This annual report on Form 10-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements other than statements of historical facts contained in this annual report, including statements regarding Conatus Pharmaceuticals Inc., or Conatus, and its future results of operations and financial position, business strategy, prospective products, product approvals, research and development costs, timing and likelihood of success, plans and objectives of management for future operations and future results of anticipated products, are forward-looking statements. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause Conatus’ actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. This annual report on Form 10-K also contains estimates and other statistical data made by independent parties and by us relating to market size and growth and other data about Conatus’ industry. This data involves a number of assumptions and limitations, and you are cautioned not to give undue weight to such estimates. In addition, projections, assumptions and estimates of Conatus’ future performance and the future performance of the markets in which Conatus operates are necessarily subject to a high degree of uncertainty and risk.
In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “could,” “intend,” “target,” “project,” “contemplate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential” or “continue” or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions. The forward-looking statements in this annual report are only predictions. Conatus has based these forward-looking statements largely on Conatus’ current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends that Conatus believes may affect its business, financial condition and results of operations. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this annual report and are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including those described in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors.” The events and circumstances reflected in Conatus’ forward-looking statements may not be achieved or occur, and actual results could differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Moreover, Conatus operates in an evolving environment. New risk factors and uncertainties may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for management to predict all risk factors and uncertainties. Except as required by applicable law, Conatus does not plan to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein, whether as a result of any new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise.
Conatus use its registered trademark, CONATUS PHARMACEUTICALS, in this annual report. This annual report also includes trademarks, tradenames and service marks that are the property of other organizations. Solely for convenience, trademarks and tradenames referred to in this annual report appear without the ® and ™ symbols, but those references are not intended to indicate, in any way, that Conatus will not assert, to the fullest extent under applicable law, its rights or that the applicable owner will not assert its rights, to these trademarks and tradenames.
Conatus maintains a website at www.conatuspharma.com, to which Conatus regularly post copies of its press releases as well as additional information about Conatus. Conatus’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, are available free of charge through its website as soon as reasonably practicable after being electronically filed with or furnished to the SEC. Interested persons can subscribe on Conatus’ website to email alerts that are sent automatically when Conatus issues press releases, files its reports with the SEC or posts certain other information to its website. Information contained in its website does not constitute a part of this report or its other filings with the SEC.
Overview
Conatus is a biotechnology company that has been focused on the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat chronic diseases with significant unmet need. Conatus has been developing emricasan, an orally active pan-caspase inhibitor, for the treatment of patients with chronic liver disease. Emricasan is designed to reduce the activities of human caspases, which are enzymes that mediate inflammation and apoptosis. Conatus has also been developing CTS-2090, an orally active selective caspase inhibitor, for diseases involving inflammasome pathways.
In June 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from its ENCORE-LF clinical trial of emricasan did not meet the primary endpoint. The ENCORE-LF trial was the third and last of its ENCORE clinical trials, which tested emricasan in NASH patients with varying degrees for fibrosis or cirrhosis. The two prior trials, the ENCORE-PH and ENCORE-NF trials, also failed to meet the primary endpoint in each study. In connection with the emricasan trial results, Conatus began discontinuing development activities for emricasan, as well as its inflammasome disease product candidate, CTS-2090.
Conatus also commenced a restructuring plan in June 2019 that included reducing staff by approximately 40% and suspending development of CTS-2090 and a restructuring plan in September 2019 that included reducing staff by another approximately 40% in
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order to extend Conatus’ resources. In addition, Conatus engaged a financial advisor to assist in the exploration and evaluation of strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value, including a merger, an acquisition or sale of assets or a dissolution and liquidation of the company.
In September 2019, Conatus and Novartis Pharma AG, or Novartis, entered into an amendment to the Option, Collaboration and License Agreement entered into between Conatus and Novartis in December 2016, or the Collaboration Agreement, pursuant to which they mutually agreed to terminate the Collaboration Agreement. Under the Collaboration Agreement, Conatus granted Novartis an exclusive license for the global development and commercialization of emricasan.
On January 28, 2020, Conatus, Chinook Merger Sub, Inc., or Merger Sub, a wholly owned subsidiary of Conatus, and Histogen Inc., or Histogen, entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger and Reorganization, or the Merger Agreement, pursuant to which, among other matters, and subject to the satisfaction or waiver of the conditions set forth in the Merger Agreement, Merger Sub will merge with and into Histogen, with Histogen continuing as Conatus’ wholly owned subsidiary and the surviving corporation of the merger. If the merger is completed, the business of Conatus will become the business of Histogen as described in Conatus’ Form S-4 (registration file number 333-236332) initially filed with the SEC on February 7, 2020, as amended, or the Form S-4.
If the proposed merger is not completed, Conatus will reconsider its strategic alternatives and could pursue one of the following courses of action, which Conatus currently believes to be the most likely alternatives if the merger with Histogen is not completed:
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Pursue another strategic transaction. Conatus may resume its process of evaluating a potential merger, reorganization or other business combination transaction.
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Pursue development of CTS-2090 or emricasan. Conatus may re-initiate development of CTS-2090, which is a pre-IND product candidate for inflammatory diseases or of emricasan, for which Conatus would expect to pursue orphan indications.
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Dissolve and liquidate its assets. If Conatus does not believe it can find a suitable alternate merger partner in the near-term, Conatus may dissolve and liquidate its assets. Conatus would be required to pay all of its debts and contractual obligations, and to set aside certain reserves for potential future claims, and there can be no assurances as to the amount or timing of available cash remaining to distribute to stockholders after paying the Conatus obligations and setting aside funds for reserves.
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Until the proposed merger with Histogen is completed, Conatus cannot predict whether or to what extent it might resume development activities, or what its future cash needs would be for any such activities.
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Emricasan
Emricasan is a proprietary and orally active caspase protease inhibitor designed to slow or halt the progression of chronic liver disease caused by fibrosis and cirrhosis. Emricasan has also been extensively profiled in in vitro tests and studied in many preclinical models of human disease. Preclinical studies and clinical trials yielded results that suggested emricasan may have clinical utility in slowing the progression of liver disease regardless of the original cause of the disease. To date, emricasan has been administered to over 1,000 subjects in eight completed Phase 1 and twelve completed Phase 2 clinical trials and has been generally well-tolerated in both healthy volunteers and patients with liver disease. Conatus most recently completed three EmricasaN, a Caspase inhibitOR, for Evaluation Phase 2b clinical trials, or the ENCORE trials, designed to provide further information on doses leading to clinically relevant efficacy, including improvement in severe portal hypertension and hepatic function in patients with NASH cirrhosis and improvement in biopsy-proven fibrosis and inflammation in patients with NASH fibrosis.
In November 2016, Conatus initiated the ENCORE-PH clinical trial, a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 2b clinical trial to evaluate the effect of emricasan in reducing hepatic venous pressure gradient (“HVPG”), in approximately 240 compensated or early decompensated NASH cirrhosis patients with severe portal hypertension, established by baseline HVPG values of 12 mmHg or higher. Patients were randomized 1:1:1:1 to receive 5 mg of emricasan, 25 mg of emricasan, 50 mg of emricasan, or placebo twice daily for 24 weeks. The primary endpoint was the mean change in HVPG from week 0 to week 24 for each dosing group compared with placebo. In December 2018, Conatus announced the trial did not meet its primary endpoint.
In January 2016, Conatus initiated the ENCORE-NF clinical trial, a Phase 2b clinical trial to evaluate emricasan’s potential long-term benefits for patients with liver fibrosis resulting from NASH. This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial evaluated the effect of emricasan in reducing fibrosis and steatohepatitis in approximately 330 patients with NASH fibrosis, but not cirrhosis. Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to receive 5 mg of emricasan, 50 mg of emricasan, or placebo twice daily for 72 weeks. The primary endpoint was a biopsy-based one point or greater improvement in NASH Clinical Research Network fibrosis score compared with placebo at week 72, with no worsening of steatohepatitis. In March 2019, Conatus announced the trial did not meet the primary endpoint.
In May 2017, Conatus initiated the ENCORE-LF clinical trial, a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 2b clinical trial to evaluate emricasan in approximately 210 patients with decompensated NASH cirrhosis. Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to receive 5 mg of emricasan, 25 mg of emricasan, or placebo twice daily for at least 48 weeks. The primary endpoint was event-free survival for each treatment group compared with the placebo group. In June 2019, Conatus announced the trial did not meet the primary endpoint.
In May 2017, Novartis exercised its option under the Option, Collaboration and License Agreement, or the Collaboration Agreement, Conatus entered into with Novartis in December 2016. Pursuant to such exercise, Conatus granted Novartis an exclusive, worldwide license to Conatus’ intellectual property rights relating to emricasan to collaborate with Conatus for the global development and commercialization of products containing emricasan either as a single active ingredient or in combination with other Novartis compounds for liver cirrhosis or liver fibrosis, including but not limited to Farnesoid X receptor agonists that Novartis is currently developing for the treatment of chronic liver diseases.
In June 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from its ENCORE-LF clinical trial of emricasan did not meet its primary endpoint, and, Conatus and its partner, Novartis had no further plans for emricasan and in September 2019, Conatus and Novartis entered into an amendment to the Collaboration Agreement, pursuant to which they mutually agreed to terminate the Collaboration Agreement.
CTS-2090
Inflammasomes are a collection of large multiprotein structures responsible for the activation of inflammatory responses. There are six known inflammasome subtypes - NLRP1, NLRP3, NLRC4, NLRP6, AIM2 and IFI 16 - that respond to different stimuli. A primary function of the inflammasomes is to generate active caspase 1 from procaspase 1 in response to various pathogens and other stimuli. The ultimate products produced by the activation of caspase 1 are highly pro-inflammatory cytokines, IL-1ß and IL-18. In addition, caspase 1 initiates pyroptosis, a highly inflammatory form of cell death, through the cleavage of gasdermin D.
The NLRP3 inflammasome pathway, for example, is dependent upon caspase 1, which activates IL-1ß. As such, caspase 1 occupies a uniquely central position in the inflammasome pathway, and Conatus has leveraged its scientific expertise in caspase research and development to design potent, selective and orally bioavailable inhibitors of caspase 1. Excess IL-1ß has been linked to a variety of diseases including rare genetic inflammatory diseases, cancer, liver and other gastrointestinal diseases, and cardiovascular diseases. Inhibition of IL-1ß is a clinically validated approach to treating inflammatory diseases, with several injectable biologic products using that mechanism of action already on the market. Currently, there are marketed biologic treatments directed at blocking
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IL-1ß activity, but to Conatus’ knowledge, there are no approved small molecules specifically targeted at reducing IL-1ß activation. Conatus believes an effective, oral caspase 1 inhibitor could have impact across a number of inflammasome-related diseases.
Conatus has assembled an internal development program containing proprietary portfolio of orally active molecules that inhibit inflammasome pathways and the activation of the potent inflammatory cytokine interleukin-1ß, or IL-1ß. In March 2019, Conatus announced the selection of its first internally developed product candidate, CTS-2090, based on the product candidate’s preclinical profile, including oral availability and high selectivity for caspase 1, and drug-like properties. In connection with the emricasan trial results and Conatus’ decision to pursue strategic alternatives, Conatus discontinued development of CTS-2090 in June 2019.
Competition
The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by intense competition and rapid innovation. Although Conatus believes that it holds a leading position in its understanding of caspase inhibition related to liver disease, its competitors may be able to develop other compounds or drugs that are able to achieve similar or better results. Potential competitors include major multinational pharmaceutical companies, established biotechnology companies, specialty pharmaceutical companies and universities and other research institutions. Smaller or early-stage companies may also prove to be significant competitors, particularly through collaborative arrangements with large, established companies. Conatus believes the key competitive factors that will affect the development and commercial success of its product candidates are efficacy, safety and tolerability profile, reliability, convenience of dosing, price and reimbursement.
Material Contracts
Pfizer Inc.
In July 2010, Conatus entered into a Stock Purchase Agreement with Pfizer pursuant to which Conatus acquired all of the outstanding capital stock of Idun, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Pfizer at the time, in consideration for an upfront payment of $250,000 and a promissory note in the principal amount of $1.0 million. In July 2013, the promissory note was amended to become convertible into shares of Conatus common stock following the completion of its initial public offering, at the option of the holder, at a price per share equal to the fair market value of Conatus common stock on the date of conversion. Conatus had the right to prepay the promissory note at any time, and in January 2017, Conatus voluntarily prepaid the entire balance of the principal and accrued interest of the promissory note. The promissory note bore interest at a per annum interest rate equal to 7%, compounded quarterly, and interest was payable on a quarterly basis during the term of the promissory note. Pursuant to the Stock Purchase Agreement, Conatus will be required to make additional payments to Pfizer totaling $18.0 million upon the achievement of specified regulatory milestones relating to emricasan.
Idun Distribution Agreement
In January 2013, Conatus conducted a spin-off of its subsidiary Idun, which Conatus had acquired from Pfizer in the transaction described above, to Conatus stockholders at that time. Immediately prior to the spin-off, all rights relating to emricasan were distributed to Conatus pursuant to a distribution agreement.
Novartis Pharma AG
In December 2016, Conatus entered into the Collaboration Agreement with Novartis, pursuant to which Conatus granted Novartis an exclusive option to collaborate with Conatus to develop products containing emricasan. In May 2017, Novartis exercised its option under the Collaboration Agreement. Pursuant to such exercise, Conatus granted Novartis an exclusive, worldwide license to its intellectual property rights relating to emricasan to collaborate with Conatus for the global development and commercialization of products containing emricasan either as a single active ingredient or in combination with other Novartis compounds for liver cirrhosis or liver fibrosis, for the treatment, diagnosis and prevention of disease in all indications in humans. The license became effective upon Conatus’ receipt of a $7.0 million option exercise payment in July 2017. In September 2019, Conatus and Novartis entered into an amendment to the Collaboration Agreement, pursuant to which they mutually agreed to terminate the Collaboration Agreement.
Under the Collaboration Agreement, Conatus was responsible for completing the three ENCORE trials. Conatus shared the costs of these three trials equally with Novartis. In addition, until the completion of the three Phase 2b trials, Conatus and Novartis were to share the costs of the non-treatment observational study that will follow patients from the three ENCORE Phase 2b trials and the previously completed Phase 2b POLT-HCV-SVR trial. After the completion of the three ENCORE Phase 2b trials, Novartis would have assumed 100% of the observational study costs. Novartis was also responsible for 100% of certain expenses for required registration-supportive nonclinical activities. Novartis was responsible for Phase 3 development of products containing only emricasan as an active ingredient, or Emricasan Only Products, and all development for products containing emricasan and one or more other Novartis active ingredients, or Combination Products. Emricasan Only Products and Combination Products are collectively referred to
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as Emricasan Products. A joint steering committee comprised of senior personnel from Conatus and Novartis oversaw the collaboration, development and commercialization of the Emricasan Products. Pursuant to the terms of termination, Novartis and Conatus will continue to share the costs of the Phase 2b trials equally until December 31, 2019 and Novartis will pay up to $150,000 for its share of the costs of the Phase 2b trials, if any, in 2020.
Pursuant to the Collaboration Agreement, Conatus received an upfront payment of $50.0 million and the option exercise payment of $7.0 million from Novartis. Conatus was eligible to receive up to an aggregate of $650.0 million in milestone payments over the term of the Collaboration Agreement, contingent on the achievement of certain development, regulatory and commercial milestones. Novartis would have been required to pay Conatus tiered royalties ranging from the high-teens to the high-twenties as a percentage of net sales of Emricasan Only Products, and tiered royalties ranging from the high-single digits to the mid-teens as a percentage of net sales of Combination Products, subject to reduction in certain cases. After the initiation of the first Phase 3 clinical trial for an Emricasan Product, Conatus had an option to elect to enter into a co-commercialization agreement with Novartis under which Conatus was eligible receive up to 30% of the commercial profits less the same percentage of the commercial losses for Emricasan Products in the United States, subject to certain reductions in milestone and royalty payments. As a result of the termination of the Collaboration Agreement, Conatus will not receive any future milestone, royalty or profit and loss sharing payments under the Collaboration Agreement.
Concurrent with the entry into the Collaboration Agreement, Conatus entered into an Investment Agreement with Novartis, or the Investment Agreement, whereby Conatus agreed to sell and Novartis agreed to purchase, convertible promissory notes, in one or two closings, for an aggregate principal amount of up to $15.0 million. In February 2017, Conatus issued a convertible promissory note, or the Novartis Note, in the principal amount of $15.0 million, pursuant to the Investment Agreement. The maturity date of the Novartis Note was December 31, 2019, and it bore interest on the unpaid principal balance at a rate of 6% per annum. In December 2018, Conatus, at its option, converted the entire outstanding principal of $15.0 million and accrued and unpaid interest of the Novartis Note into 2,882,519 shares of Conatus common stock. Pursuant to the terms of the Novartis Note, the principal and accrued and unpaid interest converted into shares of Conatus common stock at a conversion price equal to 120% of the 20-day trailing average closing price per share of the common stock immediately prior to the conversion date.
Intellectual Property
The proprietary nature of, and protection for, Conatus’ product candidates and discovery programs and know-how are important to its business. Conatus has sought patent protection in the United States and internationally for emricasan, crystalline forms of emricasan and certain methods of treatment with emricasan. In addition, Conatus has patent protection covering certain other preclinical stage compounds. Conatus’ policy is to pursue, maintain and defend patent rights whether developed internally or licensed from third parties and to protect the technology, inventions and improvements that are commercially important to the development of its business.
Conatus’ commercial success will depend in part on obtaining and maintaining patent protection and trade secret protection of its current and future product candidates and the methods used to develop and manufacture them, as well as successfully defending these patents against third-party challenges. Conatus’ ability to stop third parties from making, using, selling, offering to sell or importing its products depends on the extent to which it has rights under valid and enforceable patents that cover these activities. Conatus cannot be sure that patents will be granted with respect to any of its pending patent applications or with respect to any patent applications filed by it in the future, nor can it be sure that any of its existing patents or any patents that may be granted to it in the future will be commercially useful in protecting its product candidates, discovery programs and processes. For this and more comprehensive risks related to Conatus’ intellectual property, please see “Risk Factors—Risks Related to Conatus’ Intellectual Property.”
Conatus’ patent portfolio includes patents directed to crystalline forms of emricasan. As of December 31, 2019, Conatus had received one United States patent and corresponding foreign patents directed to crystalline forms of emricasan. Foreign patents have been granted in Australia, Canada, China, Denmark, France, Germany, Great Britain, Greece, Hong Kong, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan and Turkey. Conatus expects that the crystalline forms and methods of use patent, if the appropriate maintenance, renewal, annuity or other governmental fees are paid, will expire in 2028 (United States) and 2027 (international). It is possible that the term of a crystalline forms patent in the United States could be extended up to five additional years under the provisions of the Hatch-Waxman Act. Patent term extension may be available in certain foreign countries upon regulatory approval. Conatus’ patent portfolio also includes patent applications directed to composition of matter and methods of use for its internally developed caspase inhibitors, including CTS-2090.
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Government Regulation
Government authorities in the United States (at the federal, state and local level) and in other countries extensively regulate, among other things, the research, development, testing, manufacturing, quality control, approval, labeling, packaging, storage, record-keeping, promotion, advertising, distribution, post-approval monitoring and reporting, marketing and export and import of drug products such as those Conatus develops. Emricasan, CTS-2090 and any other product candidates that Conatus develops must be approved by the FDA before they may be legally marketed in the United States and by the appropriate foreign regulatory agency before they may be legally marketed in foreign countries.
United States Drug Development Process
In the United States, the FDA regulates drugs under the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act, (“FDCA”), and implementing regulations. Drugs are also subject to other federal, state and local statutes and regulations. The process of obtaining regulatory approvals and the subsequent compliance with appropriate federal, state, local and foreign statutes and regulations require the expenditure of substantial time and financial resources. Failure to comply with the applicable United States requirements at any time during the product development process, approval process or after approval, may subject an applicant to administrative or judicial sanctions. FDA sanctions could include, among other actions, refusal to approve pending applications, withdrawal of an approval, a clinical hold, warning letters, product recalls or withdrawals from the market, product seizures, total or partial suspension of production or distribution injunctions, fines, refusals of government contracts, restitution, disgorgement or civil or criminal penalties. Any agency or judicial enforcement action could have a material adverse effect on Conatus. The process required by the FDA before a drug may be marketed in the United States generally involves the following:
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completion of extensive preclinical laboratory tests, preclinical animal studies and formulation studies in accordance with applicable regulations, including the FDA’s Good Laboratory Practice, or GLP, regulations;
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submission to the FDA of an IND, which must become effective before human clinical trials may begin;
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performance of adequate and well-controlled human clinical trials in accordance with applicable regulations, including the FDA’s current good clinical practice regulations, or GCPs, to establish the safety and efficacy of the proposed drug for its proposed indication;
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submission to the FDA of a new drug application, or NDA, for a new drug product;
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a determination by the FDA within 60 days of its receipt of an NDA to accept the NDA for filing and review;
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satisfactory completion of an FDA inspection of the manufacturing facility or facilities where the drug is produced to assess compliance with the FDA’s cGMP, which are regulations to assure that the facilities, methods and controls are adequate to preserve the drug’s identity, strength, quality and purity;
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potential FDA audit of the preclinical and/or clinical trial sites that generated the data in support of the NDA; and
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FDA review and approval of the NDA.
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Before testing any compounds with potential therapeutic value in humans, a product candidate enters the preclinical testing stage. Preclinical tests include laboratory evaluations of drug chemistry, toxicity and formulation, as well as animal studies to assess the potential safety and activity of the product candidate. The conduct of the preclinical tests must comply with federal regulations and requirements including GLPs. The sponsor must submit the results of the preclinical tests, together with manufacturing information, analytical data, any available clinical data or literature and a proposed clinical protocol, to the FDA as part of an IND. An IND is a request for authorization from the FDA to administer an investigational drug product to humans. The central focus of an IND submission is on the general investigational plan and the protocol(s) for human studies. The IND automatically becomes effective 30 days after receipt by the FDA, unless the FDA raises concerns or questions regarding the proposed clinical trials and places the IND on clinical hold within that 30-day time period. In such a case, the IND sponsor and the FDA must resolve any outstanding concerns before the clinical trial can begin. The FDA may also impose clinical holds on a product candidate at any time before or during clinical trials due to safety concerns or non-compliance. Accordingly, Conatus cannot be sure that submission of an IND will result in the FDA allowing clinical trials to begin, or that, once begun, issues will not arise that suspend or terminate such trials.
Clinical trials involve the administration of the product candidate to healthy volunteers or patients under the supervision of qualified investigators, generally physicians not employed by or under the clinical trial sponsor’s control, in accordance with GCPs, which include the requirement that all research subjects provide their informed consent for their participation in any clinical trial. Clinical trials are conducted under protocols detailing, among other things, the objectives of the clinical trial, dosing procedures, subject selection and exclusion criteria and the parameters to be used to monitor subject safety and assess efficacy. Each protocol, and any subsequent amendments to the protocol, must be submitted to the FDA as part of the IND. Further, each clinical trial must be reviewed and approved by an independent institutional review board, or IRB, at or servicing each institution at which the clinical trial will be conducted. An IRB is charged with protecting the welfare and rights of trial participants and considers issues such as whether the risks to individuals participating in the clinical trials are minimized and are reasonable in relation to anticipated benefits. The IRB also approves the informed consent form that must be provided to each clinical trial subject or his or her legal representative and must
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monitor the clinical trial until completed. There are also requirements governing the reporting of ongoing clinical trials and completed clinical trial results to public registries.
Human clinical trials are typically conducted in three sequential phases that may overlap or be combined:
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Phase 1: The drug is initially introduced into healthy human subjects and tested for safety, dosage tolerance, absorption, metabolism, distribution and excretion, the side effects associated with increasing doses, and if possible, to gain early evidence of effectiveness. In the case of some drugs for severe or life-threatening diseases, especially when the drug may be too inherently toxic to ethically administer to healthy volunteers, the initial human testing is often conducted in patients.
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Phase 2: The drug is evaluated in a limited patient population to identify possible adverse effects and safety risks, to preliminarily evaluate the efficacy of the drug for specific targeted diseases or conditions and to determine dosage tolerance, optimal dosage and dosing schedule. Phase 2 clinical trials can be further divided into Phase 2a and Phase 2b clinical trials. Phase 2a clinical trials are typically smaller and shorter in duration and generally consist of patient exposure-response trials, which focus on proving the hypothesized mechanism of action. Phase 2b clinical trials are typically higher enrolling and longer in duration and generally consist of patient dose-ranging trials, which focus on finding the optimum dose at which the drug shows clinical benefit with minimal side effects.
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Phase 3: Clinical trials are undertaken to further evaluate dosage, clinical efficacy and safety in an expanded patient population at geographically dispersed clinical trial sites. These clinical trials are intended to establish the overall risk/benefit ratio of the drug and provide an adequate basis for drug approval. Generally, two adequate and well-controlled Phase 3 clinical trials are required by the FDA for approval of an NDA. Phase 3 clinical trials usually involve several hundred to several thousand participants.
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Phase 4 or post-approval studies: Clinical trials may be conducted after initial marketing approval. These studies are used to gain additional experience from the treatment of patients in the intended therapeutic indication. In certain instances, the FDA may mandate the performance of Phase 4 studies.
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The FDCA permits the FDA and an IND sponsor to agree in writing on the design and size of clinical trials intended to form the primary basis of a claim of effectiveness in an NDA. This process is known as a Special Protocol Assessment, or SPA. An SPA agreement may not be changed by the sponsor or the FDA after the clinical trial begins except with the written agreement of the sponsor and the FDA, or if the FDA determines that a substantial scientific issue essential to determining the safety or effectiveness of the drug was identified after the testing began. For certain types of protocols, including carcinogenicity protocols, stability protocols and Phase 3 protocols for clinical trials that will form the primary basis of an efficacy claim, the FDA has agreed under its performance goals associated with the Prescription Drug User Fee Act, (“PDUFA”), to provide a written response on most protocols within 45 days of receipt. However, the FDA does not always meet its PDUFA goals, and additional FDA questions and resolution of issues leading up to an SPA agreement may result in the overall SPA process being much longer, if an agreement is reached at all.
Progress reports detailing the results of the clinical trials must be submitted at least annually to the FDA, and written IND safety reports must be submitted to the FDA and the investigators for serious and unexpected adverse events or any finding from tests in laboratory animals that suggests a significant risk for human subjects. Phase 1, Phase 2 and Phase 3 clinical trials may fail to be completed successfully within any specified period, if at all. The FDA, the IRB or the sponsor may suspend or terminate a clinical trial at any time on various grounds, including a finding that the research subjects or patients are being exposed to an unacceptable health risk. Similarly, an IRB can suspend or terminate approval of a clinical trial at its institution if the clinical trial is not being conducted in accordance with the IRB’s requirements or if the drug has been associated with unexpected serious harm to patients. Additionally, some clinical trials are overseen by an independent group of qualified experts organized by the clinical trial sponsor, known as a data safety monitoring board or data monitoring committee. This group provides authorization for whether or not a trial may move forward at designated checkpoints based on access to certain data from the clinical trial. A trial may also be suspended or terminated based on evolving business objectives and/or competitive climate.
Concurrent with clinical trials, companies usually complete additional animal studies and must also develop additional information about the chemistry and physical characteristics of the drug as well as finalize a process for manufacturing the drug in commercial quantities in accordance with cGMP requirements. The manufacturing process must be capable of consistently producing quality batches of the product candidate and, among other things, must develop methods for testing the identity, strength, quality and purity of the final drug. Additionally, appropriate packaging must be selected and tested and stability studies must be conducted to demonstrate that the product candidate does not undergo unacceptable deterioration over its shelf life.
FDA Review and Approval Processes
The results of drug development, preclinical studies and clinical trials, along with descriptions of the manufacturing process, analytical tests conducted on the chemistry of a drug, proposed labeling and other relevant information, are submitted to the FDA as part of an NDA requesting approval to market the drug. The application includes both negative and ambiguous results of preclinical and clinical trials as well as positive findings. Data may come from company-sponsored clinical trials intended to test the safety and effectiveness of a use of a drug or from a number of alternative sources, including studies initiated by investigators. To support
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marketing approval, the data submitted must be sufficient in quality and quantity to establish the safety and effectiveness of the investigational product candidate to the satisfaction of the FDA. The submission of an NDA is subject to the payment of substantial user fees; a waiver of such fees may be obtained under certain limited circumstances.
In addition, under the Pediatric Research Equity Act, (“PREA”), an NDA or supplement to an NDA must contain data to assess the safety and effectiveness of the drug for the claimed indications in all relevant pediatric subpopulations and to support dosing and administration for each pediatric subpopulation for which the drug is safe and effective. The FDA may grant deferrals for submission of data or full or partial waivers. Unless otherwise required by regulation, PREA does not apply to any drug for an indication for which orphan designation has been granted. However, if only one indication for a drug has orphan designation, a pediatric assessment may still be required for any applications to market that same drug for the non-orphan indication(s).
The FDA reviews all NDAs submitted before it accepts them for filing and may request additional information rather than accepting an NDA for filing. The FDA must make a decision on accepting an NDA for filing within 60 days of receipt. Once the submission is accepted for filing, the FDA begins an in-depth review of the NDA. Under the goals and policies agreed to by the FDA under PDUFA, the FDA has ten months from the 60-day filing date in which to complete its initial review of a standard NDA and respond to the applicant and six months for a priority NDA, if the drug is a new molecular entity. The FDA does not always meet its PDUFA goal dates for standard and priority NDAs, and the review process is often significantly extended by FDA requests for additional information or clarification.
After the NDA submission is accepted for filing, the FDA reviews the NDA to determine, among other things, whether the drug is safe and effective for its intended use and whether the drug is being manufactured in accordance with cGMP to assure and preserve the drug’s identity, strength, quality and purity. The FDA may refer applications for drug or biological products that present difficult questions of safety or efficacy to an advisory committee, typically a panel that includes clinicians and other experts, for review, evaluation and a recommendation as to whether the application should be approved and under what conditions. The FDA is not bound by the recommendations of an advisory committee, but it considers such recommendations carefully when making decisions.
Before approving an NDA, the FDA will inspect the facilities at which the drug is manufactured. The FDA will not approve the drug unless it determines that the manufacturing processes and facilities are in compliance with cGMP requirements and adequate to assure consistent production of the drug within required specifications. Additionally, before approving an NDA, the FDA may inspect one or more clinical sites to assure compliance with GCP requirements. After the FDA evaluates the application, manufacturing process and manufacturing facilities, it may issue an approval letter or a Complete Response Letter. An approval letter authorizes commercial marketing of the drug with specific prescribing information for specific indications. A Complete Response Letter indicates that the review cycle of the application is complete and the application is not ready for approval. A Complete Response Letter usually describes all of the specific deficiencies in the NDA identified by the FDA. The Complete Response Letter may require additional clinical data and/or an additional pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial(s) and/or other significant and time-consuming requirements related to clinical trials, preclinical studies or manufacturing. If a Complete Response Letter is issued, the applicant may either resubmit the NDA, addressing all of the deficiencies identified in the letter, or withdraw the application. Even if such data and information is submitted, the FDA may ultimately decide that the NDA does not satisfy the criteria for approval. Data obtained from clinical trials are not always conclusive, and the FDA may interpret data differently than Conatus interprets the same data.
If a drug receives regulatory approval, the approval may be significantly limited to specific diseases and dosages or the indications for use may otherwise be limited, which could restrict the commercial value of the drug. Further, the FDA may require that certain contraindications, warnings or precautions be included in the product labeling or may condition the approval of the NDA on other changes to the proposed labeling, development of adequate controls and specifications or a commitment to conduct one or more post-market studies or clinical trials. For example, the FDA may require Phase 4 testing, which involves clinical trials designed to further assess a drug’s safety and effectiveness, and may require testing and surveillance programs to monitor the safety of approved products that have been commercialized. The FDA may also determine that a risk evaluation and mitigation strategy, or REMS, is necessary to assure the safe use of the drug. If the FDA concludes a REMS is needed, the sponsor of the NDA must submit a proposed REMS; the FDA will not approve the NDA without an approved REMS, if required. A REMS could include medication guides, physician communication plans or elements to assure safe use, such as restricted distribution methods, patient registries and other risk minimization tools. Following approval of an NDA with a REMS, the sponsor is responsible for marketing the drug in compliance with the REMS and must submit periodic REMS assessments to the FDA.
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Orphan Drug Designation
In the United States, under the Orphan Drug Act, the FDA may grant orphan designation to a drug or biological product intended to treat a rare disease or condition. Such diseases and conditions are those that affect fewer than 200,000 individuals in the United States, or if they affect more than 200,000 individuals in the United States, there is no reasonable expectation that the cost of developing and making a drug available in the United States for these types of diseases or conditions will be recovered from sales of the drug. Orphan Drug Designation must be requested before submitting an NDA. If the FDA grants Orphan Drug Designation, the identity of the therapeutic agent and its potential orphan use are disclosed publicly by that agency. Orphan Drug Designation does not convey any advantage in or shorten the duration of the regulatory review and approval process, but it can lead to financial incentives, such as opportunities for grant funding toward clinical trial costs, tax advantages and user-fee waivers.
If a drug that has orphan designation subsequently receives the first FDA approval for the disease or condition for which it has such designation, the drug is entitled to orphan drug marketing exclusivity for a period of seven years. Orphan drug marketing exclusivity generally prevents the FDA from approving another application, including a full NDA, to market the same drug or biological product for the same indication for seven years, except in limited circumstances, including if the FDA concludes that the later drug is safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care. For purposes of small molecule drugs, the FDA defines “same drug” as a drug that contains the same active chemical entity and is intended for the same use as the drug in question. A designated orphan drug may not receive orphan drug marketing exclusivity if it is approved for a use that is broader than the indication for which it received orphan designation. Orphan drug marketing exclusivity rights in the United States may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient quantity of the drug to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition.
Conatus submitted applications for orphan drug designation for emricasan for the treatment of fibrosis in HCV-POLT patients in the United States and the EU. In late 2013, Conatus received orphan drug designation from the FDA for the treatment of POLT patients with reestablished fibrosis in their liver to delay the progression to cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease. In the EU, Conatus withdrew the application based on feedback from the applicable regulatory body that emricasan may have efficacy in fibrosis outside of the HCV-POLT patient population.
Expedited Development and Review Programs
The FDA has a Fast Track program that is intended to expedite or facilitate the process for reviewing new drugs that meet certain criteria. Specifically, new drugs are eligible for Fast Track designation if they are intended, alone or in combination with one or more drugs, to treat a serious or life-threatening disease or condition and demonstrate the potential to address unmet medical needs for the disease or condition. Fast Track designation applies to the combination of the product candidate and the specific indication for which it is being studied. If a product candidate receives Fast Track designation, the FDA may consider for review sections of the NDA on a rolling basis before the complete application is submitted, if the sponsor provides a schedule for the submission of the sections of the NDA, the FDA agrees to accept sections of the NDA and determines that the schedule is acceptable and the sponsor pays any required user fees upon submission of the first section of the NDA.
Any drug submitted to the FDA for approval, including a drug with a Fast Track designation, may also be eligible for other types of FDA programs intended to expedite development and review, such as Priority Review and Accelerated Approval. A drug is eligible for Priority Review if it has the potential to provide safe and effective therapy where no satisfactory alternative therapy exists or a significant improvement in the treatment, diagnosis or prevention of a disease compared to marketed products. The FDA will attempt to direct additional resources to the evaluation of an application for a new drug designated for Priority Review in an effort to facilitate the review. Additionally, a drug may be eligible for Accelerated Approval. Drugs studied for their safety and effectiveness in treating serious or life-threatening diseases or conditions may receive Accelerated Approval upon a determination that the drug has an effect on a surrogate endpoint that is reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit, or on a clinical endpoint that can be measured earlier than irreversible morbidity or mortality, that is reasonably likely to predict an effect on irreversible morbidity or mortality or other clinical benefit, taking into account the severity, rarity, or prevalence of the condition and the availability or lack of alternative treatments. As a condition of approval, the FDA may require that a sponsor of a drug or biological product receiving Accelerated Approval perform adequate and well-controlled post-marketing clinical trials. In addition, the FDA currently requires, as a condition for Accelerated Approval, pre-approval of promotional materials, which could adversely impact the timing of the commercial launch of the drug.
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The FDA may also accelerate the approval of a designated Breakthrough Therapy, which is a drug that is intended, alone or in combination with one or more other drugs, to treat a serious or life-threatening disease or condition and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the drug may demonstrate substantial improvement over existing therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints, such as substantial treatment effects observed early in clinical development. The sponsor of a Breakthrough Therapy may request the FDA to designate the drug as a Breakthrough Therapy at the time of, or any time after, the submission of an IND for the drug. If the FDA designates a drug as a Breakthrough Therapy, it must take actions appropriate to expedite the development and review of the application, which may include holding meetings with the sponsor and the review team throughout the development of the drug; providing timely advice to, and interactive communication with, the sponsor regarding the development of the drug to ensure that the development program to gather the nonclinical and clinical data necessary for approval is as efficient as practicable; involving senior managers and experienced review staff, as appropriate, in a collaborative, cross-disciplinary review; assigning a cross-disciplinary project lead for the FDA review team to facilitate an efficient review of the development program and to serve as a scientific liaison between the review team and the sponsor; and taking steps to ensure that the design of the clinical trials is as efficient as practicable, when scientifically appropriate, such as by minimizing the number of patients exposed to a potentially less efficacious treatment.
Fast Track designation, Priority Review, Accelerated Approval and Breakthrough Therapy designation do not change the standards for approval but may expedite the development or approval process. In February 2016, Conatus announced that the FDA granted Fast Track designation to the emricasan development program for the treatment of liver cirrhosis caused by NASH.
Post-Approval Requirements
Any drugs for which Conatus receives FDA approvals are subject to continuing regulation by the FDA, including, among other things, record-keeping requirements, reporting of adverse experiences with the product, providing the FDA with updated safety and efficacy information, product sampling and distribution requirements and complying with FDA promotion and advertising requirements, which include, among other requirements, standards for direct-to-consumer advertising, restrictions on promoting drugs for uses or in patient populations that are not described in the drug’s approved labeling (known as “off-label use”), limitations on industry sponsored scientific and educational activities and requirements for promotional activities involving the internet. Although physicians may prescribe legally available drugs for off-label uses, manufacturers may not market or promote such off-label uses.
In addition, quality control and manufacturing procedures must continue to conform to applicable manufacturing requirements after approval. Conatus relies, and expect to continue to rely, on third parties for the production of clinical and commercial quantities of its product candidates and products in accordance with cGMP regulations. cGMP regulations require among other things, quality control and quality assurance as well as the corresponding maintenance of records and documentation and the obligation to investigate and correct any deviations from cGMP. Drug manufacturers and other entities involved in the manufacture and distribution of approved drugs are required to register their establishments with the FDA and certain state agencies and are subject to periodic unannounced inspections by the FDA and certain state agencies for compliance with cGMP and other laws. Accordingly, manufacturers must continue to expend time, money and effort in the area of production and quality control to maintain cGMP compliance. Discovery of problems with a product after approval may result in restrictions on a product, manufacturer or holder of an approved NDA, including, among other things, recall or withdrawal of the product from the market. In addition, changes to the manufacturing process are strictly regulated and depending on the significance of the change, may require prior FDA approval before being implemented. Other types of changes to the approved product, such as adding new indications and additional labeling claims, are also subject to further FDA review and approval.
The FDA also may require Phase 4 testing and surveillance to monitor the effects of an approved product or place conditions on an approval that could restrict the distribution or use of the product. Discovery of previously unknown problems with a product or the failure to comply with applicable FDA requirements can have negative consequences, including adverse publicity, judicial or administrative enforcement, warning letters from the FDA, mandated corrective advertising or communications with doctors and civil or criminal penalties, among others.
Newly discovered or developed safety or effectiveness data may require changes to a product’s approved labeling, including the addition of new warnings and contraindications, and also may require the implementation of other risk management measures, such as a REMS. Also, new government requirements, including those resulting from new legislation, may be established, or the FDA’s policies may change, which could delay or prevent regulatory approval of Conatus’ product candidates under development.
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United States Patent Term Restoration and Marketing Exclusivity
Depending upon the timing, duration and specifics of the FDA approval of the use of Conatus’ product candidates, some of its United States patents may be eligible for limited patent term extension under the Drug Price Competition and Patent Term Restoration Act of 1984, commonly referred to as the Hatch-Waxman Amendments. The Hatch-Waxman Amendments permit a patent restoration term of up to five years as compensation for patent term lost during product development and the FDA regulatory review process. However, patent term restoration cannot extend the remaining term of a patent beyond a total of 14 years from the product’s approval date. The patent term restoration period is generally one-half the time between the effective date of an IND and the submission date of an NDA plus the time between the submission date of an NDA and the approval of that application. Only one patent applicable to an approved drug is eligible for the extension, and the application for the extension must be submitted prior to the expiration of the patent. The United States Patent and Trademark Office, in consultation with the FDA, reviews and approves the application for any patent term extension or restoration. In the future, Conatus may apply for restoration of patent term for one of its currently owned or licensed patents to add patent life beyond its current expiration date, depending on the expected length of the clinical trials and other factors involved in the filing of the relevant NDA.
Market exclusivity provisions under the FDCA can also delay the submission or the approval of certain competing marketing applications. The FDCA provides a five-year period of non-patent marketing exclusivity within the United States to the first applicant to obtain approval of an NDA for a new chemical entity. A drug is a new chemical entity if the FDA has not previously approved any other new drug containing the same active moiety, which is the molecule or ion responsible for the action of the drug substance. During the exclusivity period, the FDA may not accept for review an abbreviated new drug application, (“ANDA”), or a 505(b)(2) NDA submitted by another company for another drug based on the same active moiety, regardless of whether the drug is intended for the same indication as the original innovative drug or for another indication, where the applicant does not own or have a legal right of reference to all the data required for approval. However, an application may be submitted after four years if it contains a certification of patent invalidity or non-infringement to one of the patents listed with the FDA by the innovator NDA holder. The FDCA also provides three years of marketing exclusivity for an NDA or supplement to an existing NDA if new clinical investigations, other than bioavailability studies, that were conducted or sponsored by the applicant are deemed by the FDA to be essential to the approval of the application, for example, clinical investigations to support new indications, dosages or strengths of an existing drug. This three-year exclusivity covers only the modification for which the drug received approval on the basis of the new clinical investigations and does not prohibit the FDA from approving ANDAs for drugs containing the active agent for the original indication or condition of use. Five-year and three-year exclusivity will not delay the submission or approval of any full NDA. However, an applicant submitting a full NDA would be required to conduct or obtain a right of reference to all of the preclinical and clinical trials necessary to demonstrate safety and effectiveness.
Other types of non-patent marketing exclusivity include orphan drug exclusivity under the Orphan Drug Act, which may offer a seven-year period of marketing exclusivity as described above, and pediatric exclusivity under the Best Pharmaceuticals for Children Act, which may add six months to existing exclusivity periods and patent terms. This six-month pediatric exclusivity may be granted based on the voluntary completion of a pediatric trial in accordance with an FDA-issued “Written Request” for such a trial.
Foreign Government Regulation
In addition to regulations in the United States, Conatus will be subject to a variety of regulations in other jurisdictions governing, among other things, clinical trials, marketing authorization, manufacturing and any commercial sales, promotion and distribution of its products.
Whether or not Conatus obtains FDA approval for a product candidate, it must obtain the requisite approvals from regulatory authorities in foreign countries prior to the commencement of clinical trials or marketing of the product in those countries. Certain countries outside of the United States have a similar process that requires the submission of a clinical trial application much like an IND prior to the commencement of human clinical trials. In the EU, for example, a clinical trial application, or CTA, must be submitted to each country’s national health authority and an independent ethics committee, much like the FDA and IRB requirements in the United States, respectively. Once the CTA is approved in accordance with a country’s requirements, clinical trials may proceed.
The requirements and process governing the conduct of clinical trials, product licensing, pricing and reimbursement vary from country to country. In all cases, the clinical trials are conducted in accordance with GCP and the applicable regulatory requirements and the ethical principles that have their origin in the Declaration of Helsinki.
In the European Economic Area, or EEA (comprised of the 28 EU Member States plus Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway), medicinal products must be authorized for marketing by using either the centralized authorization procedure or national authorization procedures.
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Centralized procedure: Under the centralized procedure, following the opining of the European Medicines Agency’s, (“EMA’s”), Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use, (the “CHMP”), the European Commission issues a single marketing authorization valid across the EEA. The centralized procedure is compulsory for human medicines derived from biotechnology processes advanced therapy medicinal products (such as gene therapy, somatic cell therapy and tissue engineered products), products that contain a new active substance indicated for the treatment of certain diseases, such as HIV/AIDS, cancer, diabetes, neurodegenerative disorders, diabetes, autoimmune diseases and other immune dysfunctions, viral diseases, and officially designated orphan medicines. For medicines that do not fall within these categories, an applicant has the option of submitting an application for a centralized marketing authorization to the EMA, as long as the medicine concerned contains a new active substance not yet authorized in the EEA, is a significant therapeutic, scientific or technical innovation, or if its authorization would be in the interest of public health in the EEA. Under the centralized procedure the maximum timeframe for the evaluation of a marketing authorization application, or MAA, by the EMA is 210 days, excluding clock stops, when additional written or oral information is to be provided by the applicant in response to questions asked by the CHMP. Accelerated assessment might be granted by the CHMP in exceptional cases, when a medicinal product is expected to be of a major public health interest, particularly from the point of view of therapeutic innovation. The timeframe for the evaluation of an MAA under the accelerated assessment procedure is 150 days, excluding clock stops.
National authorization procedures: There are also two other possible routes to authorize medicinal products in several countries, which are available for products that fall outside the scope of the centralized procedure:
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Decentralized procedure. Using the decentralized procedure, an applicant may apply for simultaneous authorization in more than one EU country of medicinal products that have not yet been authorized in any EU country and that do not fall within the mandatory scope of the centralized procedure.
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Mutual recognition procedure. In the mutual recognition procedure, a medicine is first authorized in one EU Member State, in accordance with the national procedures of that country. Following this, further marketing authorizations can be sought from other EU countries in a procedure whereby the countries concerned recognize the validity of the original, national marketing authorization.
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In the EEA, new products authorized for marketing, or reference products, qualify for eight years of data exclusivity and an additional two years of market exclusivity upon marketing authorization. The data exclusivity period prevents generic or biosimilar applicants from relying on the preclinical and clinical trial data contained in the dossier of the reference product when applying for a generic or biosimilar marketing authorization in the EU during a period of eight years from the date on which the reference product was first authorized in the EU. The market exclusivity period prevents a successful generic or biosimilar applicant from commercializing its product in the EU until 10 years have elapsed from the initial authorization of the reference product in the EU. The 10-year market exclusivity period can be extended to a maximum of 11 years if, during the first eight years of those 10 years, the marketing authorization holder obtains an authorization for one or more new therapeutic indications which, during the scientific evaluation prior to their authorization, are held to bring a significant clinical benefit in comparison with existing therapies.
The criteria for designating an “orphan medicinal product” in the EEA are similar in principle to those in the United States. In the EEA, a medicinal product may be designated as orphan if (a) it is intended for the diagnosis, prevention or treatment of a life-threatening or chronically debilitating condition; (b) either (i) such condition affects no more than five in 10,000 persons in the EU when the application is made, or (ii) the product, without the benefits derived from orphan status, would not generate sufficient return in the EU to justify investment; and (c) there exists no satisfactory method of diagnosis, prevention or treatment of such condition authorized for marketing in the EU, or if such a method exists, the product will be of significant benefit to those affected by the condition. Orphan medicinal products are eligible for financial incentives such as reduction of fees or fee waivers and are, upon grant of a marketing authorization, entitled to ten years of market exclusivity for the approved therapeutic indication. During this ten-year orphan market exclusivity period, no similar medicinal product for the same indication may be placed on the market. An orphan product can also obtain an additional two years of market exclusivity in the EU for pediatric studies. The ten-year market exclusivity may be reduced to six years if, at the end of the fifth year, it is established that the product no longer meets the criteria for orphan designation, for example, if the product is sufficiently profitable not to justify maintenance of market exclusivity. Additionally, marketing authorization may be granted to a similar product for the same indication at any time if the: (a) second applicant can establish that its product, although similar, is safer, more effective or otherwise clinically superior; (b) applicant consents to a second orphan medicinal product application; or (c) applicant cannot supply enough orphan medicinal product.
If Conatus fails to comply with applicable foreign regulatory requirements, it may be subject in those countries to, among other things, fines, suspension or withdrawal of regulatory approvals, product recalls, seizure of products, operating restrictions and criminal prosecution.
Coverage and Reimbursement
Sales of Conatus’ products will depend, in part, on the extent to which its products will be covered by third-party payors, such as government health care programs, commercial insurance and managed healthcare organizations. These third-party payors are increasingly limiting coverage and/or reducing reimbursements for medical products and services. In addition, the United States government, state legislatures and foreign governments have continued implementing cost-containment programs, including price
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controls, restrictions on coverage and reimbursement and requirements for substitution of generic products. Adoption of price controls and cost-containment measures and adoption of more restrictive policies in jurisdictions with existing controls and measures could further limit Conatus’ net revenue and results. Decreases in third-party reimbursement for Conatus’ product candidates or a decision by a third-party payor not to cover its product candidates could reduce physician usage of its products once approved and have a material adverse effect on its sales, results of operations and financial condition.
Healthcare Reform
A primary trend in the U.S. healthcare industry and elsewhere is cost containment. Government authorities and other third-party payors have attempted to control costs by limiting coverage and the amount of reimbursement for particular medical products, implementing reductions in Medicare and other healthcare funding, and applying new payment methodologies. For example, in March 2010, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act, or collectively, the Affordable Care Act, was enacted, which, among other things, increased the minimum Medicaid rebates owed by most manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program; introduced a new methodology by which rebates owed by manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program are calculated for drugs that are inhaled, infused, instilled, implanted or injected; extended the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program to utilization of prescriptions of individuals enrolled in Medicaid managed care plans; imposed mandatory discounts for certain Medicare Part D beneficiaries as a condition for manufacturers’ outpatient drugs coverage under Medicare Part D; subjected drug manufacturers to new annual fees based on pharmaceutical companies’ share of sales to federal healthcare programs; created a new Patient Centered Outcomes Research Institute to oversee, identify priorities in, and conduct comparative clinical effectiveness research, along with funding for such research; and establishment of a Center for Medicare Innovation at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, or CMS, to test innovative payment and service delivery models to lower Medicare and Medicaid spending.
Since its enactment, there have been judicial and Congressional challenges to certain aspects of the Affordable Care Act. Conatus expects that the current presidential administration and U.S. Congress will likely continue to seek to modify, repeal, or otherwise invalidate all, or certain provisions of, the Affordable Care Act. Recently, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, or the Tax Act, was enacted, which, among other things, removes penalties for not complying with the Affordable Care Act’s individual mandate to carry health insurance. On December 14, 2018, a U.S. District Court Judge in the Northern District of Texas, ruled that the individual mandate is a critical and inseverable feature of the Affordable Care Act, and therefore, because it was repealed as part of the Tax Act, the remaining provisions of the Affordable Care Act are invalid as well. While the Trump Administration and CMS have both stated that the ruling will have no immediate effect, it is unclear how this decision, subsequent appeals, if any, and other efforts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act will impact the Affordable Care Act and Conatus’ business. As such, there is still uncertainty with respect to the impact President Trump’s administration and the U.S. Congress may have, if any, and any changes will likely take time to unfold, and could have an impact on coverage and reimbursement for healthcare items and services covered by plans that were authorized by the Affordable Care Act. Conatus cannot predict the ultimate content, timing or effect of any healthcare reform legislation or the impact of potential legislation on it.
In addition, other legislative changes have been proposed and adopted in the United States since the Affordable Care Act to reduce healthcare expenditures. These changes include aggregate reductions of Medicare payments to providers of 2% per fiscal year that, due to subsequent legislative amendments, will remain in effect through 2027 unless additional action is taken by Congress. On January 2, 2013, the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 was signed into law, which, among other things, further reduced Medicare payments to several types of providers, including hospitals, imaging centers and cancer treatment centers, and increased the statute of limitations period for the government to recover overpayments to providers from three to five years. Recently there has been heightened governmental scrutiny over the manner in which manufacturers set prices for their marketed products, which has resulted in several Congressional inquiries and proposed and enacted legislation designed to, among other things, bring more transparency to product pricing, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs and reform government program reimbursement methodologies. Individual states in the United States have also become increasingly active in implementing regulations designed to control pharmaceutical product pricing, including price or patient reimbursement constraints, discounts, restrictions on certain product access and marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, and, in some cases, designed to encourage importation from other countries and bulk purchasing.
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Fraud and Abuse Laws
Conatus will also be subject to healthcare fraud and abuse laws and other regulations and enforcement by the federal government as well as the state and foreign governments in which Conatus will conduct its business if a product candidate developed by Conatus is approved and commercialization of such product candidate begins. Such laws include, without limitation, state and federal anti-kickback, false claims, privacy and security and physician sunshine laws and regulations. Violations of any of such laws or any other governmental regulations may result in penalties, including civil and criminal penalties, damages, fines, the curtailment or restructuring of operations, the exclusion from participation in federal and state healthcare programs or similar programs in other countries or jurisdictions, integrity oversight and reporting obligations, and individual imprisonment.
Geographic and Financial Segment Information
To date, Conatus has viewed its operations and managed its business as one segment operating primarily in the United States.
Employees
As of March 2, 2020, Conatus had 6 employees, 5 of whom are full-time, 3 of whom hold Ph.D. or M.D. degrees, 1 of whom was engaged in research and development activities and 5 of whom were in general and administrative positions. None of its employees are subject to a collective bargaining agreement. Conatus considers its relationship with its employees to be good.
About Conatus
Conatus was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware in 2005. Conatus’ principal executive offices are located at 16745 West Bernardo Dr., Suite 250, San Diego, California 92127, and its telephone number is (858) 376-2600. Conatus’ website address is www.conatuspharma.com. The information in or accessible through Conatus’ website is not incorporated into and is not considered part of this filing.
Available Information
Conatus files electronically with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, its annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and current reports on Form 8-K pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Exchange Act. Conatus makes available on its website at www.conatuspharma.com, free of charge, copies of these reports, as soon as reasonably practicable after it electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the SEC. The SEC maintains a website that contains reports, proxy and information statements and other information regarding issuers that file electronically with the SEC. The address of that website is www.sec.gov. The information in or accessible through the SEC and Conatus’ website are not incorporated into, and are not considered part of, this filing. Further, the references to the URLs for these websites are intended to be inactive textual references only.
In January 2020, Conatus entered into a Merger Agreement with Histogen, pursuant to which, subject to the approval of Conatus stockholders and the satisfaction or waiver of the conditions set forth in the Merger Agreement, Histogen would become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Conatus, referred to herein as the merger. If the merger is completed, which could be as early as the second quarter of 2020, the business of Histogen will become the business of Conatus. Additional information regarding the merger including risk factors related to Histogen can be found in Conatus’ registration statement on Form S-4. You should carefully consider the following risk factors, together with the other information contained in this annual report on Form 10-K, including Conatus’ financial statements and the related notes and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” before making a decision to purchase or sell shares of Conatus common stock. Conatus cannot assure you that any of the events discussed in the risk factors below will not occur. These risks could have a material and adverse impact on Conatus’ business, results of operations, financial condition and growth prospects. If that were to happen, the trading price of Conatus common stock could decline. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to Conatus or that Conatus currently deems immaterial also may impair Conatus’ business operations or financial condition.
Risks Related to the Merger
The exchange ratio is not adjustable based on the market price of Conatus common stock, so the merger consideration at the closing may have a greater or lesser value than at the time the Merger Agreement was signed.
The Merger Agreement has set the exchange ratio formula for the Histogen common stock, and the exchange ratio is based on the fully-diluted outstanding capital stock of Histogen and the fully-diluted outstanding common stock of Conatus, after taking into account each company’s outstanding options and warrants, irrespective of the exercise prices of such options and warrants, and
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Conatus’ and Histogen’s net cash balances, in each case immediately prior to the closing of the merger. Any changes in the market price of Conatus common stock before the completion of the merger will not affect the number of shares of Conatus common stock issuable to Histogen’s stockholders pursuant to the Merger Agreement. Therefore, if before the completion of the merger the market price of Conatus common stock declines from the market price on the date of the Merger Agreement, then Histogen’s stockholders could receive merger consideration with substantially lower value than the value of such merger consideration on the date of the Merger Agreement. Similarly, if before the completion of the merger the market price of Conatus common stock increases from the market price of Conatus common stock on the date of the Merger Agreement, then Histogen’s stockholders could receive merger consideration with substantially greater value than the value of such merger consideration on the date of the Merger Agreement. The Merger Agreement does not include a price-based termination right. Because the exchange ratio does not adjust as a result of changes in the market price of Conatus common stock, for each one percentage point change in the market price of Conatus common stock, there is a corresponding one percentage point rise or decline, respectively, in the value of the total merger consideration payable to Histogen’s stockholders pursuant to the Merger Agreement.
The net cash balances of Conatus and Histogen at the closing of the merger could result in their respective securityholders owning a smaller or larger percentage of the combined organization and could even result in the termination of the Merger Agreement.
The estimates of the respective ownership percentages of the Conatus and Histogen securityholders contained in annual report on Form 10-K are subject to adjustment prior to closing of the merger, including an upward adjustment to the exchange ratio to the extent that Conatus’ net cash at the effective time of the merger, or the Effective Time, is less than $12.6 million or Histogen’s net cash at the Effective Time is more than $2.2 million (in each case as net cash is defined in the Merger Agreement and as adjusted based on the closing date of the merger), or a downward adjustment to the exchange ratio to the extent that Conatus’ net cash at the Effective Time is more than $13.4 million or Histogen’s net cash at the Effective Time of the merger is less than $1.4 million (in each case as adjusted based on the closing date of the merger). As a result, Conatus and Histogen stockholders could own more or less, respectively, of the combined organization based on the final net cash positions of the companies. Additionally, the net cash amounts at which adjustments to the exchange ratio may be triggered will be reduced by each company’s average daily net cash burn rate in December 2019 for each day from January 31, 2020 until the closing date of the merger.
Additionally, Conatus is required to have net cash of at least $12.5 million at the closing of the merger, as adjusted based on the closing date of the merger; if Conatus’ net cash falls below $12.5 million (as adjusted based on the closing date of the merger) Histogen could decide not to consummate the transaction and the Merger Agreement could be terminated.
Failure to complete the merger may result in Conatus or Histogen paying a termination fee or expenses to the other party and could significantly harm the market price of Conatus common stock and negatively affect the future business and operations of each company.
If the merger is not completed and the Merger Agreement is terminated under certain circumstances, Conatus or Histogen may be required to pay the other party a termination fee of $500,000 or reimburse the transaction expenses of the other party, up to a maximum of $350,000. Even if a termination fee is not payable or transaction expenses are not reimbursable in connection with a termination of the Merger Agreement, each of Conatus and Histogen will have incurred significant fees and expenses, such as legal and accounting fees, which must be paid whether or not the merger is completed. Further, if the merger is not completed, it could significantly harm the market price of Conatus’ common stock.
In addition, if the Merger Agreement is terminated and the board of directors of Conatus or Histogen determines to seek another business combination, there can be no assurance that either Conatus or Histogen will be able to find a partner and close an alternative transaction on terms that are as favorable or more favorable than the terms set forth in the Merger Agreement.
The merger may be completed even though certain events occur prior to the closing that materially and adversely affect Conatus or Histogen.
The Merger Agreement provides that either Conatus or Histogen can refuse to complete the merger if there is a material adverse change affecting the other party between January 28, 2020, the date of the Merger Agreement, and the closing of the merger. However, certain types of changes do not permit either party to refuse to complete the merger, even if such change could be said to have a material adverse effect on Conatus or Histogen, including:
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any effect resulting from the announcement or pendency of the merger or any related transactions;
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the taking of any action, or the failure to take any action, by either Conatus or Histogen required to comply with the terms of the Merger Agreement;
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any natural disaster or any act or threat of terrorism or war anywhere in the world, any armed hostilities or terrorist activities anywhere in the world, any threat or escalation or armed hostilities or terrorist activities anywhere in the world, or any governmental or other response or reaction to any of the foregoing;
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general economic or political conditions or conditions generally affecting the industries in which Conatus or Histogen, as applicable, operates;
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any rejection by a governmental body of a registration or filing by Conatus or Histogen relating to certain intellectual property rights of Conatus or Histogen;
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any change in accounting requirements or principles or any change in applicable laws, rules, or regulations or the interpretation thereof;
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with respect to Conatus, any change in the stock price or trading volume of Conatus excluding any underlying effect that may have caused such change;
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with respect to Conatus, the termination, sublease, or assignment of Conatus’ facility lease, or failure to do the foregoing;
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with respect to Conatus, continued losses from operations or decreases in cash balances of Conatus;
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with respect to Conatus, the winding down of Conatus’ operations; and
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with respect to Histogen, any change in the cash position of Histogen resulting from operations in the ordinary course of business.
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If adverse changes occur and Conatus and Histogen still complete the merger, the market price of the combined organization’s common stock may suffer. This in turn may reduce the value of the merger to the stockholders of Conatus, Histogen or both.
Even if the merger is completed, the combined organization will need to raise additional capital by issuing securities or debt or through licensing or similar arrangements, which may cause significant dilution to the combined organization’s stockholders, restrict the combined organization’s operations or require the combined organization to relinquish proprietary rights. Future issuances of the combined company’s common stock pursuant to options and warrants outstanding following the merger and its equity incentive plans, including the Conatus 2020 Plan, could result in additional dilution.
Following the completion of the merger, Conatus expects the combined organization will need to raise additional capital to fund its operations beyond 2020. Additional financing may not be available to the combined organization when it needs it or may not be available on favorable terms. To the extent that the combined organization raises additional capital by issuing equity securities, the terms of such an issuance may cause more significant dilution to the combined organization’s stockholders’ ownership, and the terms of any new equity securities may have preferences over the combined organization’s common stock. Any debt financing the combined organization enters into may involve covenants that restrict its operations. These restrictive covenants may include limitations on additional borrowing and specific restrictions on the use of the combined organization’s assets, as well as prohibitions on its ability to create liens, pay dividends, redeem its stock or make investments. In addition, if the combined organization raises additional funds through licensing or similar arrangements, it may be necessary to relinquish potentially valuable rights to current product candidates and potential products or proprietary technologies, or grant licenses on terms that are not favorable to the combined organization.
In addition, the exercise or conversion of some or all of the combined company’s outstanding options or warrants (or, after the merger, the issuance of equity awards under the Conatus 2020 Plan) could result in additional dilution in the percentage ownership interest of Conatus or Histogen stockholders.
Some Conatus and Histogen officers and directors have interests in the merger that are different from yours and that may influence them to support or approve the merger without regard to your interests.
Certain officers and directors of Conatus and Histogen participate in arrangements that provide them with interests in the merger that are different from yours, including, among others, the continued service as an officer or director of the combined organization, severance benefits, the acceleration of RSUs and stock option vesting, continued indemnification and the potential ability to sell an increased number of shares of common stock of the combined organization in accordance with Rule 144 under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Act.
For example, Conatus has entered into certain employment and severance benefits agreements with certain of its executive officers that may result in the receipt by such executive officers of cash severance payments and other benefits in the event of a covered termination of employment of each executive officer’s employment. The closing of the merger will also result in the acceleration of vesting of RSUs and options to purchase shares of Conatus common stock held by Conatus’ executive officers and directors, whether or not there is a covered termination of such officer’s employment. For more information concerning the treatment of Conatus’ RSUs and stock options in connection with the merger, see the section entitled “The Merger Agreement—Treatment of Conatus Stock Awards and Warrants” in the Form S-4.
In addition, and for example, Histogen’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Richard Pascoe is expected to become a director and the Chief Executive Officer of Conatus upon the closing of the merger, and Histogen’s directors and executive officers are entitled to certain indemnification and liability insurance coverage pursuant to the terms of the Merger Agreement. These interests, among others, may influence the officers and directors of Conatus and Histogen to support or approve the merger. For more information concerning the interests of Conatus’ and Histogen’s executive officers and directors, see the sections entitled “The Merger—Interests of the Conatus Directors and Executive Officers in the Merger” and “The Merger—Interests of Histogen Directors and Executive Officers in the Merger” in the Form S-4.
The market price of Conatus’ common stock following the merger may decline as a result of the merger.
The market price of Conatus’ common stock may decline as a result of the merger for a number of reasons including if:
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investors react negatively to the prospects of the combined organization’s product candidates, business and financial condition following the merger;
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the effect of the merger on the combined organization’s business and prospects is not consistent with the expectations of financial or industry analysts; or
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the combined organization does not achieve the perceived benefits of the merger as rapidly or to the extent anticipated by financial or industry analysts.
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Conatus and Histogen stockholders may not realize a benefit from the merger commensurate with the ownership dilution they will experience in connection with the merger.
If the combined organization is unable to realize the strategic and financial benefits currently anticipated from the merger, Conatus’ and Histogen’s stockholders will have experienced substantial dilution of their ownership interests in their respective companies without receiving the expected commensurate benefit, or only receiving part of the commensurate benefit to the extent the combined organization is able to realize only part of the expected strategic and financial benefits currently anticipated from the merger.
During the pendency of the merger, Conatus and Histogen may not be able to enter into a business combination with another party at a favorable price because of restrictions in the Merger Agreement, which could adversely affect their respective businesses.
Covenants in the Merger Agreement impede the ability of Conatus and Histogen to make acquisitions, subject to certain exceptions relating to fiduciary duties, as set forth below, or to complete other transactions that are not in the ordinary course of business pending completion of the merger. As a result, if the merger is not completed, the parties may be at a disadvantage to their competitors during such period. In addition, while the Merger Agreement is in effect, each party is generally prohibited from soliciting, initiating, encouraging or entering into certain extraordinary transactions, such as a merger, sale of assets, or other business combination outside the ordinary course of business with any third party, subject to certain exceptions relating to fiduciary duties, as set forth below. Any such transactions could be favorable to such party’s stockholders.
Certain provisions of the Merger Agreement may discourage third parties from submitting alternative takeover proposals, including proposals that may be superior to the arrangements contemplated by the Merger Agreement.
The terms of the Merger Agreement prohibit each of Conatus and Histogen from soliciting alternative takeover proposals or cooperating with persons making unsolicited takeover proposals, except in limited circumstances when such party’s board of directors determines in good faith that an unsolicited alternative takeover proposal is or is reasonably likely to lead to a superior takeover proposal and that failure to cooperate with the proponent of the proposal would be reasonably likely to be inconsistent with the board of directors’ fiduciary duties.
Because the lack of a public market for Histogen’s capital stock makes it difficult to evaluate the value of Histogen’s capital stock, the stockholders of Histogen may receive shares of Conatus common stock in the merger that have a value that is less than, or greater than, the fair market value of Histogen’s capital stock.
The outstanding capital stock of Histogen is privately held and is not traded in any public market. The lack of a public market makes it extremely difficult to determine the fair market value of Histogen. Because the percentage of Conatus common stock to be issued to Histogen’s stockholders was determined based on negotiations between the parties, it is possible that the value of Conatus common stock to be received by Histogen’s stockholders will be less than the fair market value of Histogen, or Conatus may pay more than the aggregate fair market value for Histogen.
If the conditions to the merger are not satisfied or waived, the merger will not occur.
Even if the merger is approved by the stockholders of Conatus and Histogen, other conditions must be satisfied or waived to complete the merger. These conditions are set forth in the Merger Agreement and described in the section entitled “The Merger Agreement—Conditions to the Completion of the Merger” in the Form S-4. Conatus and Histogen cannot assure you that all of the conditions will be satisfied or waived. Certain of the closing conditions are incapable of being waived. If the conditions are not satisfied or waived, the merger will not occur or will be delayed, and Conatus and Histogen each may lose some or all of the intended benefits of the merger.
The Merger may fail to qualify as a “reorganization” for U.S. federal income tax purposes, resulting in recognition of taxable gain or loss by holders of Histogen capital stock.
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Conatus and Histogen intend for the merger to qualify as a “reorganization” within the meaning of Section 368(a) of the Code, as described in the section entitled “The Merger—Material U.S. Federal Income Tax Consequences of the Merger” in the Form S-4. In the event that the merger does not qualify as a “reorganization,” the merger would result in taxable gain or loss for each holder of Histogen capital stock, with the amount of such gain or loss determined by the amount that each Histogen stockholder’s adjusted tax basis in the Histogen capital stock surrendered is less or more than the fair market value of the Conatus common stock and any cash in lieu of a fractional share received in exchange therefor. Each holder of Histogen capital stock is urged to consult with his, her or its own tax advisor with respect to the tax consequences of the merger.
The combined organization may become involved in securities class action litigation that could divert management’s attention and harm the combined organization’s business and insurance coverage may not be sufficient to cover all costs and damages.
In the past, securities class action or shareholder derivative litigation often follows certain significant business transactions, such as the sale of a business division or announcement of a merger. The combined organization may become involved in this type of litigation in the future. Litigation is often expensive and diverts management’s attention and resources, which could adversely affect the combined organization’s business.
Risks Related to Conatus’ Evaluation of Strategic Alternatives
Conatus’ activities to evaluate and pursue strategic alternatives may not be successful.
In June 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from its ENCORE-LF clinical trial of emricasan did not meet the primary endpoint, and it was discontinuing further treatment of patients enrolled in the ENCORE-LF clinical trial. In addition, results from the 24-week extension in Conatus’ ENCORE-PH clinical trial of emricasan were consistent with results from the initial 24-week treatment period and did not meet predefined objectives. Previously, in March 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from the Phase 2b ENCORE-NF clinical trial of emricasan also did not meet the primary endpoint. Consequently, Conatus and Novartis Pharma AG, or Novartis, entered into an amendment to the Option, Collaboration and License Agreement, or the Collaboration Agreement, with Novartis, pursuant to which Conatus and Novartis mutually agreed to terminate the Collaboration Agreement, effective September 30, 2019.
In connection with the recent emricasan clinical trial results and plans to evaluate strategic alternatives, Conatus commenced a restructuring plan in June 2019 that included reducing staff by approximately 40% and suspending development of its inflammasome disease candidate, CTS-2090, and another restructuring plan in September 2019 that included further reducing staff by approximately 40%, in order to extend its resources.
Conatus has engaged Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. as a financial advisor to assist in the exploration and evaluation of strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value, including a merger, an acquisition or sale of assets or a dissolution and liquidation of Conatus. There can be no assurance that Conatus’ process to identify and evaluate potential strategic alternatives will result in any definitive offer to consummate a strategic transaction, or if made, what the terms thereof will be or that any transaction will be approved or consummated. In addition, potential strategic transactions that require stockholder approval may not be approved by Conatus stockholders. A strategic transaction would also likely result in substantial dilution to Conatus stockholders and could result in other restrictions that may affect its business. Further, any strategic transaction that is completed ultimately may not deliver the anticipated benefits or enhance stockholder value.
Conatus may also acquire additional businesses, products or product candidates. Integrating any newly acquired business, product or product candidate could be expensive and time-consuming. Conatus may not be able to integrate any acquired business, product or product candidate successfully. Conatus’ future financial performance will depend, in part, on its ability to manage any future growth effectively and its ability to integrate any acquired businesses.
Any strategic transaction may require Conatus to incur non-recurring or other charges, may increase its near- and long-term expenditures and may pose significant integration challenges or disrupt Conatus’ management or business, which could adversely affect its operations and financial results. For example, these transactions may entail numerous operational and financial risks, including:
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exposure to unknown liabilities;
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incurrence of substantial debt or dilutive issuances of equity securities to pay for acquisitions;
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higher than expected acquisition and integration costs;
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write downs of assets or goodwill or impairment charges;
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increased amortization expenses;
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difficulty and cost in combining the operations and personnel of any acquired businesses with its operations and personnel;
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impairment of relationships with key suppliers or customers of any acquired businesses due to changes in management and ownership; and
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the inability to retain key employees of Conatus or any acquired businesses.
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Accordingly, there can be no assurance that Conatus will undertake or successfully complete any strategic transactions of the nature described above. Any transactions that Conatus does complete may be subject to the foregoing or other risks and could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition and prospects.
In connection with the recent clinical failures of emricasan, Conatus began evaluating strategic alternatives, and recently entered into the Merger Agreement with Histogen. Conatus’ merger with Histogen may not be consummated and, if consummated, will result in substantial dilution to Conatus stockholders and may not deliver the anticipated benefits Conatus expects.
In June 2019, in connection with the failure of emricasan to meet the primary endpoints in the ENCORE trials, Conatus announced plans to evaluate strategic alternatives. Conatus engaged Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. to assist in the exploration and evaluation of strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value, including a merger, an acquisition or sale of assets or a dissolution and liquidation of Conatus. In December 2019, Conatus entered into the Merger Agreement pursuant to which, among other things, Merger Sub, a wholly owned subsidiary of Conatus, will merge with and into Histogen, with Histogen surviving as a wholly owned subsidiary of Conatus. Consummation of the merger is subject to certain closing conditions, including approval from Conatus’ stockholders, satisfaction of which conditions may take a significant amount of time and will further decrease Conatus’ cash resources. There can be no assurance that Conatus will be able to successfully complete the merger and investors may disagree with the new focus of its business. The transaction will result in dilution to Conatus’ stockholders and could result in other restrictions that may affect its business. Further, if completed, the merger ultimately may not deliver the anticipated benefits or enhance stockholder value.
If Conatus is unable to complete the merger, Conatus cannot predict whether and to what extent it would be successful in consummating an alternative transaction, the timing of such a transaction or its future cash needs required to complete such a transaction. Therefore, Conatus may be required to pursue a dissolution and liquidation. In such an event, the amount of cash, if any, available for distribution to its shareholders will depend heavily on the timing of such decision and Conatus’ other financial obligations. In addition, with the passage of time, the amount of cash, if any, available for distribution will be reduced as Conatus continues to fund its operations. Furthermore, Conatus may be subject to litigation or other claims related to the Merger Agreement.
Business development activity involves numerous risks, including the risks that Conatus may be unable to integrate an acquired business successfully and that Conatus may assume liabilities that could adversely affect it.
In order to enhance shareholder value, on January 28, 2020, Conatus entered into the Merger Agreement with Histogen. Conatus cannot be sure the merger will result in a successful acquisition, development or launch of products that will prove to be commercially successful or will improve the long-term profitability of Conatus’ business. Acquisitions or licenses could require Conatus to raise significant capital and potentially incur significant dilution through the issuance of new shares of capital stock. These strategic transactions involve many risks, including, but not limited to, the following:
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difficulties in achieving identified financial revenue synergies, growth opportunities, operating synergies and cost savings;
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difficulties in assimilating the personnel, operations and products of an acquired company, and the potential loss of key employees;
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difficulties in consolidating information technology platforms, business applications and corporate infrastructure;
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difficulties in integrating Conatus’ corporate culture with local customs and cultures;
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possible overlap between Conatus products or customers and those of an acquired entity that may create conflicts in relationships or other commitments detrimental to the integrated businesses;
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Conatus’ inability to achieve expected revenues and gross margins for any products Conatus may acquire;
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the diversion of management’s attention from other business concerns;
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risks and challenges of entering or operating in markets in which Conatus has limited or no prior experience, including the unanticipated effects of export controls, exchange rate fluctuations, foreign legal and regulatory requirements, and foreign political and economic conditions; and
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difficulties in reorganizing, winding-down or liquidating operations if not successful.
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In addition, foreign acquisitions involve numerous risks, including those related to changes in local laws and market conditions and due to the absence of policies and procedures sufficient to assure compliance by a foreign entity with United States regulatory and legal requirements. Business development activities require significant transaction costs, including substantial fees for investment bankers, attorneys, and accountants. Any acquisition could result in Conatus’ assumption of material unknown and/or unexpected liabilities. Conatus also cannot provide assurance that it will achieve any cost savings or synergies relating to recent or future acquisitions. Additionally, in any acquisition agreement, the negotiated representations, warranties and agreements of the selling parties may not entirely protect Conatus, and liabilities resulting from any breaches could exceed negotiated indemnity limitations. These factors could impair Conatus’ growth and ability to compete, divert resources from other potentially more profitable areas, or otherwise cause a material adverse effect on its business, financial position and results of operations.
The financial statements of acquired companies, or those that may be acquired in the future, are prepared by management of such companies and are not independently verified by Conatus’ management. In addition, any pro forma financial statements prepared
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by Conatus to give effect to such acquisitions may not accurately reflect the results of operations of such companies that would have been achieved had the acquisition of such entities been completed at the beginning of the applicable periods.
If Conatus does not successfully consummate a strategic transaction, its board of directors may decide to pursue a dissolution and liquidation of Conatus. In such an event, the amount of cash available for distribution to Conatus stockholders will depend heavily on the timing of such liquidation as well as the amount of cash that will need to be reserved for commitments and contingent liabilities.
There can be no assurance that the process to identify a strategic transaction will result in a successfully consummated transaction. If no transaction is completed, Conatus’ board of directors, or the Conatus Board, may decide to pursue a dissolution and liquidation of the company. In such an event, the amount of cash available for distribution to Conatus stockholders will depend heavily on the timing of such decision and, ultimately, such liquidation, since the amount of cash available for distribution continues to decrease as Conatus funds its operations while it evaluates its strategic alternatives. In addition, if the Conatus Board was to approve and recommend, and its stockholders were to approve, a dissolution and liquidation of the company, Conatus would be required under Delaware corporate law to pay its outstanding obligations, as well as to make reasonable provision for contingent and unknown obligations, prior to making any distributions in liquidation to its stockholders. Conatus’ commitments and contingent liabilities may include (i) regulatory and clinical obligations; (ii) obligations under its employment and related agreements with certain employees that provide for severance and other payments following a termination of employment occurring for various reasons, including a change in control of Conatus; (iii) potential litigation against Conatus, and other various claims and legal actions arising in the ordinary course of business; and (iv) non-cancelable facility lease obligations. As a result of this requirement, a portion of Conatus’ assets may need to be reserved pending the resolution of such obligations. In addition, Conatus may be subject to litigation or other claims related to a dissolution and liquidation of the company. If a dissolution and liquidation were pursued, the Conatus Board, in consultation with its advisors, would need to evaluate these matters and make a determination about a reasonable amount to reserve. Accordingly, holders of Conatus common stock could lose all or a significant portion of their investment in the event of a liquidation, dissolution or winding up of the company.
Conatus is substantially dependent on its remaining employees to facilitate the consummation of a strategic transaction. Conatus could lose such key employees, in particular, as a result of the recent emricasan trial results and the restructuring plans it commenced in June 2019 and September 2019.
In order to extend its resources, Conatus commenced a restructuring plan in June 2019 that included reducing staff by approximately 40% and suspending development of its inflammasome disease candidate, CTS-2090, and another restructuring plan in September 2019 that included further reducing staff by another approximately 40%. Conatus’ cash conservation activities may yield unintended consequences, such as attrition beyond its planned reduction in workforce and reduced employee morale, which may cause remaining employees to seek alternative employment. Conatus’ ability to successfully complete a strategic transaction depends in large part on its ability to retain certain of its remaining personnel. Despite Conatus’ efforts to retain these employees, one or more may terminate their employment with it on short notice. The loss of the services of any of these employees could potentially harm Conatus’ ability to evaluate and pursue strategic alternatives, as well as fulfill its reporting obligations as a public company.
Conatus conducts its operations at its leased facility in San Diego, California. This region is headquarters to many other biopharmaceutical companies and many academic and research institutions. Competition for skilled personnel in its market is very intense and may limit Conatus’ ability to hire and retain highly qualified personnel on acceptable terms, and the ability to retain its key employees is critical to its ability to effectively manage its resources and to consummate a strategic transaction. Although Conatus is completing clinical trial closeout activities for emricasan and has suspended development of CTS-2090, if it resumes the development of emricasan, CTS-2090 or new therapeutic products, such development requires expertise from a number of different disciplines, some of which are not widely available. The inability to recruit or loss of the services of any executive, key employee, consultant or advisor may impede Conatus’ ability to identify and execute on a strategic path forward.
Conatus’ key employees have a significant amount of know-how and experience in its company, and the loss of one or more of them could have a material and adverse effect on its operations or ability to consummate a strategic transaction.
In order to induce valuable employees to remain with Conatus, in addition to salary and cash incentives, Conatus has provided equity options that vest over time. In August 2019, Conatus effected a one-time option exchange, wherein certain employees were offered the opportunity to exchange eligible outstanding stock options with exercise prices that are significantly higher than the current fair market value of its common stock for the grant of a lesser number of RSUs. The participants received one new RSU for every two stock options tendered for exchange. The value to employees of the RSUs may be significantly affected by movements in Conatus’ stock price that are beyond its control and may at any time be insufficient to counteract more lucrative offers from other companies, particularly in light of the recent emricasan trial results and restructuring plans.
The loss of the services of existing personnel or the failure to recruit additional, suitable key scientific, managerial, clinical, regulatory, operational and other personnel in a timely manner could harm Conatus’ business. Conatus may experience difficulty in hiring and retaining highly-skilled employees with appropriate qualifications as needed, particularly in light of the recent emricasan
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trial results. If Conatus fails to attract new personnel or fails to retain and motivate its current personnel, its business and future growth prospects and its ability to consummate a strategic transaction would be harmed.
Although Conatus has employment agreements with its key employees, these employment agreements provide for at-will employment, which means that any of its employees can leave Conatus’ employment at any time, with or without notice. Conatus does not maintain “key man” insurance policies on the lives of these individuals or the lives of any of its other employees. Conatus’ success also depends on its ability to continue to attract, retain and motivate highly skilled junior, mid-level and senior managers as well as junior, mid-level and senior scientific and medical personnel.
Risks Related to Conatus’ Business and Industry
Although Conatus has suspended its research and development activities related to emricasan, if it resumes the clinical development of emricasan, its business may be dependent on the success of a single clinical-stage product candidate, emricasan, which will require significant additional clinical testing before Conatus can seek regulatory approval and potentially launch commercial sales.
Although Conatus has suspended its research and development activities related to emricasan, if it resumes the clinical development of emricasan, Conatus’ future success will depend on its ability to obtain regulatory approval for, and then successfully commercialize, its only clinical-stage product candidate, emricasan. Conatus has not completed the development of any product candidates. Conatus generates no revenues from sales of any drugs, and it may never be able to develop a marketable drug. Emricasan will require additional clinical and non-clinical development, regulatory review and approval in multiple jurisdictions, substantial investment, access to sufficient commercial manufacturing capacity and significant marketing efforts before Conatus can generate any revenues from product sales.
In December 2016, Conatus entered into the Collaboration Agreement with Novartis pursuant to which it granted Novartis an exclusive license to collaborate with Conatus to develop products containing emricasan either as a single active ingredient or in combination with other Novartis compounds for liver cirrhosis or liver fibrosis. In June 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from its ENCORE-LF clinical trial of emricasan did not meet the primary endpoint, and were discontinuing further treatment of patients enrolled in the ENCORE-LF clinical trial. In addition, results from the 24-week extension in Conatus’ ENCORE-PH clinical trial of emricasan were consistent with results from the initial 24-week treatment period and did not meet predefined objectives. Previously, in March 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from the Phase 2b ENCORE-NF clinical trial of emricasan also did not meet the primary endpoint. Consequently, Conatus and Novartis entered into an amendment to the Collaboration Agreement, pursuant to which they mutually agreed to terminate the Collaboration Agreement, and Conatus has no further development plans for emricasan.
If Conatus resumes clinical development of emricasan, there is no guarantee that future clinical trials will be completed on time or at all or that any future clinical trials will commence on time or at all, and the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with the design or implementation of its clinical trials. Even if such regulatory authorities agree with the design and implementation of Conatus’ clinical trials, it cannot guarantee you that such regulatory authorities will not change their requirements in the future. In addition, even if future clinical trials are successfully completed, Conatus cannot guarantee that the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities will interpret the results as it does, and more trials would likely be required before Conatus submits emricasan for approval. To the extent that the results of the clinical trials are not satisfactory to the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities for support of a marketing application, approval of emricasan may be significantly delayed, or Conatus may be required to expend significant additional resources, which may not be available to Conatus, to conduct additional trials in support of potential approval of emricasan.
If Conatus resumes clinical development of emricasan, Conatus cannot anticipate when or if it will seek regulatory review of emricasan for any indication. Conatus has not previously submitted a new drug application, or NDA, to the FDA, or similar drug approval filings to comparable foreign authorities. An NDA must include extensive preclinical and clinical data and supporting information to establish the product candidate’s safety and effectiveness for each desired indication. An NDA must also include significant information regarding the chemistry, manufacturing and controls for the product. Obtaining approval of an NDA is a lengthy, expensive and uncertain process and may not be obtained. Conatus has not received marketing approval for any product candidate, and Conatus cannot be certain that emricasan will be successful in future clinical trials or receive regulatory approval for any indication. If Conatus does not receive regulatory approvals for and successfully commercialize emricasan on a timely basis or at all, Conatus may not be able to continue its operations. Even if Conatus successfully obtains regulatory approvals to market emricasan, its revenues will be dependent on the ability to commercialize emricasan as well as the size of the markets in the territories for which Conatus gains regulatory approval and has commercial rights.
If Conatus resumes the development of any product candidates, additional capital that Conatus may need to operate or expand its business may not be available.
Conatus may require additional capital to operate or expand its business. The failure of emricasan in recent trials to meet the primary endpoints may make it very difficult for Conatus to seek and obtain financing from the capital markets on favorable terms, or at all. If Conatus raises additional funds through the issuance of equity or convertible securities, the percentage ownership of holders
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of its common stock could be substantially diluted, and these newly issued securities may have rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of holders of its common stock. Furthermore, volatility in the credit or equity markets may have an adverse effect on Conatus’ ability to obtain debt or equity financing or the cost of such financing. If Conatus does not have funds available to enhance any potential product candidates, maintain the competitiveness of its technology and pursue business opportunities, this could have an adverse effect on its business, operating results and financial condition.
Emricasan was the subject of a clinical hold imposed by the FDA while under development by Pfizer Inc. due to a preclinical observation. Although the clinical hold has been lifted, any adverse side effects or other safety risks associated with emricasan could, if Conatus resumes the development of emricasan, delay or preclude approval of the product candidate, cause Conatus to suspend or discontinue its clinical trials or limit the commercial profile of emricasan.
When Conatus acquired emricasan from Pfizer in 2010, emricasan was on clinical hold in the United States due to an observation of inflammatory infiltrates in mice that Pfizer saw in a preclinical study and reported to the FDA in 2007. Pfizer performed additional preclinical studies attempting to characterize the nature of the inflammatory infiltrates, but did not carry out a formal carcinogenicity study to evaluate whether or not the infiltrates progressed to cancer. These infiltrates observed in mice were not observed in any other species. In 2008, Pfizer stopped work on the program. After acquiring emricasan, Conatus conducted a thorough internal review of these studies, commissioned several independent experts to review the data and, based on guidance from the FDA, conducted a 6-month carcinogenicity study in the Tg.rasH2 transgenic mouse model, which is known to be predisposed toward tumor development. This study was completed in 2012. There was no evidence of drug-related tumorgenicity in its carcinogenicity study, and after further discussions with the FDA, Conatus was cleared in January 2013 to proceed with Conatus’ previously planned HCV-POLT clinical trial, formally lifting emricasan from clinical hold in the United States. Emricasan was never placed on clinical hold outside the United States. Conatus cannot assure you that emricasan will not be placed on clinical hold in the future for similar or unrelated reasons.
In addition, undesirable side effects caused by emricasan could result in the delay, suspension or termination of clinical trials by Conatus, the FDA or other regulatory authorities or institutional review boards, or IRBs, for a number of reasons. To date, over 1,000 subjects have received emricasan in Phase 1 and Phase 2 clinical trials. Although most of the adverse events reported in relation to emricasan in these trials were mild to moderate, results of future trials could reveal a high and unacceptable severity and prevalence of these or other side effects, including, potentially, more severe side effects. In such an event, Conatus’ trials could be suspended or terminated, and the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities could order Conatus to cease further development of, or deny approval of, emricasan for any or all targeted indications. In addition, the drug-related side effects could affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete the clinical trial or result in potential product liability claims. Even if regulatory authorities granted approval of emricasan, if adverse events caused regulatory authorities to impose a restrictive label or if physicians’ perceptions of emricasan’s safety caused them to limit their use of the drug, Conatus’ ability to generate sufficient sales of emricasan could be limited. Any of these occurrences may harm Conatus’ business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations significantly.
Clinical drug development involves uncertain outcomes, and results of earlier studies and trials may not be predictive of future trial results.
Clinical testing is expensive and can take many years to complete, and its outcome is inherently uncertain. Failure can occur at any time during the clinical trial process. For example, in late 2011, Conatus ceased clinical development of a product candidate, CTS-1027, for which it had incurred $31.3 million in research and development expenses prior to such time. The results of preclinical studies and early clinical trials of emricasan may not be predictive of the results of later-stage clinical trials. Product candidates in later stages of clinical trials may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy traits despite having progressed through preclinical studies and initial clinical trials. A number of companies in the biopharmaceutical industry have suffered significant setbacks in advanced clinical trials due to lack of efficacy or safety profiles, notwithstanding promising results in earlier trials.
Emricasan has been the subject of eight completed Phase 1 and twelve completed Phase 2 clinical trials. Conatus cannot be certain that any of its future clinical trials will be successful. Failure in one indication may have negative consequences for the development of emricasan for other indications. Any such failure may harm Conatus’ business, prospects and financial condition. For example, the Phase 2b POLT-HCV-SVR, the Phase 2b ENCORE-PH, the Phase 2b ENCORE-NF and the Phase 2b ENCORE-LF clinical trials did not meet their primary endpoints. As a result of the recent clinical failures of emricasan, Conatus discontinued development of emricasan in 2019.
The FDA regulatory approval process is lengthy and time-consuming, and if Conatus resumes development of emricasan or CTS-2090, it could experience significant delays in the clinical development and regulatory approval of emricasan or CTS-2090, its business will be substantially harmed.
Conatus may experience delays in commencing and completing clinical trials of emricasan or CTS-2090. For example, based on data in 2013 regarding a new HCV antiviral being developed by another company, Conatus chose to delay and change its previously planned Phase 2b/3 HCV-POLT clinical trial to the Phase 2b POLT-HCV-SVR clinical trial. Conatus does not know whether planned
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clinical trials will begin on time, need to be redesigned, enroll patients on time or be completed on schedule, if at all. Any of Conatus future clinical trials may be delayed for a variety of reasons, including delays related to:
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the availability of financial resources for Conatus to commence and complete its planned clinical trials;
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reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective contract research organizations, or CROs, and clinical trial sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and clinical trial sites;
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obtaining IRB approval at each clinical trial site;
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obtaining regulatory approval for clinical trials in each country;
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recruiting suitable patients to participate in clinical trials;
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having patients complete a clinical trial or return for post-treatment follow-up;
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clinical trial sites deviating from trial protocol or dropping out of a trial;
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adding new clinical trial sites;
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developing one or more new formulations or routes of administration; or
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manufacturing sufficient quantities of its product candidate for use in clinical trials.
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Patient enrollment, a significant factor in the timing of clinical trials, is affected by many factors including the size and nature of the patient population, the proximity of patients to clinical sites, the eligibility criteria for the clinical trial, the design of the clinical trial, competing clinical trials and clinicians’ and patients’ perceptions as to the potential advantages of the product candidate being studied in relation to other available therapies, including any new drugs that may be approved for the indications Conatus is investigating. In addition, significant numbers of patients who enroll in Conatus’ clinical trials may drop out during the clinical trials for various reasons. Conatus believes it appropriately accounts for such increased risk of dropout rates in its trials when determining expected clinical trial timelines, but Conatus cannot assure you that its assumptions are correct, or that it will not experience higher numbers of dropouts than anticipated, which would result in the delay of completion of such trials beyond its expected timelines. For example, Conatus’ previous Phase 2b ACLF clinical trial experienced lower than expected enrollment rates, and Conatus elected to complete the trial prior to reaching the initial targeted number of patients.
Conatus could encounter delays if physicians encounter unresolved ethical issues associated with enrolling patients in clinical trials of emricasan or CTS-2090 in lieu of prescribing existing treatments that have established safety and efficacy profiles. Further, a clinical trial may be suspended or terminated by Conatus, the IRBs in the institutions in which such trials are being conducted, the data monitoring committee for such trial, or by the FDA or other regulatory authorities due to a number of factors, including failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with regulatory requirements or Conatus’ clinical protocols, inspection of the clinical trial operations or trial site by the FDA or other regulatory authorities resulting in the imposition of a clinical hold, unforeseen safety issues or adverse side effects, failure to demonstrate a benefit from using a product candidate, changes in governmental regulations or administrative actions or lack of adequate funding to continue the clinical trial. If Conatus experiences termination of, or delays in the completion of, any clinical trial of its product candidates, the commercial prospects for such product candidate will be harmed, and Conatus’ ability to generate product revenues will be delayed. In addition, any delays in completing Conatus’ clinical trials will increase its costs, slow down its product development and approval process and jeopardize its ability to commence product sales and generate revenues. Any of these occurrences may harm Conatus’ business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations significantly. Furthermore, many of the factors that cause, or lead to, a delay in the commencement or completion of clinical trials may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of a product candidate.
The clinical trials for emricasan and CTS-2090 involve a high degree of uncertainty and risk of failure, and some of Conatus’ development activities involve indications with little or no previous product candidate development activities as well as patient populations with critical illnesses and potential challenges for enrollment and participation in clinical trials.
In connection with clinical trials, Conatus faces risks that:
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IRBs may delay approval of, or fail to approve, a clinical trial at a prospective site;
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there may be a limited number of, and significant competition for, suitable patients for enrollment in the clinical trials;
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there may be slower than expected rates of patient recruitment and enrollment;
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patients may fail to complete the clinical trials;
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there may be an inability or unwillingness of patients or medical investigators to follow Conatus’ clinical trial protocols;
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there may be an inability to monitor patients adequately during or after treatment;
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there may be termination of the clinical trials by one or more clinical trial sites;
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unforeseen ethical or safety issues may arise;
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conditions of patients may deteriorate rapidly or unexpectedly, which may cause the patients to become ineligible for a clinical trial or may prevent emricasan or CTS-2090 from demonstrating efficacy or safety;
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patients may die or suffer other adverse effects for reasons that may or may not be related to Conatus’ product candidate being tested;
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Conatus may not be able to sufficiently standardize certain of the tests and procedures that are part of Conatus’ clinical trials because such tests and procedures are highly specialized and involve a high degree of expertise;
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a product candidate may not prove to be efficacious in all or some patient populations;
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the results of the clinical trials may not confirm the results of earlier trials;
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the results of the clinical trials may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or other regulatory agencies; and
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a product candidate may not have a favorable risk/benefit assessment in the disease areas studied.
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Conatus cannot assure you that any future clinical trial for emricasan or CTS-2090 will be started or completed on schedule, or at all. Any failure or significant delay in completing clinical trials for Conatus’ product candidates would harm the commercial prospects for such product candidate and adversely affect Conatus’ financial results. Difficulties and failures can occur at any stage of clinical development, and Conatus cannot assure you that it will be able to successfully complete the development and commercialization of any product candidate in any indication.
If Conatus resumes development of emricasan and is unable to obtain regulatory approval of emricasan, Conatus will not be able to commercialize this product candidate and its business will be adversely impacted.
Conatus has not obtained regulatory approval for any product candidate. If Conatus fails to obtain regulatory approval to market emricasan, its only clinical-stage product candidate, it will be unable to sell emricasan, which will significantly impair its ability to generate revenues. To receive approval, Conatus must, among other things, demonstrate with substantial evidence from clinical trials that the product candidate is both safe and effective for each indication for which approval is sought, and failure can occur in any stage of development. Satisfaction of the approval requirements typically takes several years, and the time and money needed to satisfy them may vary substantially, based on the type, complexity and novelty of the pharmaceutical product. Conatus has not commenced any Phase 3 clinical trials of emricasan to date, and Conatus cannot predict if, or when, its future clinical trials will generate the data necessary to support an NDA and if, or when, it might receive regulatory approvals for emricasan.
The FDA generally requires two confirmatory clinical trials for approval of an NDA. Under the FDA’s Accelerated Approval Program, the FDA may grant “accelerated approval” to product candidates that have been studied for their safety and effectiveness in treating serious or life-threatening illnesses and that provide meaningful therapeutic benefit to patients over existing treatments. Accelerated approval provides a pathway for an investigational product to be approved on the basis of adequate and well-controlled clinical studies establishing that the product candidate has an effect on a surrogate endpoint that the FDA considers reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit, or on a clinical endpoint that can be measured earlier than irreversible morbidity or mortality, that is reasonably likely to predict an effect on irreversible morbidity or mortality or other clinical benefit, taking into account the severity, rarity, or prevalence of the condition and the availability or lack of alternative treatments. The Accelerated Approval Program does not change the statutory requirements for marketing approval. In addition, as a condition of approval, the FDA may require that a sponsor of a drug receiving accelerated approval perform adequate and well-controlled post-marketing clinical studies. The FDA also generally requires pre-approval of promotional materials as a condition of accelerated approval.
Emricasan could fail to receive regulatory approval for many reasons, including the following:
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the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with the design or implementation of clinical trials;
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Conatus may be unable to demonstrate to the satisfaction of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities that emricasan is safe and effective for any of its proposed indications;
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the results of clinical trials may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities for approval;
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Conatus may be unable to demonstrate that emricasan’s clinical and other benefits outweigh its safety risks;
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the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with Conatus’ interpretation of data from preclinical studies or clinical trials;
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the data collected from clinical trials of emricasan may not be sufficient to the satisfaction of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities to support the submission of an NDA or other comparable submission in foreign jurisdictions or to obtain regulatory approval in the United States or elsewhere;
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the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may fail to approve the manufacturing processes or facilities of third-party manufacturers with which Conatus contracts for clinical and commercial supplies; and
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the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering Conatus’ clinical data insufficient for approval.
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This lengthy approval process as well as the unpredictability of future clinical trial results may result in Conatus’ failure to obtain regulatory approval to market emricasan, which would significantly harm its business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, even if Conatus were to obtain approval, regulatory authorities may grant approval contingent on the performance of costly post-marketing clinical trials or the imposition of a risk evaluation and mitigation strategy, or REMS, requiring substantial additional post-approval safety measures. Moreover, any approvals that Conatus may obtain may not cover all of the clinical indications for which it is seeking approval or could contain significant limitations in the form of narrow indications, warnings, precautions or contra-indications with respect to conditions of use. In such event, Conatus’ ability to generate revenues would be greatly reduced and its business would be harmed.
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Changes in funding for the FDA and other government agencies could hinder their ability to hire and retain key leadership and other personnel, or otherwise prevent new products and services from being developed or commercialized in a timely manner, which could negatively impact Conatus’ business.
The ability of the FDA to review and approve new products can be affected by a variety of factors, including (i) government budget and funding levels, (ii) the ability to hire and retain key personnel and accept the payment of user fees and (iii) statutory, regulatory and policy changes. Average review times at the agency have fluctuated in recent years as a result. In addition, government funding of other government agencies that fund research and development activities is subject to the political process, which is inherently fluid and unpredictable.
Disruptions at the FDA and other agencies may also slow the time necessary for new drugs to be reviewed and/or approved by necessary government agencies, which would adversely affect its business. For example, over the last several years, including for 35 days beginning on December 22, 2018, the U.S. government has shut down several times and certain regulatory agencies, such as the FDA, have had to furlough critical FDA employees and stop critical activities. If a prolonged government shutdown occurs, it could significantly impact the ability of the FDA to timely review and process Conatus’ regulatory submissions, which could have a material adverse effect on its business.
Even if Conatus resumes development of any product candidate and obtains and maintains regulatory approval for a product candidate in one jurisdiction, it may never obtain regulatory approval for such product candidate in any other jurisdiction, which would limit its market opportunities and adversely affect Conatus’ business.
Obtaining and maintaining regulatory approval for a product candidate in one jurisdiction does not guarantee that Conatus will be able to obtain or maintain regulatory approval in any other jurisdiction. For example, even if the FDA grants marketing approval for a product candidate, comparable regulatory authorities in foreign countries must also approve the manufacturing, marketing and promotion of the product candidate in those countries. Approval procedures vary among jurisdictions and can involve requirements and administrative review periods different from, and greater than, those in the United States, including additional preclinical studies or clinical trials. In many countries outside the United States, a product candidate must be approved for reimbursement before it can be approved for sale in that country. In some cases, the price that Conatus intends to charge for its products is also subject to approval. Conatus is expected to submit a marketing authorization application, or MMA, to the European Medicines Agency, or the EMA, for approval of a product candidate in the European Union, or the EU. As with the FDA, obtaining approval of an MAA from the EMA is a similarly lengthy and expensive process, and the EMA has its own procedures for approval of product candidates. Even if a product is approved, the FDA or the EMA, as the case may be, may limit the indications for which the product may be marketed, require extensive warnings on the product labeling, require a REMS or require expensive and time-consuming clinical trials or reporting as conditions of approval. Regulatory authorities in countries outside of the United States and the EU also have requirements for approval of product candidates with which Conatus must comply prior to marketing in those countries. Obtaining foreign regulatory approvals and compliance with foreign regulatory requirements could result in significant delays, difficulties and costs for Conatus and could delay or prevent the introduction of its products in certain countries.
Further, clinical trials conducted in one country may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other countries, and regulatory approval in one country does not ensure approval in any other country, while a failure or delay in obtaining regulatory approval in one country may have a negative effect on the regulatory approval process in others. Also, regulatory approval for any product candidate may be withdrawn. If Conatus fails to comply with the regulatory requirements in international markets and/or receive applicable marketing approvals, its target market will be reduced and its ability to realize the full market potential of a product candidate will be harmed, which would adversely affect its business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
If Conatus resumes the clinical development and receives regulatory approval for a product candidate, Conatus will be subject to ongoing regulatory obligations and continued regulatory review, which may result in significant additional expense. Additionally, a product candidate, if approved, could be subject to labeling and other restrictions and market withdrawal, and Conatus may be subject to penalties if it fails to comply with regulatory requirements or experiences unanticipated problems with such product candidate.
Any regulatory approvals that Conatus receives for a product candidate may be subject to limitations on the approved indicated uses for which such product candidate may be marketed or to the conditions of approval, or contain requirements for potentially costly post-marketing testing, including Phase 4 clinical trials, and surveillance to monitor the safety and efficacy of the product candidate. The FDA may also require a REMS in order to approve a product candidate, which could entail requirements for a medication guide, physician communication plans or additional elements to ensure safe use, such as restricted distribution methods, patient registries and other risk minimization tools. In addition, if the FDA or a comparable foreign regulatory authority approves a product candidate, the manufacturing processes, labeling, packaging, distribution, adverse event reporting, storage, advertising, promotion, import, export and recordkeeping for such product candidate will be subject to extensive and ongoing regulatory requirements. These requirements include submissions of safety and other post-marketing information and reports, registration, as well as continued compliance with current good manufacturing practices, or cGMPs, and good clinical practice regulations, or GCPs, for any clinical trials that it conducts post-approval. Later discovery of previously unknown problems with a product candidate, including adverse events of
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unanticipated severity or frequency, or with its third-party manufacturers or manufacturing processes, or failure to comply with regulatory requirements, may result in, among other things:
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restrictions on the marketing or manufacturing of the product, withdrawal of the product from the market, or voluntary or mandatory product recalls;
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fines, warning letters or holds on clinical trials;
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refusal by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities to approve pending applications or supplements to approved applications filed by Conatus or suspension or revocation of license approvals;
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product seizure or detention, or refusal to permit the import or export of the product; and
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injunctions or the imposition of civil or criminal penalties.
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The FDA’s and other regulatory authorities’ policies may change, and additional government regulations may be enacted that could prevent, limit or delay regulatory approval of a product candidate. For example, in December 2016, the 21st Century Cures Act, or Cures Act, was signed into law. The Cures Act, among other things, is intended to modernize the regulation of drugs and spur innovation. If Conatus is slow or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies, or if Conatus is not able to maintain regulatory compliance, it may lose any marketing approval that it may have obtained, and it may not achieve or sustain profitability, which would adversely affect its business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Conatus also cannot predict the likelihood, nature or extent of government regulation that may arise from future legislation or administrative or executive action, either in the United States or abroad. For example, certain policies of the Trump administration may impact its business and industry. Namely, the Trump administration has taken several executive actions, including the issuance of a number of executive orders, that could impose significant burdens on, or otherwise materially delay, the FDA’s ability to engage in routine regulatory and oversight activities such as implementing statutes through rulemaking, issuance of guidance, and review and approval of marketing applications. It is difficult to predict how these executive orders will be implemented and the extent to which they will impact the FDA’s ability to exercise its regulatory authority. If these executive actions impose constraints on the FDA’s ability to engage in oversight and implementation activities in the normal course, Conatus’ business may be negatively impacted.
Even if Conatus resumes development of and obtains regulatory approval for a product candidate, the product may not gain market acceptance among physicians, patients and others in the medical community.
If a product candidate is approved for commercialization, its acceptance will depend on a number of factors, including:
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the clinical indications for which the product is approved;
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physicians and patients considering a product candidate as a safe and effective treatment;
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the potential and perceived advantages of the product over alternative treatments;
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the prevalence and severity of any side effects;
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product labeling or product insert requirements of the FDA or other regulatory authorities;
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the timing of market introduction of the product as well as competitive products;
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the cost of treatment in relation to alternative treatments;
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the availability of adequate reimbursement and pricing by third-party payors and government authorities;
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relative convenience and ease of administration; and
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the effectiveness of Conatus’ sales and marketing efforts.
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If a product candidate is approved but fails to achieve market acceptance among physicians, patients or others in the medical community, Conatus will not be able to generate significant revenues, which would have a material adverse effect on its business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Coverage and reimbursement may be limited or unavailable in certain market segments for a product, which could make it difficult for Conatus to sell the product profitably.
Government authorities and third-party payors, such as private health insurers and health maintenance organizations, decide which drugs they will cover and the amount of reimbursement. Reimbursement by a third-party payor may depend upon a number of factors, including the third-party payor’s determination that use of a product is:
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a covered benefit under its health plan;
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safe, effective and medically necessary;
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appropriate for the specific patient;
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neither experimental nor investigational.
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Obtaining coverage and reimbursement approval for a product from a government or other third-party payor is a time-consuming and costly process that could require Conatus to provide to the payor supporting scientific, clinical and cost-effectiveness data for the use of its products. Conatus may not be able to provide data sufficient to gain acceptance with respect to coverage and reimbursement. If reimbursement of Conatus’ future products is unavailable or limited in scope or amount, or if pricing is set at unsatisfactory levels, Conatus may be unable to achieve or sustain profitability.
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Conatus may seek approval to market a product candidate in both the United States and in select foreign jurisdictions. If Conatus obtain approval in one or more foreign jurisdictions for a product candidate, it will be subject to rules and regulations in those jurisdictions. In some foreign countries, particularly those in the EU, the pricing of prescription pharmaceuticals and biologics is subject to governmental control. In these countries, pricing negotiations with governmental authorities can take considerable time after obtaining marketing approval for a product candidate. In addition, market acceptance and sales of the product will depend significantly on the availability of adequate coverage and reimbursement from third-party payors for the product and may be affected by existing and future health care reform measures.
In both the United States and certain foreign jurisdictions, there have been a number of legislative and regulatory changes to the health care system that could impact Conatus’ ability to sell its products profitably. In particular, in 2010, the Affordable Care Act, was enacted, which, among other things, increased the minimum Medicaid rebates owed by manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program and extended the rebate program to individuals enrolled in Medicaid managed care organizations, established annual fees on manufacturers of certain branded prescription drugs, required manufacturers to participate in a discount program for certain outpatient drugs under Medicare Part D and promoted programs that increase the federal government’s comparative effectiveness research, which will impact existing government healthcare programs and will result in the development of new programs. An expansion in the government’s role in the United States healthcare industry may further lower rates of reimbursement for pharmaceutical products.
Other legislative changes have been proposed and adopted in the United States since the Affordable Care Act was enacted. For example, the Budget Control Act of 2011 resulted in aggregate reductions of Medicare payments to providers of 2% per fiscal year, which went into effect in April 2013 and, due to subsequent legislative amendments to the statute, will remain in effect through 2027 unless additional Congressional action is taken. On January 2, 2013, President Obama signed into law the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012, which, among other things, further reduced Medicare payments to several providers, including hospitals, imaging centers and cancer treatment centers, and increased the statute of limitations period for the government to recover overpayments to providers from three to five years.
There have been, and likely will continue to be, legislative and regulatory proposals at the federal and state levels directed at broadening the availability of healthcare and containing or lowering the cost of healthcare. For instance, there have recently been public hearings in the U.S. Congress concerning pharmaceutical product pricing, which have resulted in several Congressional inquiries and proposed and enacted legislation designed to, among other things, bring more transparency to product pricing, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs, and reform government program reimbursement methodologies for pharmaceutical products. Individual states in the United States have also become increasingly active in passing legislation and implementing regulations designed to control pharmaceutical and biological product pricing, including price or patient reimbursement constraints, discounts, restrictions on certain product access and marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, and, in some cases, designed to encourage importation from other countries and bulk purchasing. Conatus cannot predict the initiatives that may be adopted in the future. The continuing efforts of the government, insurance companies, managed care organizations and other payors of healthcare services to contain or reduce costs of healthcare and/or impose price controls may adversely affect:
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the demand for a Conatus product candidate, if Conatus obtains regulatory approval;
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Conatus’ ability to set a price that it believes is fair for its products;
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product candidate ability to generate revenues and achieve or maintain profitability;
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the level of taxes that Conatus is are required to pay; and
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the availability of capital.
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Any reduction in reimbursement from Medicare or other government programs may result in a similar reduction in payments from private payors, which may adversely affect Conatus’ future profitability.
A variety of risks associated with marketing products internationally could materially adversely affect Conatus’ business.
Conatus may seek regulatory approval for a product candidate outside of the United States and, accordingly, Conatus expects that it will be subject to additional risks related to operating in foreign countries if Conatus obtains the necessary approvals, including:
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differing regulatory requirements in foreign countries;
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the potential for so-called parallel importing, which occurs when a local seller, faced with high or higher local prices, opts to import goods from a foreign market (with low or lower prices) rather than buying them locally;
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unexpected changes in tariffs, trade barriers, price and exchange controls and other regulatory requirements;
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economic weakness, including inflation, or political instability in particular foreign economies and markets;
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compliance with tax, employment, immigration and labor laws for employees living or traveling abroad;
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foreign taxes, including withholding of payroll taxes;
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foreign currency fluctuations, which could result in increased operating expenses and reduced revenues, and other obligations incident to doing business in another country;
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difficulties staffing and managing foreign operations;
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workforce uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the United States;
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potential liability under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 or comparable foreign regulations;
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challenges enforcing its contractual and intellectual property rights, especially in those foreign countries that do not respect and protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as the United States;
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production shortages resulting from any events affecting raw material supply or manufacturing capabilities abroad; and
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business interruptions resulting from geo-political actions, including war and terrorism.
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These and other risks associated with its international operations may materially adversely affect Conatus’ ability to attain or maintain profitable operations.
If Conatus resumes the development of emricasan or CTS-2090 and fails to develop and commercialize any other product candidates, Conatus may be unable to grow its business.
Emricasan and CTS-2090 are Conatus’ only product candidates. In order to develop and commercialize any additional product candidates, Conatus may be required to invest significant resources to acquire or in-license the rights to such product candidates or to conduct drug discovery activities. In addition, any other product candidates will require additional, time-consuming development efforts prior to commercial sale, including preclinical studies, extensive clinical trials and approval by the FDA and applicable foreign regulatory authorities. All product candidates are prone to the risks of failure that are inherent in pharmaceutical product development, including the possibility that the product candidate will not be shown to be sufficiently safe and/or effective for approval by regulatory authorities. In addition, Conatus cannot assure you that it will be able to acquire, discover or develop any additional product candidates, or that any additional product candidates Conatus may develop will be approved, manufactured or produced economically, be successfully commercialized or widely accepted in the marketplace or be more effective than other commercially available alternatives. Research programs to identify new product candidates require substantial technical, financial and human resources whether or not Conatus ultimately identifies any candidates. If Conatus is unable to develop or commercialize emricasan, CTS-2090 or any other product candidates, its business and prospects will suffer.
Conatus cannot be certain that emricasan, CTS-2090 or any other product candidates that it develops will produce commercially viable drugs that safely and effectively treat liver, inflammasome-related or other diseases. Even if Conatus is successful in completing preclinical and clinical development and receiving regulatory approval for one commercially viable drug for the treatment of one disease, Conatus cannot be certain that it will also be able to develop and receive regulatory approval for other product candidates for the treatment of other forms of that disease or other diseases. If Conatus fails to develop a pipeline of potential product candidates other than emricasan or CTS-2090, Conatus will not have any prospects for commercially viable drugs should its efforts to develop and commercialize emricasan or CTS-2090 be unsuccessful, and its business prospects would be harmed significantly.
If Conatus resumes development of emricasan, it may not be able to obtain orphan drug exclusivity for emricasan for any indication.
In the United States, under the Orphan Drug Act, the FDA may grant orphan designation to a drug or biological product intended to treat a rare disease or condition. Such diseases and conditions are those that affect fewer than 200,000 individuals in the United States, or if they affect more than 200,000 individuals in the United States, there is no reasonable expectation that the cost of developing and making a drug product available in the United States for these types of diseases or conditions will be recovered from sales of the product. Orphan Drug Designation must be requested before submitting an NDA. If the FDA grants Orphan Drug Designation, the identity of the therapeutic agent and its potential orphan use are disclosed publicly by that agency. Orphan Drug Designation does not convey any advantage in or shorten the duration of the regulatory review and approval process, but it can lead to financial incentives, such as opportunities for grant funding toward clinical trial costs, tax advantages and user-fee waivers.
If a drug that has orphan designation subsequently receives the first FDA approval for the disease or condition for which it has such designation, the drug is entitled to orphan drug marketing exclusivity for a period of seven years. Orphan drug marketing exclusivity generally prevents the FDA from approving another application, including a full NDA, to market the same drug or biological product for the same indication for seven years, except in limited circumstances, including if the FDA concludes that the later drug is safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care. For purposes of small molecule drugs, the FDA defines “same drug” as a drug that contains the same active chemical entity and is intended for the same use as the drug in question. A designated orphan drug may not receive orphan drug marketing exclusivity if it is approved for a use that is broader than the indication for which it received orphan designation. Orphan drug marketing exclusivity rights in the United States may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient quantity of the drug to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition.
The criteria for designating an orphan medicinal product in the EU are similar in principle to those in the United States. Under Article 3 of Regulation (EC) 141/2000, a medicinal product may be designated as orphan if (1) it is intended for the diagnosis, prevention or treatment of a life-threatening or chronically debilitating condition; (2) either (a) such condition affects no more than five in 10,000 persons in the EU when the application is made, or (b) the product, without the benefits derived from orphan status, would not generate sufficient return in the EU to justify investment; and (3) there exists no satisfactory method of diagnosis, prevention or treatment of such condition authorized for marketing in the EU, or if such a method exists, the product will be of significant benefit to those affected by the condition, as defined in Regulation (EC) 847/2000. Orphan medicinal products are eligible for financial incentives such as reduction of fees or fee waivers and are, upon grant of a marketing authorization, entitled to ten years
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of market exclusivity for the approved therapeutic indication. The application for orphan designation must be submitted before the application for marketing authorization. The applicant will receive a fee reduction for the marketing authorization application if the orphan designation has been granted, but not if the designation is still pending at the time the marketing authorization is submitted. Orphan designation does not convey any advantage in, or shorten the duration of, the regulatory review and approval process.
The ten-year market exclusivity in the EU may be reduced to six years if, at the end of the fifth year, it is established that the product no longer meets the criteria for orphan designation, for example, if the product is sufficiently profitable not to justify maintenance of market exclusivity. Additionally, marketing authorization may be granted to a similar product for the same indication at any time if:
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the second applicant can establish that its product, although similar, is safer, more effective or otherwise clinically superior;
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the applicant consents to a second orphan medicinal product application; or
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the applicant cannot supply enough orphan medicinal product.
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Conatus originally applied for Orphan Drug Designation for emricasan for the treatment of fibrosis in HCV-POLT patients in the United States and the EU. In late 2013, the FDA granted an Orphan Drug Designation for emricasan for the treatment of POLT patients with reestablished fibrosis to delay the progression to cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease. In the EU, Conatus withdrew the application based on feedback from the applicable regulatory body that emricasan may have efficacy in fibrosis outside of the HCV-POLT patient population.
Conatus cannot assure you that it will be able to obtain orphan drug exclusivity for emricasan in any jurisdiction for the target indications in a timely manner or at all or that a competitor will not obtain orphan drug exclusivity that could block the regulatory approval of emricasan for several years. If Conatus is unable to obtain Orphan Drug Designation in the United States or in the EU, it will not receive market exclusivity, which might affect its ability to generate sufficient revenues. If a competitor is able to obtain orphan exclusivity that would block emricasan’s regulatory approval, its ability to generate revenues could be significantly reduced, which could harm Conatus’ business prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
If Conatus resumes development of emricasan, Conatus may be unable to maintain or effectively utilize orphan drug exclusivity for emricasan for any indication.
Conatus received Orphan Drug Designation from the FDA for emricasan for the treatment of POLT patients with reestablished fibrosis to delay the progression to cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease. Conatus may be unable to obtain regulatory approval for emricasan for this orphan population or any other orphan population, or Conatus may be unable to successfully commercialize emricasan for such orphan population due to risks that include:
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the orphan patient population may change in size;
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there may be changes in the treatment options for patients that may provide alternative treatments to emricasan;
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the development costs may be greater than projected revenue of drug sales for the orphan indications;
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the regulatory agencies may disagree with the design or implementation of Conatus’ clinical trials;
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there may be difficulties in enrolling patients for clinical trials;
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emricasan or may not prove to be efficacious in the orphan patient population;
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clinical trial results may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the regulatory agencies; and
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emricasan may not have a favorable risk/benefit assessment in the respective orphan indication.
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If Conatus is unable to obtain regulatory approval for emricasan for any orphan population or is unable to successfully commercialize emricasan for such orphan population, it could harm Conatus’ business prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Conatus may form or seek strategic alliances or collaborations in the future. Such alliances and collaborations may inhibit future opportunities, or Conatus may not realize the benefits of such collaborations or alliances.
Conatus may form or seek strategic alliances, joint ventures or collaborations or enter into licensing arrangements with other third parties that it believes will complement or augment its development and commercialization efforts with respect to its product candidates that it may develop. Future efforts for alliances or collaborations may also require Conatus to incur non-recurring and other charges, increase its near- and long-term expenditures, issue securities that dilute its existing stockholders or disrupt its management and business. In addition, Conatus faces significant competition in seeking appropriate strategic partners, and the negotiation process is time-consuming and complex. Furthermore, Conatus may not be able to realize the benefit of such transactions if it is unable to successfully integrate them with its existing operations and company culture. Conatus cannot be certain that, following a strategic transaction or license, it will achieve the revenues or specific net income that justifies such transaction.
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Conatus’ business and operations would suffer in the event of system failures.
Despite the implementation of security measures, Conatus’ internal computer systems and those of its current and future CROs and other contractors and consultants are vulnerable to damage from computer viruses, unauthorized access, natural disasters, terrorism, war and telecommunication and electrical failures. While Conatus has not experienced any such material system failure, accident or security breach to date, if such an event were to occur and cause interruptions in its operations, it could result in a material disruption of its development programs and its business operations. For example, the loss of clinical trial data from completed or future clinical trials could result in delays in Conatus’ regulatory approval efforts and significantly increase its costs to recover or reproduce the data. Likewise, Conatus relies on third parties to manufacture its product candidates and conduct clinical trials, and similar events relating to their computer systems could also have a material adverse effect on its business. To the extent that any disruption or security breach were to result in a loss of, or damage to, Conatus’ data or applications, or inappropriate disclosure of confidential or proprietary information, Conatus could incur liability and the further development and commercialization of its product candidates could be delayed.
Business disruptions could seriously harm Conatus’ future revenues and financial condition and increase its costs and expenses.
Conatus’ operations could be subject to earthquakes, power shortages, telecommunications failures, water shortages, floods, hurricanes, typhoons, fires, extreme weather conditions, medical epidemics and other natural or manmade disasters or business interruptions, for which it is predominantly self-insured. For example, in December 2019, a novel strain of coronavirus was reported to have surfaced in Wuhan, China. The coronavirus has impacted the global economy, including limiting travel to China, and may impact our operations including potential interruption of our clinical operations and supply chain. The extent to which the coronavirus will impact our results of operations will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted, including new information which may emerge concerning the severity of the coronavirus and the actions to contain the coronavirus or treat its impact, among others. The occurrence of any of these business disruptions could seriously harm Conatus’ operations and financial condition and increase its costs and expenses. Conatus relies on third-party manufacturers to produce its product candidates. Conatus’ ability to obtain clinical supplies of its product candidates could be disrupted if the operations of these suppliers are affected by a man-made or natural disaster or other business interruption. Conatus’ corporate headquarters is located in California near major earthquake faults and fire zones. The ultimate impact on Conatus, its significant suppliers and its general infrastructure of being located near major earthquake faults and fire zones and being consolidated in certain geographical areas is unknown, but Conatus’ operations and financial condition could suffer in the event of a major earthquake, fire or other natural disaster.
Conatus relies significantly on information technology, which faces certain risks, and any failure, inadequacy, interruption or security lapse of that technology, including any cybersecurity incidents, could harm its ability to operate its business effectively.
Conatus relies significantly on its information technology to effectively manage and conduct its business and operations. Any failure, inadequacy or interruption of that infrastructure or security lapse of that technology, including cybersecurity incidents, could harm Conatus’ ability to operate its business effectively. In the ordinary course of business, Conatus collects, stores and transmits confidential information, and it is critical that Conatus does so in a secure manner in order to maintain the confidentiality and integrity of such confidential information. Significant disruptions to Conatus’ information technology systems or breaches of information security could adversely affect its business. Conatus’ information technology systems are potentially vulnerable to service interruptions and security breaches from inadvertent or intentional actions by its employees, partners, vendors, or from attacks by malicious third parties. Maintaining the secrecy of this confidential, proprietary, and/or trade secret information is important to Conatus’ competitive business position. While Conatus has taken steps to protect such information and invested in information technology, there can be no assurance that its efforts will prevent service interruptions or security breaches in its systems or the unauthorized or inadvertent wrongful access or disclosure of confidential information that could adversely affect its business operations or result in the loss, dissemination, or misuse of critical or sensitive information. Cybersecurity attacks in particular are evolving and include, but are not limited to, malicious software, attempts to gain unauthorized access to data and other electronic security breaches that could lead to disruptions in systems, misappropriation of its confidential or otherwise protected information and corruption of data. A breach of Conatus’ security measures or the accidental loss, inadvertent disclosure, unapproved dissemination or misappropriation or misuse of trade secrets, proprietary information, or other confidential information, whether as a result of theft, hacking, or other forms of deception, or for any other cause, could enable others to produce competing products, use its proprietary technology and/or adversely affect its business position. Further, a breach in security, unauthorized access resulting in misappropriation, theft, or sabotage with respect to its proprietary and confidential information, including research or clinical data, could require significant capital investments to remediate and could adversely affect Conatus’ business, financial condition and results of operations.
Conatus’ employees, independent contractors, principal investigators, consultants, commercial collaborators, service providers and other vendors may engage in misconduct or other improper activities, including noncompliance with regulatory standards and requirements.
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Conatus is exposed to the risk that its employees, independent contractors, principal investigators, consultants, commercial collaborators, service providers and other vendors may engage in fraudulent or other illegal activity. Misconduct by these parties could include intentional, reckless and/or negligent conduct or disclosure of unauthorized activities to Conatus that violate FDA laws and regulations, including those laws that require the reporting of true, complete and accurate information to the FDA, manufacturing standards, federal and state healthcare fraud and abuse laws and regulations, or laws that require the true, complete and accurate reporting of financial information or data. In particular, sales, marketing and business arrangements in the healthcare industry are subject to extensive laws and regulations intended to prevent fraud, kickbacks, self-dealing and other abusive practices. These laws and regulations may restrict or prohibit a wide range of pricing, discounting, marketing and promotion, sales commission, customer incentive programs and other business arrangements. Activities subject to these laws also involve the improper use of information obtained in the course of clinical trials, which could result in regulatory sanctions and serious harm to Conatus’ reputation. Conatus has adopted a code of business conduct and ethics, but it is not always possible to identify and deter third-party misconduct, and the precautions Conatus takes to detect and prevent this activity may not be effective in controlling unknown or unmanaged risks or losses or in protecting it from governmental investigations or other actions or lawsuits stemming from a failure to be in compliance with such laws or regulations. If any such actions are instituted against Conatus, and Conatus is not successful in defending itself or asserting its rights, those actions could have a significant impact on its business, including the imposition of significant civil, criminal and administrative penalties, damages, monetary fines, possible exclusion from participation in Medicare, Medicaid and other federal healthcare programs, reputational harm, diminished profits and future earnings, and curtailment of its operations, any of which could adversely affect its ability to operate its business and its results of operations.
Conatus’ current and future relationships with investigators, health care professionals, consultants, third-party payors and customers will be subject to applicable healthcare regulatory laws. Conatus or its collaborators’ failure to comply with those laws could have a material adverse effect on its results of operations and financial condition.
Conatus’ business operations and current and future arrangements with investigators, healthcare professionals, consultants, third-party payors and customers, may expose it to broadly applicable fraud and abuse and other healthcare laws and regulations. These laws may constrain the business or financial arrangements and relationships through which Conatus conducts its operations, including how it researches, markets, sells and distributes its product candidates for which it obtains marketing approval. Such laws include, without limitation:
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the federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act, which governs the conduct of certain electronic healthcare transactions and protects the security and privacy of protected health information;
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the federal healthcare programs’ Anti-Kickback Statute, which prohibits, among other things, persons from knowingly and willfully soliciting, receiving, offering or paying remuneration, directly or indirectly, in exchange for or to induce either the referral of an individual for, or the purchase, order or recommendation of, any good or service for which payment may be made under federal healthcare programs, such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs. A person or entity does not need to have actual knowledge of the federal Anti-Kickback Statute or specific intent to violate it to have committed a violation. In addition, the government may assert that a claim including items or services resulting from a violation of the federal Anti-Kickback Statute constitutes a false or fraudulent claim for purposes of the False Claims Act;
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federal false claims laws which prohibit, among other things, individuals or entities from knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, claims for payment from Medicare, Medicaid, or other third-party payors that are false or fraudulent;
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federal criminal laws that prohibit executing a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program or making false statements relating to healthcare matters. Similar to the federal Anti-Kickback Statute, a person or entity does not need to have actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it to have committed a violation;
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the federal Physician Payment Sunshine Act, which requires manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics and medical supplies for which payment is available under Medicare, Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program (with certain exceptions) to report annually to the government information related to payments or other “transfers of value” made to physicians (defined to include doctors, dentists, optometrists, podiatrists and chiropractors) and teaching hospitals, and requires applicable manufacturers and group purchasing organizations to report annually to the government ownership and investment interests held by the physicians described above and their immediate family members and payments or other “transfers of value” to such physician owners (manufacturers are required to submit reports to the government by the 90th day of each calendar year);
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federal consumer protection and unfair competition laws, which broadly regulate marketplace activities and activities that potentially harm consumers;
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state law equivalents of each of the above federal laws, such as anti-kickback and false claims laws which may apply to items or services reimbursed by any third-party payor, including commercial insurers; state laws that require pharmaceutical companies to comply with the pharmaceutical industry’s voluntary compliance guidelines and the relevant compliance guidance promulgated by the federal government or otherwise restrict payments that may be made to healthcare providers and other potential referral sources; state laws that require drug manufacturers to report information related to payments and other transfers of value to physicians and other healthcare providers or marketing expenditures and pricing information; and state and foreign laws governing the privacy and security of health
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information in some circumstances, many of which differ from each other in significant ways and often are not preempted by the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act, thus complicating compliance efforts; and
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similar healthcare laws and regulations in the European Union and other non-U.S. jurisdictions, including reporting requirements detailing interactions with and payments to healthcare providers and laws governing the privacy and security of certain protected information, such as the General Data Protection Regulation, or GDPR, which imposes obligations and restrictions on the collection and use of personal data relating to individuals located in the EU (including health data).
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If Conatus or its collaborators’ operations are found to be in violation of any of such laws or any other governmental regulations that apply to Conatus, it may be subject to penalties, including civil and criminal penalties, damages, fines, the curtailment or restructuring of its operations, the exclusion from participation in federal and state healthcare programs or similar programs in other countries or jurisdictions, integrity oversight and reporting obligations to resolve allegations of non-compliance, and individual imprisonment, any of which could adversely affect its ability to operate Conatus’ business and its results of operations.
Risks Related to Conatus’ Reliance on Third Parties
Since Conatus and Novartis terminated the Collaboration Agreement, Conatus will not receive any future milestone, royalty or profit and loss sharing payments under the Collaboration Agreement, and Conatus may not be able to enter into a similar agreement on favorable terms, or at all.
In June 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from its ENCORE-LF clinical trial of emricasan did not meet the primary endpoint, and Conatus was discontinuing further treatment of patients enrolled in the ENCORE-LF clinical trial. In addition, results from the 24-week extension in Conatus’ ENCORE-PH clinical trial of emricasan were consistent with results from the initial 24-week treatment period and did not meet predefined objectives. Previously, in March 2019, Conatus announced that top-line results from the Phase 2b ENCORE-NF clinical trial of emricasan also did not meet the primary endpoint. Consequently, Conatus and Novartis entered into an amendment to the Collaboration Agreement, pursuant to which they mutually agreed to terminate the Collaboration Agreement in September 2019.
As a result, Conatus will not receive additional milestones under the Collaboration Agreement, and Conatus may be unable to raise the additional capital required to further develop and commercialize emricasan, if it resumes development, or enter into a collaboration agreement with another pharmaceutical company with equivalent or comparable terms, or at all. Further, any delays in entering into new strategic partnership agreements related to emricasan could delay the development and commercialization of emricasan, which would harm Conatus’ business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, a strategic transaction may not result in any future development and commercialization of emricasan, which would harm Conatus’ business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Conatus relies on third parties to conduct its clinical trials. If these third parties do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or meet expected deadlines, Conatus may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for or commercialize a product candidate, and its business could be substantially harmed.
Conatus anticipates that it will continue to engage one or more third-party CROs in connection with future clinical trials for any product candidate. Conatus relies heavily on these parties for execution of its clinical trials, and it controls only certain aspects of their activities. Nevertheless, Conatus is responsible for ensuring that each of its trials is conducted in accordance with applicable protocol, legal, regulatory and scientific standards, and its reliance on its CROs does not relieve it of its regulatory responsibilities. Conatus and its CROs are required to comply with GCPs, which are regulations and guidelines enforced by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities for product candidates in clinical development. Regulatory authorities enforce these GCPs through periodic inspections of trial sponsors, principal investigators and trial sites. If Conatus or any of its CROs fail to comply with applicable GCPs, the clinical data generated in its clinical trials may be deemed unreliable, and the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may require Conatus to perform additional clinical trials before approving its marketing applications. Conatus cannot assure you that, upon inspection, such regulatory authorities will determine that any of its clinical trials comply with the GCPs. In addition, Conatus’ clinical trials must be conducted with drug product produced under cGMP regulations and will require a large number of test subjects. Conatus’ failure or any failure by its CROs to comply with these regulations or to recruit a sufficient number of patients may require Conatus to repeat clinical trials, which would delay the regulatory approval process. Moreover, Conatus’ business may be implicated if any of its CROs violate federal or state fraud and abuse or false claims laws and regulations or healthcare privacy and security laws. Conatus’ CROs are not its employees and, except for remedies available to Conatus under its agreements with such CROs, it cannot control whether or not they devote sufficient time and resources to Conatus’ ongoing preclinical, clinical and nonclinical programs. These CROs may also have relationships with other commercial entities, including its competitors, for whom they may also be conducting clinical trials or other drug development activities, which could affect their performance on Conatus’ behalf. Conatus’ clinical trials may be extended, delayed or terminated if CROs do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or obligations or meet expected deadlines, if they need to be replaced or if the quality or accuracy of the clinical data they obtain is compromised due to the failure to adhere to Conatus’ clinical protocols or regulatory requirements or for other reasons. As a result, Conatus may not be able to complete development of, obtain regulatory approval for or successfully commercialize any product candidate. Therefore,
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Conatus’ financial results and the commercial prospects for any product candidate would be harmed, Conatus’ costs could increase and its ability to generate revenues could be delayed.
Switching or adding CROs involves substantial cost and requires extensive management time and focus. In addition, there is a natural transition period when a new CRO commences work. As a result, delays occur, which can materially impact Conatus’ ability to meet its desired clinical development timelines. Although Conatus carefully manages its relationships with its CROs, there can be no assurance that Conatus will not encounter challenges or delays in the future or that these delays or challenges will not have a material adverse impact on its business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Conatus relies completely on third parties to manufacture its preclinical and clinical drug supplies, and Conatus intends to rely on third parties to produce commercial supplies of any product candidates, if approved. The development and commercialization of any product candidate could be stopped, delayed or made less profitable if those third parties fail to obtain and maintain regulatory approval of their facilities, fail to provide Conatus with sufficient quantities of drug product or fail to do so at acceptable quality levels or prices.
Risks Related to Conatus’ Financial Position and Capital Requirements
To conserve capital, Conatus may undertake additional workforce and cost reduction activities in the future. These activities may cause Conatus to be unable to fully support and manage its operations.
In June 2019 and September 2019, Conatus implemented restructuring plans to conserve capital, and it may, in the future, need to undertake additional workforce reductions or restructuring activities. As a result of the reduction in its workforce, Conatus faces an increased risk of employment litigation. Conatus also needs to effectively manage its operations and facilities. Following Conatus’ workforce reductions in June 2019 and September 2019, it is possible that its infrastructure may be inadequate to support its future efforts and business strategy or to maintain operational, financial and management controls and reporting systems and procedures. If Conatus cannot successfully manage its operations, it may be unsuccessful in executing its business strategy, including potential strategic alternatives.
Conatus has a limited operating history, has incurred significant operating losses since its inception and anticipates that it will continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future.
Conatus’ operations began in 2005, and it has only a limited operating history upon which you can evaluate its business and prospects. Conatus’ operations to date have been limited to conducting product development activities and performing research and development with respect to its clinical and preclinical programs. In addition, as an early-stage company, Conatus has limited experience and has not yet demonstrated an ability to successfully overcome many of the risks and uncertainties frequently encountered by companies in new and rapidly evolving fields, particularly in the pharmaceutical area. Nor has Conatus demonstrated an ability to obtain regulatory approval for or to commercialize a product candidate. Consequently, any predictions about its future performance may not be as accurate as they would be if Conatus had a history of successfully developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products.
Conatus has incurred significant operating losses since its inception, including net losses of $11.4 million, $18.0 million and $17.4 million for the years ended December 31, 2019, 2018 and 2017, respectively. As of December 31, 2019, Conatus had an accumulated deficit of $198.0 million. Conatus’ prior losses, combined with expected future losses, have had and will continue to have an adverse effect on its stockholders’ equity and working capital. Conatus’ losses have resulted principally from costs incurred in its research and development activities. In addition, if Conatus obtains regulatory approval of any product candidate, Conatus may incur significant sales and marketing expenses. Because of the numerous risks and uncertainties associated with developing pharmaceutical products, Conatus is unable to predict the extent of any future losses or whether or when it will become profitable, if ever.
Conatus has not generated any revenues to date from product sales. Conatus may never achieve or sustain profitability, which could depress the market price of its common stock and could cause its stockholders to lose all or a part of their investment.
Conatus’ ability to become profitable depends in part on its ability to develop and commercialize emricasan or CTS-2090. To date, Conatus has no products approved for commercial sale and has not generated any revenues from sales of any product candidate, and it does not know when, or if, it will generate revenues in the future. Conatus does not anticipate generating revenues, if any, from sales of emricasan or CTS-2090 for at least the next several years, and it will never generate revenues from emricasan or CTS-2090 if it does not obtain regulatory approval of such product candidates. Conatus’ ability to generate future revenues depends heavily on its success in:
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developing and securing United States and/or foreign regulatory approvals for its product candidates;
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manufacturing commercial quantities of its product candidates at acceptable cost;
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achieving broad market acceptance of its product candidates in the medical community and with third-party payors and patients;
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commercializing its product candidates, assuming its product candidates receive regulatory approval; and
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pursuing clinical development of its product candidates in additional indications.
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Even if Conatus does generate product sales, it may never achieve or sustain profitability. Conatus’ failure to become and remain profitable would depress the market price of its common stock and could impair its ability to raise capital, expand its business, diversify its product offerings or continue its operations.
Raising additional capital may cause dilution to existing Conatus stockholders, restrict Conatus’ operations or require it to relinquish rights to its technologies or product candidate.
Conatus may seek additional capital through a combination of public and private equity offerings, debt financings, strategic partnerships and alliances and licensing arrangements. To the extent that Conatus raises additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, the ownership interests of its stockholders will be diluted, and the terms may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect the rights of its stockholders. The incurrence of indebtedness would result in increased fixed payment obligations and could involve certain restrictive covenants, such as limitations on Conatus’ ability to incur additional debt, limitations on its ability to acquire or license intellectual property rights and other operating restrictions that could adversely impact its ability to conduct its business. If Conatus raises additional funds through strategic partnerships and alliances and licensing arrangements with third parties, it may have to relinquish valuable rights to its technologies or product candidate, or grant licenses on terms unfavorable to it.
Conatus’ ability to utilize its net operating loss, or NOL, carryforwards and certain other tax attributes may be limited.
Under Section 382 of the Code, if a corporation undergoes an “ownership change” (generally defined as a greater than 50% change (by value) in its equity ownership over a three-year period), the corporation’s ability to use its pre-change NOL carryforwards and other pre-change tax attributes to offset its post-change income may be limited. Conatus previously completed a study to assess whether an ownership change, as defined by Section 382 of the Code, had occurred from its formation through December 31, 2017. Based upon this study, Conatus determined that ownership changes had occurred in 2006 and 2013 but concluded that the annual utilization limitation would be sufficient to utilize its pre-ownership change NOLs and research and development credits prior to expiration, with the exception of a de minimis amount. Future ownership changes may limit Conatus’ ability to utilize remaining tax attributes. As of December 31, 2019, Conatus had federal and state NOL carryforwards of $145.5 million and $76.4 million, respectively. Conatus also had federal, including orphan drug, and state research and development credit carryforwards of $8.3 million and $2.4 million, respectively. Furthermore, under recently enacted U.S. tax legislation, although the treatment of tax losses generated in taxable years ending before December 31, 2017 has generally not changed, tax losses generated in taxable years beginning after December 31, 2017 may only be utilized to offset 80% of taxable income annually. This change may require Conatus to pay federal income taxes in future years despite generating a loss for federal income tax purposes in prior years.
Unstable market and economic conditions may have serious adverse consequences on Conatus’ business, financial condition and stock price.
As widely reported, global credit and financial markets have experienced extreme disruptions in the past several years, including severely diminished liquidity and credit availability, declines in consumer confidence, declines in economic growth, increases in unemployment rates and uncertainty about economic stability. There can be no assurance that further deterioration in credit and financial markets and confidence in economic conditions will not occur. Conatus’ general business strategy may be adversely affected by any such economic downturn, volatile business environment or continued unpredictable and unstable market conditions. If the current equity and credit markets deteriorate, or do not improve, it may make any necessary equity or debt financing more difficult, more costly and more dilutive. Failure to secure any necessary financing in a timely manner and on favorable terms could have a material adverse effect on Conatus’ growth strategy, financial performance and stock price and could require Conatus to delay or abandon clinical development plans. In addition, there is a risk that one or more of Conatus’ current service providers, manufacturers and other partners may not survive these difficult economic times, which could directly affect Conatus ability to attain its operating goals on schedule and on budget.
At December 31, 2019, Conatus had $20.7 million of cash and cash equivalents. While Conatus is not aware of any downgrades, material losses, or other significant deterioration in the fair value of its cash equivalents since December 31, 2019, no assurance can be given that deterioration of the global credit and financial markets would not negatively impact its current portfolio of cash equivalents or its ability to meet its financing objectives. Furthermore, its stock price may decline due in part to the volatility of the stock market.
Risks Related to Conatus’ Intellectual Property
If Conatus’ efforts to protect the proprietary nature of the intellectual property related to its technologies are not adequate, it may not be able to compete effectively in its market.
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Conatus relies upon a combination of patents, trade secret protection and confidentiality agreements to protect the intellectual property related to its technologies. Any disclosure to or misappropriation by third parties of its confidential proprietary information could enable competitors to quickly duplicate or surpass its technological achievements, thus eroding its competitive position in its market.
Composition-of-matter patents on the API and crystalline forms are generally considered to be the strongest form of intellectual property protection for pharmaceutical products, as such patents provide protection without regard to any method of use. Conatus cannot be certain that the claims in its patent applications covering composition-of-matter or crystalline forms of emricasan or CTS-2090 will be considered patentable by the United States Patent and Trademark Office, or the USPTO, courts in the United States, or by the patent offices and courts in foreign countries. Method-of-use patents protect the use of a product for the specified method. This type of patent does not prevent a competitor from making and marketing a product that is identical to its product for an indication that is outside the scope of the patented method. Moreover, even if competitors do not actively promote their product for its targeted indications, physicians may prescribe these products “off-label.” Although off-label prescriptions may infringe or contribute to the infringement of method-of-use patents, the practice is common and such infringement is difficult to prevent or prosecute.
The strength of patents in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical field involves complex legal and scientific questions and can be uncertain. Some of Conatus’ patents related to emricasan were acquired from a predecessor owner and were therefore not written by it or its attorneys, and it did not have control over the drafting and prosecution of these patent applications. Further, the former patent owners might not have given the same attention to the drafting and early prosecution of these patents and applications as Conatus would have if it had been the owners of the patents and applications and had control over the drafting and prosecution. In addition, the former patent owners may not have been completely familiar with United States patent law, possibly resulting in inadequate disclosure and/or claims. This could result in findings of invalidity or unenforceability of the patents Conatus owns or patents issuing with reduced claim scope.
In addition, the patent applications that Conatus owns or that it may license may fail to result in issued patents in the United States or in other foreign countries. Even if the patents do successfully issue, third parties may challenge the validity, enforceability or scope thereof, which may result in such patents being narrowed, invalidated or held unenforceable. Furthermore, even if they are unchallenged, Conatus’ patents and patent applications may not adequately protect its intellectual property or prevent others from designing around its claims.
In addition to the protection afforded by patents, Conatus seeks to rely on trade secret protection and confidentiality agreements to protect proprietary know-how that is not patentable, processes for which patents are difficult to enforce and any other elements of its drug discovery and development processes that involve proprietary know-how, information or technology that is not covered by patents. Although Conatus requires all of its employees to assign their inventions to it, and require all of its employees, advisors and any third parties who have access to its proprietary know-how, information or technology to enter into confidentiality agreements, Conatus cannot be certain that its trade secrets and other confidential proprietary information will not be disclosed or that competitors will not otherwise gain access to its trade secrets or independently develop substantially equivalent information and techniques. Furthermore, the laws of some foreign countries do not protect proprietary rights to the same extent or in the same manner as the laws of the United States. As a result, Conatus may encounter significant problems in protecting and defending its intellectual property both in the United States and abroad. If Conatus is unable to prevent unauthorized material disclosure of its intellectual property to third parties, Conatus will not be able to establish or maintain a competitive advantage in its market, which could materially adversely affect its business, operating results and financial condition.
Third-party claims of intellectual property infringement may prevent or delay Conatus’ drug discovery and development efforts.
Conatus’ commercial success depends in part on its and its collaborators avoiding infringement of the patents and proprietary rights of third parties. There is a substantial amount of litigation involving patents and other intellectual property rights in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries, as well as administrative proceedings for challenging patents, including interference and reexamination proceedings before the USPTO or oppositions and other comparable proceedings in foreign jurisdictions. Under United States patent reform, new procedures including inter partes review and post grant review have been implemented. As stated above, this reform brings uncertainty to the possibility of challenge to its patents in the future. Numerous United States and foreign issued patents and pending patent applications, which are owned by third parties, exist in the fields in which it or its collaborators are developing product candidates. As the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries expand and more patents are issued, the risk increases that a product candidate may give rise to claims of infringement of the patent rights of others.
Third parties may assert that Conatus or its collaborators are employing their proprietary technology without authorization. There may be third-party patents of which Conatus or its collaborators are currently unaware with claims to materials, formulations, methods of manufacture or methods for treatment related to the use or manufacture of a Conatus product candidate. Because patent applications can take many years to issue, there may be currently pending patent applications that may later result in issued patents that a product candidate may infringe. In addition, third parties may obtain patents in the future and claim that use of Conatus or its collaborators’ technologies infringes upon these patents. If any third-party patents were held by a court of competent jurisdiction to cover the manufacturing process of a product candidate, any molecules formed during the manufacturing process or any final product itself, the holders of any such patents may be able to block the ability to commercialize the product candidate unless Conatus or its
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collaborators obtain a license under the applicable patents, or until such patents expire or they are finally determined to be held invalid or unenforceable. Similarly, if any third-party patent were held by a court of competent jurisdiction to cover aspects of its formulations, processes for manufacture or methods of Conatus, including combination therapy or patient selection methods, the holders of any such patent may be able to block the ability to develop and commercialize the product candidate, unless Conatus or its collaborators obtain a license or until such patent expires or is finally determined to be held invalid or unenforceable. In either case, such a license may not be available on commercially reasonable terms or at all. If Conatus or its collaborators are unable to obtain a necessary license to a third-party patent on commercially reasonable terms, or at all, Conatus’ ability to commercialize a product candidate may be impaired or delayed, which could in turn significantly harm Conatus’ business.
Parties making claims against Conatus may seek and obtain injunctive or other equitable relief, which could effectively block the ability to further develop and commercialize a product candidate. Defense of these claims, regardless of their merit, would involve substantial litigation expense and would be a substantial diversion of employee resources from its business. In the event of a successful claim of infringement against Conatus, it may have to pay substantial damages, including treble damages and attorneys’ fees for willful infringement, obtain one or more licenses from third parties, pay royalties or redesign its infringing products, which may be impossible or require substantial time and monetary expenditure. Conatus cannot predict whether any such license would be available at all or whether it would be available on commercially reasonable terms. Furthermore, even in the absence of litigation, Conatus or its collaborators may need to obtain licenses from third parties to advance Conatus’ research or allow commercialization of a product candidate. Conatus may fail to obtain any of these licenses at a reasonable cost or on reasonable terms, if at all. In that event, Conatus or its collaborators would be unable to further develop and commercialize a product candidate, which could harm Conatus’ business significantly.
Conatus or its collaborators may be involved in lawsuits to protect or enforce its patents, which could be expensive, time-consuming and unsuccessful.
Competitors may infringe Conatus’ patents. To counter infringement or unauthorized use, Conatus or its collaborators may be required to file infringement claims, which can be expensive and time-consuming. In an infringement proceeding, a court may decide that one or more of Conatus’ patents is not valid or is unenforceable or may refuse to stop the other party from using the technology at issue on the grounds that Conatus’ patents do not cover the technology in question. An adverse result in any litigation or defense proceedings could put one or more of Conatus’ patents at risk of being invalidated, held unenforceable, or interpreted narrowly and could put Conatus’ patent applications at risk of not issuing. Defense of these claims, regardless of their merit, would involve substantial litigation expense and would be a substantial diversion of employee resources from Conatus’ business. In the event of a successful claim of infringement against Conatus, it or its collaborators may have to pay substantial damages, including treble damages and attorneys’ fees for willful infringement, obtain one or more licenses from third parties, pay royalties or redesign its infringing products, which may be impossible or require substantial time and monetary expenditure.
Interference proceedings provoked by third parties or brought by the USPTO may be necessary to determine the priority of inventions with respect to Conatus’ patents or patent applications. An unfavorable outcome could require Conatus to cease using the related technology or to attempt to license rights to it from the prevailing party. Conatus’ business could be harmed if the prevailing party does not offer it a license on commercially reasonable terms. Litigation or interference proceedings may fail and, even if successful, may result in substantial costs and distract Conatus’ management and other employees. Conatus may not be able to prevent misappropriation of its trade secrets or confidential information, particularly in countries where the laws may not protect those rights as fully as in the United States.
Furthermore, because of the substantial amount of discovery required in connection with intellectual property litigation, there is a risk that some of Conatus’ confidential information could be compromised by disclosure during this type of litigation. In addition, there could be public announcements of the results of hearings, motions or other interim proceedings or developments. If securities analysts or investors perceive these results to be negative, it could have a substantial adverse effect on the price of Conatus’ common stock.
Obtaining and maintaining Conatus’ patent protection depends on compliance with various procedural, document submission, fee payment and other requirements imposed by governmental patent agencies, and Conatus’ patent protection could be reduced or eliminated for non-compliance with these requirements.
Periodic maintenance fees on any issued patent are due to be paid to the USPTO and foreign patent agencies in several stages over the lifetime of the patent. The USPTO and various foreign governmental patent agencies require compliance with a number of procedural, documentary, fee payment and other similar provisions during the patent application process. While an inadvertent lapse can in many cases be cured by payment of a late fee or by other means in accordance with the applicable rules, there are situations in which noncompliance can result in abandonment or lapse of the patent or patent application, resulting in partial or complete loss of patent rights in the relevant jurisdiction. Non-compliance events that could result in abandonment or lapse of a patent or patent application include, but are not limited to, failure to respond to official actions within prescribed time limits, non-payment of fees and failure to properly legalize and submit formal documents. In such an event, Conatus’ competitors might be able to enter the market, which would have a material adverse effect on Conatus’ business.
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Conatus may be subject to claims that its employees or independent contractors have wrongfully used or disclosed confidential information of third parties.
Conatus has received confidential and proprietary information from third parties. In addition, Conatus employs individuals who were previously employed at other biotechnology or pharmaceutical companies. Conatus may be subject to claims that it or its employees or independent contractors have inadvertently or otherwise used or disclosed confidential information of these third parties or Conatus employees’ former employers. Litigation may be necessary to defend against these claims. Even if Conatus is successful in defending against these claims, litigation could result in substantial cost and be a distraction to its management and employees.
Risks Related to Ownership of Conatus’ Common Stock
If Conatus is not able to comply with the applicable continued listing requirements or standards of the Nasdaq Capital Market, its common stock could be delisted.
Conatus’ common stock is currently listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market. In order to maintain that listing, Conatus must satisfy minimum financial and other continued listing requirements and standards, including those regarding director independence and independent committee requirements, minimum stockholders’ equity, minimum share price, and certain corporate governance requirements. There can be no assurances that Conatus will be able to comply with the applicable listing standards.
On May 29, 2019, Conatus received a letter from the Nasdaq staff indicating that, for the last thirty consecutive business days, the bid price for its common stock had closed below the minimum $1.00 per share requirement for continued listing on the Nasdaq Global Market under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5450(a)(1). Conatus had a period of 180 calendar days, or until November 25, 2019, to regain compliance. On November 25, 2019, Conatus filed an application to transfer the listing of its common stock from the Nasdaq Global Market to the Nasdaq Capital Market.
On November 27, 2019, Conatus received approval from Nasdaq to transfer the listing of Conatus’ common stock from the Nasdaq Global Market to the Nasdaq Capital Market. Conatus’ common stock was transferred to the Nasdaq Capital Market effective as of the open of business on November 29, 2019, and continues to trade under the symbol “CNAT.” The Nasdaq Capital Market operates in substantially the same manner as the Nasdaq Global Market and listed companies must meet certain financial requirements and comply with Nasdaq’s corporate governance requirements.
In connection with the transfer to the Nasdaq Capital Market, Conatus has been granted an additional 180-day grace period, until May 25, 2020, to regain compliance with the minimum $1.00 per share requirement for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5810(c)(3)(A). If compliance cannot be demonstrated by May 25, 2020, or Conatus does not comply with the terms of this extension, the Nasdaq staff will provide written notification that Conatus’ securities will be delisted. In the event of such a notification, Conatus may appeal the Nasdaq staff’s determination to delist its securities, but there can be no assurance the Nasdaq staff would grant Conatus’ request for continued listing.
In the event that its common stock is delisted from the Nasdaq Capital Market and is not eligible for quotation or listing on another market or exchange, trading of its common stock could be conducted only in the over-the-counter market or on an electronic bulletin board established for unlisted securities, such as the Pink Sheets or the OTC Bulletin Board. In such event, it could become more difficult to dispose of, or obtain accurate price quotations for, its common stock, and there would likely also be a reduction in its coverage by securities analysts and the news media, which could cause the price of its common stock to decline further. Also, it may be difficult for Conatus to raise additional capital if it is not listed on a major exchange.
The price of Conatus’ stock may be volatile.
Prior to Conatus’ IPO, there was no public market for its common stock. Since the commencement of trading in connection with Conatus’ IPO in July 2013 through January 31, 2020, the sale price per share of its common stock on Nasdaq has ranged from a low of $0.25 to a high of $15.67. The trading price of Conatus’ common stock is likely to continue to be highly volatile and could be subject to wide fluctuations in response to various factors, some of which are beyond its control, including limited trading volume. In addition to the factors discussed in this “Risk Factors” section and elsewhere in this annual report, these factors include:
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any potential strategic alternative that Conatus pursue, including the proposed merger with Histogen;
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actual or anticipated variations in quarterly operating results;
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Conatus’ cash position;
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Conatus’ failure to meet the estimates and projections of the investment community or that it may otherwise provide to the public;
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publication of research reports about Conatus or its industry or positive or negative recommendations or withdrawal of research coverage by securities analysts;
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changes in the market valuations of similar companies
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overall performance of the equity markets;
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sales of Conatus’ common stock by it or its stockholders in the future;
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trading volume of Conatus’ common stock;
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changes in accounting practices;
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ineffectiveness of Conatus’ internal controls;
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disputes or other developments relating to proprietary rights, including patents, litigation matters and Conatus’ ability to obtain patent protection for its technologies;
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significant lawsuits, including patent or stockholder litigation;
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general political and economic conditions; and
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other events or factors, many of which are beyond Conatus’ control.
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In addition, the stock market in general, and Nasdaq and biotechnology companies in particular, have experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of these companies. Broad market and industry factors may negatively affect the market price of its common stock, regardless of its actual operating performance. The realization of any of the above risks or any of a broad range of other risks, including those described in this “Risk Factors” section and elsewhere in this annual report, could have a dramatic and material adverse impact on the market price of Conatus’ common stock.
Conatus does not intend to pay dividends on its common stock so any returns will be limited to the value of its stock.
Conatus has never declared or paid any cash dividend on its common stock. Conatus currently anticipates that it will retain future earnings for the development, operation and expansion of its business and does not anticipate declaring or paying any cash dividends for the foreseeable future. Any return to stockholders will therefore be limited to the appreciation of their stock.
Conatus’ principal stockholders and management own a significant percentage of its stock and will be able to exert significant control over matters subject to stockholder approval.
As of December 31, 2019, Conatus’ executive officers, directors, 5% stockholders and their affiliates owned approximately 11.5% of Conatus’ outstanding voting stock. Therefore, these stockholders have the ability to influence Conatus through this ownership position. These stockholders may be able to determine all matters requiring stockholder approval. For example, these stockholders may be able to control elections of directors, amendments of its organizational documents, or approval of any merger, sale of assets, or other major corporate transaction. This may prevent or discourage unsolicited acquisition proposals or offers for Conatus’ common stock that its stockholders may feel are in their best interests.
Conatus is required to maintain compliance with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, or Conatus may be subject to sanctions by regulatory authorities.
Section 404(a) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 requires that Conatus evaluates and determines the effectiveness of its internal controls over financial reporting and provide a management report on the internal control over financial reporting. Conatus has performed the system and process evaluation and testing required to comply with the management certification. In the future, Conatus may also be required to comply with auditor attestation requirements of Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. If Conatus does not properly implement the requirements of Section 404 with adequate compliance, and maintain such compliance, Conatus may be subject to sanctions or investigation by regulatory authorities, such as the SEC or Nasdaq. Any such action could adversely affect Conatus’ financial results or investors’ confidence in Conatus and could cause its stock price to fall. If Conatus has a material weakness in its internal controls over financial reporting, Conatus may not detect errors on a timely basis and its consolidated financial statements may be materially misstated. If Conatus or its independent registered public accounting firm identifies deficiencies in its internal controls that are deemed to be material weaknesses, Conatus could be subject to sanctions or investigations by Nasdaq, the SEC or other regulatory authorities, which would entail expenditure of additional financial and management resources and could materially adversely affect Conatus’ stock price.
Conatus incurs significant increased costs as a result of operating as a public company, and its management is required to devote substantial time to compliance initiatives.
As a public company, Conatus incurs significant legal, accounting and other expenses that it did not incur as a private company. In addition, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, as well as rules subsequently adopted by the SEC and Nasdaq to implement provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, imposes significant requirements on public companies, including requiring establishment and maintenance of effective disclosure and financial controls and changes in corporate governance practices. Further, in July 2010, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, or the Dodd-Frank Act, was enacted. There are significant corporate governance and executive compensation related provisions in the Dodd-Frank Act that require the SEC to adopt additional rules and regulations in these areas such as “say on pay” and proxy access. Stockholder activism, the current political environment and the current high level of government intervention and regulatory reform may lead to substantial new regulations and disclosure obligations, which may lead to additional compliance costs and impact the manner in which Conatus operates its business in ways it cannot currently anticipate.
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The rules and regulations applicable to public companies may substantially increase Conatus’ legal and financial compliance costs and make some activities more time-consuming and costly. If these requirements divert the attention of Conatus management and personnel from other business concerns, they could have a material adverse effect on Conatus’ business, financial condition and results of operations. The increased costs will decrease Conatus’ net income or increase its net loss and may require it to reduce costs in other areas of its business or increase the prices of its products or services. For example, these rules and regulations may make it more difficult and more expensive for Conatus to obtain director and officer liability insurance, and it may be required to incur substantial costs to maintain the same or similar coverage. Conatus cannot predict or estimate the amount or timing of additional costs it may incur to respond to these requirements. The impact of these requirements could also make it more difficult for Conatus to attract and retain qualified persons to serve on Conatus’ Board, its board committees or as executive officers.
Future sales and issuances of the Conatus common stock or rights to purchase common stock, including pursuant its equity incentive plans could result in additional dilution of the percentage ownership of its stockholders and could cause its stock price to fall.
To raise capital, Conatus may sell common stock, convertible securities or other equity securities in one or more transactions at prices and in a manner it determines from time to time. If Conatus sells common stock, convertible securities or other equity securities, its stockholders may be materially diluted by subsequent sales, and new investors could gain rights preferences and privileges senior to the holders of its common stock.
Pursuant to Conatus’ 2013 equity incentive award plan, or the Conatus 2013 Plan, which became effective in July 2013, its management, is authorized to grant stock options and other equity awards to its employees, directors and consultants. The number of shares available for future grant under the Conatus 2013 Plan automatically increases each year by an amount equal to the least of (1) 1,000,000 shares of its common stock, (2) 5% of the outstanding shares of its common stock as of the last day of its immediately preceding fiscal year, or (3) such other amount as its board of directors may determine. Unless Conatus’ Board elects not to increase the number of shares available for future grant each year, its stockholders may experience additional dilution, which could cause its stock price to fall.
Conatus could be subject to securities class action litigation.
In the past, securities class action litigation has often been brought against a company following a decline in the market price of its securities. This risk is especially relevant for Conatus because pharmaceutical companies have experienced significant stock price volatility in recent years. If Conatus faces such litigation, it could result in substantial costs and a diversion of management’s attention and resources, which could harm its business.
Anti-takeover provisions under Conatus’ charter documents and Delaware law could delay or prevent a change of control, which could limit the market price of its common stock and may prevent or frustrate attempts by its stockholders to replace or remove its current management.
Conatus amended and restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws contain provisions that could delay or prevent a change of control of the company or changes in its board of directors that its stockholders might consider favorable to its board of directors and its management. Some of these provisions include:
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a board of directors divided into three classes serving staggered three-year terms, such that not all members of the board will be elected at one time;
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a prohibition on stockholder action through written consent, which requires that all stockholder actions be taken at a meeting of its stockholders;
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a requirement that special meetings of stockholders be called only by the chairman of the board of directors, the chief executive officer, the president or by a majority of the total number of authorized directors;
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advance notice requirements for stockholder proposals and nominations for election to its board of directors;
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a requirement that no member of its board of directors may be removed from office by its stockholders except for cause and, in addition to any other vote required by law, upon the approval of not less than two-thirds of all outstanding shares of its voting stock then entitled to vote in the election of directors;
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a requirement of approval of not less than two-thirds of all outstanding shares of its voting stock to amend any bylaws by stockholder action or to amend specific provisions of its certificate of incorporation; and
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the authority of the board of directors to issue preferred stock on terms determined by the board of directors without stockholder approval and such preferred stock may include rights superior to the rights of the holders of common stock.
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In addition, because Conatus is incorporated in Delaware, it is governed by the provisions of Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporate Law, which may prohibit certain business combinations with stockholders owning 15% or more of its outstanding voting stock. These anti-takeover provisions and other provisions in Conatus’ amended and restated certificate of incorporation and amended and restated bylaws could make it more difficult for stockholders or potential acquirors to obtain control of its board of
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directors or initiate actions that are opposed by the then-current board of directors and could also delay or impede a merger, tender offer or proxy contest involving Conatus. These provisions could also discourage proxy contests and make it more difficult for Conatus stockholders to elect directors of their choosing or cause it to take other corporate actions desired by certain stockholders. Any delay or prevention of a change of control transaction or changes in the Conatus Board could cause the market price of its common stock to decline.
If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or publish inaccurate or unfavorable research about Conatus’ business, its stock price and trading volume could decline.
The trading market for Conatus’ common stock depends in part on the research and reports that securities or industry analysts publish about its business. Conatus currently has limited research coverage by securities and industry analysts. In the event one or more of the analysts who covers Conatus downgrades its stock or publishes inaccurate or unfavorable research about its business, its stock price may decline. If one or more of these analysts ceases coverage of Conatus or fails to publish reports on Conatus regularly, demand for its stock could decrease, which might cause its stock price and trading volume to decline.
The comprehensive U.S. tax reform bill passed in 2017 could adversely affect Conatus’ business and financial condition.
On December 22, 2017, President Trump signed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, or the Tax Act, into law, which significantly revised the Code. The Tax Act, among other things, contained significant changes to corporate taxation, including reduction of the corporate tax rate from a top marginal rate of 35% to a flat rate of 21%, limitation of the tax deduction for interest expense to 30% of adjusted taxable income (except for certain small businesses), limitation of the deduction for NOLs generated in tax years beginning after December 31, 2017 to 80% of current year taxable income and elimination of carrybacks of NOLs arising in taxable years ending after December 31, 2017, one-time taxation of offshore earnings at reduced rates regardless of whether they are repatriated, immediate deductions for certain new investments instead of deductions for depreciation expense over time, and modifying or repealing many business deductions and credits (including reducing the business tax credit for certain clinical testing expenses incurred in the testing of certain drugs for rare diseases or conditions). Notwithstanding the reduction in the corporate income tax rate, the overall impact of the Tax Act could adversely affect Conatus. In addition, it is uncertain if and to what extent various states will conform to the Tax Act. The impact of the Tax Act on holders of Conatus’ common stock is also uncertain and could be adverse. Conatus urges its stockholders to consult with their legal and tax advisors with respect to this legislation and the potential tax consequences of investing in or holding Conatus common stock.