NIO Inc (NIO) Options

CATL with its recent RMB 2.5 billion investment in Nio Power, CATL is expected to gain a 25% stake in Nio's battery swapping business, becoming a significant shareholder reducing NIO’s revenue from NIO Power to 65%.
As other brands utilize the CATL/NIO battery standard NIO’s lower end vehicles will lose their BaaS market uniqueness.

This deal is a lose, lose, lose for NIO’s future revenue.

Mr Li, if you are reading this, get rid of the ugly, gross, disgusting square steering wheel. Must I tell you everything?

Captain Quint fights them off.
Who is that masker trader?

Shark attack. Manipulation continues

Have to admit. Damage Control was effective.

Ford EV Partner CATL Forms Battery Swapping Partnership With NIO

https://fordauthority.com/2025/03/ford-ev-partner-catl-forms-battery-swapping-partnership-with-nio/amp/

Li does not have a spending problem…

He has a math problem. 😂

Bottom has been in for months. It's been such a rough ride down from 60 that it's hard to see the bottom......even when your are sitting on it. I'm not selling either. I make some money or I lose it all and hate Li the rest of my life.

That math doesn't work....does it Frank? Tesla hasn't hit 2 million deliveries yet and they have been profitable for several years. To reach a 20% gross margin, a significant number of China new EV companies will need to fold. If NIO can hold on while one company a month drops out of competition, it may work out.

I'm with you Frank. I'm not here for the cars, I'm here for the battery swap. It's the only thing that makes sense for BEV's.

Guess we found the bottom. I thought this would be in the 3s

NIO and CATL merger is not out of the question to compete against the BYD business model.

They already have several established partnerships to expand battery technology and deliver it to more markets.

Plus…
NIO and CATL are Co-owners of:
BatterAsset Company - Leasing
Mirattery - Battery Asset Management
NIO Power - BatterSwap Station

Let this sink in.

NIO management believes annual sales of over 2 million vehicles and a 20% gross margin are necessary for long-term survival, they are targeting profitability by 2026 and expect to deliver around 440,000 vehicles in 2025

In 2023, Tesla delivered a record 1.81 million vehicles globally

A loss of $900,000,000 in just one Q....and that Q had great sales. What the actual #@$+ is the explanation for this Mr William, drunken sailor at a whore house, Li?

It's no wonder why the CFO left the company.

And… expanding in Europe. No fiscal responsibility in sight.
I guarantee you the Battery Asset Company and Mirattery isn’t suffering massive losses. NIO is paying them prime $$$ for their services.
Now he is selling off NIO Power to CATL. The billions he has pissed away could have been used to fund a NIO fully owned battery asset and battery asset management division of NIO. NIO will benefit little from the BaaS battery supply and management services.

440 WAS MY ENTRY POINT, SIMPLY GREAT CARS.

CBU is NIO’s new Cash Burn Unit 😂

Earnings call… they remain clueless.

Beach Ball Bounce… nothing but air.

😂 no more buying if the drunken sailor continues to sell off NIO’s stake in the BaaS companies.
I didn’t buy NIO because of their EVs.
My outlook was three years for BaaS to pay off.

NIO Inc’s stake in BaaS is shrinking
NIO Power 90% soon to be closer to 50%
Battery Asset Company 25%
Miattery 19%

I suspect if NiO’s autonomous driving proves to be of value he will form new management companies and sell them off too.

Your buying opportunity will present itself shortly after the bell.

Is the lions share of BaaS revenue going to the Battery Asset Company and Mirattery partners? Hidden…

Has the drunken sailor hit bottom? If he did it is too late for Q1 2025. The current Q won’t be any different.

Was the ET9 Opening Test Drive Day a dud?

Number of batteries to account for 20 GWh for BaaS owned by the Battery Asset Company.

1GWh = 1,000,000 kWh
100 kWh battery average per EV (estimated)
3100 Power Swap Stations
15 batteries average per station (estimated)

20GWh /100kWh = 200,000 EV batteries
46,500 batteries in swap stations (estimated)
153,500 BaaS Subscriptions (estimated)

Can Li even survive yet another horrible ER? Does anyone know if he can be removed by a board.... Chinese government.....large investor??

He really needs to go.

No reason other than still being heavily manipulated

BYD was going to Mexico. China stopped them for fear of the USA stealing their technology.
The world is tilting back to the east.

Should Canada ease its 100% tariff on electric vehicles from China amid trade war with the U.S.?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/canada-china-electric-vehicles-1.7486204
Canada may be re-visiting the 100% tariff on Chinese EV's.

If NIO continues selling its Battery Asset Company and NIO Power percentage of ownership their future earnings will be severely diminished.
My investment in NIO is based on Battery Swap and the BaaS model… not their vehicles.

The amount of revenue NIO will generate from these partnerships is impossible to determine. Everyone wants a piece of the most valuable assets NIO is creating.

CATL to up its bet on Mirattery, Nio's battery asset operator, report says.
https://cnevpost.com/author/zhang/

The hype and tripe preemptive damage control put out by the company leading up to earnings isn’t a good sign either.
The NIO/CATL alliance was formed in 2020 with the Battery Assets Company. “CATL is currently advancing an investment capped at RMB 2.5 billion in NIO Power,..” The word capped is key. Meaning there is no set minimum.

Friday earnings always give me the shivers.

Companies are known to announce missed earnings on high distraction days to lessen the impact on the PPS.
Tripping Witching appears to be a day of many distractions.

Who is John Galt?
Hopefully they don't worry about the day to day price of the stock and focus on the long term.

Why would NIO choose a triple witching day to release earnings?

Triple witching tomorrow with massive options expiration.

I noticed that too. I have been looking for the last hour for an explanation. 🤷‍♂️
Algorithms?
These days… Fundamentals mean very little in the short term.

Why is the market angry this morning?

Giving all the margin away. Li at his dumbest yet again.

What does this indicate about sales?

Nio has upgraded the benefits package for ET9 buyers. The “Worry-Free Power” benefit previously offered 20 free battery swaps per year for five years. It now provides six free swaps per month for ten years. The “Worry-Free Smart Travel” benefit initially included five years of free NOP+ (Nio Pilot Plus) full-domain navigation-assisted driving. This has also been extended to ten years.

These enhancements are in addition to existing benefits. These include three years of all-scenario driver service and three years of ET9 business travel pick-up and drop-off service. Customers get five years of free maintenance and vehicle pick-up/delivery for maintenance. Lifetime free on-site tire repair and roadside assistance are included. The vehicle comes with a six-year/150,000 km warranty. The electric powertrain has a ten-year unlimited mileage warranty. The total value of these benefits is stated to exceed 200,000 yuan (27,800 USD).

I was hoping the PPS would remain above $5.00 going into tomorrow’s Q4 release. If we don’t…chances are we see sub $4.00 again

Thanks for the information👍

Did you notice no timeline was given for construction of the first CATL/NIO charging station or EV compatible development?

The tale of two philosophies…
Cater to customer needs. BYD
Tell the customer what they need. NIO

Common in the restaurant business.
Providing a service that caters to the owner’s desires and needs. NIO
And…Are dumbfounded when hardly anyone ever returns to the restaurant. It is always the customers fault for not returning or eating at the restaurant. They don’t stay in business very long.

Providing a service that caters to the customer’s desire and needs. BYD

I believe that gen4 SS have solar roofs that provide free charging for four swaps a day.

Power grid overload created by EV charging.
Everyone is saying the power grid can handle the growing demand. Everyone except the power companies. How will power companies respond to the increasing demand.

Existing grid infrastructure are not designed to handle the sudden and substantial increase in electricity demand from widespread EV charging

Peak hour quick charging increases the risk of grid overload and potential outages.

BYD is now planning on installing battery terminals at charging stations to manage grid overload. Cost?

Solutions
NIO✔️ BYD❌
Implementing smart charging systems that can distribute charging demand across different times of the day.

NIO✔️ BYD❌
Expanding capacity and improving distribution networks

NIO✔️ BYD❌
V2G technology allows EVs to not only draw power from the grid but also to feed power back

NIO✔️ BYD❌
Charge during off-peak hours energy storage units to contribute to grid stability

NIO✔️ BYD❌
Provide Virtual Power Plant grid services

NIO✔️ BYD❌
Swap stations can store energy during off-peak hours

NIO✔️ BYD❌
Provide frequency regulation services, ensuring the grid operates at the correct frequency

NIO✔️ BYD❌
Wholesale electricity trading to reduce costs

I'll admit that I dont know how Chinese public companies operate at the executive level, but if Li were in America, the board would have removed him long ago.

I think his behavior as of late is simply pre Q4 damage control. His ego can only be dealt with by others. I hope, after the failure of Firefly, those that can, will remove him. He seems to have NPD.

The day of Li’s free money are over.
NIO Power is the only value Li has left to offer. What percentage of NIO will CATL acquire? The Government put up about $50 million for 5%. CATL will probably get %35-40? The Chinese government is about ready to hang him by his balls. What Li is doing is a matter of his survival… not just NIO’s.

If Q4 numbers are terrible, I'm going to join the rest of the disgruntled investors and insist that Li be replaced with a competent CEO that doesn't use other people's money to massage his giant ego.

I expect an ET9 announcement on pre orders and order numbers. Possibly the same with Firefly for Q4 Damage control.

Will NIO see low $4s again? Definitely a possibility.

NIO ET9 test drives in China start March 20

Match made in heaven: Here is all we know about CATL-Nio battery swap partnership
https://carnewschina.com/2025/03/19/match-made-in-heaven-here-is-all-we-know-about-catl-nio-battery-swap-partnership/

Q4 damage control: NIO ET9 test drives start tomorrow, March 20th, 2025, with deliveries expected to start at the end of the month

NIO ET9 test drives in China start March 20

NIO
#ET9
Every detail in place. The curtain rises. The pinnacle journey begins.
NIO ET9 test drives in China start March 20.
#NIO #BlueSkyComing #ET9