Any hope for Aerospace and Defense Industry ETFs in 2013? - ETF News And Commentary
January 07 2013 - 7:32AM
Zacks
The growth of the Aerospace and Defense industry is largely
determined by the spending policies of government departments, with
the U.S. defense budget being the key driver. As a result, recent
cut in U.S. defense spending has triggered serious concerns over
the future of the sector. (see Defense ETF Investing 101)
U.S. defense spending is being adversely affected by the Budget
Control Act of 2011. The Act has two main parts that could impact
future defense spending. The first is a $487.0 billion reduction to
the previously planned defense spending for the next decade.
The second part is a sequester mechanism that would impose an
additional $500.0 billion cut on defense spending between 2013 and
2021, if the Congress is unable to approve a plan to reduce the
U.S. deficit by $1.2 trillion by March 2013..
Last month, the U.S. Senate unanimously approved the 2013 budget
of $633.3 billion, up $1.7 billion from the request made. Of this,
the base budget is $544.9 billion and $88.5 billion is allocated
for overseas operations. The latest authorization that extends U.S.
sanctions on Iran and strikes restrictions on biofuel was
inevitably lower than the 2012 level of $645.7 billion.
However, the picture is not entirely gloomy. In wake of defense
budget cuts, the companies often fall back on joint ventures,
strategic alliances and big international orders to pool their
resources, allowing them access to new markets. (see Can The
Defense ETFs Soar Despite Headwinds?)
Until recently, the Pentagon entered into a purchase agreement
with Lockheed Martin (LMT) for more jets, albeit at a lower price.
While Canada seems skeptical about proceeding with its purchase
plan of F-35 from Lockheed, Pentagon assured that it will buy a
fifth group of F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jets, a long impending
deal pertaining to the costliest weapons program in the U.S.
history.
The Pentagon is also expected to ink a deal with Lockheed on the
quicker funding for a sixth fleet of F-35s. This could lessen
Lockheed’s liability from its earlier work on the jets that was
done without any contract.
Further, a number of new emerging markets as well as developed
nations, such as India, China, Japan, the United Arab Emirates,
Saudi Arabia, and Brazil are boosting their defense spending and
generating business for the U.S. However, China is ramping up its
military modernization by itself and is likely take the lead in the
east. (see Get True Emerging Market Exposure With These Three
ETFs)
In fact, as per Aerospace Industries Association (AAI), some
major activities currently in store for the U.S. defense sector are
foreign military sales, implementation of NextGen, export control
reform, extension of the R&D tax credit and progress on NASA’s
human space exploration strategy. Its focus on joint ventures,
mergers and acquisitions is no less important.
Moderately strong long-term prospects make the Aerospace &
Defense fund attractive for investors willing to withstand the
near-term drag on the sector. Investors seeking exposure to the
U.S. aerospace & defense market may find iShares Dow
Jones US Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA),
PowerShares Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA) and
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR)
interesting choices.
ITA tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense
Index. It has 34 holdings including stocks like United Technologies
Corporation (UTX), Boeing (BA) and Precision Castparts Corp. (PCP).
The sector breakdown in this fund is 56% aerospace and 44% defense.
With total assets of about $78.9 million, ITA is the largest
product in this space (see Zacks #1 Ranked Aerospace & Defense
ETF in Focus). The product charges around 47 bps in annual
fees.
With an AUM of $46.5 million, PPA tracks the SPADE Defense
Index. Boeing, Honeywell International Inc. (HON) and United
Technologies are its top three holdings among a total of 49. The
sector breakdown for this fund is 81% industrial, 15% information
technology and 4% materials. While this choice is an expensive one
with around 66 bps of annual fees, its daily trading volume of
13,371 is higher than two other choices in this space. (see more in
the Zacks ETF Center)
With an AUM of $16.1 million, XAR tracks the S&P Aerospace
& Defense Select Industry Index and of its 35 holdings, the top
three stocks are B/E Aerospace, S Precision and Hexcel Corp.
Industrials account for 92.7% of holdings while technology makes up
6.71%. The product charges 35 bps in annual fess and its total
daily volume is around 1,606 units.
As of September 30, 2012, ITA, PPA, XAR returned a respective of
21.37%, 23.54% and 23.96% over the one-year period. At the current
level, it has been noticed that while defense spending will slow
down, most of these companies have significant growth catalysts in
the commercial aerospace business.
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ISHARS-DJ AEROS (ITA): ETF Research Reports
PWRSH-AERO&DEF (PPA): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP AER&DEF (XAR): ETF Research Reports
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