Three Cyclical ETFs That Are Surging Higher - ETF News And Commentary
February 02 2012 - 4:17AM
Zacks
Although the Fed seems poised to keep emergency measures on the
economy until 2014 at the earliest, key sections of the U.S. market
are surging higher. This has been best evidenced by the
performances out of key bellwethers in recent days which have heavy
exposure to cyclical industries such as manufacturing or consumer
discretionary products. These industries often slump when the
economy is tumbling, but are among the biggest winners when the
economic environment is becoming more favorable. Given the recent
earnings reports from some of these companies, as well as strong
stock performances in the sectors in recent days, it isn’t
unreasonable to assume that we are entering a bull phase for these
cyclical stocks (read Which Auto ETF Should You Take For A
Ride?).
In light of this, investors may want to consider tilting their
portfolio to these segments which can include companies which are
heavily exposed to products such as vehicles and business hardware
or discretionary and leisure items on the consumer side. Should the
current economic trends continue, and if more cyclical companies
like CAT report solid earnings, we could see further gains in this
space over the next few months. While making a play on an
individual consumer stock could be a way to go, those seeking to
make a broad play on cyclical firms could be better served by
purchasing an ETF instead. For these investors, we highlight three
ETF picks below that have heavy exposure to cyclical
industries:
PowerShares Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment Portfolio (PEJ)
If investors expect consumers to rebound more than industrial
demand, a tilt towards the leisure and entertainment sectors could
be an interesting play. One option in this space is PEJ a fund that
tracks a benchmark of about 30 firms that are engaged in the
design, production or distribution of goods or services in the
leisure and entertainment industries. Additionally, investors
should note that the product looks to evaluate firms along a
variety of metrics, only including those with the most favorable
characteristics in the fund (also read Are Telecom ETFs In
Trouble?).
Currently, the product is heavy in content providers like CBS
and Viacom (VIA), while it also has a good deal of exposure to the
food sector with stocks such as Chipotle (CMG), Yum! (YUM) and
Starbucks (SBUX) occupying the top five holdings. If stocks
continue to rise and consumers feel more willing to open up their
pocketbooks, these companies could continue to benefit in the near
term as well. In fact, PEJ has gained close to 5.0% in the past
month alone, outpacing SPY by nearly 40 basis points in the
period.
Market Vectors Steel ETF (SLX)
If investors are expecting a broad increase in demand from the
industrial space, a closer look at the steel sector could be in
order. Steel finds its way into a number of products ranging from
appliances and cars to more industrial components such as ships,
buildings, and bridges. If the economy continues to rebound, steel
demand could jump higher and push companies that have heavy
exposure to the space higher in the months ahead.
In order to broadly play the space, investors could consider SLX
for purchase as the fund tracks a broad benchmark of companies
engaged in some aspect of the steel industry. This includes both
steel producers such as ArcelorMittal (MT) and Posco (PKX), as well
as iron ore producers such as Rio Tinto and Vale. This gives the
fund broad access to the space ensuring that all segments of the
steel supply chain are represented. Recently, investors have been
flowing back into the space in order to benefit from the
aforementioned trends. The product has gained nearly 16.2% in the
past month which represents a huge reversal from longer term
figures in which SLX slumped by nearly 34.5% in 2011 (read Steel
ETFs Head-to-Head).
iPath DJ-UBS Copper TR Sub-Index ETN (JJC)
For those seeking a commodity play, copper looks to be a quality
choice. The metal plays a crucial role in a variety of very
cyclical industries including plumbing, industrial production, and
most importantly, electrical wiring. Thanks to these uses,
and the lack of copper demand from the investment community as a
hedge like its precious metal counterparts, the metal tends to be
more impacted by economic trends than others in the space. As a
result, investors could make a play on greater demand by purchasing
this ETN from iPath. The note tracks the return available from
front month copper futures while also giving the return to
investors from T-Bills. With this focus, JJC has been another star
performer to start the year as this copper ETN has risen by just
under 13% in the past month which is a sharp contrast to the 25.5%
loss in 2011 (see Inside The FlexShares Natural Resource ETF).
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CATERPILLAR INC (CAT): Free Stock Analysis Report
CBS CORP (CBS): Free Stock Analysis Report
CHIPOTLE MEXICN (CMG): Free Stock Analysis Report
ARCELOR MITTAL (MT): Free Stock Analysis Report
POSCO-ADR (PKX): Free Stock Analysis Report
RIO TINTO-ADR (RIO): Free Stock Analysis Report
STARBUCKS CORP (SBUX): Free Stock Analysis Report
VIACOM INC-A (VIA): Free Stock Analysis Report
YUM! BRANDS INC (YUM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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