Bitcoin Not ‘Overvalued’ Yet, Says CryptoQuant CEO: Here’s Why
June 04 2024 - 12:00PM
NEWSBTC
The CEO of the on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant explained that
Bitcoin’s price isn’t currently overvalued based on its network
fundamentals. Bitcoin Price May Not Be Overvalued Yet Based On
Thermo Cap Ratio In a new post on X, CryptoQuant CEO and founder Ki
Young Ju has discussed about how the recent trend in the Bitcoin
Thermo Cap Ratio has been like. The “Thermo Cap” is a
capitalization model for BTC that calculates the total value of the
asset by taking each token’s value as the same as the spot price
when it was mined on the network. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst
Says Bitcoin Will Rise To $79,600 If This Holds Put another way,
this model calculates the cumulative value of the coins mined by
the miners since the inception of the blockchain. This is quite
different from what, for example, the usual market cap does. In the
market cap’s case, the current spot price is taken as the value of
all coins in circulation. As the coins that miners mine are the
only way to increase the cryptocurrency’s supply, the Thermo Cap
may be considered a measure of the “true” capital inflows coming
into the network. Here is a chart that displays how the Bitcoin
Thermo Cap has changed over its history: As the above graph shows,
the Thermo Cap has seen an accelerating growth curve. This
naturally reflects the increasing amount of capital flowing into
the asset over the years. In the context of the current topic,
though, the indicator of interest isn’t the Thermo Cap itself but
rather the Thermo Cap Ratio. This metric tracks the ratio between
the Bitcoin market cap and the Thermo Cap. The chart below shows
the trend in the Thermo Cap Ratio over the asset’s history. An
interesting pattern is visible in the graph. It appears that very
high values of the Thermo Cap Ratio have coincided with highs in
the cryptocurrency’s price. Related Reading: Bitcoin Has Solid
On-Chain Cushion Below $68,900: Stage Set For Fresh Rally? At high
values, the Bitcoin market cap is quite large compared to the
Thermo Cap, meaning that coins are trading at a much higher rate
than they were mined at. It’s also apparent that bottoms in BTC
occur when the ratio assumes low values. The recent trend in the
indicator has been that of a rise, but its value has not touched
the levels where bull run tops would have happened in the past.
“Bitcoin is not currently overvalued based on network
fundamentals,” notes the CryptoQuant founder. BTC Price Bitcoin has
been unable to break out of its range recently as its price has
kept up the trend of sideways movement. At present, BTC is trading
at around $68,900. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com,
chart from TradingView.com
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