Can Japan's Economy Turn Around in 2013? - Real Time Insight
January 24 2013 - 9:54AM
Zacks
Japan’s new Prime Minister has asked the Bank of Japan to
introduce “unlimited” easing in order to weaken the currency, make
exports competitive and pull Japan out of its deflationary
spiral.
During its recent meeting, BOJ doubled the inflation target to
2% but decided to start “open-ended” asset purchases next year.
In a recent survey conducted by WSJ, most economists opined that
Shinzo Abe’s election will be good for the Japanese economy.
Yesterday while lowering the growth estimates for the Euro-zone
and some other countries, IMF left the forecast for Japan
unchanged at 1.2% for this year, while cutting the 2014 prediction
to 0.7%.
IMF chief economist Blanchard said “Fiscal expansion is going to
help growth in the short run, …at the same time when you start with
such a level of debt and without a medium term credible fiscal
consolidation plan, increasing the fiscal deficit in the short run
is a very risky thing to do.”
Looking at the ETFs tracking Japan, it appears that the market
believes that the policy measures may be successful. While the ETF
tracking the broader equity market iShares MSCI Japan Index
Fund (EWJ) is almost unchanged in the last one month, MSCI
Japan Index Fund Fundamentals (DXJ) which provides exposure to
Japanese stocks without any exposure to the currency is up 3.8%
during the same period.
Do you think that Japan can finally turn around after a “lost”
decade or rather decades?
WISDMTR-J HEF (DXJ): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JAPAN (EWJ): ETF Research Reports
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