MMM Marley Spoon SE

CONTINUED GROWTH AND MARGIN IMPROVEMENT IN Q3 2021

Marley Spoon AG (“Marley Spoon” or the “Company” ASX: MMM), a leading global subscription-based meal kit provider, is pleased to share with investors its highlights from the quarter ended 30 September 2021 (“Q3 2021”).

Conference Call

Management will present a business update to investors on a conference call at 6.00 pm AEDT on 28 October, the details of which have been released separately to ASX.

Highlights

• Q3 2021 net revenue at €79.2m, +14% versus the prior corresponding period (PCP) resulting in a 2-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 55% on a reported basis.
• Globally, Q3 Contribution Margin (CM) is 28%, up ~1.5pts compared to the previous quarter and in line with the PCP. Operational improvements in the US delivering margin gains.
• Q3 Operating EBITDA of ~€(13m) driven by investment in growth, capacity and talent.
• Finished Q3 with a total cash balance of €33m, up ~€17m vs. the PCP.
• Full year net revenue guidance revised given volatile consumer behaviour: now expected to grow between 26-28% (revised from prior guidance 30-35%)
• CM guidance maintained at ~29%, in line with CY 2020

Marley Spoon CEO, Fabian Siegel, highlighted, "Q3 net revenue growth is broadly in line with our expectations and an acceleration vs. the last quarter. Nevertheless, volatile customer behaviour during the Northern Hemisphere summer resulted in higher-than-normal skip rates and a higher cost acquisition environment. In order to maintain attractive unit economics, we reduced customer acquisitions, which will impact Q4 and therefore require us to revise our 2021 net revenue growth to 26-28%.

We have since seen a recovery in base behaviour and improved customer acquisition costs. Given these factors, Q4 net revenue growth is trending higher than Q3 2021 and the PCP. The overall structural growth trend for online groceries remains intact and gives us confidence that we will continue to sustain high growth rates at attractive unit economics.

We are also encouraged by our margin trajectory, having improved operational contribution margin quarter over quarter, with progressive improvement within Q3. These gains are driven primarily by improvements in our US operations and the successful implementation of price increases toward the end of Q3. This positive trajectory is expected to continue in Q4.

In Q3 2021 we continued to invest in people, processes, and infrastructure that were necessary after doubling our business in 2020 and that will lay the foundation for further growth in 2022. These investments were balanced with disciplined investment in marketing, but also resulted in negative Operating EBITDA of €(13m).

In Q4 we expect continued revenue growth and expanded margins to lead to a significantly lower level of Operating EBITDA losses vs. Q3.

I would like to thank our teams that are working hard every day to build manufacturing excellence at scale and to delight our customers globally, even while facing a volatile operating environment.”

Q3 2021 BUSINESS UPDATE

Marley Spoon reported net revenue of €79.2 million for the third quarter in 2021, an increase of 14% vs. the PCP.

The net revenue growth was driven by all regions, with Australia leading at 30% growth compared to the PCP as the Company continued to invest in marketing to build its back-book of business.

Globally, CM landed at 28.1%, up ~1.5pts quarter over quarter and in line with the PCP. Operating Contribution Margin (Operating CM), defined as CM excluding the impacts of marketing vouchers and fixed costs such as expenses relating to site leases, reached 38% in Q3 globally, up 1.7pts vs. the previous quarter and up 1.5pts vs. the PCP. The quarterly margin performance was supported by operational improvements as well as the successful implementation of price increases to offset inflation, particularly in the US.

The continued investments in marketing to drive growth and in G&A to strengthen our operational bench, processes and systems led to an Operating EBITDA loss of €(13m) for the quarter.

Consolidated Income Statement (unaudited)   € in millions

Q3 2021

 

Q3 2020

 

% vs. PY

 

Q3 2021 YTD

 

Q3 2020 YTD

 

% vs. PY

Revenue

79.2

 

69.3

 

14%

 

237.2

 

185.5

 

28%

Cost of goods sold

43.0

 

36.8

 

17%

 

128.9

 

96.9

 

33%

% of revenue

54.3%

 

53.1%

 

1.2 pts

 

54.3%

 

52.3%

 

2 pts

Gross Profit

36.2

 

32.5

 

11%

 

108.3

 

88.6

 

22%

% of revenue

45.7%

 

46.9%

 

(1.2 pts)

 

45.7%

 

47.7%

 

(2 pts)

Fulfilment expenses

14.0

 

13.2

 

6%

 

42.9

 

34.2

 

25%

% of revenue

17.7%

 

19.0%

 

(1.4 pts)

 

18.1%

 

18.5%

 

(0.4 pts)

Contribution margin (CM)

22.2

 

19.3

 

15%

 

65.4

 

54.3

 

20%

% of revenue

28.1%

 

27.9%

 

0.2 pts

 

27.6%

 

29.3%

 

(1.7 pts)

Operating CM %

38.0%

 

36.6%

 

1.5 pts

 

37.5%

 

37.1%

 

0.3 pts

Marketing expenses

22.2

 

9.9

 

125%

 

54.5

 

31.3

 

74%

% of revenue

28.1%

 

14.2%

 

14 pts

 

23.0%

 

16.9%

 

6 pts

G&A expenses

15.6

 

10.7

 

46%

 

45.7

 

29.5

 

55%

% of revenue

19.7%

 

15.4%

 

4 pts

 

19.3%

 

15.9%

 

3 pts

EBIT

(15.6)

 

(1.2)

 

(14)

 

(34.8)

 

(6.5)

 

(28)

Operating EBITDA

(12.7)

 

0.4

 

(13)

 

(27.5)

 

(1.6)

 

(26)

% of revenue

(16.1%)

 

0.6%

 

(17 pts)

 

(11.6%)

 

(0.9%)

 

(11 pts)

SEGMENT REVIEW

United States

• Q3 2021 net revenue up 3% compared to the PCP
• Q3 2021 CM at 23%, 40bps better vs. the PCP; Operating CM reached 34%, nearly 2pts better vs. the PCP
• Operating EBITDA landed at ~€(5m) in Q3 2021

While Active Subscribers grew 5%, extensive post-lockdown summer vacation behaviour led to higher skip rates and lower acquisition volume, resulting in lower average orders per Active Subscriber as well as lower Active Customers.

Staffing challenges, higher labour rates and food cost inflation are continuing to impact contribution margin. In Q3 the team was able to offset those impacts and expand margin vs. the previous quarter through operational improvements and successful price actions that were taken in Q3 on both brands. Operating CM improved by ~2pts year-over-year.

In September, the Company moved into its new manufacturing centre in California, tripling its footprint and adding additional capacity for future growth. The roll-out of the Company’s new manufacturing process in all three sites in the US also took place, simplifying our operations, improving the customer experience and enabling further order personalisation.

Australia

• Q3 2021 revenue up 30% compared to the PCP
• Q3 2021 CM at 34.2% vs. 35.6% in the PCP; Operating CM reached 43.5%, flat vs. PCP
• Operating EBITDA landed at €(1.1m) in Q3 2021

Due to lockdown related tailwinds, Australia delivered 30% revenue growth while Active Subscribers grew 35% year-on-year.

Despite operating in a challenging lockdown environment, the team delivered strong operational performance, with Operating CM of 43.5%, in line with the prior year. CM was down year-over-year, primarily impacted by higher investments in customer acquisitions, leading to a higher acquisition voucher share, as the Company took advantage of the favourable customer acquisition environment.

The Company has just launched its Marley Spoon brand in WA, making both of its meal kit brands available in all states and mainland territories across the country. Early data suggests a strong uptake of Marley Spoon in WA, adding a further growth opportunity for 2022.

Europe

• Q3 2021 revenue up 15% compared to the PCP
• Q3 2021 CM at 25.8%, in line with the PCP; Operating CM reached 34.3% also in line with the PCP
• Operating EBITDA loss of €(2m) excluding global headquarter costs in Q3 2021

As in the US, Europe saw extensive post-lockdown holiday-related customer behaviour impacting revenue which grew 15% vs. the PCP, while Active Subscribers grew 34% year-on-year.

Europe also experienced some labour shortages as well as wage rate and food cost inflation. Nevertheless, the Company improved its Contribution Margin and Operating CM vs. Q2.

KEY OPERATING METRICS

Customer behaviour remained volatile in Q3, with customers in the US and Europe demonstrating extensive post-lockdown vacationing behaviour while Australian customers went back into lockdown. This impacted base sales as well as acquisitions and as a result Active Subscribers were up 20% YoY, but slightly down vs. the prior quarter. Customers in the Northern hemisphere demonstrated lower order frequency and basket size while the opposite was witnessed in Australia (increased order frequency/basket size).

The Company's Active Subscribers generated on average 6.4 orders in the quarter, down 10% vs. the PCP. However, the Company saw a sizable increase in average order value, reaching €46.8, a 5% increase vs. the PCP, thanks to a successful price increase to offset input cost inflation.

Operating KPIs   preliminary & unaudited

Q3 2021

 

Q3 2020

 

V%

Group

 

 

 

 

 

Active customers1 (k)

413

 

362

 

14%

Active subscribers2 (k)

265

 

220

 

20%

Number of orders (k)

1691

 

1563

 

8%

Orders per customer

4.1

 

4.3

 

(5%)

Orders per subscriber

6.4

 

7.1

 

(10%)

Meals (m)

14.4

 

13.1

 

10%

Avg. order value (€, net)

46.8

 

44.4

 

5%

Avg. order value (€, net) in CC

46.3

 

44.4

 

4%

 

 

 

 

 

Australia

 

 

 

 

 

Active customers1 (k)

169

 

123

 

38%

Active subscribers2 (k)

93

 

68

 

35%

Number of orders (k)

710

 

545

 

30%

Meals (m)

6.6

 

4.8

 

35%

 

 

 

 

 

USA

 

 

 

 

 

Active customers1 (k)

173

 

180

 

(4%)

Active subscribers2 (k)

114

 

108

 

5%

Number of orders (k)

705

 

772

 

(9%)

Meals (m)

5.7

 

6.4

 

(10%)

 

 

 

 

 

Europe

 

 

 

 

 

Active customers1 (k)

71

 

60

 

18%

Active subscribers2 (k)

59

 

44

 

34%

Number of orders (k)

276

 

245

 

13%

Meals (m)

2.1

 

1.9

 

14%

1. Active Customers are customers who have purchased a Marley Spoon or Dinnerly meal kit at least once over the past 3 months.
2. Active Subscribers are customers who have ordered or skipped a Marley Spoon or Dinnerly meal kit, on an average weekly basis, during the quarter.

CASH FLOW

The Company ended Q3 2021 with a cash balance of €33m, an improvement of ~€17m vs. the PCP. Cash from operating activities landed at €(7.7m), better than our Operating EBITDA landing, thanks in part to the Company’s negative working capital model.

In the quarter, Marley Spoon entered into another asset financing facility with National Australia Bank Limited (NAB) for €3.7M (AUD 6 million). The financing was used to fund the development of the new Sydney fulfilment centre and bears 3.5% interest. Additionally, in Q3, W23 Investments Pty Limited, an affiliate of Woolworths Group Limited, exercised its right to convert the last two outstanding convertible bonds issued by the Company (for a combined amount of €17.2m) into shares, thereby significantly improving the Company’s balance sheet.

This week, the Company drew the remaining balance of the USD $45m Tranche 1 available to Marley Spoon from Runway Growth Capital. Like the first USD $30m drawn, the current USD $15m disbursement is earmarked for the Company’s capex plans, notably its digital platforms and further fulfillment centre expansion. Tranche 2 of USD $20m remains undrawn.

The Company expects to finish 2021 with adequate cash and existing funding facilities to continue to fund its growth strategy in 2022.

Finally, for the third quarter, cash payments for compensation to related parties of the entity (members of the Supervisory and Management Boards) were €215 thousand in aggregate.

2021 Full Year Guidance

• Marley Spoon is revising its 2021 net revenue guidance. The Company now expects to grow net revenue between 26-28% YOY in CY 2021.
• The Company reaffirms its 2021 CM guidance for CY 2021 of ~29%, in line with the PCP.

INVESTOR CONFERENCE CALL

An investor conference call will be held at 6.00 pm AEDT on 28 October 2021. Pre-registration links and dial-in details have been released separately.

This announcement has been authorised for release to ASX by the Board of Directors of Marley Spoon AG.

About Marley Spoon

Marley Spoon (MMM:ASX, GICS: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail) is a global direct-to-consumer brand company that is solving everyday recurring problems in delightful and sustainable ways. Founded in 2014, Marley Spoon currently operates in three primary regions: Australia, United States and Europe (Austria, Belgium, Germany, Denmark, Sweden and the Netherlands).

With Marley Spoon’s meal-kits, you decide what to eat, when to eat, and leave behind the hassle of grocery shopping. To help make weeknights easier and dinners more delicious, our meal kits contain step-by-step recipes and pre-portioned seasonal ingredients to cook better, healthy meals for your loved ones.

As consumer behaviour moves towards valuing the convenience aspect of online ordering, Marley Spoon’s global mission through its various brands, such as Marley Spoon, Martha Stewart & Marley Spoon, and Dinnerly, is to help millions of people to enjoy easier, smarter and more sustainable lives.

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211028005482/en/

COMPANY INFORMATION: Fabian Siegel, Marley Spoon CEO fabian@marleyspoon.com

INVESTOR QUERIES: Michael Brown, Pegasus 0400 248 080 mbrown@pegasusadvisory.com.au

REGISTERED ADDRESS: Paul-Lincke-Ufer 39/40 10999 Berlin Germany