Steel ETF Jumps as Goldman Sachs Upgrades Industry - ETF News And Commentary
November 05 2013 - 10:06AM
Zacks
Across the materials space, investors have seen solid trading in a
number of names. This has been particularly the case in the steel
industry, as this segment has surged as of late thanks to some
positive trends in the space.
Among the top reasons for this jump are the focus on higher beta
names, and the risk-on atmosphere in the market. Additionally,
thanks to a lack of QE tapering, markets are once again embracing
commodity-linked investments, further adding to the bullish trend
(see all the Materials ETFs here).
This combination of factors has moved the only steel ETF in the
market, the Market
Vectors Steel ETF (SLX), up
significantly over the past three months. In fact, the fund has
added more than 17% in the time period, and is now on the verge of
posting positive numbers for the YTD time frame.
Can This Surge Continue?
Some might be worried that this run is becoming overextended, and
that steel stocks are due for a drop. However, there have been some
new catalysts in the space that could suggest a further run in the
industry.
This is especially the case after the latest news from Goldman
Sachs and their views on the industry. Two analysts at the
investment giant boosted their rating on the sector from ‘Cautious’
to ‘Neutral’, and apparently this was enough to generate some
optimism over the space (read Steel ETF Investing 101).
It also didn’t hurt that Goldman Sachs wrote that many of the risks
appear to be priced in at this point, and that fundamentals are
starting to look appealing. The firm also boosted their rating on
three stocks in particular—
US Steel (X), AK Steel (AKS),
and Steel Dynamics (STLD)—leading to a share price surge
in these names in Monday trading.
ETF Impact
As the only steel ETF on the market, SLX was bound to be one of the
biggest fund beneficiaries from the news. However, investors should
note that SLX is heavy in material companies like Rio Tinto and
Vale, as these account for nearly 25% of the total exposure
combined.
Still, the fund does have X, STLD, and AKS—the three aforementioned
upgraded companies—in its portfolio, though they don’t make up that
sizable of an allocation. SLX does have a significant mid and small
cap allocation (close to 50%), so you are definitely going to get
some higher beta securities in this product.
Thanks to this, SLX added about 1.8% in Monday trading, immediately
following the news. Volume was also elevated, as half a day of
trading was enough to get the fund past its usual daily average
(read Time to Bet on the Steel ETF).
Bottom Line
Things are looking up for the steel industry, as a solid trend in
the materials space is combining with a push towards higher beta
stocks to boost this sector. And now with Goldman’s improved
outlook, others might drift towards the industry too.
If that wasn’t enough, the steel-producers Industry—from a Zacks
Industry Rank perspective—is also quite good, coming in under the
top 30%. This suggests that the space is also looking great from an
earnings estimate revision perspective, so now might be the time to
consider a broad market steel play, such as with the Market
Vectors’ Steel ETF, in order to benefit from this solid trend in
the industry.
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AK STEEL HLDG (AKS): Free Stock Analysis Report
MKT VEC-STEEL (SLX): ETF Research Reports
STEEL DYNAMICS (STLD): Free Stock Analysis Report
UTD STATES STL (X): Free Stock Analysis Report
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