ADVFN Logo ADVFN

Trending Now

Toplists

It looks like you aren't logged in.
Click the button below to log in and view your recent history.

Hot Features

Registration Strip Icon for smarter Trade smarter, not harder: Unleash your inner pro with our toolkit and live discussions.
NVIDIA Corporation

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

127.05
-3.23
( -2.48% )
Updated: 10:10:46

Calls

StrikeBid PriceAsk PriceLast PriceMidpointChangeChange %VolumeOPEN INTLast Trade
117.0014.0514.1513.9514.10-1.53-9.88 %571,07109:35:31
118.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
119.0012.5512.6512.4512.60-1.25-9.12 %361,42709:35:23
120.0011.8011.9011.7511.85-1.20-9.27 %20619,57509:35:41
121.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
122.0010.4510.5510.4010.50-1.10-9.57 %2953,86509:35:04
123.009.809.909.809.85-1.05-9.68 %1673,40309:35:36
124.009.159.259.149.20-1.08-10.57 %2283,98209:35:31
125.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
126.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
127.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
128.006.907.006.906.95-0.95-12.10 %7095,51609:35:31
129.006.406.506.456.45-0.85-11.64 %1,1484,44509:35:47
130.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
131.005.455.555.405.50-0.80-12.90 %6296,86109:35:41
132.005.055.105.055.075-0.73-12.63 %59310,83009:35:47
133.004.604.704.614.65-0.69-13.02 %32310,01109:35:31
134.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
135.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
136.003.503.603.533.55-0.62-14.94 %31310,08709:35:45

Real-time discussions and trading ideas: Trade with confidence with our powerful platform.

Puts

StrikeBid PriceAsk PriceLast PriceMidpointChangeChange %VolumeOPEN INTLast Trade
117.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
118.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
119.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
120.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
121.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
122.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
123.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
124.004.104.204.154.150.348.92 %4844,95309:35:46
125.004.504.604.614.550.368.47 %2,56432,82909:35:39
126.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
127.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
128.005.855.955.905.900.478.66 %1,45615,05809:35:45
129.006.306.406.366.350.437.25 %1,8229,22509:35:47
130.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
131.007.407.507.607.450.7210.47 %39615,18309:35:29
132.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
133.008.558.658.708.600.749.30 %1427,66709:35:35
134.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
135.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-
136.000.000.000.000.000.000.00 %00-

Movers

View all
  • Most Active
  • % Gainers
  • % Losers
SymbolPriceVol.
SXTCChina SXT Pharmaceuticals Inc
$ 3.9695
(372.56%)
221.37k
WAFUWah Fu Education Group Ltd
$ 5.86
(227.37%)
71.65M
ONVOOrganovo Holdings Inc
$ 1.17
(217.07%)
131.61M
FMTOFemto Technologies Inc
$ 6.71
(87.60%)
30.94M
LVTXLAVA Therapeutics NV
$ 1.39
(47.87%)
9.11M
YYAIConnexa Sports Technologies Inc
$ 0.7263
(-42.81%)
3.08M
ATPCAgape ATP Corporation
$ 1.0075
(-37.03%)
932.03k
DGNXDiginex Ltd
$ 48.00
(-30.78%)
54.8k
CLNEClean Energy Fuels Corp
$ 1.905
(-29.70%)
2.75M
FGENFibroGen Inc
$ 0.4211
(-27.42%)
1.92M
ONVOOrganovo Holdings Inc
$ 1.17
(217.07%)
131.61M
WAFUWah Fu Education Group Ltd
$ 5.86
(227.37%)
71.65M
NVDANVIDIA Corporation
$ 126.725
(-2.73%)
57.49M
DMNDamon Inc
$ 0.366
(20.43%)
55.51M
BREABrera Holdings PLC
$ 0.8286
(31.25%)
50.12M

NVDA Discussion

View Posts
makinezmoney makinezmoney 6 minutes ago
$NVDA: Gave you this SWEET-GIFT yesterday.......................


And what do you know........... prem just moved from 1.85 yesterday at first mention to now $4.25 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=175851610


2x BAGGER babbbyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy


CHA CHINGGGGGGGGG.... wuz my name ?


GO $NVDA puts
👍️0
Jetmek_03052 Jetmek_03052 12 minutes ago
Every Mag 7 stock is down this morning. Some quite a bit more than NVDA. Once again, the market doesn't like consumer sentiment, doesn't like tariffs, doesn't like curbs on exports to China. This has ZERO to do with NVDA fundamentals. This is market driven.

Doesn't make it any easier to witness, but it's not caused by anything NVDA is doing or not doing.
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 19 minutes ago
With the current large sell volume and negative pricing, I'd say this is a sell off. Therefore I'm not sure any type of bottom can be projected. I would expect this to continue over the next 2-3 weeks without some type of very positive news. Analysts hyping their estimates isn't going to offer much help. They've been wrong so far. Only one analyst hit the the SP high with accuracy. A few of the others are starting to move out their timing which isn't a good sign either. At some point there's a good buy in point but only on a short term basis.
👍️0
tw0122 tw0122 33 minutes ago
$NVDS $25 + 5% still rules Take it as far down as possible before earnings $123 is a definite next support level. Some more timber to satisfy 
The Wall Street game 
👍️0
rolvram rolvram 6 hours ago
When the cleanup is done the future is bright. You're currently looking at buying opportunities for Nvidia and others imho
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 8 hours ago
I wouldn't call a low during one day a bottom. The after hours is sinking fast. Now down over $2 and still dropping. Could change prior to opening but doubtful.
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 8 hours ago
That isn't what the last two Q's indicated. Even though they exceeded both revs and EPS estimates the SP dropped. The market expects what I believe to be a no win situation. There is no way the current or' most recent Q's can/could come up with what the market expects to see. We are not under the same situation that happened at the beginning of 2024. So you are partly right but the market expects more than meeting or slightly exceeding estimates. Most other companies such beats would have a positive effect on SP but not with Nvidia.
👍️0
JJ8 JJ8 10 hours ago
The unfolding chaos in the nation is becoming a serious threat to the health of the US Economy. A Bear market seems to be starting.

Nvidia's good ER can not be expected to cover larger political and economic serious challenges right now. Too many serious problems.

Let's hope you are right.

Whatever will be will be.

The future is not ours to see.
👍️ 1 😔 1
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 12 hours ago
Chinese firms boost Nvidia H20 chip orders amid DeepSeek AI boom- Reuters
By: Investing.com | February 24, 2025

Chinese tech giants are significantly increasing orders for Nvidia’s H20 artificial intelligence chips, driven by soaring demand for DeepSeek’s low-cost AI models, Reuters reported on Tuesday citing sources familiar with the matter.

Tencent (HK:0700), Alibaba (HK:9988), and ByteDance have notably ramped up purchases of the H20 — a chip tailored for China to comply with U.S. export controls — as DeepSeek’s models gain traction globally, the Reuters report stated.

These companies, which also offer cloud computing services, are leveraging the chips both for internal needs and to support customers accessing AI tools, Reuters reported.

The surge extends beyond major tech firms. Smaller companies in healthcare and education are acquiring AI servers equipped with DeepSeek’s models and Nvidia’s H20 chips, a shift from previous trends where such high-powered systems were mainly used by financial and telecom firms, according to the report.

The H20 remains the primary chip Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is allowed to sell in China following tightened regulations in late 2023. Analysts estimate Nvidia shipped around 1 million H20 units in 2024, generating over $12 billion in revenue, the report said.

While concerns over potential further U.S. curbs loom, the report stated that DeepSeek’s rapid rise — not geopolitical tensions — is the key driver behind the surge in orders.

Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍️ 1
cadillacdave cadillacdave 14 hours ago
Nice call. You nailed it!
👍️0
PennyWorld PennyWorld 15 hours ago
The impact on PPS will be 98% driven by the earning report this Wednesday. It is what it is.
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 16 hours ago
I doubt tomorrow will be any better than today. Also I don't expect much from Jensen regarding forward looking assessments. I don't think there will be any issues regarding analyst estimate but most likely not enough to make a difference in the downward trend. As far a Q1 goes, I think that will be a problem. Blackwell sales aren't going to be anywhere near what people think. But doubtful Jensen will have anything to say or if he does, will be sketchy.
👍️ 2
makinezmoney makinezmoney 19 hours ago
$NVDA: $120 wkly puts for Friday are gonna PAY

Just killed it on $META puts last week.

$NVDA earnings on the way this week.................. not gonna be enough to hold it up.

Get positioned in $NVDA $120 wkly puts for this week and get paid.

Take your wife out to a REALLY nice romantic dinner to Del Friscos and order a Louis 13th and thank me while you're enjoying it.
And if you have a lil left over, hoook yo boy up with a full on iHUB subscription.

PEACE !!!!!!!!!!!

👍️ 2 😱 1 🤌 1 🥰 1
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 19 hours ago
Good report, very objective, no BS, and to the point.
👍️0
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 19 hours ago
$NVDA has the most bearish flow today, sorted for premium
By: Cheddar Flow | February 24, 2025

• $NVDA has the most bearish flow today, sorted for premium.



Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 20 hours ago
This article gives a good indication as to what is currently happening.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hedge-funds-exit-tech-media-132803179.html
👍️0
JJ8 JJ8 20 hours ago
As of today, Nvidia share price is still in High Pole Warning mode since 21-Feb-2025.

Not a good sign, imo. The message is negative from a technical perspective. BLTA
👍️ 1 😛 1
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 21 hours ago
$NVDA $2.7 Million OTM Put (Highly Unusual) This expires next week and was executed at the ask
By: Cheddar Flow | February 24, 2025

• $NVDA $2.7M OTM Put (Highly Unusual)

This expires next week and was executed at the ask.



Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍️0
fwb fwb 21 hours ago
Let Just say it will TRADE HIGHER than
what it is TRADING for today
👍️0
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 23 hours ago
Fri’s Big Selloff Appears Before NVDA’s Earnings Results Due Wed, With Stock Suffering Rejection In Jan At Nov High
By: Hedgopia | February 24, 2025

• Last Friday’s sudden selloff in equities speaks of heightened investor nerves. Amidst this, NVDA, the poster child of the AI revolution and the associated tech rally, reports this Wednesday; ahead of this, there are subtle signs of distribution. An adverse reaction to its results will reverberate through the stock market.



Friday’s sellers could be vindicated if Nvidia’s (NVDA) results draw an adverse reaction. The $3.3-trillion company – second only to Apple’s (AAPL) leading $3.7-trillion market cap – reports its January quarter on Wednesday.

NVDA is expected to bring home $0.85 in earnings per share, with the estimates remaining unchanged for at least the past three months. Its shares peaked three months ago at $152.88 on November 21. That high was unsuccessfully tested with a fresh high of $153.13 on January 7, with a massive reversal ending the session at $140.14. The subsequent selloff ended on the 3rd this month with a low of $113.01. Last Tuesday, the stock ticked $143.44 but finished the week lower 3.3 percent to $134.43. Tuesday’s high was rejected at a falling trendline from last November’s high (Chart 2).

This is taking place at a time when the 50-day ($134.56), which went sideways for five weeks before trending lower, seems to want to drop toward the 200-day at $125.82.

For the bulls, even if Wednesday’s results are received well, and the stock rallies, $153 likely offers strong resistance, as those that did not sell previously treat this as an opportunity to unload.

Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍️ 1
Jetmek_03052 Jetmek_03052 23 hours ago
Analyst reworks Nvidia stock price target with Q4 earnings on deck

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/topstocks/analyst-reworks-nvidia-stock-price-target-with-q4-earnings-on-deck/ar-AA1zGAbH?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=47de2b16e8684e93a7613e277c74dcbe&ei=9

Mosesmann, who reiterated his buy rating and $220 price target on Nvidia stock in a note published Monday, expects a "modest beat and raise for Nvidia's January quarter and March quarter outlook versus consensus estimates."

LSEG data suggest analysts expect April-quarter revenue in the region of $41.75 billion, a tally that suggests a slower, but still impressive, 60% growth rate. Data-center sales are expected to rise 65% to $37.21 billion.

Nvidia is set up well for 2025 - Rosenblatt analyst
"We continue to view the setup in (calendar year 2025) positively for Nvidia, with a strong Blackwell ramp that is resilient to unit share losses to GPU and ASIC accelerator players," Mosesmann said.

"Nvidia's roadmap ([for] which we expect an update at GTC in March) is one of increasing value that is highly complex with multiple configurations," he added. GTC is Nvidia's Global Technology Conference in San Jose, Calif., March 17 to 21.
👍️0
Jetmek_03052 Jetmek_03052 23 hours ago
Nasdaq down pretty good, consumer confidence report out is driving it and the S&P lower. All the Mag 7 stocks are getting hit. NVDA (down 1.67%) is actually holding up well in comparison (while I write this at least). Tesla down 2.52%, META down 2,23%, AVGO down 2.73%.

This is all about the market drop and has ZERO to do with NVDA fundamentals.
👍 1
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 24 hours ago
It's got more to go. The news of Microsoft cutting back even though it was mentioned they are counting more on Chat with Stargate. (which I'm still not convinced it will actually happen), the news of MS cutting back threw another wrench into Nvidia.
👍️0
tw0122 tw0122 1 day ago
Mision complete $131 bottom hit 
👍 3
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 1 day ago
Microsoft has canceled some leases for data centers . Story states they may have more capacity than needed for AI.
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/microsoft-cancels-leases-ai-data-055952585.html
👍️0
1jas 1jas 1 day ago
I only have a little over a million shares. I did purchase it at a higher price than it is now at an all time low. But it is a penny stock and right now $300.00 will get you 1mil shares It is too cheap for me to turn down with Nvda Dell in on it and could be the next penny runner. I haven't looked at HP for a while now so I'll go look at them. I don't know about the future Nvda always seems to be in on the future. If you want more info about Affu just ask anyone on that message board there a good bunch of people It's not a pumper/basher board.
👍️0
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 2 days ago
$NVDA - After closing above the 20 week MA last week it closed the week below it this week. I expect a bullish reaction to earnings on Wednesday though I'm not sure it will be enough for a new all time high.
By: CyclesFan | February 23, 2025

• $NVDA - After closing above the 20 week MA last week it closed the week below it this week. I expect a bullish reaction to earnings on Wednesday though I'm not sure it will be enough for a new all time high.



Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 2 days ago
Did view the video. Interesting. How much AFFU stock do you have? I did read about Dell and that was interesting. Is it your feeling Dell along with HP are the future for Nvidia? I'm not sure how it will pan out in the long run. I do know I hate google Gemini for search.
👍️0
1jas 1jas 2 days ago
Google is Nvda Corp involved in smart city projects with Dell tech and if your interested you can go to Affu message board and a person alias Old stocks posted a video of some of the development / construction going on. It's worth a look. NVDA will get stronger yet.
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 2 days ago
All I know from what was reported from sources (even Nvidia) demand for Blackwell in data centers was not near projections and they have a surplus which is now being used in their gaming cards. So the data centers are AI and the gaming cards are different applications. Now they are counting on Rubin for the data centers.
👍️0
1jas 1jas 2 days ago
Never count Nvda out of anything. Nvda has a partnership with the Dell and Onemind tech for the smart city project called THE LINE NEOM in neom It's Massive. Look it up Nvda, Dell, and Affluence AFFU will soar.
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 2 days ago
Looks like the market expects further decline in Nvidia SP. Blackwell hasn't been the success everyone thought it would be. Now the analysts are saying wait for the GB300 Rubin. With Nvidia estimates are being pushed out. No they're talking more about 2026 for a recovery in SP.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidia-earnings-why-investors-should-brace-for-more-volatility-191357412.html
👍️0
doc2016 doc2016 3 days ago
can they create cuprates on the old twister copper insitu? chatgpt says, "
Copper, in its pure form, is not a superconductor. Even at extremely low temperatures, it retains electrical resistance and does not exhibit superconducting properties. This is because copper lacks certain characteristics necessary for superconductivity, such as hole conductivity and appropriate electron pairing mechanisms.
PHYSICSFORUMS.COM

However, certain copper-oxide compounds, known as cuprates, do exhibit superconductivity at higher temperatures compared to traditional superconductors. These high-temperature superconductors, discovered in 1986, are ceramics composed of layers of copper and oxygen atoms. The superconducting behavior in these materials is believed to be driven by interactions between electrons and the magnetic fields of nearby atoms, leading to the formation of Cooper pairs that can move without resistance.
ENERGY.GOV
NEWS.CORNELL.EDU"

Regarding the magnetization of copper, applying a magnetic field to pure copper does not induce superconductivity. Superconductors inherently expel magnetic fields—a phenomenon known as the Meissner effect—whereas copper does not exhibit this behavior.
ANL.GOV

In summary, while pure copper is not a superconductor and magnetizing it does not confer superconducting properties, certain copper-based compounds, specifically cuprates, are known to be high-temperature superconductors due to their unique structural and electronic characteristics.
👍️0
Oleblue Oleblue 3 days ago
PsiQuantum to Build Giant Quantum Computers

👍️0
Dallas-Cowboys Dallas-Cowboys 3 days ago
Below is a article about Jensen talking about Deepseek . I actually watched the video on YouTube do a search Beyond Artificial it is over an hour long Jensen is at the end maybe 10 minutes or so 

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidia-ceo-jensen-huang-says-203600486.html

👍️ 2
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 4 days ago
If you're talking about my posts, then you're the one whose never been right since june of 2024. You're batting zero. I post my sources and you post BS. Deepseek isn't the issue. Analysts missed on 2024 and so far they've been wrong on 2025. As a matter of fact one analyst has moved his target out to 2026. It's so obvious you do very little research. I've offered you a chance to make a bet. You and your sorry peanut gallery haven't been close on anything. Grow up and learn to read.
🤣 1 🫣 1
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 4 days ago
$NVDA $10.6 Million Calls Print
By: Cheddar Flow | February 21, 2025

• $NVDA & $IWM Bullish Prints.



Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍 1
tw0122 tw0122 4 days ago
NVDA $135.16 Well you were warned ..pullback today $133.57 bottom and Monday stops at $131.14. 

Just a quick cleansing for now NVDS rules $22.64 +5.65% 
👍️ 2
JJ8 JJ8 4 days ago
Nvidia share price High Pole Warning on 21-Feb-2025.
Right, it looks like a short setup. Given the political situation and the markets,
I think not much supports anything positive for share price no matter if ER is good.
👍️ 2
Jetmek_03052 Jetmek_03052 4 days ago
I don’t know why you continue to highlight this guy. He’s been predicting an NVDA crash for months because of this or that.

The only thing that caused an actual large pull back was the DeepSeek news. And it’s just about fully recovered from that.

He’s been wrong on NVDA pretty much every time he predicts a big movement.

Guys a quack.
👍️ 2 🤕 1
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 4 days ago
NVIDIA Breakdown Incoming?
By: Peter DiCarlo | February 21, 2025

• NVIDIA Breakdown Incoming?

I almost never trade puts—especially on a stock trending up—but $NVDA looks like a textbook short setup.

The weekly trend is still bullish, but every bounce keeps making lower highs & lower lows.

We’ve been watching $140 as the bearish smart money zone, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a trap.

Earnings are in a few days, so I’m staying out, but a retest of $110 wouldn’t shock me.



Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍️0
ShawnP123 ShawnP123 4 days ago
I read a recent article which stated Nvidia's demand for Blackwell GB200 isn't reaching their expectations and they are using TSMC's capacity to scale up more for the gaming industry.
👍️0
4retire 4retire 4 days ago
This is what is wrong in believing what the Chinese say……they developed this with $5 million when they have a billion in AI hardware. The Chinese probably shorted NVDA with this BS and profited handsomely.

“However, DeepSeek's "low-training" costs were only a FUD, and it was reported that DeepSeek employs well over $1 billion in AI hardware, showing that the firm, too, needs massive computing power.”
👍️ 1
rolvram rolvram 4 days ago
NVIDIA’s CEO Jensen Huang Addresses The “DeepSeek Fiasco” For The First Time; Says Investors “Overreacted” & “Got It All Wrong”
Muhammad Zuhair

Feb 21, 2025 at 08:31am EST


NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang has publicly addressed China's DeepSeek for the first time, claiming that the investors overreacted and got the "paradigm wrong."

NVIDIA's CEO Believes DeepSeek's AI Achievement Is Massive For The Markets, Appreciating Their Open-Source Models
The release of DeepSeek's R1 AI models was a massive milestone for the AI markets, but for Team Green, it was an ugly day. The firm saw a whopping $600 billion decline in market value, with Jensen losing over 20% of his net worth, clearly showing investors weren't happy with DeepSeek's achievement. However, in the latest interview with DDN, NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang has expressed excitement towards DeepSeek's milestone and, at the same time, believes that investors' perception of AI markets went wrong.

From an investor perspective, there was a mental model that the world was pre-training and then inference. And inference was: you ask an AI a question, and you instantly got an answer. I don't know whose fault it is, but obviously that paradigm is wrong.

It is so incredibly exciting. The energy around the world as a result of R1 becoming open-sourced, incredible.

For those who still aren't aware of why the stock sell-off got triggered, the news around DeepSeek's R1 being trained for around $5 million raised the perception that the demand for AI computing power is artificial in the markets. However, DeepSeek's "low-training" costs were only a FUD, and it was reported that DeepSeek employs well over $1 billion in AI hardware, showing that the firm, too, needs massive computing power.

NVIDIA Blackwell GB200 Powers The Latest A4 VMs At Microsoft Azure, 2.25x Higher Compute & HBM Capacity 1
However, one area where DeepSeek managed to tap into is having robust "open-sourced" AI models, which means that developers can join in to enhance the product further, and it allows organizations and individuals to fine-tune the AI model however they like, allowing it to run on localized AI environments and tapping into hardware resources with the best efficiency. Prior to DeepSeek, the perception was general against open-sourcing models, mainly due to the fact that OpenAI drove the hype.

All eyes are on NVIDIA's upcoming earnings call, which is slated for February 26. The call will likely give us insight into how big of a hit the firm has seen on profitability rates following the DeepSeek fiasco and recent Blackwell AI product issues. However, it is safe to say that with competition from DeepSeek, it is certain that demand for computing power is all around NVIDIA.
👍️ 2
DiscoverGold DiscoverGold 4 days ago
Today Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) is the best performer in the DJIA
By: Thom Hartle | February 21, 2025

• Today (8:36 CST), the best performer in the $DJIA is NVIDIA Corp. $NVDA.



Read Full Story »»»

DiscoverGold
👍️0
rolvram rolvram 4 days ago
Michael Del Monte4.37K Followers
Play(9min)
SummaryNvidia's q4'25 earnings have a strong potential to outperform driven by strong data center growth and hyperscalers' continued investment in compute capacity.Hyperscalers' total capital investments may grow by nearly 40% in CY25 to $313b; investments will primarily go towards compute and data centers.The release of DeepSeek-V3 models emphasizes the need for AI model optimization; I do not believe this will directly translate to lower demand for GPUs.Enterprises are expected to bring GenAI into production in CY25, driving the need for data center computing capacity.
J StudiosNvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to report q4’25 earnings on February 26, 2025, after market close. With the recent news of the release of the DeepSeek-V3 models emerging, the market has been questioning the viability of the growth trajectory for compute capacity, potentially leading to a paradigm shift in investments for Nvidia’s GPUs. Despite the narrative, I believe two important factors emerged from this. The first is that we are in the phase of model optimization, leading to more efficient compute. The second is that compute capacity still needs to scale to meet enterprise demand, as denoted by the hyperscalers’ investment outlays. Given the optimistic spend outlay, I am reiterating my BUY rating for NVDA shares with a price target of $234/share at 28x eFY26 price/sales.The Case For NvidiaThe recent release of DeepSeek-V3 GenAI models took the market by storm, leading the investment community to question the viability of the high level of compute costs associated with running existing models. Though DeepSeek may not be the gold standard of AI models in terms of performance, the application advanced down the cost curve beyond any competing model, pushing the cost of compute to a new low.One of the factors that might need to be considered is scalability. The theme across the hyperscalers’ earnings performance has slightly changed from: “Demand continues to outstrip supply.” The new theme is that growth is constrained by their ability to build data centers and deliver compute capacity. Though these two statements are similar, they are somewhat different.Each of the hyperscalers addresses the concern that DeepSeek (DEEPSEEK) brought to the market and welcomed the model with open arms. In fact, Microsoft and Amazon are all hosting DeepSeek R1 on their respective platforms. Though it may have been a positive spin on disruptive news, the general theme across the hyperscalers was that DeepSeek isn’t necessarily going to disrupt the need for additional compute capacity. The primary conclusion was that DeepSeek’s models are seen as the next phase in AI inferencing, in which models will need to be optimized to function more efficiently. Though the release of DeepSeek’s models may bring forward some concerns relating to scaling compute capacity, I do not believe the existing data center footprint is developed to the point of turning to economies of scope. If anything, I expect that the emergence of these models will ignite the necessity of domestic AI developers to accelerate growth and development to maintain their leadership in AI.As for building a case for investing in Nvidia, not a single hyperscaler reduced its capital outlay for compute and data centers. Borrowing a chart from my recent report covering Alphabet, growth in cloud computing remains strong across the hyperscalers.Corporate ReportsWhat’s most impressive is the capital outlay. On a trailing twelve-month basis, the 3 CSPs invested $186b in expanding their compute capacity.Looking ahead to eCY25, I’m forecasting the capital outlay to grow by nearly 40% on a year-over-year basis, up from $225b. Beyond eCY25, I’m anticipating that growth will normalize and level out at this heightened rate.Corporate ReportsIt should be noted that these figures are my expectations alone. Beyond eCY25, the estimates are based on the 24% CAGR estimate for data centers through 2028. Meta Platforms (META) has suggested a range of $60-65b for eFY25, Microsoft (MSFT) guided that q2’25 set the tone for the e2h25 capital outlay, Amazon (AMZN) set the pace of at least $100b for eFY25, and Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) is expecting to deploy $75b in eFY25.Unless demand for compute capacity softens, the hyperscalers have no plans to slow down investing in new capacity. Management has made clear that capital deployed will remain dependent on the demand environment.Driving this further, Oracle Corp. (ORCL) is partnering with OpenAI in Project Stargate, a $500b project for advancing AI in the US. Oracle alone has pinned 100 data centers for future development, with a site as large as 1.60GW in capacity.In the physical AI space, Tesla recently completed its 50,000 H100 cluster at its Gigafactory Texas facility in Austin that will be utilized for autonomous driving. Elon Musk suggested that the compute capacity for developing its Optimus humanoid robot will need to be 10x larger in order to properly develop a fully autonomous, general-purpose robot.One major factor that must be considered is the infancy of AI at the workplace. Gartner is forecasting GenAI to move beyond the proof-of-concept phase and into production in 2025. Gartner is also forecasting server sales to triple from 2023 to 2028. Though much of the growth may be tied to the CPU server refresh cycle, I anticipate that a good proportion of the growth will be tied to GPUs.Nvidia Financial PositionCorporate ReportsI’m forecasting top-line growth to remain strong at 73% on a year-over-year basis, bringing total revenue to $38b with an adjusted EPS of $0.85/share. This will be driven by an 84% year-over-year growth rate for its Data Center segment following the ramp-up realized in FY24. Though I’m forecasting growth to begin tapering in eFY26 relative to rates experienced in 2h24-1h25, I believe growth will remain durable given the high levels of investment anticipated by the hyperscalers and enterprises.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported exceptional strength in its Client segment, growing by 58% in q4'24 on a year-over-year basis. This may potentially act as a precursor for Nvidia going into eq4’25.Risks Related To NvidiaBull CaseCapital investments by the hyperscalers geared towards growing compute capacity remain durable and growing for eCY25. Enterprise use of GenAI remains a novel experience, potentially leading to a larger upswing in demand for compute capacity to support AI inferencing. Nvidia may also realize growth in its Gaming segment as more workloads are executed at the edge.Bear CaseGrowth may begin to taper sooner than expected if demand for Nvidia’s GPUs doesn’t remain as robust as anticipated. If the hyperscalers begin pulling back on their capital outlay, Nvidia’s growth may slow.Valuation & Shareholder ValueCorporate ReportsNVDA shares continue to trade at a significant premium to its peer semiconductor designers.Seeking AlphaI believe NVDA shares’ trading premium is justified given the company’s high-growth trajectory as well as its industry-leading profitability.Seeking AlphaSeeking AlphaUsing an internal valuation model based on my revenue forecast and NVDA shares’ historical trading premiums, I am reiterating my BUY rating for NVDA shares with a price target of $234/share at 28x eFY26 price/sales.Corporate ReportsUsing the model: the valuation table above references my financial forecast in the firm’s “financial position” section and ties it to the stock’s historical trading premiums. The trading premium array is derived through the normal operating cycle, with the blue-sky scenario being the stock’s peak multiple and the gray-sky scenario being the lowest point. The target multiple aims for the midpoint, or the most likely trading range for the company’s stock. The trading multiples from there are set to a probability factor based on the likelihood of the stock trading at that premium based on its historical presence. From there, the trading multiple is tied to the probability factor to derive its relative market cap and relative multiple.
👍️ 1
Dallas-Cowboys Dallas-Cowboys 5 days ago
Mostly amateurs 
👍️ 2
Jetmek_03052 Jetmek_03052 5 days ago
Seeking Alpha? It’s the worst.
👍️0
EnchantedTitan62 EnchantedTitan62 5 days ago
Thank you for your input as well. I'm not a tech guy, thanks to the both of you. 🍷
👍️0
EnchantedTitan62 EnchantedTitan62 5 days ago
Thank you kindly, much appreciated. 🍷
👍️0

Your Recent History

Delayed Upgrade Clock