Corruption has unfortunately risen by leaps and bounds and has
become an undeniable reality today. In some countries, it is found
at a very high level while in others it remains in the shadows.
Unfortunately, this corruption not only raises insecurity in any
society but also hampers the potential return on both foreign and
domestic investments.
Every investor, before making a foreign investment, should
consider the level of prevailing corruption in a country, as it can
influence the performance of the product to a large extent. It may
so happen that the country follows anti-corruption regimes but is
highly corrupted. Even the developed economies have issues
regarding corruption (read Do Country ETFs Really Provide
Diversification?).
In order to quantify perceived levels of corruption, investors
can look to Transparency International, an organization which
studies corruption in global markets, and recently issued its
latest annual Corruption Perceptions Index. The organization marks
countries on a scale of zero to 100. In its latest report on
corruption, the organization included 176 nations.
“A country or territory's score indicates the perceived level of
public sector corruption on a scale of 0 - 100, where 0 means that
a country is perceived as highly corrupt and 100 means it is
perceived as very clean. A country's rank indicates its position
relative to the other countries and territories included in the
index, according to Transparency International.
The latest annual report has assigned rank 1 to Denmark, Finland
and New Zealand, which have scores of 90 each. This means that
according to Transparency International, these are the least
corrupt countries. Featuring among the most corrupt countries are
Afghanistan, North Korea and Somalia, and other basket case nations
with little government protections.
Investors should note that Canada has found a place in the top
10 of the least corrupt countries for six years in a row. This time
around, Canada is ranked ninth, while it is joined by the entire
Scandinavian bloc to round out the top ten.
Not surprisingly, in the European Union, Greece was cited as the
most corrupt. Considering the European continent at large, Ukraine
is ranked 144, the worst country in the continent when it comes to
corruption.
Yet while investors might think that corruption would drag on
stock performance, this hasn’t exactly been the case in some
markets this year. Instead, even with heavy corruption, some ETFs
tracking these regions which have done well.
Below are highlighted some country-specific ETFs that have
shined in spite of coming out poorly on the corruption
score:
MSCI Mexico Investable Market Index Fund
(EWW)
This iShares ETF follows the Mexican market by tracking the
performance of the MSCI Mexico Investable Market Index. Mexico
which has been placed at the 105th position in the list
has been given a score of 34. It has slipped from last year’s rank
of 100, indicating that the corruption level has increased from
last year.
Political corruption and drug trafficking have been major issues
in Mexico. Bribery in government contracts has been also an
epidemic.
Mexico recently has issued a new Federal Law against Corruption
in Public Procurement which applies to Mexican and non-Mexican
corporations and individuals. The law prohibits bribery and other
action intended to achieve an unlawful benefit in the procurement
of public contracts with the Mexican federal government (read Best
Latin America ETFs for 2013).
Despite a high level of corruption in the country, EWW delivered
a return of 35% over a period of one year.
MSCI Philippines Investable Market Index Fund
(EPHE)
The Philippines has also been assigned a rank of 105 with a
score of 34, making it another high corruption perception nation.
Still, this is an improvement from a ranking of 129 last year as
procurement and budget reforms issued by the government in the year
led to the improvement in ranking (read Philippines ETF: a Rising
Star in Emerging Market Investing).
The Philippines government expects to make its reforms and
procurement more stringent in the coming years and promises good
governance going forward. “We see this as an affirmation of the
efforts to strengthen institutions, provide deterrents against
corrupt practices, and hold accountable those who have used power
for personal gain," Presidential Spokesman Edwin Lacierda said.
To tap into the Philippines, investors have EPHE which delivered
a very solid return over the last one year period, gaining more
than 45%. The fund also ranks favorably with the Zacks ETF Rank so
it could be poised to outperform in 2013 as well.
Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF
(GREK)
As we highlighted earlier, Greece is the most corrupt region in
the European Union and has been assigned a rank of 94. This is even
below the newer democracies such as Bulgaria and Romania, and marks
a slide for the country which was ranked 80 in 2011.
Tax evasion is the major issue in Greece which enraged the
nation’s masses. It is believed that the wealthy in the
country often evade government taxes. They are said to have
accounts in Swiss banks and other offshore accounts, further adding
to the nation’s woes.
Despite tracking a country which is deep in recession for five
consecutive years and is also one of the most corrupt, the fund
delivered a year-to-date return of 16.8%. However, the country’s
problems stretch beyond corruption so investors could see some
weakness in this ETF starting in 2013 (see Greece ETF: Still
Defying All Odds).
MSCI Thailand Investable Market Index Fund
(THD)
THD tracks the MSCI Thailand Investable Market Index. The fund
has a score of 37 and has been ranked 88 on the corrupt country
list. Last year it was assigned a rank of 80 and has since fallen
from there.
The downgrade is mainly attributable to the political system of
Thailand. The country has its share of corruption, bribes, lackeys
and privileged clients. If the bureaucracy, at the highest level,
is not made more accountable and transparent, the tentacles of
corruption can never be loosened (see Can Anything Stop These
Southeast Asia ETFs?).
Despite the situation, the fund posted a gain of 33% over a
period of one year.
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ISHARS-MS PH IM (EPHE): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-MEXICO (EWW): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X/F GREC20 (GREK): ETF Research Reports
ISHRS-MSCI THAI (THD): ETF Research Reports
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