For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – April 12, 2012 – Zacks Equity Research highlights
Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) as the Bull of the
Day and CSN (SID) as the Bear of the Day. In
addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on
Research In Motion Ltd. (RIMM), Apple
Inc (AAPL) and Google Inc. (GOOG).
Full analysis of all these stocks is available at
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2678.
Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:
Bull of the Day:
We are initiating coverage on Marathon Petroleum
Corp. (MPC) with an Outperform recommendation and a target
price of $51. Spun out of parent Marathon Oil Co. in June 2011, the
company is a leading refiner and marketer of petroleum products in
the U.S.
Our bullish investment theme stems from Marathon Petroleum's
scale advantage, impressive asset quality, and an extensive
midstream/retail network that diversifies its portfolio and
provides more stable revenue streams. We believe management's
recently approved $2 billion share repurchase program and potential
formation of a midstream MLP could further boost shareholder
value.
Marathon Petroleum's low debt ratio and hefty cash balance add
to the positive sentiment. All in all, we believe the company is
well positioned going forward and view it as an attractive
investment.
Bear of the Day:
Brazilian steel company Companhia Siderurgica
Nacional, or CSN (SID) posted
satisfactory fourth quarter results with EPADR of roughly 31 cents
per share, much above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 20 cents per
share. Despite a few positives, there are a few irrefutable
downsides pertaining to the stock of the company at present.
These downsides include rising costs of goods sold, presence of
serious competition and foreign market fluctuations, which are
adversely affecting sales of the company in the clouded fiscal
scenario. Earnings estimates for 2012 have decreased on a year over
year basis.
Thus, we are downgrading shares to an Underperform
recommendation from a previous sideline view on the stock at
present. Our target price on the stock is $8.50, based on a 2012
P/E multiple of 8.6x.
Latest Posts on the Zacks Analyst Blog:
Earnings Scorecard: Research In
Motion
Research In Motion Ltd. (RIMM) reported dismal
fourth quarter 2012 financial results, with both earnings per share
(EPS) and revenue missing the Zacks Consensus Estimates. Moreover,
the company reported a weak financial outlook for the first quarter
of fiscal 2013.
Fourth Quarter Highlights
GAAP net loss in the reported quarter of fiscal 2012 was $125
million or 24 cents per share compared with a net income of $934
million or $1.78 per share in the year-ago quarter. Fourth quarter
adjusted EPS stood at 80 cents, a penny shy of the Zacks Consensus
Estimate.
Total revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012 was $4,190
million, down 24.6% year over year and also missed the Zacks
Consensus Estimate of $4,528 million.
After adjusting for inventory provision, gross margin for the
company stood at 39.8%, well below the 44.2% recorded in the
year-ago quarter. Research In Motion sold 11.1 million BlackBerry
devices, down 21% sequentially. The company also sold over 500,000
BlackBerry Playbook tablets, up 70% sequentially. However, Playbook
tablets were sold at a discounted rate of $200 compared with its
original price of $500.
Agreement of Analysts
Of the 33 analysts covering the stock in the last 7 days, none
revised their estimates for the first quarter of 2013. Similarly,
for second quarter of fiscal 2013, none out of the 32 analysts
revised the estimates.
Likewise, for fiscal 2013, none of the 32 analysts covering the
stock in the last 7 days changed the estimates. However, for fiscal
2014, out of the 25 analysts covering the stock in the last 7 days,
only one analyst lowered the EPS estimate.
Currently, the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate for the first
quarter of 2013 is pegged at 43 cents, reflecting an annual decline
of 67.67%. Similarly, for the second quarter of 2013, the current
Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate of 33 cents indicates a year-over-year
decline of 59.14%.
We believe that analysts by and large have a defensive mindset
given the uncertainty surrounding the core BlackBerry business.
Moreover, the delayed launch of user-friendly QNX-based BlackBerry
smartphones further increase uncertainty about the success of
BlackBerry handsets.
Magnitude of Estimate Revisions
Given the limited estimate revisions, the Zacks Consensus
Estimate for the first quarter 2013 remained at 43 cents. However,
for the second quarter of fiscal 2013, it dropped a penny during
the last 7 days.
For fiscal 2013, the Zacks Consensus Estimates remains unchanged
at $1.89 while for fiscal 2014, it dropped 3 cents to $2.04.
Earnings Surprises
The company’s recent performance history has not been that
great. While earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of
the last four quarters, the average surprise during the last four
quarters stood at a negative 1.62%.
Estimate revision trends also indicate that there is no upside
or downside potential for the current and following quarters.
However, fiscal 2013 and fiscal 2014 reflect downside potentials of
4.23% and 8.33%, respectively.
Our Recommendation
The nightmare for Research In Motion started when Apple
Inc’.s (AAPL) iPhone hit the market. The situation
worsened once Google Inc. (GOOG) launched its
Android software and several handset manufacturers adopted that
operating system. Currently, Research In Motion’s BlackBerry
operating system is obsolete and continues to lose market share.
Moreover, the recent launch of Apple’s iPhone 4S has further
hampered its market share. We, therefore, maintain our long-term
Underperform recommendation for Research In Motion Ltd.
Currently, Research In Motion Ltd has a Zacks #5 Rank, implying
a short-term Strong Sell rating.
Get the full analysis of all these stocks by going to
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2649.
About the Bull and Bear of the Day
Every day, the analysts at Zacks Equity Research select two
stocks that are likely to outperform (Bull) or underperform (Bear)
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APPLE INC (AAPL): Free Stock Analysis Report
GOOGLE INC-CL A (GOOG): Free Stock Analysis Report
MARATHON PETROL (MPC): Free Stock Analysis Report
RESEARCH IN MOT (RIMM): Free Stock Analysis Report
CIA SIDERUR-ADR (SID): Free Stock Analysis Report
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