- US dividends rose to a record $522.7bn, up 3.5% year-on-year;
underlying growth was 5.9%
- The median technology sector dividend increase on a per share
basis was 8%
- For 2022, Janus Henderson expects dividends to rise 7.5%
reaching a new record of $562bn
US dividends rose to a new record in 2021, according to the
latest Janus Henderson Global Dividend Study: US Edition. US
companies1 distributed $522.7bn, up 3.5% compared to 2020.
Underlying growth was 5.9% once adjusted for special dividends.
Nine companies in ten increased dividends or held them steady in
2021.
Dividend payout growth accelerated in the fourth quarter,
jumping to 11.2% on an underlying basis, reflecting broad-based
improvement and the reinstatement of some dividends cancelled
during the pandemic. Buybacks added significant additional cash to
the total returned to shareholders but drove down total US market
yield. It is now the lowest of any major world stock market, having
sunk below even Japan.
A new record forecast for 2022
For the year ahead, Janus Henderson expects dividend growth to
accelerate in the US, taking the total distributed to a new record
of $562bn, up 7.5% on a headline basis. The prospective yield on US
shares is 1.3%, far lower than other large, developed countries,
and well below its 2% long-run average. In addition to buybacks,
the low yield in the US is a function of very high company
valuations and sector mix.
Healthcare and financials contributed most to growth in 2021
but tech dividends biggest driver of long-term growth
Technology dividends continued their steady rise, up 5.4% on an
underlying basis, although lower one-off special payments mean that
the headline total was flat year-on-year at $91.2bn. The median, or
typical, dividend increase on a per share basis was 8.0%.
Technology dividends have been the biggest driver of long-term
growth, accounting for a quarter of the increase in US payouts in
the last ten years. In 2021, technology dividends were more than
four times larger than in 2011, increasing their share of the US
total from one tenth to one sixth.
Microsoft has comfortably consolidated its position as the
biggest dividend payer in the US, accounting for $1 in every $30 of
all US payouts. Last year, it distributed as much to its
shareholders as all the Italian companies in Janus Henderson’s
broader global study combined.
Financials and healthcare companies typically account for one
third of the total dividends paid in the US, but they contributed
three quarters of the growth in 2021, due especially to healthcare
where payouts jumped by a tenth. The cut from Wells Fargo drove a
decline in banking dividends, but across the general financials
sector there were significant increases from large institutions
like Morgan Stanley and Blackstone.
Along with banking, there were a handful of weak spots. Walt
Disney and Boeing are among a few casualties of the pandemic that
have yet to reinstate their dividends, and these held back media
and aerospace payouts overall.
Top 15 US dividend paying companies in 2021
Company
Sector
$bn
Microsoft Corporation
Software & Services
$17.3
AT&T, Inc.
Telecoms
$14.8
Exxon Mobil Corp,
Oil & Gas producers
$14.8
Apple Inc
IT Hardware & Electronics
$14.4
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Banks
$11.1
Johnson & Johnson
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech
$11.0
Verizon Communications Inc
Telecoms
$10.4
Chevron Corp.
Oil & Gas producers
$10.2
Abbvie Inc
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech
$9.2
Pfizer Inc.
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech
$8.7
Procter & Gamble Co.
Household & Personal Products
$8.3
Philip Morris International Inc
Tobacco
$7.6
Coca Cola Co
Beverages
$7.2
Home Depot Inc.
General Retail
$7.0
Bank Of America Corp.
Banks
$6.6
Matt Peron, Director of Research at Janus Henderson said
: “US dividends have grown every year for the last eleven
years, barely pausing for breath during the worst phase of the
pandemic. At the same time, share buybacks are reaching new record
highs. We expect both dividends and buybacks will continue to grow
this year as companies seek to return excess capital. This growth
should create attractive income opportunities for long-term
investors seeking a balance of income growth and the potential for
capital gains.”
______________________ 1
The study covers the 506 largest US
companies by market capitalisation – see report methodology for
more details
2
Latest buyback data as at Q3 2021
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© Janus Henderson Group plc.
D10035
C-0222-42266 02-15-2023
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sarah.johnson@janushenderson.com
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