First Trust is probably best known for its lineup of AlphaDEX funds
which seek to pick better stocks in a variety of countries or
sectors. This ‘smart indexing’ approach has long been the mainstay
of the company, and it is responsible for a huge chunk of the
firm’s assets under management.
However, First Trust has also begun to branch out into various
other, more active strategies as of late, pushing out products in
the
senior loan market (FTSL), and the managed
futures space with their
FMF fund. The trend
isn’t stopping there though, as the company has just released its
latest active fund, the
Global Tactical Commodity Strategy
Fund (FTGC).
This new fund takes a unique approach to commodity investing,
looking to take a risk-managed approach to commodities that seeks
to improve the risk/return relationship for the space. This is done
by looking at several factors in the commodity futures market, any
of which could help to differentiate this fund from others in the
space (also see Inside the New iShares Commodity ETF).
FTGC in Focus
The advisor looks to maximize the return of a highly diversified
commodity portfolio targeted to a specific volatility range. This
is done by selecting between 10 and 35 distinct commodities, based
on liquidity as measured by open interest.
These commodities' returns are then modeled, and the expected
volatility is forecasted using daily historical data. Then, a set
of portfolios that seeks to maximize returns given certain
volatility levels are generated along the efficient frontier.
Commodities are then chosen to match this according to a desired
risk range, though there is definitely a focus on stability,
especially when compared to traditional portfolio construction
approaches.
It is also worth noting that the fund managers will take into
account several key aspects of the commodity futures contract
process. The managers will consider the spot return, roll yield,
and cash yield in order to select the best contracts and to roll to
the correct ones that have the lowest roll cost, while earning
solid income levels on assets held as collateral.
Additionally, the structure of the ETF is such that a K-1 will not
be necessary at tax time. This can often be a pain for some
investors, so it is worth noting that this fund will have 1099 tax
form reporting.
At time of writing, this pushed the ETF into crude oil futures
(March 2014) for 12.5% of the portfolio, Coffee Futures (July 2014)
at 11.5% of the fund, and then natural gas futures (March 2014) for
11.1% of the ETF. Other top weights include lean hogs, soybean
meal, and cotton #2, all of which receive at least 8% of the assets
(see Two Soft Commodity ETFs Holding Firm).
Investors should note that the cost of this product is a little
steep though, as it has an expense ratio of 95 basis points. Add
this into likely low volumes out of the gate and investors may have
a high total cost (when adding in a possibly wide bid ask spread),
at least initially.
How does it fit in a portfolio?
Commodities could make sense for investors who believe that a
growing global economy—and especially a surging market in the
developing world—will increase demand for commodities (see all the
top Ranked Commodity ETFs here).
This product in particular may be an interesting choice for those
looking to go beyond ‘regular’ commodity ETFs that just roll from
one month to the next, or those that just hold the same commodities
month after month.
The product might not be a good choice for investors who anticipate
a strong dollar or a slump in emerging markets, as either of these
could definitely crush commodity-focused products. Additionally,
this product is pretty pricey compared to some of its index-based
competitors, so it might not be the top choice for cost conscious
investors.
Competition and Bottom Line
There are well over 100 (unleveraged) commodity ETFs currently
trading in the U.S., be they targeted plays on products like gold,
or broad investments in a number of natural resources. While
‘traditional’ commodity ETFs like
DBC and
LSC look to be big competitors,
USCI looks to be one of the most direct (see all
the possible competitors in this list of Commodity ETFs).
This fund, which tracks the SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index,
takes into account issues like backwardation and 12 month price
change, and it selects from a wider basket of contracts (holding 14
of a possible 27). The product does charge 95 basis points as a
management fee, while it has half a billion in AUM.
Still, FTGC has a unique approach and it could definitely attract
some interest. However, the commodity ETF market is clearly very
crowded, so it may be a difficult road initially for this fund,
unless it can prove that its active technique is worth the cost to
investors searching for a new commodity fund in today's rocky
market.
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PWRSH-DB COMDTY (DBC): ETF Research Reports
FT-MSR MFSF (FMF): ETF Research Reports
FT-SENIOR LOAN (FTSL): ETF Research Reports
ELEMT-LK SP CMD (LSC): ETF Research Reports
US-COMMODITY IF (USCI): ETF Research Reports
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