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United States Dollar vs Japanese Yen (USDJPY) News

United States Dollar vs Japanese Yen (USDJPY)

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Yen Edges Up To 110.70 Against Canadian Dollar

Yen Advances To 2-day High Of 90.76 Against NZ Dollar

Yen Rises To 100.75 Against Australian Dollar

Yen Ticks Down To 175.20 Against Swiss Franc

Yen Edges Down To 154.56 Against U.S. Dollar

Yen Advances To 2-day High Of 195.63 Against Pound

Pound Rises As U.K. Inflation Accelerates More Than Forecast

(RTTNews) - The British pound strengthened against other major currencies in the European session on Wednesday, after U.K. consumer price...

Pound Jumps To 6-day High Of 1.2715 Against U.S. Dollar

Pound Climbs To 5-day High Of 1.1240 Against Swiss Franc

Pound Advances To 5-day High Of 197.80 Against Yen

Pound Rises To 5-day High Of 0.8327 Against Euro

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Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

The Yen Carry Trade Is Not Unwound and Should Concern Everyone

"...Knowing what’s left after the summer selloff is a challenge in part because no one is keeping track.

There’s no trading floor or regulator. No one publishes a league table. It’s a strategy, not a product, so it largely defies precise measurement.

“You don't have to report your carry trade to anyone.

There's no lodging authority. In fact, it might be just simmering beneath, nobody knows,” said Lawrence Loh, professor of strategy and policy, National University of Singapore...."

https://japantimes.co.jp/business/2024/10/02/markets/carry-trade-focus/

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Japanese stocks will likely tumble on Monday after Shigeru Ishiba’s surprise victory in the ruling party’s leadership race raised expectations that interest rates will rise:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-29/japan-stocks-set-to-fall-on-rate-hike-fears-after-ishiba-s-win?utm_content=markets&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_source=twitter&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-markets&utm_medium=social

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

@DarioCpx
Knock knock

Who’s there?

$JPY carry trade forced unwinding sir

Call Janet 👀

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

The BoJ now faces a dilemma: Do they protect the Yen with higher interest rates? Or protect the Japanese government bond market with lower rates.

They cannot do both.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/yen-carry-trade

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Things could get dicey this week. The Fed just set up for another collision with the BOJ (Thursday evening U.S.). Oh, then there's Beijing...

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

@DarioCpx
This is all that matters to the #FED right now despite the market pretends to ignore it, whatever they do tomorrow rest assured they won’t allow $DXY to fall further because if they lose control of the inflation narrative they lose control of the long end of the curve, banks losses will expand further and it will be game over for the US economy

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Very little talk about the JPY these days, but this one continues taking out big levels.

https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/3-jpy-charts-we-are-watching

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Japan will panic again.

They sucked everyone in and turned EVERYONE BULLISH VERY QUICKLY.

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

BOJ's Tamura Calls for Raising Rates to at Least 1%

https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2024-09-11/bojs-tamura-calls-for-raising-rates-to-at-least-1

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

@DarioCpx
US NFP misses, $JPY moved ~2 big figures in a matter of SECONDS 😳

What’s happening is beyond any tail risk scenario ever conceived in risk models and an amount of leverage of biblical size is attached to this specific currency

⚠️This is bad, very bad🙈

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 2 months ago

USDJPY just crashed down to the August lows.

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

The Japanese yen still poses ‘a very big risk’ to global markets. Here’s why:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-japanese-yen-still-poses-a-very-big-risk-to-global-markets-heres-why-f0e949b5?mod=bnbh

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Dollar Global Margin Call In Progress:

https://www.financial-reality.com/post/dollar-global-margin-call-in-progress

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

The Great Japanese Carry Trade Unwinding 2.0:

Catalysts for "Forced" Selling:

- Currency Risk.
- interest Rate Risk.
- Credit Risk.
- Liquidity Risk.

Lower highs is of real concern.

Falls away here, and it won't be pretty.

@great_martis

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Another Japanese Yen market shock is coming warns T. Rowe Price:

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

‘Strap In’—Fed Suddenly Braced For A U.S. Dollar ‘Crisis’ That’s Predicted To Spark ‘Total Collapse’ And A ‘Critical’ Bitcoin Price ‘Tipping Point’

https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2024/09/02/strap-in-september-fed-us-dollar-crisis-predicted-to-spark-total-collapse-and-a-critical-bitcoin-price-tipping-point/

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Japan in real trouble.

Japan is about to receive a historical lesson from the bond market.

@great_martis

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/JPY%3DX/

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Powell summary:

Confirms Sept rate cut
Does not indicate whether 25bps or 50bps;
As such the August payrolls report will be critical

Mac10: "Last night, Ueda was hawkish saying more rate hikes are coming. And this morning Powell and the other Fed members were ultra dovish saying rate cuts are coming."

Perfect conditions for the biggest crash in history.

JDario: "A kind reminder to all those currently cheering at Jerome Burns words" 👇🏻

https://justdario.com/2024/08/if-the-fed-cuts-rates-the-damages-will-be-far-greater-than-the-benefits/

Mac10chart

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

BOJ’s Ueda Is Set to Face Intense Scrutiny After Market Chaos:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/boj-ueda-set-face-intense-223054336.html

meanwhile Powell to give a likely dovish speech at Jackson Hole...

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

https://justdario.com/2024/08/if-the-fed-cuts-rates-the-damages-will-be-far-greater-than-the-benefits/

SHORT TERM: BOJ is between a rock and a hard place:

🚩If JPY > ~162 vs USD = Japan economy collapses
🚩If JPY < ~145 vs USD = JPY Carry Trades hours of cards collapses

LONG TERM: JPY > 300

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Did the Yen Carry Trade trigger a "Minsky Moment"?

YEN RISES; MARKETS COLLAPSE

https://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2024/08/20/yen-rises-markets-collapse/

nowwhat2

nowwhat2 3 months ago

Let's update that wild Monday Carry Trade Debacle !
Just how has the Yen now been doing ?

2 weeks later ;

https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=usdjpy&x=59&y=8&time=6&startdate=1%2F4%2F2020&enddate=12%2F30%2F2024&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=3&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=9

Why it's almost as though those events never happened !

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

That's interesting. also Nikkei 37,388 -674 (-1.77%)

China, US Team Up on Contact Group to Handle ‘Financial Stress’:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-us-team-contact-group-062337240.html

all the stars pointing towards a large broker being in trouble...

nowwhat2

nowwhat2 3 months ago

Wow look at that eh ?

I've noticed that you often post good info too.

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174930534

Thanks

nowwhat2

nowwhat2 3 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

BOJ - Now that the JPY is back above 149 what are you going to do? Let the Nikkei enjoy a monster rally, OR intervene again to make the JPY stronger to slow down Japan's inevitable mutation into Japanezuela?

I sense another "event" is coming.

The BOJ is now trapped.
The Fed is also now trapped.

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

I've seen your charts on Bitcoin too. While I have mixed feelings on bitcoin, I must say you have some of the best-looking charts on ihub. Very well-prepared. That takes skill. Much better than my charts.

For viewing purposes, I do like the 3-month UDSPY chart.

nowwhat2

nowwhat2 3 months ago

Ought to update this (these)

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

Many good posts by JustDario on X:
"#BOJ overnight FX manipulation desk is going to be busy 🤣"

Bountiful_Harvest

Bountiful_Harvest 3 months ago

https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=USDJPY&insttype=Currency

Maxx5

Maxx5 11 months ago

For all of your FX news and analysis

Maxx5

Maxx5 11 months ago

Please use Forex Extra Money, Thank You!

Maxx5

Maxx5 11 months ago

This board has been consolidated with Forex Extra Money.

Maxx5

Maxx5 11 months ago

Velarcus

Velarcus 12 months ago

BOJ is getting close to ending yield curve control. And with them having drawn a line in the sand at 150 via several currency interventions, I don't see much upside for the pair.

Maxx5

Maxx5 12 months ago

81% of traders are net short at the moment.

Maxx5

Maxx5 12 months ago

USD/JPY has retraced about 250 pips down to it's 50 day sma. A critical area of decision making.

Maxx5

Maxx5 1 year ago

https://www.dailyfx.com/usd-jpy

Maxx5

Maxx5 1 year ago

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-seen-peaking-at-154-heading-into-a-december-fed-hike-cibc-202311081116

Maxx5

Maxx5 1 year ago

The pair is powering to all time weakness levels just shy of 152.0. 151.02 at this minute. Up 1,400 pips since the first of May 2023

Maxx5

Maxx5 1 year ago

The Ninja pair closed the day at 150.46. This pair has been on fire and at daily resistance. And historically weak for the yen. https://www.forexlive.com/news/usdjpy-tags-15000-then-rebounds-eyes-on-the-bank-of-japan-20231102/

Maxx5

Maxx5 1 year ago

Japanese Yenhttps://tradingeconomics.com/japan/currency
Jul 13, 2013 — The Japanese yen held its recent decline past 147 per dollar, approaching a 32-year low of 150 hit in October last year as the Bank of Japan is expected to keep its ultra-loose monetary policy. ..

US Dollar vs Yen

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