Thanks to growing worries over the euro zone and an employment
problem in the U.S., many investors are growing skeptical about a
broad recovery. Stocks have begun to reflect this pessimism as of
late while many portfolio managers and analysts have become
increasingly bearish in recent weeks as well.
This issue has further been compounded by sputtering markets in
emerging nations around the globe. Countries like China, India, and
Brazil were seen as key growth markets for many, but thanks to a
general slowdown in these nations too, growth prospects have become
pretty hard to come by, leading to a gloomy mood about the global
economy (also read Can You Beat These High-Dividend ETFs?).
Given this trend, some investors may want to position their
portfolios for the coming storm, especially if growth rates
continue to decline in the developed world. While looking to
consumer staples, utilities, or other safe sectors is certainly one
way to go, some investors could be better served by taking an ETF
approach to the problem.
By doing this, investors can gain basket exposure to a number of
securities, potentially reducing risk in the process. Additionally,
many ETFs have been able to open up new strategies to every day
investors, allowing many to position their portfolios for adverse
environments in ways that were impossible just a few years ago (see
more in the Zacks ETF Center).
Below, we highlight three of these great defensive ETFs that
could be used in a bear market. Each applies an interesting or
unique methodology in order to protect investors, potentially
shielding at least some of a portfolio against a weak economic
environment should the trend continue to be bearish in the global
economy:
AdvisorShares Active Bear ETF (HDGE)
This ETF goes short in a variety of equities hopefully targeting
those that have low earnings quality. By focusing on these
securities that have potentially weak fundamentals, the product
could be an interesting pair to a long portfolio, as these stocks
could underperform in a down market and thus result in strong
profits for holders of HDGE.
In order to find these potentially weak firms, the managers in
HDGE look to the income statement for clues. They focus in on
aggressive revenue recognition, inventory issues, reserve concerns,
serial charges, and tax issues, among others, to pinpoint companies
that may be masking weakness (read HDGE: the Active Bear ETF under
the Microscope).
Once the companies are indentified, the team then looks at the
overall market, technical factors, and risk levels in order to pick
which securities to include in the fund. Currently, consumer
discretionary firms, technology, and industrials make up the three
biggest weights in the fund.
Unfortunately, however, the fund does charge a pretty hefty fee,
thanks in large part to the short interest expense. Due to this
1.44% fee, net costs come in at a whopping 3.29% for the fund,
among the highest in the ETF world.
While this is unsettling, investors should note that the product
has crushed the S&P 500 over the past three months, outpacing
the benchmark by over 1,200 basis points (after fees) in the time
period.
Barclays ETN+ S&P VEQTOR ETN (VQT)
Volatile markets are usually not a great time to be holding
stocks. As a result investors can sometimes profit when uncertainty
is surging by investing in products linked to volatility indexes.
However, when volatility is low, it is probably best to stay in
stocks, suggesting that investors need to be ready to dynamically
allocate between these segments.
VQT does just that, albeit in ETN form. The note has three
components; equity, volatility, and cash, and depending on the
level of volatility in the market, it will shift between the three
distinct groups (see Inside the Barclays S&P VEQTOR ETN).
When volatility is low, an investment almost exclusively is made
in the S&P 500, while when volatility is high, a look to a
short-term VIX index is taken, putting up to 40% of the notional
portfolio in VIX-related securities. Then if events get really bad,
the entire portfolio shifts to cash in order to wait out the
storm.
This approach looks to miss the worst periods in the stock
market while still having the ability to be exposed to broad
markets when the economy is chugging along. However, investors
should note that the product does face credit risk—since it is an
ETN—while fees are relatively high at 95 basis points a year
although volume is moderate at roughly 47,000 shares a day.
U.S Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund (BTAL)
During uncertain market environments, a focus on low beta stocks
is usually warranted. These securities tend to be less volatile
than the overall market and when stocks are broadly plunging, they
can outperform their high beta peers.
An easy way to take advantage of this strategy is via the
relatively new BTAL from QuantShares. This product tracks the Dow
Jones U.S. Thematic Market Natural Anti-Beta Index which is an
equal weighted dollar neutral, sector neutral benchmark (see Three
Low Beta ETFs for the Uncertain Market).
The index’s strategy is to identify the lowest beta stocks and
go long in them while simultaneously going short in the highest
beta stocks. The fund looks to do this in equal amounts for both
the long and short positions, hopefully profiting off the spread
between these two segments.
Although this strategy has underperformed the broad Russell 1000
since inception, investors should note that the reverse has
happened in the trailing quarter. During this time, BTAL outgained
the Russell index by over 1,500 basis points, demonstrating that
the strategy can work very well in down markets.
However, investors should also note that the QuantShares fund
does have a relatively high expense ratio coming in at 0.99%.
Additionally, the fund has failed to capture a great deal of assets
so volume is relatively light while it can trade at a small premium
to NAV as well from time to time.
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QS-US MN AN-BET (BTAL): ETF Research Reports
ACTIVE-BEAR (HDGE): ETF Research Reports
BARCLY-SP VEQTR (VQT): ETF Research Reports
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