By Carla Mozee
Mexican stocks fell Thursday, hurt by concerns about worsening
economic conditions in the United States, its largest trading
partner, and by a report that Mexican inflation climbed last month,
leaving consumer prices perched at their highest level since
2000.
Mexico's benchmark equity index, the IPC, closed 0.7% lower at
21,955.40. The benchmark finished off its lowest levels of the
session, but marked its fourth consecutive loss.
Shares of Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) fell 0.4%. The retailer on
Wednesday said its same-store sales in December fell 0.8%.
Fourth-quarter sales at stores open for at least a year rose 1.8%
compared with the year-ago period.
The shares should be under pressure in the short-term, said
Credit Suisse, in part because Walmex "does not have a competitive
position as strong as the one held during previous downturns,
limiting its defensive nature." The broker also reiterated its
underperform rating on Walmex.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 27
points, or 0.3%, to 8,742.46. Index component and the world's
largest retailer, Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT), surprised investors
by cutting its fourth-quarter forecast after its same-store sales
in December fell short of estimates.
Wal-Mart's "softness is concerning," said Ken Perkins of Retail
Metrics. "Consumers are clearly feeling significant levels of pain
and curtailing consumption accordingly."
Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. economy.
Mexico sends more than 80% of its goods to the U.S.
Mexico's Finance Minister Agustin Carstens on Thursday said he
expects flat economic growth in 2009 as a result of the economic
recession in the U.S., according to media reports.
In Mexico City, shares of interest-rate sensitive banking stocks
ended lower. Grupo Financiero Banorte lost 0.8%, Grupo Financiero
Inbursa shed 0.2%, and Banco Compartamos shares fell 1.6%.
Mexico's central bank said Thursday that increased prices for
food and gas pulled the consumer price index in December up by
0.69%, in line with the 0.66% estimate by economists surveyed by
Dow Jones Newswires.
The move put 2008 annual inflation at 6.53%, up from 6.23% in
November and well above the government's 3% annual inflation
target.
Excluding volatile prices for food and energy, the core
inflation rate was 5.73% last month.
The central bank has kept its key interest rate at 8.25% since
September, and it has "delayed a potential relaxation cycle until
the beginning of this year, despite the worsening of external
conditions and the evidence of a deeper deceleration of the Mexican
economy," said Alfredo Coutiño, senior Latin American economist at
Moody's Economy.com, in a note Thursday.
Inflation will begin to decline during the first half of 2009 as
international prices ease, he said.
"Under these circumstances, the monetary relaxation most
probably will arrive when the economy will be approaching zero
growth," said Coutiño, who also forecast Mexico's inflation rate in
2009 to be in the range of 4% to 4.5%.
On Wednesday, the Mexican government said it would freeze
gasoline prices, lower electricity rates for businesses and inject
2 billion pesos into struggling industries in an effort to help
offset pressure from sluggish conditions in the U.S.
Meanwhile, Standard & Poor's on Thursday projected that
weighted average real GDP growth in Latin America in 2009 will drop
to 2.1% from 4.8% in 2008.
Elsewhere on the market, shares of infrastructure concern Ideal
fell 6.1% and construction company Carso Infraestructura &
Construccion lost 5.5% to lead session decliners.
Ideal and Cisca, along with retailer Grupo Famsa, airport
operator Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) and restaurant
operator Alsea, will be exiting the IPC as of Feb. 3, the Mexican
stock exchange operator said Thursday.
Entering the index will be exchange operator Bolsa Mexicana de
Valores, airport operator Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte
(OMAB), steel maker Industrias CH SAB and mining firm Compania
Minera Autlan.
In other regional markets, Chile's IPSA shook off losses to rise
0.3% to 2,485.67. The country's central bank on Thursday slashed
its benchmark interest rate by a full point to 7.25%, more than
market expectations for a cut ranging between 50 to 75 basis
points.
Banco Central de Chile said in a statement that the move stems
from expectations "of a significant fall in medium-term inflation,
due to the drastic change in the macroeconomic outlook."
The government on Tuesday said the consumer price index in
December dropped 1.2% as prices for fuel declined. Annual inflation
stood at 7.1%, compared with 8.9% in November. The central bank's
target for annual inflation is 3%, plus or minus one percentage
point.
Shares of Banco de Chile (BCH) edged up 0.1% and Banco
Santander-Chile (SAN) rose 1.4%.
Retailer Distribucion Y Servicio (DYS), which agreed last month
to be purchased by Wal-Mart Stores, lost 0.8% on Thursday.
Brazil's Bovespa index rose 2.9% to 41,990.55. The index fell
3.5% on Wednesday.
Market heavyweight and oil giant Petrobras (PBR) shares rose
4.3% and iron-ore producer Vale (RIO) shares rose 3.7%.
Argentina's Merval finished 2% higher at 1,182.79.
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