With the markets seemingly slumping as we head into the fourth
quarter, some reevaluation of portfolio allocations is probably a
good idea. This is especially true this time around, as the U.S. no
longer seems to be such a safe haven compared to the rest of the
world.
Still, the American market is arguably the best of the worst
among the large nations, as Europe appears to be plunging back into
crisis mode, Chinese concerns are back at the forefront, while
Japan and other Asia-Pacific economies seem mired in low growth
environments, at least for the time being.
Due to this, a focus on the U.S. probably isn’t a bad idea at
this time, especially as the presidential election removes some
uncertainty and the fiscal cliff hopefully gets resolved. However,
a general broad market approach may not be the best way to attack
the problem, suggesting that many investors could be better served
by targeting a specific corner of the investing world (read Three
Outperforming Active ETFs).
IPOs?
Although Facebook (FB) hasn’t exactly performed
well in light of its recent Initial Public Offering, the trend
still suggests that many IPOs perform quite well immediately
following their debut on the stock market. That is because IPOs
generally seen a nice bump on their debut offering while more ‘mom
and pop’ investors are now able to pile into a stock and push
demand and thus prices higher in a particular security.
Furthermore, many IPOs are priced rather low so that investment
banks can easily sell shares of the underlying firm while also
avoiding a ‘busted’ IPO in which the stock fails to trade in the
positives for the day. This practice can thus usually help create
stronger performances in the medium term as well, especially in
stocks that have shown solid levels of momentum or in firms that
are continue to generate impressive amounts of investor
interest.
With this backdrop, investing in IPOs could be a good idea
despite some of the recent troubles the space has seen. After all,
Google (GOOG) has added close to 600% since its
initial offering, while Visa has added close to 50% since its debut
in early 2008, while Michael Kors Holdings (KORS)
has added over 110% since its first appearance less than a year ago
(see Five Top Performing Single country ETFs of 2012).
Yet, as we have seen as of late, for every GOOG there is usually
an FB as well, suggesting that investing in just one or two IPOs
could produce subpar returns. Due to this, an ETF approach
targeting the IPO market could be the way to go, as it spreads out
assets across a variety of firms, hoping to take advantage of a
broad positive trend in the IPO space, instead of worrying about
company specific problems.
For these investors, a closer look at the First Trust
IPOX-100 Index Fund (FPX) could be warranted. That is
because this fund selects, using a modified value-weighted price
system, a basket of 100 stocks that have had their initial offering
with the past 1,000 trading days.
The ETF utilizes a quantitative approach in order to select the
securities for the basket, while also putting on a 10% cap on all
constituents. The fund is rebalanced on a quarterly basis and will
generally consist of the 100 largest, typically best performing,
and most liquid IPOs that are in the IPOX Global Composite Index
(also read Three Biggest Mistakes of ETF Investing).
This approach looks to give investors broad exposure to a wide
variety of firms that have recently had their initial offerings,
potentially acting as a lower risk way to play the often uncertain
IPO market. In fact, according to First Trust’s website, the PE for
the basket comes in at 16, the P/B is under 2.5, while the
price/sales ratio is below 1.0, suggesting decent value in the
holdings despite the growth metrics that are usually prevalent in
the IPO space.
Currently, the product also has a nice mix of sectors, with
three comprising at least 20% including energy, technology, and
consumer cyclical. Furthermore, although large caps make up just
over half of assets, mid caps (25%) and small caps (20%) also
receive big chunks as well (see Three Impressive Small Cap Dividend
ETFs).
In terms of individual holdings, Visa (V) takes
the top spot right at the 10% limit while FB and
GM round out the top three. Beyond those
securities, a group of energy names rounds out the next few
securities, although assets seem to be well spread throughout the
100 names in the product.
While the fund is somewhat expensive considering its focus, fees
are 0.6% a year, volume is also quite poor, suggesting wide bid ask
spreads. Furthermore, many of these fresh IPOs do not pay much in
dividends, so the paltry 30 Day SEC yield of under 0.5% could be a
disappointment to some.
Still, despite these drawbacks, the fund really shines when
compared to the broad competition, the S&P 500 index.
Over the past five years, FPX has gained about 17.5% compared to a
-4.7% loss for SPY (also read Five Best ETFs over the Past Five
Years).
Shorter time frames are more favorable to the S&P 500, but
the IPO-based fund still wins in performance when looking at a one
year (FPX outgains by 350 basis points) and a year-to-date look as
well (nearly 450 basis points).
So while FB may be dragging down the perception of the broad IPO
market, the segment is still going strong when you take the whole
sector into focus. For this reason, investors shouldn’t get too
bogged down with one or two weak performers in the IPO market, and
should instead look to FPX as a solid outperforming fund that can
not only provide exposure to initial public offerings, but can beat
out traditional benchmarks by a pretty wide margin as well.
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FACEBOOK INC-A (FB): Free Stock Analysis Report
FT-IPOX 100 (FPX): ETF Research Reports
GENERAL MOTORS (GM): Free Stock Analysis Report
GOOGLE INC-CL A (GOOG): Free Stock Analysis Report
MICHAEL KORS (KORS): Free Stock Analysis Report
VISA INC-A (V): Free Stock Analysis Report
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