Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) Options

I have no idea as well, just people day trading it, too many non believers and flippers, that is why the likelihood of squeeze is questionable. I still believe this will play out like $CVNA, market being choppy doesn't help the cause either.

Uuhhh, tariffs were amended to allow products

to be duty free under trade agreement

that Trump designed...

Mr. Elon now answers to Cabinet Members

in a more correct line of authority...

SMCI still cheaper than average cost for

many recently...

Still have no idea why it ran up before

earnings release and before company

filings like it did...

Gotta find me a big short for a sugar mama

to help lead me around...


so we watch...LJ

Market is going to be choppy until clown in chief decides to fire Elon and do away with tariffs. Which looks like he could just do that. $SUNE for a good day trade only and $SCPH a very good story and fundamentals, that will payout good mid to long term.

$SUNE is the runner tomorrow for easy 200-300%

New credit lines haven't been announced to increase

belief in growth of forward guidance...

credit lines are #1 item on my watch...

New CFO hasn't been announced yet...

Other than the Prez imploding investor confidence

in the market which no one controls...

tariffs on, tarriffs off...wax on, wax off...

investor confidence doesn't just pop back up

quickly because someone waxes off...

NVDA is best example with good earnings,

good guidance, and dropping share price,

which doesn't compute properly...

so we watch...LJ

There must be a middle area between “going to $100 because I hope” and this post of yours below, which seems to be designed to instill doubt and uncertainty. Why?


But, but, but.....my post was honest! I don't understand why the stock isn't running, and I do think $32 is feasible. I also don't believe it's down due to "shorty". So, which part should I not have stated?
Middle ground between euphoria and doom is ....I dunno..."The stock price will do nothing one way or the other"??

There must be a middle area between “going to $100 because I hope” and this post of yours below, which seems to be designed to instill doubt and uncertainty. Why?

fung_derf
Member Level
Re: None
Thursday, March 06, 2025 9:44:57 AM
Post# of 2702
I notice there was big hope when SMCI was up on the day the market tanked.....no one mentioned yesterday it was down as the market rallied.
$32 range is looking very feasible now. The question you should be asking is, what then? With a P/E of 15, the stock should be running. So the question we must all ask ourselves is, "why isn't it?"......forget all that nonsense about shorting and stuff. If a company is strong, large hedge funds or whoever aren't going to try to fight the tape. This isn't GME......I hope.

I'm a realist with no emotional ties to my investments other than loving them if they go up and disliking them if they don't.
You're never going to see me type, "This stock is going to $100 because I wish it would".

“…We ate the food, we drank the wine
Everybody having a good time
Except you
You were talking about the end of the world”

Cheer up! Look at the bright side.

I notice there was big hope when SMCI was up on the day the market tanked.....no one mentioned yesterday it was down as the market rallied.
$32 range is looking very feasible now. The question you should be asking is, what then? With a P/E of 15, the stock should be running. So the question we must all ask ourselves is, "why isn't it?"......forget all that nonsense about shorting and stuff. If a company is strong, large hedge funds or whoever aren't going to try to fight the tape. This isn't GME......I hope.

Exactly…. “Others may have short term tariff worries

but the big tech companies doing so much

spending already have the correct change...”

Tech watch...42.38, 43.49. and 50.00 are

next price marks to move back

Over after this back testing phase...

Those are the next high trading day

prices when moving back up the chart

to reclaim this back test period...

https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/interactive-chart

very simple to watch, with no videos needed

to watch which may have views that may

be presented to help buy cheaper...

SMCI has already been down at whatever

price they point down to...

SMCI should have enough orders already

in pipeline to expect to do about 7 billion

in quarter to start in April when considering

recent change for annual guidance...

Others may have short term tariff worries

but the big tech companies doing so much

spending already have the correct change...


so we watch...LJ

Yes, low volume on hooker trading platform. They are waiting on clown in chief going back on his word about the tariffs. Now one month delay on automakers. This clown in chief can't make up his mind about the tariffs cause he knows deep down they are the wrong approach.

Did the robinhookers go on vacation that

used to follow SMCI?...

so we watch...LJ

Volume chopped in half from average 10 day. Way low. Sideways price from about 11:00 a.m. I think it’s just about ready to go. Maybe a couple more days, depending on overall market.

Probability of more upside price action

may have increased today with the

option prices getting cheaper...

It is sometimes a motivator for traders

to move the price up...

Balancing put options to long positions

is never a bad idea either...


so we watch...LJ

Right now everyone is waiting for the hammer to drop. But it doesn’t. When the markets settle down this thing will fly. No chart needed. Just a gut feeling. Could be wrong, but do I need to say that?

Or maybe......the tariffs are going to lead other companies around the world to look elsewhere?
Just because there are more shorts appearing, does not mean they are wrong about the stock.
Ever wonder what happened to all the cloth diaper cleaning companies the day after Pampers were invented?

NVDA doing well??? Have you checked the price or the chart lately? First time I've seen it break support since Jan. 2023.

Is he good?, what did daily chart say?...

Dadgum if I know for sure...

Dadgum market makers for SPX, Nasdaq,

and NDX turned their backs on SMCI thru

the tough patch like those Democrats did

to Trump on Tuesday night...

Both are bad examples for younger generation...

Zelensky was a Gentlemen compared to

those Democrats on Tuesday night...

OK, enough of being a TV critic...

Hopefully the country can survive it...

SMCI needs more buy ratings...


so we watch...LJ

Watch this and smile

I believe between 640-680 million shares are out, between insiders and institutional investors 85% hold shares, so 15% is held is held by retail. Now this could be speculation, 105 million is short. I saw another post of yours earlier, I don't want you think that this will hit $NVDA market cap anytime, it has great fundamentals, but the business model is not as scalable as $NVDA. Personal price target is 200 dollars, it might take a year or even sooner if a squeeze takes place, 2 years from now, could be worth 300 dollars or more based on their 40 billion revenue projections and maybe even more if they are able to scale into different areas of AI than just servers and racks. One thing one needs to ask is how often these servers and racks need to be changed?

How many shares are being held and by who? I worry about the stock going way up again and getting caught in a downward sell off as it happened last time. I wonder what skeletons are in the closets as many seem to be lurking. On the other hand, maybe I worry too much. There is a powerful short position against smci. If it goes back down and I have some cash available likely to get more shares, but nvda is going to remain my main position due to safety.

Over 5.57 MILLION SHARES were traded into the bid at the closing bell, with a total premium of $218 MILLION. This is NOT normal.
📌 What This Means in some different scenarios

1️⃣ Hidden Short Covering?
• This kind of buying into the bid screams forced exit.
• No massive dark pool prints after the bell = Likely internalized liquidity clearing.
• If market makers were facilitating hidden covering, this is the first big crack.

2️⃣ Market Makers Resetting Synthetic Supply?
• These trades were CROSSTRADE + CLOSINGPRINT, meaning off-exchange balancing before a liquidity shift.
• This could be a sign they are getting ready to let it run.

3️⃣ If This Was a Fake Close, Expect a Big Move Up
• If this was true covering, price should gap up in pre-market.
• If this was just price suppression, expect a short-term dip, then a reversal.

📌 What’s Next?

📢 If SMCI holds $39-$40 tomorrow, this confirms the move was real.
📢 If it gaps up, shorts have lost more control.
📢 If bid-stacking starts early, expect a squeeze attempt.

This is worth over 80 with ease.

Even $60s would be a bargain. A good day!

bought a few shares to watch it closely, 65 makes you think. This could very well follow nvda which is now doing well, -no reason why it shouldn't be a very gold standard company, Both are matched together but nvda wont match the price increase of smci if it takes off again which is looking very likely.

https://x.com/morningbrew/status/1897038075878072820?s=42

Considering the rest of the market took a tariff dump at the end of the day (this after almost everything was green), SMCI did quite well. Might be clear skies to a revisit of the $66 we saw not so long ago.

There is speculation that SMCI is working on Stargate project along with Dell too.

A New Big Customer Emerges

Benzinga reports that $SMCI's latest filings show that a new customer (labeled as customer G) — is expected to gain significance in 2025.

This mystery customer is expected to account for 12% revenue contribution in the first quarter and 31% in the second quarter of 2025 (surpassing their current largest customer's contribution at 20%).

Every dip is getting gobbled up.

He doesn't have the power to do that. He can call for a congressional vote, but only them can authorize that. The market stock will do bad enough on its own without that being a concern in the near term.

Well the day's not over......but I wouldn't take anything from what its doing daily.

What if the clown in chief announces withdrawing from NATO tonight during his State of the Union Speech, what would be the implications on the general market tomorrow?

Appreciate your input and you may be right. For me, very telling that the stock is going up contrary to the rest of the market.

This will play out similar to $CVNA over time.

Not close enough.

It's not an exact science to predict where the stock will fall to, which is why I use approximates.
With that said, I don't see any indications yet that SMCI is done going down. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised now if the stock touches around $45.80 this week at some point. All pretty useless unless you're flipping this.
I think adding while the stock is bouncing is a gamble that I won't take.

Does the short squeeze started incase?

Just added more. Don't think we're going to see $32. Came close this morning.

Definitely interesting looking action..

Very encouraging to see it gaining some positive traction as most of the remaining financial markets drop.

Outstanding volume since the opening.

These are just announcements.  Let's see how many actually follow thru on these plans or if it's just lip service to our Presidente.....


<Here are just a few of the recent announcements>

SMCI down 10% premarket and turned when positive in a blink. Let's see if this holds throughout the day, State of Union Speech will drive this higher tomorrow hopefully.

The 10-year treasury yield. That's the focus.....

It's dropping even though the Fed isn't cutting rates.

Of course everything they do is for 5-10 years out, some do some screw up along the way, just like Junior Bush did.

They likely won't miss, maybe just one quarter of the whole fiscal year 2026, that 40 billion lofty price projection was a conservative estimate and can easily be attained, according to Charles. Either you take his word for it or you don't. So We Watch.