Illinois Tool Works CEO: Economic Recovery Will Be Uneven
May 28 2009 - 6:05PM
Dow Jones News
The recovery in the U.S. economy will be uneven and prolonged,
with significant improvement in the housing industry not likely
until 2011, Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Chief Executive David
Speer said Thursday.
Speer said he doubts the U.S. industrial sector will rebound
much during the second half of 2009, as some executives are
anticipating. Instead, he sees the middle of 2010 as a more
realistic time frame for a recovery.
The Illinois-based diversified manufacturer operates more than
875 businesses, with concentrations in building supplies,
automotive components, welding equipment, packaging and commercial
kitchen equipment. ITW reported first-quarter sales declines of
more than 20% of in many of its business lines.
"I don't expect there to be any significant rebound in these
markets this year," Speer said during comments at a Sanford C.
Bernstein & Co. investor conference in New York that was
Webcast. "I think the recovery will be more prolonged."
Speer predicted the recovery in the U.S. housing market won't
take hold until 2011.
He said inventory destocking has mostly been completed in ITW's
end markets, but added the pace of restocking will be slow and
cautious.
"I don't expect to see any rapid restocking occurring," he said.
"People want to avoid a false bottom. They're going to be reluctant
to put much stock back into the system."
ITW has been averaging about $1 billion a year in new revenue
from business acquisitions in recent years. But Speer said the
acquisition market has grown cold because business owners are
reluctant to sell when plunging sales and profits drive down
valuations.
"Sellers are not wanting to sell at the bottom, and if they can,
they're going to wait," he said.
ITW shares closed down 0.8% at $32.14 Thursday.
-By Bob Tita, Dow Jones Newswires; 312-750-4129;
robert.tita@dowjones.com