Why Ethereum Could Present Unique Opportunity For Investors If It Drops Below $1,600
February 09 2023 - 1:00PM
NEWSBTC
Ethereum has been retracing on its previous weeks’ profits and
seems ready to re-test support levels below its current price. The
crypto market has seen significant gains as the macroeconomic
landscape shows signs of improvement, but the crypto winter is not
in the review mirror yet. Related Reading: Trust Wallet Comes Clean
On Rumors Regarding $4 Million ‘Hack’ As of this writing, Ethereum
(ETH) trades at $1,630 with a 1% loss in the last 24 hours. Over
the previous week, the cryptocurrency recorded sideways price
action outperforming other assets in the top 10, such as Bitcoin
(BTC) and XRP, which recorded a 5% and 3% loss, respectively. One
Macro Event, Two Opportunities For Ethereum Per a report from
investment firm Blofin, the two largest cryptos by market
capitalization, Bitcoin and Ethereum, have seen relatively slow
price action over the past 24 hours. However, this status quo could
change in the coming days. At least in the crypto options sector,
there has been a decline in Implied Volatility (IV), which measures
expectations of future price movement. This metric is approaching
its January 2023 level, suggesting the IV is bottoming and could
spike again. As seen in the chart below, IV declined after a
significant increase in early January. At that time, the price of
Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies appreciated and trended to the
upside. In the current context, Blofin notes less interest from
Market Makers to defend ETH’s current levels. These investors might
hedge against the spike in IV and potential downside price action
from macroeconomic events. The firm noted: Ether’s situation is not
very optimistic. (…) MMs will not tend to buy in spots hedging
against the gamma exposure once the price collapses before the
weekend. In other words, large investors could be waiting for a
clearer view of the macroeconomic landscape. Next week, the U.S.
will publish its Consumer Price Index (CPI), a proxy to gauge
inflation in the dollar. If the metric beats expectations, with
recent data pointing towards a strong U.S. labor market, the
Federal Reserve (Fed) could exercise more pressure on global
markets, including digital assets. These measures could lead
Ethereum to re-test its yearly lows. In a separate report from the
on-chain firm Jarvis Labs, an analyst points towards the clues
hinting at a change in the market regime. Supported by a decline in
the U.S. dollar and a historical bullish signal, Bitcoin’s (BTC)
golden cross of its 50-day moving average above the 200-day moving
average. Related Reading: Ethereum Staking Provider Lido Finance
(LDO) Climbs 10%, Is It Too Late To Get In? Whenever these moving
averages intertwine, the crypto market enters a new bull run amid a
spike in volatility and some price declines in the short term.
Thus, if ETH crashes below $1,600, long-term holders could take
advantage of a potential opportunity.
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