Is Japan Finally Turning Around? - Real Time Insight
May 16 2013 - 10:38AM
Zacks
Japan seems to be finally turning around. The country’s GDP grew
at an annualized rate of 3.5% during the first quarter of 2013, up
sharply from 1% growth recorded during the previous quarter and
substantially stronger than estimates.
It appears that the aggressive expansionary measures taken by
the Abe government, including “unlimited” easing in order to weaken
the currency, make exports competitive and pull Japan out of its
deflationary spiral, are delivering results. Japanese exports and
consumer spending accelerated during the quarter, though businesses
still seemed a bit reluctant to spend. Exports benefited immensely
from a weaker yen—down ~18% year-to-date against the dollar.
Japanese stocks are up about 45% this year in anticipation of
stronger economic growth. And while the ETF tracking the broader
equity market iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund (EWJ) is up 24%
year-to-date, the two currency hedged ETFs--WisdomTree Japan Hedged
Equity Fund (DXJ) and MSCI Japan Hedged Equity Fund Fundamentals
(DBJP), which provide exposure to Japanese stocks without any
exposure to the currency are up more than 40% during the same
period. (DXJ vs. DBJP: Which is the Better Hedged Japan ETF?)
So, while it appears that the worst for the Japanese economy is
now over, long lasting results will depend on how policymakers
address the underlying structural problems, that have been
affecting the economy for decades. The government will have to
introduce significant fiscal and structural reforms to maintain the
growth momentum.
Do you think that Japan is now on path to economic recovery
after more than two decades of stagnation?
DB-XT MS JAP HD (DBJP): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-J HEF (DXJ): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JAPAN (EWJ): ETF Research Reports
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