Are Altcoins Cooling Off? Analyst Weighs In On This Cycle’s Market
April 17 2024 - 5:00PM
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Many investors expressed worries about the crypto market
corrections during this cycle. Bitcoin’s price drop has dragged
altcoins with them, and, as a result, a more pessimistic sentiment
has started to brew among some sectors of the crypto community.
Analysts and traders have reassured investors that the market
fluctuations are a normal part of the journey. Some urge the
community to look at the bigger picture, as altcoins remain above
levels not seen in years. Related Reading: Traders Forecast Massive
Rally For Altcoins, But Why Is Sentiment “Down”? Renowned crypto
analyst Altcoin Sherpa weighed in on the matter, exploring some of
the reasons and differences that make this bull cycle different
from the 2020s. Time For An Altcoins Cool-Off? In an X post,
Altcoin Sherpa asserted that there’s a high possibility “that
altcoins are done for the next 1-4 months.” The analyst considers
that, right now, most of the market needs “time to chill out and
consolidate after such a big run.” Despite recently falling below
the $1 trillion market capitalization, altcoins have performed
remarkably in the last few months. In 2024, cryptocurrencies’
market cap, excluding Bitcoin’s, has increased by 22.79%, according
to TradingView data. Altcoins market cap has also considerably
surged in longer timeframes, with a 91.31% and 52.46% jump in the
last six months and the past year. This “big run,” as Sherpa called
it, sits the cryptocurrency market at levels like those seen in
2022. However, what worries the crypto analyst is, despite the
overall performance, “many alts didn’t even run that hard over the
last few months.” He illustrated his point with Chainlink’s native
token, LINK. Despite the +500 days of accumulation, LINK investors
only got 3-4x gains depending on when they go in. Now, the token’s
price is “strongly pulling back.” Expectations for altcoins during
this cycle seemingly play a significant role in the current
sentiment. As one X user pointed out, LINK was anticipated to be
one of the biggest winners of this cycle, Sherpa replied that he
“expected more lol.” The user playfully commented, “No dino coins
and new and shiny coins are the better bet.” How Did The Market
Change? The previous comment highlights what appears to be a
significant difference between this bull run and the 2020s.
Choosing your bag has become more difficult since the market has
expanded significantly. Sherpa considers that “now more than ever,
it is super important to choose the altcoins that are going to run
hard.” In 2020, the massive altseason made “everything go up
consecutively.” This time, the liquidity is more fragmented, and
“only a few sectors are pumping.” The AI and memes sectors have
been the hottest topic in 2024, and layer-1 (L1) tokens, like SEI,
have also performed well. “Everything else? Not great,” remarked
Sherpa. The massive number of tokens, both newly launched and old
ones, are finding it more difficult to “capture
mindshare/attention.” Regarding retail investors, the analyst is
not surprised that the default choice is memecoins instead of
“trying to learn about some DeFi veRewards type of stuff. Or Oracle
or L1s or modular or anything else.” The analyst suggested
investors “move to real value” like ETH and SOL. He also considers
that big token launches, with significant money behind them, “have
some real value.” These coins, as stated in the post, have the
potential to “do very well” once Bitcoin stabilizes. Sherpa’s
market analysis closes with a “pretty bearish” outlook for the
following months. The growing difficulty in keeping user attention
and “for people to become strong users/community members” for many
projects has made the market a different playground. Ultimately,
the analyst pointed out that “portfolio rebalances are necessary”
and said he still believes this run is not over. Related
Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Don’t Buy Altcoins Just Yet – Here’s
Why Altcoins market cap sitting at $981 billion in the weekly
chart. Source: TOTAL2 on TradingView Featured Image from
Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
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