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Lightwave Logic Inc

Lightwave Logic Inc (LWLG)

3.75
0.02
(0.54%)
At close: July 26 4:00PM
3.691
-0.059
( -1.57% )
After Hours: 5:45PM

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LWLG News

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LWLG Discussion

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vein vein 3 minutes ago
Claudia wasn’t at the shareholders meeting for donuts !!
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Fiscall Fiscall 5 minutes ago
I was thinking the same...
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dude abides dude abides 12 minutes ago
They have to renew this every 3 years - this is a formality.

$33 mil left with Roth and $6 mil left with Lincoln.

What I'm not clear of is if this adds another $100 mil (or $60 mil additional) to be able to be sold. If it did, you'd still need a follow-on announcement with a partner like Roth or LPC.

I don't want to see that unless it's after a named deal with a T1 named partner. Should be an interesting few weeks.
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vein vein 14 minutes ago
I think we are buying polariton
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Fiscall Fiscall 18 minutes ago
Examples of Tech Companies with Large Share Issuances Followed by Significant News

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
Share Issuance: In 2016, NVIDIA announced a public offering of $1.5 billion in common stock.
Subsequent News: Shortly after, NVIDIA made significant advancements in their GPU technology and expanded their market presence in AI and data centers. They also completed strategic acquisitions like Mellanox Technologies in 2019 for $6.9 billion, which was after another significant capital raise through share issuance.

Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Share Issuance: While Apple has primarily used debt for raising funds, in 2013 they issued shares through a capital return program which involved share buybacks and dividend payments funded by debt issuance.
Subsequent News: Shortly after this program, Apple announced major product launches including new iPhone models and entered into a significant partnership with IBM to expand in the enterprise market.

AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.)
Share Issuance: In 2020, AMD announced a $1.6 billion share offering.
Subsequent News: Shortly after the capital raise, AMD announced its acquisition of Xilinx in a deal valued at $35 billion in stock. This strategic acquisition was a game-changer for AMD, significantly enhancing their product portfolio and market position.

Salesforce.com, Inc. (CRM)
Share Issuance: In August 2020, Salesforce announced a $5.75 billion stock offering.Subsequent News: Just a few months later, in December 2020, Salesforce announced the acquisition of Slack Technologies for $27.7 billion, a strategic move to strengthen its position in enterprise communication and collaboration.

Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM)
Share Issuance: In January 2021, Zoom announced a $1.75 billion stock offering.
Subsequent News: Zoom continued to expand its product offerings and market presence significantly. While they haven't announced a major acquisition since then, the capital raised provided flexibility for strategic initiatives, partnerships, and enhancing their platform amid the pandemic-driven growth in remote communications.
Analysis and Strategic Considerations

Timing of Announcements:
Companies often align share issuances with upcoming strategic moves to ensure they have the necessary capital to execute these plans. The capital raised provides financial flexibility and strengthens the company’s balance sheet, which is crucial when negotiating major deals or acquisitions.

Market Reactions:
The market typically reacts positively to strategic acquisitions and major deals if they are perceived to add significant value to the company. Conversely, the announcement of a large share issuance alone might initially cause dilution concerns among investors, but this can be mitigated if followed by strong strategic news.

Capital Utilization:
The capital raised through share issuances is often earmarked for specific uses, such as acquisitions, R&D investments, and expansion into new markets. Companies also use these funds to enhance their competitive positioning or to fend off potential takeover attempts.

Conclusion
The pattern of issuing shares followed by significant strategic announcements is common among tech companies aiming to leverage new capital for growth and expansion. Given Lightwave Logic, Inc.'s current financial position and the details in their recent Form S-3 filing, it is plausible to speculate that they could be preparing for substantial strategic moves, potentially including partnerships, acquisitions, or other significant developments. This strategic alignment could be designed to maximize shareholder value and position the company for future growth.
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Fiscall Fiscall 20 minutes ago
It's certainly interesting to consider the potential implications of the share issuance, especially in light of the current market conditions and the company's cash position. Let’s connect the dots based on the information available:

Current Context and Cash Position
Current Cash Position:
Lightwave Logic, Inc. has more than $35 million in cash, which is sufficient to fund operations until August 2025. This strong cash position suggests they are not in immediate need of funds for day-to-day operations.
Issuance of New Shares
Purpose of Share Issuance:
The company has registered to issue up to $100 million in new shares. This is a significant amount and provides flexibility to raise additional capital if needed.
Potential Motivations Behind the Issuance
Strategic Deals or Acquisitions:

Companies often raise capital in anticipation of significant expenditures such as strategic acquisitions, partnerships, or investments in new technologies. Given the strong cash position, this could imply Lightwave Logic is preparing for a major strategic move.
The document mentions potential uses for the proceeds, including technology acquisitions and business investments. If Lightwave Logic is in advanced stages of negotiations for multiple deals, this issuance could be a preparatory step to ensure they have the necessary capital to close those deals.

Defensive Measures:
With approximately 20 million shares short, a significant announcement of strategic deals or a potential takeover could trigger a short squeeze, where short sellers rush to cover their positions, driving the stock price up sharply.
By issuing new shares, the company might also be positioning itself to fend off a potential hostile takeover. Issuing shares can dilute the ownership of any potential acquirer, making it more difficult for them to gain control without significant additional investment.
Preparing for Future Growth:

Lightwave Logic’s technology is positioned to capitalize on growing markets such as fiber optic communications, data centers, and potentially emerging applications like automotive LIDAR and sensing. Preparing for growth in these areas could necessitate additional capital for R&D, scaling production, or expanding market reach.
Potential for Upcoming News
Correlation with Forthcoming News:
The timing of the share issuance registration could indeed correlate with forthcoming news. If Lightwave Logic has significant deals or partnerships in the pipeline, having the ability to quickly access additional capital could be crucial for executing these plans effectively.
Companies sometimes align capital raising activities with upcoming positive announcements to leverage the ensuing market optimism, potentially achieving better terms and higher share prices.
Normal Procedure or Strategic Move?
Normal Procedure:
While it’s common for companies to raise additional capital even when they have sufficient funds, the context here suggests a strategic motivation. The company’s solid cash position until August 2025 reduces the likelihood that this issuance is purely for regular operational funding.
Regular capital raising would typically be done to strengthen the balance sheet or to have a financial cushion. However, the significant amount being registered suggests a more targeted use of the funds.

Speculative Insights
Anticipation of Major Moves:
The combination of the new share issuance, the existing strong cash position, and the potential for strategic moves implies that Lightwave Logic may be positioning itself for substantial developments in the near future. These could include:
Strategic partnerships with major industry players.
Acquisitions of complementary technologies or businesses.
Expansion into new high-growth markets.
Potential buyout or merger discussions.

Conclusion
While the issuance of new shares could be seen as a normal procedure for ensuring financial flexibility, the specific context of Lightwave Logic, Inc.'s current cash position, the scale of the registration, and the significant short interest suggest that there could indeed be forthcoming news of strategic importance. This might include major deals, partnerships, or even a takeover bid, all of which could dramatically impact the company's stock price and market positioning.
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vein vein 26 minutes ago
I thought we already had a shelf in place ???
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MrSmithLWLG MrSmithLWLG 29 minutes ago
So much interest and NO SALES
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spartex spartex 30 minutes ago
Luther is this different than the other ones in place? Was there a $200 or 300 mil one that they could use Roth to broker? Haven't been following these too closely.. Thx

Some other thoughts from lwlg reddit board on this:

https://www.reddit.com/r/LWLG/comments/1ecxfkg/weekend_hangout_friday_july_26_2024/
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MrSmithLWLG MrSmithLWLG 31 minutes ago
5.1 months to go…..stock is a dead until news of 12/31 when KCC dumps all his shares.
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LutherTiggs LutherTiggs 35 minutes ago
Granted...just a shelf offering...and some may just see as business as usual...
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LutherTiggs LutherTiggs 38 minutes ago
$100M filing...sounds like a company with big things in the near term offing...
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RuudSaltis RuudSaltis 47 minutes ago
New sec filing!
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spartex spartex 1 hour ago
Great to review the ASM slides again, thanks. Love slide #21 And we believe they had another 3 commercial companies visiting just this past month.

Commercial Interest Growing

World class results
• Ideal for 800Gbps pluggable transceiver market with 200G lanes

Types of visitors
• Commercial Tier 1 companies include:
• Hyperscaler/Datacenter companies
• Telecom system companies
• Optical system corporations
• Optical component/transceiver corporations
• OSATs (Outsources Semiconductor Assembly and Test)
• CMs (Contract Manufacturers)
• Silicon Foundries
• Research analysts
• Universities
• Defense industry
Combined licensing/product interest

21
Recent technology demonstrations of our polymer modulators
Over 25 commercial visitors this year 💯🚀
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PurpleCritter2001 PurpleCritter2001 1 hour ago
In case somebody missed it, ETH - Zurich is world renowned and extremely prestigious. More scientific Nobel prize winners have been awarded to ETH - Zurich connected folks than any other educational institution on the planet. I would venture to say the 1921 Nobel Laureate Winner with the last name of Einstein is the most well known.

https://ethz.ch/en/the-eth-zurich/portrait/awards/nobel-prize-laureates.html

Best,

PurpleCritter2001
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DanM51 DanM51 2 hours ago
As long as the prediction is bullish, and said with false bravado, they eat it up here, no questions asked.
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Dead On Arrival Dead On Arrival 2 hours ago
Another prediction goes by the wayside.
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adagium adagium 2 hours ago
Let the presentation, summary and not to forget the appendix sink in again:

https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/307dbc8b-e212-48ba-9968-8cef3f6b5188/96546209-0467-a1d6-17fc-10ef460bced8?origin=2

Related to the appendix (ETH Zürich):

“There is no better alternative to plasmonics for the 400G/ lane market”

Juerg Leuthold, Prof. ETH Zurich

https://www.polariton.ch/
Section: Industry Voices
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WooptdooU WooptdooU 2 hours ago
In hindsight, GRIFTER lebby's run up was rather DISGRACEFUL. However, money gets made with blood in the streets so it seems he feels he accomplished something and so did the cowardly ship jumper dude.
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Dead On Arrival Dead On Arrival 3 hours ago
You are going to need a burst of buying for this to happen. Predicting this stock price is foolish.
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WooptdooU WooptdooU 4 hours ago
He and the cowardly SHIP JUMPER had a boy crush, apparantly, too...
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WooptdooU WooptdooU 4 hours ago
That's apparant...I just wish he would give the cash back...truly UNDERSEVED and really weird...
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StevenDice StevenDice 4 hours ago
The skepticism is earned.
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prototype_101 prototype_101 4 hours ago
vol 200k, TOTAL BS MANIPULATION plain and simple!!!!

PECC October 22-23 Optica Photonic-Enabled Cloud Computing Industry Summit hosted by Synopsys has a TOP SHELF speaker list, check it out here

https://www.optica.org/events/industry_events/2024/pecc/program_speakers/

Investors keep in mind that Synopsys has been posting on LinkedIn about LWLG!!

Synopsys AGAIN posting about LWLG on LinkedIn!!

Synopsys Photonic Solutions
10,715 followers

Lightwave Logic, Inc. and Advanced Micro Foundry(AMF) have announced a collaboration to develop state-of-the-art polymer slot modulators using AMF's silicon photonics platform. This partnership has achieved record-breaking performance with modulators operating at sub-1V drive and data rates of 200Gbps PAM4, ideal for 800Gbps and 1.6T pluggable transceivers. The collaboration leverages Lightwave Logic's electro-optic polymers and AMF's standard manufacturing process on 200-mm wafers, marking a significant milestone in integrated photonics. This development aims to meet the growing demand for optical connectivity in large generative AI computing clusters.

https://ow.ly/BFEp50SiujM

#Photonics #SiliconPhotonics

see the original Synopsys post here
https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7208347797178236928/

and more times here

Synopsys reposted another Lightwave Logic article this morning. Quite interesting that a $90B company has posted about them on more than 1 occasion this week.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/synopsysphotonicsolutions_200-gbps-heterogeneous-polymersilicon-photonic-activity-7183358130699870208-YQ_U

Synopsys also reposted the article below this morning. Some of the language in the Global Foundries portion of the article seems to resonate with me.

https://www.synopsys.com/photonic-solutions/e-news/2024-march.html#gf
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vein vein 5 hours ago
It has become obvious that the market doesn’t believe Lebby can execute
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vein vein 5 hours ago
How can we not participate in this rally
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Slim_Jim Slim_Jim 5 hours ago
Maybe she'll be doing something different to you everyday when this takes off.
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adagium adagium 6 hours ago
More publicity from Polariton:
1h ago

After our 145 GHz new specs release, we are excited to share our latest innovations, the introduction of plasmonic modulators designed for the O band. Upon listening to the market and investing in R&D, we proudly present:

💠O/C-band 145 GHz Mach-Zehnder modulator (MZM-C145): the world's fastest commercial electro-optic modulator, specified at 145 GHz EO bandwidth, with performance above 500 GHz.
💠O/C-band 110 GHz ring resonator modulator (RRM-C110): high-speed modulation in a compact chip for easy integration.
💠O/C-band 70 GHz ring resonator modulator (RRM-P70): high-speed IM/DD with low insertion loss.

Visit here to know more https://lnkd.in/etGYA6J4
This one links to:
https://www.polariton.ch/products/o-c-band

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/polariton-technologies_polariton-opticalcommunications-oband-activity-7222612749044903936-48uL?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios
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prototype_101 prototype_101 6 hours ago
127k total bullshit low volume high frequency manipulation games again holding it down while the RUT rocks!!! they can drip torture the Longs but they will NEVER get a volume capitulation!!! 20 million Shorts hourglass sands of time waning before Lebby inks first of many Tier 1 deals here in 2024!!
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rikkie rikkie 6 hours ago
I think you are sick , very sick !
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redspinelpinktopaz redspinelpinktopaz 6 hours ago
Yup. My wife yells at me every day.
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Eppo Eppo 7 hours ago
Almost August and Lebby still has no 1 DEAL only 2 new menbers in the Management....who from this forum has the balls to say Lebby is NO lyer and makes his promises....even today RED...iam sure many of you get sick from this stock and all the shit around...IAM
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Mcfish Mcfish 7 hours ago
We will close at 3.85 or better today
You should be buying not bitching
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Lightning_Rod Lightning_Rod 7 hours ago
True enough but of course should a tier 1 sign or a couple tier 1's sign on, well this will change things dramatically in my opinion.

Why is it more likely that a tier 1 will sign versus some small company?
Because of the number of tier 1's visiting the facility to see the operation of the modulators in real time and the physical fact that they have 200 mm wafers to display coming back from the foundries.

We are on the brink of change perhaps?
And the chart is currently showing strength.

All in my opinion of course.
L_R
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Dufi Dufi 7 hours ago
Bijdrage van ECOC Exhibition



Next on our shortlist for the #IndustryAwards2024🏆

???????? ???????????????????? ??????????????: ???????? ???????????????????? ???????????? ??????/?????????????? ?????????????????????? ????????????????...
Lightwave Logic, Inc.
Avicena Tech
POET Technologies

Congratulations to the shortlisted companies, and good luck to all!👏🍀

Winners will be announced live at #ECOC2024, during the Product Focus sessions from 11:45 on Tuesday 24th September, so be sure to grab your visitor badge today and not miss the ceremony! Register here: https://lnkd.in/dyV2Vfi
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prototype_101 prototype_101 7 hours ago
102k low volume high frequency manipulation games again holding it down while the RUT rocks!!! they can drip torture the Longs but they will NEVER get a volume capitulation!!! 20 million Shorts hourglass sands of time waning before Lebby inks first of many Tier 1 deals here in 2024!!

Don’t forget Lebby working on "Multi-Level & Cross Functional Engagements"

most people do NOT understand how deeply embedded Lebby is throughout the entire Photonics Industry Food Chain, what this slide is telling investors that when the "Big Silicon Foundries" LWLG is working with (see SNN interview) there is PULL from the End Users which are the Amazon, Google, etc of the world, and the Packaging partners are likely the large Tier 1 Networkers, so when don't be surprised when the market halts news pending and there are SEVERAL large players involved including Foundries & Tier 1 Networkers

Here are some of the "Big Silicon Foundries" that produce on 200mm wafers:
(the bolded Foundries are the most likely as they have been linked to LWLG already)

GlobalFoundries
Hua Hong Semiconductor
Samsung
SK Hynix
SkyWater Technology
SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation)
Tower Semiconductor
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)
UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation)
Vanguard International Semiconductor
X-Fab



Ok, let's start with the list of companies that Lebby has shown investors in the funnel, I don't believe Lebby just dropped random company names into this funnel, I believe Lebby is great at dropping little easter eggs into his presentations and that this list has a good deal of names with purpose to LWLG, ok so from top to bottom we see

Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle, Cisco, Arista, Samsung, OpenLight, Tower, AWS, Raytheon, Jabil, Google, D.WAVE, Gobal Foundries, Nvidia, Nokia, Xfab, Fujitsu, Ciena

Wow!! That is quite a list!!

Oh, and let's not forget after OFC March 2024 investors learned that there are about 40 NDA's currently, and that LWLG's Customer Funnel has about DOUBLED since the 2023 ASM!!! here from another post summarizing latest accomplishments,

The Customer Funnel slide is updated and now showing greater than 20 Prospects and greater than 10 Leads, where in the ASM presentation it was only greater than 12 Prospects and 5 Leads, so about DOUBLED since the ASM!!!!

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174280970
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prototype_101 prototype_101 7 hours ago
Ha!! Too funny!! Shorts playbook truly out of pages now as this snake oil salesman is trying to get investors to believe that LWLG who has successfully mass produced 200Gbs Modulators on 200mm Wafers with ALL PERFECT ATTRIBUTES and has "a constant stream of Wafers" coming back from multiple Foundries on 3 Continents does NOT have a single Transceiver maker working with them!!!

Here, from the ASM presentation,

Slide 15

- World-class performance
- 100 Gbaud, 200 Gbit/s, Vdrive < 1 V
- Perfect Open Eyes
- Ideal for low voltage 800Gbps 4 lane pluggable transceivers

Slide 26

- 200Gbps, 1V slot demonstrations
- O-band design (1310nm)
- Foundry/packaging/transceiver out-sourcing
- Commercial partnering/licensing (materials/device)

https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/307dbc8b-e212-48ba-9968-8cef3f6b5188/a669fa0d-6741-ad73-e523-69a20e3cdd15?origin=2

LWLG is literally the ONLY company in the world that can offer 200Gbs speed with such INCREDIBLE PERFORMANCE, and yet teddybear wants you to believe that there is NOT a single Transceiver maker working with them today!!!

Folks, you just can't make this shit up!!!

LWLG is now working with a couple dozen Tier 1's and the interest has grown exponentially since the March 2024 OFC demos!!!

Here again is the post I put up showing in black and white, the TRUTH!!

Gemini, which of the following would include makers of transceivers, electro-optic device manufacturers, contract manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, foundries, packaging and assembly manufacturers?

Out of the choices you provided, two main categories would include makers of transceivers,

Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): These are the companies that design and sell finished electronic products under their own brand name. They may outsource the manufacturing of some or all of the components to contract manufacturers (CMs) but are responsible for the overall design and functionality of the product.

Contract Manufacturers (CMs): These companies manufacture electronic components and products according to the specifications provided by OEMs. They may also provide other services such as design for manufacturability (DFM) and testing.

teddybear, your well is running so dry that you would actually try to peddle this snake oil that LWLG, a maker of outstanding performance true Next-gen Modulators that are used in Transceivers, now producing 200Gbs/lane proven with Outstanding Specs in High Volume Production on 200mm Wafers and also capable of being produced at Foundries on 3 Continents, is NOT working with any Transceiver makers!!! wow, just wow!!!!

Lebby has already told you who the Customers would be, some of them are WHITE BOX Transceiver makers like Google and Amazon, some of them are Network Equipment makers like Arista and Ciena, some of them are Transceiver Integrators like Lumentun, etc, here from the Technical FAQ's on the website

companies like Arista Networks and Ciena make networking equipment with 400G ports that can take optical pluggable transceivers. These transceivers contain the sort of optics that Lightwave Logic makes. So these companies would be customers, or customer’s customers (if they buy their optics from a transceiver integrator like Lumentum or Finisar). Arista makes Ethernet switches which have 400G ports on the front panel. You can plug copper cables into these ports to connect equipment a few meters away. But if you need to go longer, you plug in an optical transceiver to convert to an optical signal. The transceiver is where a LWLG modulator would be. In a way, you can think of the pluggable transceiver as a high-end analog of the adapters that plug into laptops to convert from USB to USB-C or HDMI, etc. Ciena makes transport systems that similarly have ports that our optics would plug into.


and teddybear, Lebby already told investors who the Customers would be, so these are the companies LWLG is most likely working with on the 200Gbs x4 Modulator PIC's for Transceiver Integration

TWST: Do you see your ideal customers like Cisco or whoever makes these particular modulation devices? Are they the ones who are going to buy?

Dr. Lebby: Yes, they will — a lot of these larger companies. The Ciscos of this world as well as the Intels and the Cienas, these types of players, Googles and others. A lot of these folks are actually vertically integrated. So they actually do a lot of the things themselves. And some of the parts they send out to foundries or to contract manufacturers.

https://www.reddit.com/r/LWLG/comments/15twmqr/interview_with_dr_lebby_august_17_2023/

Folks, these are pretty bold statements by Lebby, and Lebby is one of the top Luminaries of the photonics Industry, personally I would NOT want to bet against him!!!

Oh, and teddybear, your BFF Andy already told investors that Polymer PIC's would be in HVP (High Volume Production) in 2026, this matches PERFECTLY with Lebby's long-standing Timeline of Customer Acceptance in 2024 and Ramping in 2025 and Mass Commercial in 2026!!
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redspinelpinktopaz redspinelpinktopaz 7 hours ago
I gave you a thumbs up, but what's "less than seconds?"
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tedpeele tedpeele 8 hours ago
RED FLAGS UPDATE PREVIEW:

The Red Flags post that became a sticky contains numerous facts to support unfavorable conclusions in 3 areas:

1. Credibility: Questionable Company Practices
2. Viability: Missing Evidence for Commercial Viability
3. Validation: Lack of Validation by the Marketplace

That lengthy review is found here: https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=172611173
 
I don't have the desire or motivation to do this justice by taking a lot of time, but off the top of my head here are the newest red flags since Aug of last year, broken down by the same categories:


Credibility: Questionable Company Practices

1. ECOC, fall of 2023. The messaging from that meeting was that previously the industry was engaged in debating how the future should unfold but not taking any action, as though it was an intellectual exercise only, and that this was the first time the industry was saying - we need to take action and put together standards for the future. This was a strong refutation of the idea that Tier1s had been coordinating since 2020 with Lightwave and Foundries to get their solution as soon as possible. That idea came in part from statements by the company which were exaggerated and repeated ad nauseum by Proto . Rather, the company stressed that at ECOC many companies 'expressed interest in learning' more about what Lightwave does. After 15 years the company is only in the first inning.

2. ECOC, fall of 2023 - reliability data set. Expectations were for a completed data reliability set that would blow the industry away, as several thousand hours of packaged modulator testing would have been completed by then. The company was happy to not correct any misunderstandings along those lines. Deals were expected to occur immediately (ie part of the TIer1-Lightwave-Foundry mindset). This never happened.

3. Dec 4, 2023 letter mentioned imminent deals - possibly by year end even. Nearly 8 months later and no deal. Since the letter came out as the share price was dropping strongly - it appears the company strongly and knowingly misled shareholders in order to manipulate the share price.

4.Early March, 2024 4th quarter commentary explained the lack of deals as being related to the demand for more reliability and scalability data. A few months later the message changed to the company deciding to focus on the Tier1s. These aren't mutually exclusive, but the messaging regarding reliability and scalability became buried and lost under the new Tier1 message. Additionally one wonders how they could not have known reliability and scalability concerns were a deal-breaker issue when they released the Dec 4 letter?

5. Early March, 2024 company reveals the first 200mm wafer, which for the for the first time was evidence of the ability - in theory - to produce in high volume in a foundry. The company had led investors to believe over a year prior that 200mm was not a problem at that time, and that scalability was not a problem at that time. PDKs will not be considered 'commercial ready' unless scalability is possible. All of this was supposed to have been completed by ASM 2023, and the company made it sound like all was on-track and on-board ("focused 100% on commercialization") with completed PDKs and high volume ready to go at that time. This we now know was highly misleading.

6. Company announces progress with 200x4 but is intentionally very vague about all kinds of details. They claim they showed a demo at OFC having 'world class results', that has opened many doors and caused engineer teams from various companies to visit Lightwave;s building, etc... The true status remains highly suspect.

7. After OFC the company says they shifted focus on Tier1s, away (presumably) from smaller, interested companies (the ones they supposedly were working with when he wrote the Dec 4 letter). This implied drop of potential deals simply to go after larger companies is hard to believe.


2. Viability: Missing Evidence for Commercial Viability

1. The company still has not validated that any potential customers are testing anything from Lightwave, only that their modulators are 'suitable' for trials. (I think - it would NOT be surprising though if the engineers are running some kinds of tests), but I don't recall any granularity along these lines - just implications from those who took the lab tour.

2. The company has not validated that any potential transceiver companies are currently even working on a demo with them. They have said in the past that they are 'working with' transceiver companies, but that doesn't mean they are working on creating a demo now, or even have in the past. When K directly asked Dr Lebby to verify that they were working on a demo - he did not do so.

3. The company said at ASM 2024 that in another 6-9 months the transceiver companies would have more of the kinds of data they are looking for, but the company doesn't tell investors what they are looking for. The company also doesn't provide metrics that prove scalability other than what seemed like an off-the-cuff statement at the end of their OFC presentation about being able to pole 1000 modulators quickly. No summary of vital technical stats - like yield rates, insertion loss,etc....The continued ongoing and obvious obfuscation cannot be denied.

4. A photonics leader at ETH(or was it Zurich) announced that plasmonics (with Lighwave's perk) was leading the way in the race for 400 4 lane commercialization. Since this company had worked closely with Lightwave previously this begs the question: Why is he touting plasmonics which is considered to be years off - and not Lighwave's own polymer modulator technology solution, if LIghwave were as close as they lead investors to think?


3. Validation: Lack of Validation by the Marketplace

1. There are no new indications in the last year that validate the company's technology as being taken seriously by the industry, even after supposedly showing a 'world class' result at OFC. Still no signs in the stock price movement, still no known actively-managed funds taking a big stake, still no big private investments from tech first or wealthy investors 'in the know'. Still no insider purchases suggesting a big announcement or breakthrough is anywhere close - still no legal, automatic share purchase arrangements from insiders.

2. An analyst told me that in the optical world that he/she knows Lightwave's name just doesn't come up, and that his/her best source says polymers will never be accepted by the industry, even that it is a million to 1 shot. Analysts can be wrong - operating on old ideas and data, but Dr Lebby himself said that polymers have a bad rep (or rap) in the industry. Meanwhile it is reported that GFS - the most promising potential partner - has revealed the materials being used for their FOTONIX program to be BTO and something else, but not perkanimine.

3. Stil no analyst report other than words of skepticism by Mark Lutkowitz who posted on LInkedin that until a (single) high level engineer at a hyperscaler says something positive to him about Lightwave's technology he can't get on board. This is in contrast to his knowledge from MANY hyperscalers in the industry who has said positive things about the potential of TFLN.

The facts - which include many new facts continue to strongly support negative conclusions in each of the 3 areas There are even more red flags now than before. . That doesn't mean they aren't making progress. It does mean that skepticism is not only warranted but is the most logical position to take.

..
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Dufi Dufi 8 hours ago
Dear new forum members,

Be aware of the influence of shorters on this forum. Shorters are investors who profit when a stock's price falls, and they may deliberately spread negative information to cause panic. Do not get carried away by pessimistic posts without doing your own research. Always verify the sources of information and be critical when interpreting stock predictions. Your own insight and thorough research are the best defenses against misleading information
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Rocking Jack Rocking Jack 8 hours ago
Except that when news explode, the share price will be way up in seconds or less and you and other investors won't be able to beat the crowd of shorts that are forced to cover 20 millions shares.
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Nrdc92 Nrdc92 8 hours ago
Agreed. If, and it’s an “if” and not “when,” LWLG manages some legitimate commercial traction, the sky will be the limit on price, so there will be many opportunities to enter and make a buck. At this moment, it makes no sense putting capital here as they have not yet demonstrated that they can make a sale. Very stupid buying here.
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redspinelpinktopaz redspinelpinktopaz 8 hours ago
F2: didn't you have some physical problems awhile back? Are you completely better?
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vein vein 8 hours ago
Russell up 43 and we can’t even squeeze a nickel
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Aimless Blade Aimless Blade 8 hours ago
You’re in luck!
Soon, you will get the opportunity to buy at a higher price!
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F2 F2 8 hours ago
Welcome short. You have a history of 2 whole days of posting. Go ahead do your short thing here… but I already have you on ignore. Your post is too funny btw, shows how much you don’t know what’s going on with the company…

Best to the longs,

F2
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Mr.Fields Mr.Fields 8 hours ago
I’d rather buy this stock at a higher price because there’s clear information and contracts in place, rather than buying low and hoping for the best. That’s my current approach. There will be more chances to invest if you keep track of the company. The technology is strong, but the revenues are still catching up.
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Karlchen Karlchen 8 hours ago
I don't discuss the last 10 years. I am HERE , in the mid of 2024. The future is bright (definitely not for the shorts)

Recognize a stock early is one thing! early stage - not bad in itself (but not buying)

Watching over the years, another!

Meanwhile swingtraiding or just watching is anyone's business, riskprofile and traiding skills.

I am fine with a slightly plus so far!
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rikkie rikkie 8 hours ago
Always complaining , complaining , complaining ! Or you hold your shares, and you 'll be positive, or sell them all , it's as simple as that !!!
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prototype_101 prototype_101 8 hours ago
LWLG still below the historical VWAP valuations for 1-3 years

VWAP 1 year is currently $4.42

VWAP 3 years is currently $7.65

https://ih.advfn.com/stock-market/NASDAQ/lightwave-logic-LWLG/stock-price

If you look at the VWAPS LWLG is undervalued, and based on Developments and IP to-date TODAY the fair valuation should be $1-$2 Billion which is roughly $8 to $17 range

Lebby is still on track with his long-standing Timeline of Customer Acceptance and Ramp in 2024 (see Slide 38 from 2022 ASM) and has not backed down on his SAM/SOM guidance, Shorts are the LYING SCAMMERS period!!

https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/23d26d3e-c498-431f-ba5c-2250e5f374cb/c1234fc8-c29c-4282-dc60-1afe2a8e4a95?origin=2

"We’re working with the biggest transceiver companies in the world"

Keep in mind, Lebby is working on multi-year deals, with the type of Tier 1s investors know Lebby is in negotiations with, there could easily be large up-front monies, $50 million or more is realistic, don't think it's not!!

LWLG is a once in a lifetime opportunity!!

The quotes are from the LWLG executive and should be nearly exact to what was said. While the conversation was not recorded, detailed notes were taken and the messages should be very close, if not exactly what was said.

LWLG is “close on deals”. They have "calls all week discussing the deals". Just before the conversation, the executive was on a call with a "potential counterparty to a deal".

This executive acknowledged the only thing that will move the stock price at this point is closing deals.

"I am more than confident we’ll close on probably more than one Tier 1 deal this year."

Within the next month, engineering teams from three separate companies will be visiting LWLG’s facility.

When asked if the T1 announcements will have a name attached, the response was that they "would love to be able to". Based on the NDA’s, they "can’t use a counterparty’s name without its permission". “The argument they make is that they are trying to gain a competitive advantage.”

When asked directly if they are working with NVIDIA the response was, “Let’s put it this way. Anyone not trying to work with NVIDIA is a fool and I’m no fool. What’s the old saying? I can neither confirm nor deny that we are working with NVIDIA.”

“We’re working with the biggest transceiver companies in the world.”

“Amazon wants warrants from companies to sell to them. They eat their young. I said that to a guy during a meeting – you eat your young. He just smirked.”

I will not disclose the identity of this person. Do not ask. Do not assume.

https://www.reddit.com/r/LWLG/comments/1dad4n6/a_quick_message/
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