2nd UPDATE: DineEquity Up On 3Q Beat, Improving Sales
October 27 2009 - 1:31PM
Dow Jones News
DineEquity Inc. (DIN) shares rose 12% after the company said
same-store sales declines moderated in October with a refined
version of its "Two for $20" promotion and marketing targeting
football fans.
"We are encouraged by an improvement in Applebee's same-store
sales trend so far in the month of October," DineEquity Chairman
and Chief Executive Julia Stewart said Tuesday in a third-quarter
earnings call.
She later added: "We believe all of the things are in play to
make that sustainable for the rest of the year."
Investors have been awaiting signs that same-store sales are
improving at casual-dining restaurants, especially as they face
easy comparisons from a year ago when consumer spending retrenched
sharply after the financial market's meltdown. Most restaurants
also have less room to rely on cost cuts to grow profits after a
year of managing their business tighter, putting sales in the
spotlight.
DineEquity shares were recently up $2.60, or 12%, at $24.21.
Earlier, the company reported third-quarter earnings ahead of
analyst expectations, with lower costs and better margins at
Applebee's stores overcoming continuing declines in same-store
sales.
Same-store sales were down 1.1% at DineEquity's IHOP brand and
6.5% at Applebee's for the quarter. The company also said
Applebee's sales would be at the low end of its guidance for the
year. But later comments on the recent sales trajectory helped to
reassure investors.
"The highlight from the call is that October sales trends have
improved at Applebee's," Telsey Advisory Group analyst Tom Forte
said.
DineEquity also continues to negotiate with prospective buyers
of some 400 company-owned Applebee's, proceeds of which will help
pay down debt from a $2.1 billion deal in 2007 that brought the two
brands together.
The company's willing to wait for the right price as the credit
crunch impedes sales. It has also improved operating margins at the
Applebee's stores, which has given the company enough of a cushion
that it expects to be able to meet its debt covenant obligations
over the next year even without the sale of any stores.
Price competition remains a concern in casual-dining, especially
as competitors retaliate with their own promotions. Applebee's main
threat comes from Brinker International Inc.'s (EAT) Chili's Grill
& Bar chain, which is offering an appetizer, two entrees and a
dessert for $20, one-upping Applebee's deal.
Applebee's doesn't feel the need to raise the bar on
discounting. "I think we'll stay where we are, and let other people
try to steal shamelessly," Stewart said.
For the quarter, DineEquity's swung to a profit of $7.9 million,
or 46 cents a share, compared with a prior-year loss of $16.4
million, or 98 cents a share. Excluding items such prior-year
write-downs and closure charges, earnings were 55 cents compared
with a prior-year loss of 8 cents.
Revenue decreased 15% to $333.6 million amid the sale of 110
company-operated Applebee's restaurants in the past year.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters most recently forecast
earnings of 30 cents on revenue of $337 million.
- By Paul Ziobro, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2194;
paul.ziobro@dowjones.com
(Tess Stynes contributed to this article.)