By Tommy Stubbington and Josie Cox
Markets rallied Friday after new Greek proposals for policy
overhauls and budget cuts appeared to be closer to creditors'
demands, fueling investor hopes that the country could strike a
deal this weekend to keep it in the eurozone.
The Stoxx Europe 600 ended the session 2.0% higher, building on
Thursday's gains. The pan-European index has now clawed back all of
the losses made after Sunday's referendum, in which Greek voters
rejected a set of the creditors' austerity demands.
In the U.S., the S&P 500 was 1.2% higher shortly after the
European stock market closed.
"Markets are celebrating the likelihood of an agreement this
weekend," said Steven Englander, a senior currency strategist at
Citibank.
Greek stock markets have been closed all week but a small
exchange-traded fund that trades on the NYSE Arca and tracks Greek
stocks, the Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF, was up more than 7%
Friday.
"Provided that Greece's creditors are convinced that [Prime
Minister Alexis] Tsipras is serious about reforms, then a deal will
be done by Sunday," said Demetrios Efstathiou, a strategist at ICBC
Standard Bank.
Some leaders from the currency bloc voiced optimism about the
latest proposals on Friday. Eurozone finance ministers and European
leaders are set to assess the proposals during crisis meetings on
Saturday and Sunday.
"A deal on Greece is likely this weekend," said Alberto Gallo,
head of macro credit research at Royal Bank of Scotland. He added
that nothing has been decided yet, but that the latest developments
are very positive.
Germany's DAX added 2.9% and France's CAC-40 rose 3.1% on
Friday. In southern Europe, Italy's FTSE MIB climbed 3.0% on the
day while Spain's IBEX was 3.1% higher.
The relief was also felt in debt markets.
Bonds rallied in Spain, Italy and Portugal. Those countries have
been rattled by the spillover from Greece's debt crisis, but
10-year yields in all three fell to their lowest levels in two
weeks during the day.
Greek two-year bond yields tumbled from above 50% to just under
30%, according to Tradeweb, although trading in Greek government
bonds remains limited. Yields fall as prices rise.
German debt, seen as a haven by investors, fell. German 10-year
yields rose 0.16 percentage point to 0.89%.
The euro climbed 0.8% against the dollar to $1.115. Earlier in
the session it hit its highest level against the buck so far in
July and hit a one-week high against Japan's yen, which is also
considered a safer asset during times of market instability.
Hurdles remain. Greece's plan may face tough domestic
opposition. And the shutdown of Greece's financial system last week
and uncertainty over its future in the eurozone have delivered
fresh blows to the economy that would have to be offset by new cuts
or extra revenue.
"I would rather wait before celebrating," said Luca Paolini,
chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, which has EUR149
billion ($164.7 billion) in assets under management. "But it now
looks more likely than not Greece will stay in the euro."
If Athens can secure a new bailout, investors are likely to
drive European stocks higher as they refocus on improving corporate
earnings in the region, Mr. Paolini said.
Giovanni Zanni, an economist at Credit Suisse, said the
situation was still very fluid and that even if there is a deal
this weekend, "questions on implementation and ownership of reforms
will continue."
In commodities markets, Brent crude oil was 0.1% lower at $58.53
a barrel. Gold was largely unchanged at $1,159.90 a troy ounce.
Write to Tommy Stubbington at tommy.stubbington@wsj.com and
Josie Cox at josie.cox@wsj.com