When Spot Ethereum ETFs Go Live ‘Expect A Bloodbath’, Says Expert
May 24 2024 - 4:20AM
NEWSBTC
Thomas Fahrer, co-founder of Apollo, a firm focused on Bitcoin
adoption, has issued a stark warning regarding the potential market
dynamics following the approval of spot Ethereum ETFs. As the
market anticipates this new development, Fahrer suggests that the
transition might not be smooth for Ethereum. “The Grayscale
Ethereum Trust launched in 2017 and accumulated most of its $9
billion dollars worth of ETH well before staking existed. These
funds will be unlocked now. Expect a bloodbath. It will accelerate
the ETH -> BTC Trade. Hold me to account if I’m wrong. But I
doubt it,” Fahrer declared via social media platform X. Spot
Ethereum ETFs – A “Sell The News” Event? The imminent approval of
spot Ethereum ETFs, similar to earlier this year’s launch of spot
Bitcoin ETFs, is expected to convert the $9 billion (approximately
2.94 million ETH) locked in Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) into
one such ETF. Historical precedent with Bitcoin suggests potential
volatility; after the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin
experienced more than a 20% drop in value within 12 days amid
significant sell-offs from similar conversions. Related Reading:
Ethereum Soars 5.6% Ahead Of ETF Decision, Analysts Set Bigger
Price Target One of the main reasons the spot BTC ETF approval
turned out to be a “sell the news” event was Grayscale’s transition
from an Ethereum Trust to a spot ETF. Until now, Grayscale’s
Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw outflows of more than 50% of its BTC
holdings. And the ETHE could be reinforced by the fact that ETH
staking is a lucrative option to earn an additional yield.
Currently, Grayscale holds over $9 billion in locked Ethereum that
cannot be sold or traded until the ETF is operational. Should the
approval go through, this large amount of Ethereum will suddenly
become liquid, potentially leading to substantial market sell-offs
if initial demand does not meet the volume of outflows from
Grayscale’s new ETF. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Come Alive:
Are They Buying Or Selling? Julio Moreno, head of research at
CryptoQuant, highlighted a critical market indicator that could
suggest the market has already begun to react. “Seems like the
market has already priced the Ethereum spot ETF approval.
Grayscale’s ETHE discount to ETH has significantly narrowed in the
last few days. The same happened between GBTC and Bitcoin as the
Bitcoin Spot ETF approval was nearing,” Moreno noted via X. While
the short-term impact might mirror the turbulent times seen during
the Bitcoin ETF launch, the long-term implications for Ethereum
could be different. Observers note that despite the initial
downturns seen in Bitcoin’s valuation post-ETF, the introduction of
a spot ETF was eventually beneficial, leading to greater market
acceptance and a price surge. “BTC rallied 75% in 63 days after the
spot ETF was approved. If ETH follows the same trend (if approved),
this would take it to $6,446 by July 23,” crypto analyst Miles
Deutscher noted. At press time, ETH traded at $3,676. Featured
image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
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