Solana Vs. Ethereum: Investment Giant Fidelity Predicts Who Will Lead In 2025
January 08 2025 - 10:00AM
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Fidelity Digital Assets, a subsidiary of global financial services
firm Fidelity Investments, has released a new paper titled “2025
Look Ahead: Is it ‘too late’ to enter digital assets?” The
publication dedicates significant attention to the ongoing
competition between Ethereum and Solana. Authored by Max Wadington,
the section “Ethereum Outlook” provides a close look at fundamental
metrics, upcoming network upgrades, and the broader implications
for investors heading into 2025. Solana Vs. Ethereum In 2025 In a
notable excerpt comparing Solana and Ethereum, Wadington explains:
“We think fundamentals are most important for long-term investors.
With that said, Ethereum has strong developer activity, total value
locked (TVL), and stablecoin supply. Comparatively, Solana’s
revenue and TVL are improving at a faster rate than Ethereum’s and
seem to have captured significant community mind share this past
year.” One factor complicating Solana’s growth trajectory is the
provenance of its revenue, which is significantly influenced by
memecoin trading. Wadington notes that while “a similar argument
could be made for Ethereum’s main use case being Uniswap,” the
fundamentals of Ethereum “are slightly less dependent on
speculation and may be less volatile over the long term.” Thus,
neither platform is risk-free, but Ether’s broader utility may
afford it more resilience in bear markets. Related Reading: Solana
Back Above Weekly & Monthly Support Levels – Analyst Expects
New ATH Despite this, short-term narratives and technical
milestones could tip market sentiment in Solana’s favor in 2025.
Specifically, Solana’s upcoming Firedancer upgrade “promises a
substantial increase in transactions per second (TPS), which may
directly enhance Solana’s value proposition.” Ethereum’s
Prague/Electra upgrade, meanwhile, “is expected to generate less
community hype as it does not significantly impact ether’s value
proposition.” Another key differentiator is Ethereum’s presence in
US based spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), a channel of
accessibility that helps drive institutional and retail demand.
However, Wadington highlights that this advantage “may disappear at
some point under the Trump administration,” pending regulatory
developments that “could either solidify Ether’s advantage in this
area or completely remove it.” Related Reading: Solana Rally
Stalls: Pullback To Key Support Signals Potential Correction
Ultimately, Wadington suggests that fundamentals may reassert
themselves over hype as the market progresses: “Although Solana
appears to have more short-term tailwinds than Ether, its relative
performance could provide significant upside for ether, similar to
how Solana’s prior underperformance provided a substantial runway
leading into 2024. As prices get extended throughout this bull
market, investors will likely increasingly focus on fundamentals,
which may sway them back into ether.” Has Ethereum Made A Misstep?
Turning specifically to Ethereum, the paper delves into ongoing
debates around Ethereum’s rollup-centric roadmap. In Wadington’s
words: “The rollup-centric roadmap was designed to scale Ethereum
while keeping the Layer 1 blockchain easy to run. However, since
the Deneb-Cancun upgrade, there has been debate about this decision
as Layer 1 fees have plummeted.” While lower fees might appear
detrimental to direct revenue for Ether holders, Fidelity’s
position is that the long-term benefits outweigh the short-term
revenue drop. Wadington reiterates: “We continue to believe that
revenue from the blob market is unlikely to offset the dramatic
decrease in revenue created by the previous upgrade in the short
term, yet it still carries long-term positive benefits through
improved network effects.” In this view, Ethereum’s ecosystem
stands to benefit from a mutualistic relationship with Layer 2s,
which inherit Ethereum’s security and liquidity. The foundation’s
priority, as Wadington writes, is ensuring “near-zero fees to keep
Layer 2s within the Ethereum ecosystem.” This could foster more
specialized Layer 2 projects in 2025, as developers customize
entire tech stacks for niche use cases such as the Ethereum Name
Service (ENS). At press time, Solana traded at $197. Featured image
created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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