Bitcoin Bullish: Trader Profit-Taking Stays Low Despite $71,000 Break
October 30 2024 - 10:00AM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holders have only been
taking minimal profits recently despite the asset’s latest rally.
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Is Currently At Relatively Low
Levels As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake
post, the short-term holder SOPR is still under the range that has
signaled overheated conditions for the asset during the past year.
The “Spent Output Profit Ratio” (SOPR) here refers to an indicator
that tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors as a whole are
selling their coins at a profit or loss. Related Reading: Ethereum
Bullish Signal: Whales Withdraw $750 Million In ETH From Exchanges
When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the
average holder on the network is transferring their coins at a net
profit. On the other hand, it being under this mark implies
loss-taking is dominant. In the context of the current discussion,
the SOPR of a specific segment of the BTC userbase is of interest:
the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the BTC
investors who bought their coins within the past 155 days.
Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the
less likely they become to sell them at any point. As the STHs are
relatively young holders, they don’t carry much resilience, and
thus, can be prone to panic selling whenever a major change occurs
in the market, like a rally or crash. Now, here is a chart that
shows the trend in the Bitcoin STH SOPR over the past year or so:
As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH SOPR has been
above the 1 level recently, suggesting that this group has been
realizing a net amount of profit with their transactions. With the
latest bullish push that BTC has seen beyond the $71,000 level, the
metric has seen some uplift, as the STHs have ramped up their
profit-taking. The indicator is now sitting at 1.017. It’s apparent
from the chat, however, that this is not actually that high a
value. According to the quant, the indicator has shown to be
overheated whenever it has broken 1.03 during the recent phase of
consolidation. The latest value has clearly been under this mark.
As such, the rally could have more room to grow, before the
profit-taking from the STHs becomes a threat. This is only assuming
that the same 1.03 boundary would apply to the current market as
well, since the STH SOPR had been able to visit much higher levels
before Bitcoin had encountered a top in March of this year. Related
Reading: “Time To Get Ready For Another Bull Run,” Bitcoin Analyst
Says— Here’s Why The indicator could be to monitor in the coming
days, as where it goes next could provide hints about where the
cryptocurrency’s price might also be going. BTC Price Sitting at
the $71,200 level, Bitcoin is now not far from surpassing the high
witnessed back in June. Featured image from Dall-E,
CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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