Social Media ETF in Focus As Twitter Plans IPO - ETF News And Commentary
September 13 2013 - 2:06PM
Zacks
Social media stocks remain in focus, as the space is reaching new
milestones this year. Popular names such as
Facebook
(FB) and
LinkedIn (LNKD) impressed with
their performances last quarter, leading to a torrid run in the ETF
tracking these companies.
In fact, the
Global X Social Media Index ETF
(SOCL) has surged over 49% in the year-to-date time frame,
clearly outpacing the broad technology fund (XLK) and U.S. market
fund (SPY) by wide margins. This trend is expected to continue in
the coming weeks as more good news is in store for the ETF (read:
Social Media ETF on Fire After String of Earnings Beats).
Yesterday, the fastest growing social media firm, Twitter, revealed
its plan to go public and filed the paperwork with U.S. regulators.
This offering would be the world’s largest in the technology space
since Facebook went public in May 2012.
Following the IPO – expected to be completed in early 2014 – SOCL
would add Twitter in its roster. However, the timing remains
unclear as to when Twitter will find its way to the market and then
to SOCL’s holdings.
Twitter IPO: A Boon or Bane for the Social
Space?
This IPO is likely to prove beneficial for the social media fund.
Backing our claim is the initial boom in the social media ETF space
when Facebook announced its IPO plans in February last year. The
ETF garnered enough investor interest on FB IPO talks with an
elevated average daily volume of nearly 50,000 shares (read: 3 ETFs
in Focus on Facebook's Earnings Beat).
However, after going public in May 2012, Facebook slipped below its
IPO price on the second trading session and began sliding more than
18% in just three trading days and nearly 27% in the month of
listing.
This is because the pricing issue marred the company’s transition
to being public. Facebook had overpriced its valuation to $100
billion prior to the IPO while its actual valuation was $60–$75
billion.
Since Facebook was added to SOCL holdings at the close of the fifth
trading session following the company’s IPO, it took a toll on the
ETF returns as well.
Coming to Twitter IPO talks, market researchers expect this social
media ace to evade the problems faced by Facebook, as the company
would adopt a different pricing strategy for its IPO price.
Additionally, Twitter will likely benefit from the boom in
technology IPOs that we having being seeing lately, as well as the
positive sentiment in the space (read: Profit from the Booming IPO
Market with This ETF).
Moreover, Twitter’s current valuation is estimated at around $9.0
billion by the Wall Street Journal. This is significantly lower
than Facebook’s valuation of $100.0 billion at the time of its IPO
in 2012.
Considering this, investors should definitely keep a close eye on
the movement of the social media ETF, both in the weeks ahead, and
once the Twitter IPO finally happens (see: all the Technology ETFs
here).
SOCL in Focus
The fund tracks the Solactive Social Media Index, which measures
the performance of companies involved in the social media industry,
including companies that provide social networking, file sharing,
and other Web-based media applications.
In total, the product holds 27 securities in the basket and is
heavily concentrated across each security. The top three holdings –
Tencent Holdings, Facebook and Sina Corp – together make up for
more than 36% of the total assets. In terms of country exposure,
U.S. firms take half of the portfolio, closely followed by China
(28%) and Japan (13%).
However, despite the solid performance and the in-focus nature of
the sector, the fund remains relatively unknown. In fact, the
product has amassed only $23.7 million in assets and sees light
volumes on most days. The ETF charges 0.65% in fees and expenses
(see more in the Zacks ETF Center).
Bottom Line
The Twitter IPO news has come at the perfect time as the social
media firms are now enjoying a huge rally. Facebook has now
recovered from all the losses that it faced during the troubled IPO
times, and it is currently trading at an all-time high. LNKD shares
are up more than 170% from their first day of trading, while Yelp
is up 150% since its first trade as well.
In this backdrop, investors should cautiously watch the performance
of SOCL in the tech space. Currently, the ETF has a Zacks Rank 3 or
‘Hold’ rating, and it is a great barometer for global sentiment
regarding social media investing going forward.
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FACEBOOK INC-A (FB): Free Stock Analysis Report
LINKEDIN CORP-A (LNKD): Free Stock Analysis Report
GLBL-X SOCL MDA (SOCL): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP 500 TR (SPY): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-TECH SELS (XLK): ETF Research Reports
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