports this Wednesday; ahead of this, there are subtle signs of distribution. An adverse reaction to its results will reverberate through the stock market.
Friday’s sellers could be vindicated if Nvidia’s (NVDA) results draw an adverse reaction. The $3.3-trillion company – second only to Apple’s (AAPL) leading $3.7-trillion market cap – reports its January quarter on Wednesday.
NVDA is expected to bring home $0.85 in earnings per share, with the estimates remaining unchanged for at least the past three months. Its shares peaked three months ago at $152.88 on November 21. That high was unsuccessfully tested with a fresh high of $153.13 on January 7, with a massive reversal ending the session at $140.14. The subsequent selloff ended on the 3rd this month with a low of $113.01. Last Tuesday, the stock ticked $143.44 but finished the week lower 3.3 percent to $134.43. Tuesday’s high was rejected at a falling trendline from last November’s high (Chart 2).
This is taking place at a time when the 50-day ($134.56), which went sideways for five weeks before trending lower, seems to want to drop toward the 200-day at $125.82.
For the bulls, even if Wednesday’s results are received well, and the stock rallies, $153 likely offers strong resistance, as those that did not sell previously treat this as an opportunity to unload.
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Jetmek_03052
1 day ago
Analyst reworks Nvidia stock price target with Q4 earnings on deck
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/topstocks/analyst-reworks-nvidia-stock-price-target-with-q4-earnings-on-deck/ar-AA1zGAbH?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=47de2b16e8684e93a7613e277c74dcbe&ei=9
Mosesmann, who reiterated his buy rating and $220 price target on Nvidia stock in a note published Monday, expects a "modest beat and raise for Nvidia's January quarter and March quarter outlook versus consensus estimates."
LSEG data suggest analysts expect April-quarter revenue in the region of $41.75 billion, a tally that suggests a slower, but still impressive, 60% growth rate. Data-center sales are expected to rise 65% to $37.21 billion.
Nvidia is set up well for 2025 - Rosenblatt analyst
"We continue to view the setup in (calendar year 2025) positively for Nvidia, with a strong Blackwell ramp that is resilient to unit share losses to GPU and ASIC accelerator players," Mosesmann said.
"Nvidia's roadmap ([for] which we expect an update at GTC in March) is one of increasing value that is highly complex with multiple configurations," he added. GTC is Nvidia's Global Technology Conference in San Jose, Calif., March 17 to 21.
doc2016
3 days ago
can they create cuprates on the old twister copper insitu? chatgpt says, "
Copper, in its pure form, is not a superconductor. Even at extremely low temperatures, it retains electrical resistance and does not exhibit superconducting properties. This is because copper lacks certain characteristics necessary for superconductivity, such as hole conductivity and appropriate electron pairing mechanisms.
PHYSICSFORUMS.COM
However, certain copper-oxide compounds, known as cuprates, do exhibit superconductivity at higher temperatures compared to traditional superconductors. These high-temperature superconductors, discovered in 1986, are ceramics composed of layers of copper and oxygen atoms. The superconducting behavior in these materials is believed to be driven by interactions between electrons and the magnetic fields of nearby atoms, leading to the formation of Cooper pairs that can move without resistance.
ENERGY.GOV
NEWS.CORNELL.EDU"
Regarding the magnetization of copper, applying a magnetic field to pure copper does not induce superconductivity. Superconductors inherently expel magnetic fields—a phenomenon known as the Meissner effect—whereas copper does not exhibit this behavior.
ANL.GOV
In summary, while pure copper is not a superconductor and magnetizing it does not confer superconducting properties, certain copper-based compounds, specifically cuprates, are known to be high-temperature superconductors due to their unique structural and electronic characteristics.
DiscoverGold
4 days ago
NVIDIA Breakdown Incoming?
By: Peter DiCarlo | February 21, 2025
• NVIDIA Breakdown Incoming?
I almost never trade puts—especially on a stock trending up—but $NVDA looks like a textbook short setup.
The weekly trend is still bullish, but every bounce keeps making lower highs & lower lows.
We’ve been watching $140 as the bearish smart money zone, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a trap.
Earnings are in a few days, so I’m staying out, but a retest of $110 wouldn’t shock me.
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4retire
4 days ago
This is what is wrong in believing what the Chinese say……they developed this with $5 million when they have a billion in AI hardware. The Chinese probably shorted NVDA with this BS and profited handsomely.
“However, DeepSeek's "low-training" costs were only a FUD, and it was reported that DeepSeek employs well over $1 billion in AI hardware, showing that the firm, too, needs massive computing power.”
rolvram
4 days ago
NVIDIA’s CEO Jensen Huang Addresses The “DeepSeek Fiasco” For The First Time; Says Investors “Overreacted” & “Got It All Wrong”
Muhammad Zuhair
Feb 21, 2025 at 08:31am EST
NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang has publicly addressed China's DeepSeek for the first time, claiming that the investors overreacted and got the "paradigm wrong."
NVIDIA's CEO Believes DeepSeek's AI Achievement Is Massive For The Markets, Appreciating Their Open-Source Models
The release of DeepSeek's R1 AI models was a massive milestone for the AI markets, but for Team Green, it was an ugly day. The firm saw a whopping $600 billion decline in market value, with Jensen losing over 20% of his net worth, clearly showing investors weren't happy with DeepSeek's achievement. However, in the latest interview with DDN, NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang has expressed excitement towards DeepSeek's milestone and, at the same time, believes that investors' perception of AI markets went wrong.
From an investor perspective, there was a mental model that the world was pre-training and then inference. And inference was: you ask an AI a question, and you instantly got an answer. I don't know whose fault it is, but obviously that paradigm is wrong.
It is so incredibly exciting. The energy around the world as a result of R1 becoming open-sourced, incredible.
For those who still aren't aware of why the stock sell-off got triggered, the news around DeepSeek's R1 being trained for around $5 million raised the perception that the demand for AI computing power is artificial in the markets. However, DeepSeek's "low-training" costs were only a FUD, and it was reported that DeepSeek employs well over $1 billion in AI hardware, showing that the firm, too, needs massive computing power.
NVIDIA Blackwell GB200 Powers The Latest A4 VMs At Microsoft Azure, 2.25x Higher Compute & HBM Capacity 1
However, one area where DeepSeek managed to tap into is having robust "open-sourced" AI models, which means that developers can join in to enhance the product further, and it allows organizations and individuals to fine-tune the AI model however they like, allowing it to run on localized AI environments and tapping into hardware resources with the best efficiency. Prior to DeepSeek, the perception was general against open-sourcing models, mainly due to the fact that OpenAI drove the hype.
All eyes are on NVIDIA's upcoming earnings call, which is slated for February 26. The call will likely give us insight into how big of a hit the firm has seen on profitability rates following the DeepSeek fiasco and recent Blackwell AI product issues. However, it is safe to say that with competition from DeepSeek, it is certain that demand for computing power is all around NVIDIA.