Unemployment Rate Hits 30-Year Low But Job Quality Lags, According to CIBC World Markets Report
January 30 2006 - 10:31AM
PR Newswire (US)
TORONTO, Jan. 30 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- While the Canadian
unemployment rate is at a 30-year low and the pace of job creation
shows continued strength, job quality lags, according to the CIBC
World Markets Employment Quality Index (CIBCWM EQI) released today.
"The Canadian economy is generating jobs at a very rapid pace, but
the quality of these jobs is on the decline," said Benjamin Tal,
Senior Economist, CIBC World Markets. "The 255,000 new jobs created
in 2005 coincided with a 1.4 per cent decline in the CIBCWM EQI."
"Even though all the jobs created in Canada in 2005 were full-time
jobs, we need to look beyond the part-time versus full-time
distribution because not all full-time jobs are created equal -
some of them are low-paying and low-stability jobs," added Tal.
Since 2003, the number of full-time jobs in low-paying sectors,
such as many in the service industry, retail and wholesale trade,
has risen by 7.9 per cent, compared to only 4.8 per cent in
high-paying sectors, which include manufacturing, primary
industries (logging, mining), as well as transportation and
electronics. "Granted, a low quality job is better than no job, but
the headline employment figures exaggerate the real strength of the
Canadian labour market," said Tal. The report notes that a direct
consequence of the declining job quality is the relatively slow
growth in labour income, which averaged only 0.5 per cent annual
real growth per worker since 2002. "Looking ahead to 2006, we
expect employment quality to remain low," commented Tal. "With the
real estate market poised for a soft landing, the growth in high
quality construction jobs will likely lose momentum. At the same
time, with the Canadian dollar remaining strong, the number of
manufacturing jobs is projected to continue to decline." In order
to assess employment quality The CIBCWM EQI combines information on
three factors: part-time versus full-time employment;
paid-employment versus self-employment; and the relative level of
compensation associated with a given full-time paid employment
position. A copy of the Canadian Employment Quality Index report is
available at http://research.cibcwm.com/res/Eco/EcoResearch.html.
CIBC World Markets is the wholesale banking arm of CIBC, providing
a range of integrated credit and capital markets products,
investment banking, and merchant banking to clients in key
financial markets in North America and around the world. We deliver
innovative full capital solutions to growth- oriented companies and
are active in all capital markets. We offer advisory expertise
across a wide range of industries and provide top-ranked research
for our corporate, government and institutional investor clients.
DATASOURCE: CIBC World Markets CONTACT: Benjamin Tal, Senior
Economist, CIBC World Markets at (416) 956-3698, ; or Susan
McDougall, Communications and Public Affairs, CIBC at (416)
980-4047
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