Tech companies have long been leaders of the market. Firms like
Apple (AAPL) have powered portfolios for quite
some time, but there is now some speculation—and hard data—that
suggests their reign over the best performing list is nearing an
end.
This is particularly true after Apple’s latest earnings debacle,
and some other large cap weakness on the earnings and guidance
front. This trend has pushed the broad space to a sluggish
performance to start 2013.
This is a pretty surprising development as the tech sector of
the S&P 500 was, for quite some time, driving the market
higher. However, seemingly as soon as the calendar turned to the
New Year, tech began to lag, at least in the large cap space.
Looking at all the technology ETFs on the market, all of the
worst performers come to us from the broad—read large cap
focused—tech funds like IYW, XLK,
and VGT.
Beyond those underperformers, we see other ‘traditional’ tech
products occupying the bottom of the list such as software and
networking funds (read Why Earnings are Key for the Tech ETF).
To me, this suggests that the old guard of the tech world is at
an interesting crossroads, and that its leadership over the
space—at least in terms of price gains—may be nearing an end.
That isn’t to say that technology ETFs have all been falling by
the wayside though, as we have seen a trio of new product types
take the mantle from the Apples of the world to start 2013.
New Leadership
The three best performing segments in the tech world have been
heavily concentrated into a few sectors. These include social
firms, the broad internet space, and emerging market technology.
Most of these have crushed broad market expectations and a few have
actually added more than double digits to start the year (read 5
Sector ETFs Surging to Start 2013).
This is pretty incredible given the broad sluggish performance
in the technology world to start the year, and the widespread
uncertainty over some of the top tech players and their outlooks
for 2013. If the trend can continue, it could mean that for
tech-focused ETF investors, now could be the time to take a closer
look at some of the following funds for outperformance this
year:
Emerging Market Tech ETFs
Leading the charge in this space are three funds, two of which
have a China focus. These include CQQQ,
QQQC and QGEM, which has a broad
emerging market tech allocation.
All three have added more than 7% to start 2013, easily leading
the way for the broad tech market to begin the year. However,
investors should note that all three aren’t exactly popular with
investors and have low assets and wide bid ask spreads.
This can increase the total stated cost of these funds, but
clearly this hasn’t been much of an issue so far this year (see Can
Anything Stop These Southeast Asia ETFs?).
Internet ETFs
In this corner, investors have two funds to choose from, the
First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index ETF (FDN) and
the PowerShares NASDAQ Internet Portfolio (PNQI).
Both of these ETFs have added over 7.5% to start 2013, while both
have added more than 22% in the trailing one year period as
well.
Clearly, the internet space is producing some new leaders for
the tech market, thanks in part to their more diversified holdings
profiles. Both of these have significant components in the consumer
cyclical space—thanks to firms like Amazon
(AMZN)—and their strong performances in the past year have
certainly acted as a catalyst for the internet ETF space.
Social/Internet IPO
A newer, but increasingly popular, segment of the technology
world is the social market. This is best represented by the
Global X Social Media Index ETF (SOCL), but the
ETRACS Next Generation Internet ETN (EIPO) which
has holdings in GRPN, LNKD and
P, as well.
These two have also seen solid performances to start 2013 with
both adding more than 7%. However, once again volume and assets are
rather low for both so bid ask spreads—along with relatively high
expense ratios—could increase total costs for investors (read
Social Media ETFs: Time to Buy?).
Special Mention- Solid State Drives
While the space isn’t exactly famous to many investors, the
solid state drive market has led the way for the tech world to
start 2013. This corner of the market, which represents firms that
are engaged in the production or development of this new age
storage process, is best played by SSDD.
This ETN from ETRACS has added more than 12% to start 2013, but
it is heavily concentrated as it holds just 11 securities in total.
Additionally, volume is extremely low so bid ask spreads may be
wide, though its solid performance and the bright outlook for the
space helps to make up for this to some extent.
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APPLE INC (AAPL): Free Stock Analysis Report
GUGG-CHINA TEC (CQQQ): ETF Research Reports
E-TRC NGI (EIPO): ETF Research Reports
FT-DJ INTRNT IX (FDN): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-DJ TECH (IYW): ETF Research Reports
PWRSH-ND INTRNT (PNQI): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X NDQ CHIN (QQQC): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X SOCL MDA (SOCL): ETF Research Reports
E-TRC ISE SSD (SSDD): ETF Research Reports
VIPERS-INFO TEC (VGT): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-TECH SELS (XLK): ETF Research Reports
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