Make no mistake about it, China is back on track.
The nation suffered through weak stretch in 2012, but the
economic outlook appears brighter for this year and beyond. Growth
is expected to be at 8% for the calendar year as exports pick up
thanks to a solid U.S. market, and a much more stable situation in
China’s biggest trading partner, the EU.
This trend has once again rekindled American investor interest
in the world’s second biggest economy, causing many to tilt
portfolios to stocks, or funds, that have high levels of exposure
to the nation.
How to Buy China
Investors can access China directly via a few companies already.
Some Chinese mega caps are already listed on American exchanges
such as China Mobile (CHL) or China
Petroleum & Chemical (SNP).
Meanwhile, plenty of American firms are largely driven by their
Chinese growth prospects, so these could be considered ‘tangential’
plays on the Chinese economy, such as Yum Brands
(YUM) or Coach (COH). But, in my opinion,
both of these strategies pale in comparison to an ETF approach for
the China market (see China ETF Investing 101).
That is because an ETF allows investors to buy up shares in a
variety of Chinese companies in a single ticker, many of which
wouldn’t be investable by Americans outside of the fund world.
These funds also help to reduce on the risk of a single blowup in
the Chinese market, as the diversification benefits inherent in
ETFs helps to cut down on the pain from company specific
issues.
Furthermore, ETFs usually offer up decent liquidity, something
that may not be there with some Chinese ADRs. This can be very
important in the fast-moving Chinese market, as the country can
still see large bouts of volatility in short time periods.
China ETFs
Usually, when investors think of ‘China ETFs’ the one that comes
to mind is the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund
(FXI). This product is easily the most popular and
well-known in the space, as it sees average volume of about 17
million shares a day with assets of over $9 billion.
The fund is by far the oldest China ETF on the market, having
made its debut in 2004. However, while the product might have
impressive volume levels and widespread investor interest, it makes
many ETF analysts like myself cringe.
Why FXI is a Weak Choice
While the product has done a great service in opening up China,
and getting the nation into many investor portfolios, it has
outlived its usefulness. There are plenty of better choices out
there for most investors, and for a variety of reasons (see The Key
to International ETF Investing).
First, investors should note that despite having an enormous
asset base, FXI is actually one of the more expensive China ETFs on
the market today. The product charges 72 basis points a year in
fees even though it holds large cap stocks, the same fee that
PEK charges although this China fund focuses on
harder-to-obtain local A-Shares and swaps for its exposure.
If that wasn’t enough, the product is heavily concentrated into
a few sectors, namely financials and energy. In fact, of the
limited 25 stock portfolio, over 50% goes to financials, while
another 20% goes to the oil and gas sector (read Do ETFs Suggest
that the China Panic is Over?).
Telecom, basic materials, and real estate round out the rest of
the fund, meaning that a number of key sectors receive no weight at
all in the product. Think about that for a second. FXI offers
nothing to either consumer sector, health care, utilities, or
industrials, putting a full 95% of assets into large cap
stocks.
While this strategy certainly promotes safety, one can easily
argue that it misses out on what many investors believe will be the
more dynamic corners of the Chinese economy going forward. It also
zeroes in on China’s biggest state-owned firms which probably don’t
have a whole lot of growth left anyway, meaning that investors may
not tap into the real China growth story with FXI.
Plenty of Better Choices
Fortunately, the explosion of ETFs over the past few years has
given investors a number of other options to use in the China ETF
world. Many of these products address the severe issues in FXI
highlighted above, and thus could be better picks for China ETF
investors, including the following three funds:
SPDR S&P China ETF (GXC)
This ETF is the second most popular China fund on the market
today with over $1.2 billion in AUM. The product has solid volume
of about 200,000 shares a day so liquidity should be ample in this
product.
GXC is also a bit cheaper than FXI, charging investors just 59
basis points a year in fees. This makes it one of the lowest-cost
choices in the space, while still having great liquidity (read
Three Excellent Dividend ETFs for Safety and Income).
Its portfolio consists of a robust 200 stocks, stretching across
all the industries. Financials and energy do make up the top two in
this product, but technology (12%) and industrials (9%) round out
the top four spots.
Guggenheim China Small Cap ETF (HAO)
For a focus on smaller firms in China, HAO could be the ticket.
This product tracks the AlphaShares China Small Cap Index, which
charges investors 70 basis points a year in fees.
Assets under management for this product are approaching $400
million, while the average daily volume is a solid 200,000 shares a
day as well. This suggests that despite the focus on small caps,
the fund should see high levels of liquidity for most
investors.
The ETF holds over 240 firms and it doesn’t put more than 2% in
any single security, so company specific risk is pretty much
non-existent. The sector exposure is pretty solid as well, as
energy and financials account for just 5% of total assets.
Instead, industrials, consumer cyclical, and basic materials
make up half of the fund, giving this product a very different
tilt. Investors should note, however, that the mid and small cap
focus of HAO does make it a bit volatile, so risk averse investors
should be cautious with this product (See 4 Best ETF Strategies For
2013).
Global X China Consumer ETF (CHIQ)
For those seeking a pretty big departure from what is in FXI,
this Global X fund could be an interesting alternative. The product
only buys Chinese consumer stocks, making it a great pairing for an
FXI investment, or a targeted play on one of China’s key growth
segments.
This is done by focusing on the S-BOX China Consumer Index, a
benchmark that has about 40 stocks in its basket. It is tilted
towards cyclical consumer stocks (48%), while mid caps dominate
from a cap perspective.
In terms of sectors, food products take up roughly 18%, while
automotive, and specialty retail account for the rest of the top
three. Assets are relatively well spread out, as no one company
makes up more than 6.5% of assets, although automotive and food
firms do dominate much of the top ten holdings.
The approach has been relatively popular with investors, as the
ETF has over $200 million in assets and average volume above
130,000 shares a day. The total cost is pretty competitive too,
coming in at 65 basis points a year, which is surprising given the
targeted exposure in the fund (read Is It Time to Buy China
ETFs?).
The Bottom Line
Why anyone is still holding FXI is beyond me. The product is
overly concentrated, expensive, and has no holdings in some of the
country’s key growth sectors. The only saving grace of the ETF is
that it is very liquid, so maybe it can be argued to be a good pick
for short-term traders.
Anyone else though would be better off looking at some of the
aforementioned ETFs instead. Not only are they cheaper, but their
exposure seems poised to make them better picks for most investors
over the long haul, which is probably what you should be focused on
when investing in China ETFs anyway.
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GLBL-X CHIN CON (CHIQ): ETF Research Reports
CHINA MOBLE-ADR (CHL): Free Stock Analysis Report
ISHARS-FT CH25 (FXI): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP CHINA (GXC): ETF Research Reports
GUGG-CHINA SC (HAO): ETF Research Reports
CHINA PETRO&CHM (SNP): Free Stock Analysis Report
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