Production Problems Propping Up North Sea Oil Prices
May 13 2011 - 3:21PM
Dow Jones News
Production problems at a North Sea oil field are propping up
prices in the region, which plays a central role in setting the
cost of crude worldwide.
About 400,000 barrels a day of North Sea crude are expected to
be delivered via BP PLC's (BP) Forties pipeline in June, down
nearly 20% from an earlier estimate. Traders linked the reduced
volume to ongoing problems at the Buzzard field, which has fallen
short of its normal output of 200,000 barrels a day this year while
operator Nexen Inc. (NXY) performs maintenance and starts up a new
platform.
Unexpected declines in Buzzard's production tend to have
far-reaching effects in the global oil market. The field's oil gets
mixed into the Forties blend, which in turn is the biggest
component of benchmark Brent crude, against which more than half of
the world's oil supply is priced. Brent's chief rival, U.S.
benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude, is suffering supply
problems of its own, as a glut of oil at the contract's delivery
point in Cushing, Okla., has depressed futures prices.
This week, amid a broad plunge in commodities markets, June
Brent futures prices held up better than contracts to deliver oil
later in the year. The growing premium for June futures created a
trading opportunity for investors who anticipated Buzzard's supply
problems.
For example, a trader who bought June Brent futures and
simultaneously sold July futures on May 6 would have made a profit
of 20 cents a barrel over the next week as the "spread" between the
two contracts grew.
"Traders will play the time spreads because...they will have
some power to affect them, especially if they know ahead of time
that Forties is going to be affected," said Torbjorn Kjus, oil
market analyst at DnB Nor in London.
Owners of shares in the U.S. Brent Oil Fund (BNO) could also
benefit if Buzzard's problems persist. During the first week of
June, the fund will sell its holdings in front-month oil futures
and buy into the next contract month. If Forties volumes are still
low, the fund would be able to buy its new positions at a
discount.
-By Sarah Kent, Dow Jones Newswires; 4420-7842-9376;
sarah.kent@dowjones.com