Is Another Bitcoin Rally Coming Soon? This Pattern May Say So
July 31 2023 - 9:40AM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows a pattern in the stablecoin shark and whale
holdings that may suggest the Bitcoin rally could make a return in
the near future. Stablecoin Sharks & Whales Have Been
Accumulating Recently According to data from the on-chain analytics
firm Santiment, the sharks and whales of the major stablecoins have
been increasing their reserves while Bitcoin has been struggling
recently. The “sharks” and “whales” are two of the largest cohorts
in the sector, with investors belonging to the former holding at
least $100,000 and at most $1 million worth of the asset, while the
latter has wallet balances in the $1 million to $10 million range.
Due to such large holdings, these investors can potentially move
around a large number of coins at once, something that can make
them influential entities in the market. In the context of the
current discussion, the sharks and whales of stablecoins are of
interest. In particular, the four largest players in the market are
of relevance here: Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), Binance USD
(BUSD), and Dai (DAI). Santiment has used its “Supply Distribution”
metric to track the holdings of these humongous holders and this
indicator tells us about the percentage of the supply that each
group in the market is holding right now. Here is a chart that
shows the trend in this metric specifically for the sharks and
whales of the top 4 stablecoins in the sector: The metrics appear
to have been going up in recent days | Source: Santiment on Twitter
As displayed in the above graph, the holdings of these stablecoin
sharks and whales have been on the rise recently. Interestingly,
while this trend has formed, the price of Bitcoin has dipped below
the $30,000 level. A similar pattern in the supply held by these
large investors had also formed last month, as these investors had
been buying more stablecoins, while BTC had been on a decline. What
followed this period of accumulation back then was a sharp Bitcoin
rally that had taken the cryptocurrency’s price above the $30,000
level. An explanation of this curious trend may lie in what the
holdings of these large stablecoin holders signify. Generally,
these investors opt for stables whenever they want to exit volatile
assets such as BTC. Related Reading: Stanford MBA Explains Why Next
Bitcoin Cycle Could Be “Bigger” Such holders, however, usually only
seek to temporarily take shelter in these dollar-tied tokens,
because if they wanted to stay away from the sector for extended
periods, they would have exited through other means like fiat.
Thus, these investors would eventually shift their stablecoins into
Bitcoin and others again, and with this exchange, provide a bullish
boost to their prices. This is why the supply of these sharks and
whales may be looked at as the available buying pressure that these
humongous investors can put on the asset at any point they want.
From the chart, it’s visible that the BTC rally above $30,000
didn’t actually kick off from new money being pumped back into the
asset by the sharks and whales, but rather the conversions that
they made back into the asset, as their holdings decreased while
the rally happened. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Reserve Rising:
Good News For BTC Bulls? As the large investors of the major
stables have again been accumulating recently, it’s possible that
Bitcoin could see a bullish effect from this down the road once
more, although it’s uncertain how long it may be before these
investors deploy their stablecoins back into the market. Bitcoin
Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $29,300, up
1% in the last week. BTC has stagnated since the decline | Source:
BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on
Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Santiment.net
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