Investors in search of a decent yield on their money have it
awfully rough these days. For over three years now, the Federal
Reserve has held its key interest rate between 0% and 0.25%.
And with the Fed recently reaffirming its pledge to
keep interest rates low until at least late 2014, short-term rates
like savings accounts and money market funds will continue paying
paltry returns for quite some time. Expect the long end of the
yield curve to remain compressed too.
To gain perspective on just how low interest rates
are, take a look at today's 10-year Treasury note compared with its
50-year average:
So what is an income investor to do in this
low-yield world? Consider these alternatives.
Blue Chip Stocks
"But stocks are too risky" you might say. In
the short-term, yes. But if you pay a reasonable price for a solid
business whose earnings are highly likely to be materially higher
5, 10 or 20 years from now, your returns have a good chance of
being higher over the long-run than with bonds.
And speaking of risk, don't you consider it risky
to lend money to an entity with over $115000000000000 (not a typo)
in unfunded liabilities and over $1000000000000 in annual deficits
for the foreseeable future?
What kind of rate would you require on your
investment? Would you lend that institution your money for 10-years
at a measly 2.0%? That return likely won't even keep up with
inflation.
Conversely, the earnings yield on the S&P 500
is currently 7.7 based on a forward price to earnings ratio of
13.0. Granted, returns over the last 10 years have not been great
for most stocks, even for many blue chips, but much of the reason
is that 10 years ago, those stocks were wildly overpriced. That
doesn't seem to be the case today.
Moreover, the average dividend yield of the 30 Dow
Jones Industrial Average components is a solid 2.8%. And there are
several blue-chip stocks with strong cash flows, stable businesses
and excellent credit ratings. Also, these companies often
raise their dividends annually, unlike bonds which typically
pay a fixed coupon.
Preferred Stocks
If you're still leery of investing in stocks, there
is a way to get the best of both worlds: preferred shares.
Preferred shares are hybrid securities that act like bonds in that
investors get a fixed payment, but still represent ownership in a
business like a stock (although they typically don't get voting
rights). Moreover, some preferred shares are convertible to common
stock if a company's share price takes off, providing unlimited
upside potential.
The dividends on preferred shares take priority
over their common stock cousins, but interest payments on debt take
the first priority. Nonetheless, if you're willing to shoulder a
little bit more risk, preferred shares can offer attractive total
returns.
Foreign Bonds
If you're willing to invest overseas, yields on
some foreign bonds, like Brazil and Australia, are very attractive
right now. And countries like Canada have much better balance
sheets than the U.S. (and AAA credit ratings from Standard &
Poors).
MLPs, REITs, BDCs
There's nothing like the threat of taxes on a
business to get them to shell out cash to their owners. Master
Limited Partnerships (MLPs), Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
and Business Development Companies (BDCs) all have to pay out at
least 90% of their earnings to unitholders in the form of
distributions to avoid paying taxes on that money. This way that
money avoids double-taxation, which can lead to some juicy
yields.
Many of these entities are in highly volatile
industries, however, so their distributions often get cut during
recessions. But not all of them do. In fact, many MLPs, REITs and
BDCs actually raised their distributions during the Great
Recession.
Diversify
For income investors, I recommend a mixture of
these different income-generating investments. Here are 4 specific
ideas within each category above:
Blue Chip Stock Recommendation:
Chevron (CVX)
Dividend Yield: 3.3%
Earnings Yield: 12.7%
This oil giant recently announced its third
dividend increase in the last year and has raised it at a compound
annual rate of 8% since 1996.
The company generated nearly $15 billion in free
cash flow in 2011 and paid over $6 billion to shareholders in the
form of dividends, so it looks like it has room for additional
hikes down the road.
Seems a lot more attractive than Treasuries to
me.
Preferred Stock Recommendation:
PowerShares Preferred Stock ETF (PGX)
Dividend Yield: 6.5%
PGX is an ETF that tracks the BofA Merrill Lynch
Core Plus Fixed Rate Preferred Securities Index which is designed
to reflect the total return performance of the U.S.
dollar-denominated preferred securities market. Additionally, that
yield is the composite of 123 holdings, so investors get the
benefit of diversification.
Foreign Bond Recommendation:
PIMCO Australia Bond Index Fund ETF (AUD)
Yield: 6.5% (average as of March 31, 2012)
The Australia Bond Index Fund aims to provide
exposure to the Australian dollar-denominated, investment grade
bond market.
Australia is a land rich in natural resources, but
it is much more than just a mining and agriculture economy. The
services sector actually accounts for nearly 75% of GDP, including
a very stable financial services industry.
The country of 22 million people has experienced 21
consecutive years of economic growth, even in spite of the global
financial crisis.
Bond yields are high because the Reserve Bank of
Australia currently has its cash rate set at 3.75%. And unlike the
U.S., Australia has a AAA credit rating from Standard &
Poor's.
MLP Recommendation:
Holly Energy Partners LP (HEP)
Distribution Yield: 6.0%
Holly Energy Partners is a master limited
partnership (MLP) that operates petroleum product and crude oil
pipelines, storage tanks, distribution terminals, and loading rack
facilities. It is headquartered in Dallas, Texas and has a market
cap of $1.6 billion.
The partnership has consistently paid, and raised,
its distribution every quarter since going public in 2004.
That marks a remarkable 30 consecutive quarterly increases, even
during the Great Recession.
The Bottom Line
With interest rates expected to stay depressed for
quite some time, income investors need to explore other options. If
you're willing to stomach a little more risk over the short-run,
these 4 investments offer very attractive returns.
Todd Bunton is the Growth & Income Stock
Strategist for Zacks Investment Research and Editor of the Income
Plus Investor service.
CHEVRON CORP (CVX): Free Stock Analysis Report
CHEVRON CORP (CVX): Free Stock Analysis Report
CHEVRON CORP (CVX): Free Stock Analysis Report
HOLLY EGY PTNRS (HEP): Free Stock Analysis Report
HOLLY EGY PTNRS (HEP): Free Stock Analysis Report
HOLLY EGY PTNRS (HEP): Free Stock Analysis Report
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