Interest Rate Cut Impact: Bitcoin Price Reaction Unraveled With Future Projections
December 19 2024 - 5:30AM
NEWSBTC
The Bitcoin price experienced a significant downturn on Wednesday,
briefly falling below the $100,000 milestone as the US Federal
Reserve’s (Fed) cautious outlook on interest rate cuts dampened
crypto investments. At one point in Wednesday’s trading
session, the market’s leading crypto dropped to $98,760 before
recovering to the six-figure mark. Other cryptocurrencies,
including Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE), also faced
substantial retraces. Fed’s Cautious Rate Cut Sparks
Uncertainty In Markets The Federal Reserve’s decision to lower
borrowing costs for the third consecutive time came with a tempered
forecast for future reductions, particularly for 2025. Chair Jerome
Powell emphasized that more progress is needed on inflation before
the central bank can consider further easing of monetary
policy. Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty,
noted that the Fed’s decision was largely anticipated given recent
trends in US inflation and economic activity. However, it
acted as a catalyst for shedding some of the “speculative excess”
that had entered risk assets, including stocks and Bitcoin,
especially following the recent US elections, according to
Sycamore. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Still Mirroring
Bullish Move From 2023, What To Expect After Hitting $108,000 ATH
Despite this dip, the Bitcoin price remains up approximately 50%
since the US elections on November 5, largely due to
President-elect Donald Trump’s commitment to deregulating the
cryptocurrency sector while floating the idea of establishing a
national stockpile of Bitcoin, further boosting market sentiment.
Paul Veradittakit, managing partner at Pantera Capital, expressed
optimism about the Bitcoin price future, stating, “All signs point
to a good floor and outlook for Bitcoin,” even as some traders took
profits following the Fed meeting. Market dynamics shifted
post-Fed meeting, with Sean McNulty, director of trading at
liquidity provider Arbelos Markets, reporting an uptick in demand
for options to hedge against potential Bitcoin declines. Zann
Kwan, chief investment officer at Revo Digital Family Office,
indicated that a temporary retreat into the low $90,000s for
Bitcoin is possible. Bitcoin Price Eyes Key Resistance Level At
$105,400 Crypto analyst Ali Martinez provided insights into market
sentiment, emphasizing that current market behavior reflects
expectations about future conditions rather than past events.
The analyst noted that while the 25 basis point rate cut was
largely anticipated, the Fed’s updated outlook for 2025 was not
well received. Instead of three anticipated rate cuts in 2025, the
Fed now projects only two, raising concerns about persistent
inflation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Peak Between $160,000 And
$290,000 If These Historical Patterns Repeat – Report Recent
inflation data has also been disheartening, with core consumer
price index (CPI) figures annualizing at 4% and core personal
consumption expenditures (PCE) approaching 3.5%. Producer price
index (PPI) figures are similarly trending upward, suggesting that
inflation could remain an ongoing challenge. However, Martinez
emphasizes that the real turning point came during Powell’s press
conference when he described the decision as a “closer call,”
indicating that not all Fed officials were in agreement about the
cuts. This sent the US dollar soaring to levels not seen since
2022, which typically correlates with declines for BTC. Martinez
also disclosed that the Bitcoin price had broken out of a
head-and-shoulders pattern on Wednesday, which resulted in its drop
just below $99,000, but emphasized that the cryptocurrency must
surpass $105,400 to negate any bearish outlook. At the time of
writing, the Bitcoin price stands at $101,180, down 2.2% over the
past 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from
TradingView.com
Dogecoin (COIN:DOGEUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From Nov 2024 to Dec 2024
Dogecoin (COIN:DOGEUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From Dec 2023 to Dec 2024