3 Smart Beta ETFs to Beat the Market in 2014 - ETF News And Commentary
January 16 2014 - 11:52AM
Zacks
The ETF industry has
traditionally been dominated by products based on market
capitalization weighted indexes that are designed to represent the
market or a particular segment of the market. (Read: Best ETF
Strategies for 2014)
However many investors now demand more than just market benchmark
returns from their ETF investments and look for products that have
the potential to beat the market. These 'Advanced/Smart Beta' ETFs
attracted inflows of $46 billion last year, resulting in more than
20% increase in AUM.
Further most investors agree that stock market returns this year
may not be as spectacular as last year’s. In fact returns will most
likely be in high single to low double digit range. In such a
scenario, the demand for products that aim to and have to potential
to beat the market, while keeping the expenses low, will
rise.
What is Smart
Beta?
These indexes attempt to select stocks
that have better chances of risk-return
performance based
on certain fundamental characteristics or a combination of such
characteristics. While not so popular with retail investors yet,
these strategies have already become very popular with
institutional investors. Per some estimates,
'Smart Beta' products may attract about one-third of global
institutional equity allocations by 2018. (Read: 5 ETF
Predictions for 2014)
Below we have highlighted
three ‘Smart Beta’ options that we believe have the potential to
beat the market in 2014. All these ETFs mostly focus on large-cap
US companies, which will benefit from the brightening global growth
environment. Also, most of these companies have huge cash piles on
their balance-sheets and have been increasing dividends and
buybacks. Going forward, they are likely to spend more on capital
investments and hiring.
PowerShares FTSE RAFI US 1000 Portfolio (PRF)
PRF is based on RAFI index that aims to select stocks based on four
fundamental measures viz, book value, cash flow, sales and
dividends. The 1,000 equities with the highest fundamental strength
are weighted by their fundamental scores.
Exxon Mobil, Bank of America and Chevron are among the top holdings
but the asset base is pretty well spread out, with top 10 holdings
accounting for just 18% of the total.
PRF has returned 186.1% in the last five years compared with 141.2%
for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). (Read: Buy these ETFs to profit
from the earnings season)
The product charges an expense ratio of 39 basis points.
iShares MSCI US Quality Factor ETF (QUAL)
Academic research shows that high quality companies—as
determined by factors such as high earnings quality and low
leverage-- consistently deliver better risk adjusted returns than
the broader market over long term.
QUAL tracks the MSCI USA Index, which is comprised of high quality
stocks, by identifying stocks with high quality scores based on
three main fundamental variables: high return on equity (ROE),
stable year-over-year earnings growth and low financial
leverage. It charges a low expense ratio of 15 basis
points.
The product holds 124 securities in its portfolio with Google,
Exxon and Apple being the top three holdings. In terms of sectors,
Technology takes about 40% of the asset base, while Consumer
Discretionary, Energy, and Healthcare also get double digit
allocations. (Read: 3 Best Dividend ETFs of 2013)
Launched in July last year, the fund has already attracted an
impressive $285 million in assets so far. It returned 13.3% in the
last six months compared with 10.6% for SPY.
RevenueShares Large Cap (RWL)
Many analysts believe that revenues and not earnings are a better
indicator of a company’s financial health as earnings are easier to
“manage”.
RWL is comprised of the same securities as the S&P 500 index
but the holdings are ranked by top-line revenue instead of market
capitalization. Wal-Mart, Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Berkshire are
the top holdings as of now. Consumer Discretionary, Consumer
Staples. Energy and Financials occupy the top spots in terms of
sector exposure.
The product made its debut in February 2008. It has returned 161.1%
in compared with 141.2% for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) in last five
years.
Bottom-Line
Not all "Smart Beta" funds have outperformed their market-cap
weighted cousins. Further they usually have slightly higher expense
ratios and also come with higher trading costs. But some of them
are worth a look, given their excellent strategies and potential to
beat the market.
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PWRSH-FTSE RAFI (PRF): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-MS US QF (QUAL): ETF Research Reports
REVENU-LC (RWL): ETF Research Reports
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