Switzerland ETFs: Safest Play in Europe? - ETF News And Commentary
October 07 2013 - 12:04PM
Zacks
Europe has rebounded
quite well and is now performing remarkably on rising consumer
confidence, declining unemployment rates, rising exports, firmer
currency, less concerns on debt levels as well as improving
manufacturing and service sectors.
This growth is broad based, led by the U.K. and Euro zone, which
finally emerged from its six-quarter long recession. Switzerland –
one of the most stable economies in Europe – is also fueling the
continent’s growth story.
The economy grew more-than-expected in the second quarter buoyed by
robust private consumption and increased spending on machinery and
equipment (read: Play Europe with these Small Cap ETFs).
Though growth for the second quarter of 0.5% is higher than the
market expectation of 0.3%, it is down from 0.6% reported in the
first quarter. The construction sector was a slight drag on the
economy in the quarter with a 0.3% drop. Further, strength in the
Swiss currency (franc) weighed on exports.
Swiss Economic Outlook
The Swiss economy is relatively sound, especially when compared to
its neighbors in the region. This is because the country has
manageable public debt, enough trade surplus and AAA credit
rating.
The Swiss economy is expected to gain momentum at a faster pace in
the coming months. The government raised the country’s GDP growth
outlook from 1.4% to 1.8% for this year and from 2.1% to 2.3% for
the next.
The improved outlook comes on robust demand from key Swiss sales
markets and improving Euro zone business conditions. Further, there
have been some signs of upswing in exports as a recovery in tourism
has already started (read: 3 Top Ranked International ETFs Still
Worth Buying).
The unemployment rate of the nation stands at 3.2% as of August,
much lower than the neighboring economies, suggesting that
Switzerland has been able to do better than most.
Additionally, the country emerged from the state of mild deflation
over the past two years in August, with zero inflation, even though
deflation was not a problem for the country. The Swiss National
Bank (SNB) conducts monetary policy with a focus on maintaining
price stability (CPI inflation rate of less than 2 percent).
However, one issue that is linked with this nation is that its
currency (Swiss franc) is pegged to the Euro. The SNB intervenes in
the foreign exchange markets to maintain the peg against the Euro
at a floor of 1.20. The pegging led to the currency not falling
beyond 1.20 thereby making it less appreciable for American
investors especially in an environment where the Euro continues to
be weak.
Switzerland ETFs to Consider
Given strong fundamentals, Switzerland has been able to hold up
quite well than most European countries so far this year (read: 3
European ETFs Holding Their Ground). Investors willing to tap the
opportunity in this growing economy could choose from the following
two ETFs, any of which could be a decent pick.
Both products are clearly outpacing the developed Europe market
funds by wide margins in the year-to-date time frame.
iShares MSCI Switzerland Index Fund (EWL)
This fund provides exposure primarily to large cap Swiss stocks by
tracking the MSCI Switzerland 25/50 Index and holds 40 securities
in its basket. The product is heavily concentrated across both
sectors and securities.
More than two-thirds of the portfolio is allocated to the top three
sectors - healthcare, financials and consumer staples. In terms of
holdings, the top three firms collectively make up for more than
44%, suggesting that the top firms dominate the returns of the fund
(see more in the Zacks ETF Center).
The fund has amassed nearly $940 million in its asset base. It is
relatively cost efficient, charging 50 bps a year while trading
nearly 507,000 shares a day. EWL is up nearly 120% in the
year-to-date time frame.
First Trust Switzerland AlphaDEX Fund (FSZ)
This fund provides a slightly active choice as it uses AlphaDEX
methodology to select the stock. The methodology seeks to narrow
this European space to only the best positioned companies. It ranks
the stocks by various growth and value factors, eliminating the
bottom ranked 25% of the stocks.
This approach produces a basket of 40 stocks, which is widely
spread across each security as none of them holds more than 4.5% of
assets. From a sector perspective, financials take the top spot at
33%, closely followed by industrials (25.89%) and health care
(13.43%).
The methodology may sound interesting and could lead to
outperformance, but this comes with an extra cost of 80 basis
points annually. Further, volume is light ensuring extra cost for
the product in the form of a wide bid/ask spread. The fund has
amassed only $20.7 million in its asset base and gained over 21% so
far this year.
Bottom Line
These two products have been outperforming the broader European
market fund (VGK) and the broad U.S. market fund (SPY) by wide
margins. Currently, we have a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 or ‘Hold’ rating
on both EWL and FSZ (read: all the European ETFs
here).
Given the favorable
short-term and long-term outlook for the nation, these ETFs could
make an intriguing choice for investors seeking to ride out the
improving global economic conditions.
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ISHARS-SWITZERL (EWL): ETF Research Reports
FT-SWITZERLAND (FSZ): ETF Research Reports
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