Opportunity at Marathon Petroleum - Analyst Blog
January 17 2013 - 7:40AM
Zacks
Shares of Marathon
Petroleum Corporation (MPC) hit a 52-week high of $65.37
on Wednesday, January 16. In fact, the Findlay, Ohio-based
independent oil refiner and marketer – spun out of parent
Marathon Oil Company (MRO) in 2011 – has seen its
stock price climb more than 20% since the beginning of November
last year.
Despite this price appreciation, we remain optimistic on the firm’s
near-term prospects, supported by consistency in its earnings/cash
flows, attractive fundamentals and a positive outlook. These
factors are reflected in Marathon Petroleum’s Zacks Rank #2 (Buy),
implying that it is expected to outperform the broader U.S. equity
market over the next one to three months.
Why the Bullishness?
Our bullish investment theme stems from Marathon Petroleum’s scale
advantage, impressive asset quality, and an extensive
midstream/retail network that diversifies its portfolio and
provides more stable revenue streams. We believe management’s
recently commenced $2 billion share repurchase program and the
proposed acquisition of BP Plc’s (BP) Texas City
refinery could further boost shareholder value. Marathon
Petroleum’s low debt ratio and hefty cash balance add to the
positive sentiment.
Based on solid expected performance from the company, eight out of
12 estimates for 2012 have moved higher in the past 60 days,
pushing the Zacks Consensus Estimate up by 21 cents (or 2.2%) to
$9.62. For 2013, six out of 12 estimates moved north in the past 60
days, helping the Zacks Consensus Estimate advance by 92 cents (or
10.9%) to $9.34.
Other Stocks to Consider
In addition to Marathon Petroleum, there are certain other
downstream energy operators like Global Partners
L.P. (GLP), Northern Tier Energy L.P.
(NTI) and CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) that offer even
more value and are worth buying now. All these partnerships sport a
Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
BP PLC (BP): Free Stock Analysis Report
CVR ENERGY INC (CVI): Free Stock Analysis Report
GLOBAL PARTNERS (GLP): Free Stock Analysis Report
MARATHON PETROL (MPC): Free Stock Analysis Report
MARATHON OIL CP (MRO): Free Stock Analysis Report
NORTHERN TIER (NTI): Free Stock Analysis Report
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