Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading
retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, today reported
results for the third quarter ended November 2, 2024.
- Achieved EPS expectations with third quarter 2024 GAAP EPS of
$0.70 and Adjusted EPS of $0.71.
- Achieved year-to-date 2024 net sales growth of 4.9 percent
versus prior year.
- Reiterated EPS guidance for full year Fiscal 2024.
- Expanded store rebannering test to 25 additional stores in the
first half of Fiscal 2025.
“Our Back-to-School results were strong, with comparable store
sales growth across our banners and robust margins. Our flexible
digital-first marketing campaign and great brand assortment drove
demand during this peak shopping period and profitability in line
with expectations for the third quarter. I am very proud of our
team for delivering the Company’s profit results despite two
significant hurricanes disrupting third quarter sales and a very
warm October that delayed the start of our winter boot season,”
said Mark Worden, President and Chief Executive Officer.
“During the quarter, we also accelerated testing of our store
rebanner growth strategy with the addition of seven stores,
bringing the total number of rebannered stores from Shoe Carnival
to Shoe Station to ten this year. Early results exceeded our sales
and profit success criteria, encouraging the team to expand the
rebanner test to an additional 25 stores during the first half of
2025 as part of our long-term vision to be the nation’s leading
family footwear retailer,” concluded Mr. Worden.
Third Quarter Operating Results
Net sales in third quarter 2024 were $306.9 million as compared
to $319.9 million in third quarter 2023, reflecting the impact of
the retail calendar shift that resulted in approximately $20
million of net sales moving out of third quarter 2024 compared to
prior year. Without the impact of the retail calendar shift, net
sales increased by 2.2 percent versus prior year. On a year-to-date
basis, which now includes the material impacts of the retail
calendar shift that increased second quarter net sales and
decreased third quarter net sales, net sales totaled $939.9
million, increasing 4.9 percent versus prior year.
Net sales in the quarter were led by a strong Back-to-School
performance, comparable store net sales growth in August, and net
sales from the February 2024 acquisition of Rogan Shoes,
Incorporated (“Rogan’s”). Comparable store net sales in September
and October were significantly impacted by two hurricanes that
disrupted many of the Company’s store operations and customer
shopping trends, along with persistently warm weather that delayed
the winter boot shopping season. Comparable store net sales for the
thirteen-week period ended November 2, 2024 declined 4.1 percent
compared to the thirteen-week period ended November 4, 2023.
Gross profit margin in third quarter 2024 was 36.0 percent,
marking the 15th consecutive quarter the Company’s gross profit
margin exceeded 35 percent. Gross profit margin was lower in the
quarter by 80 basis points compared to prior year primarily due to
buying, distribution and occupancy costs (“BD&O”) from
operating more stores and the deleveraging effect of lower net
sales in the quarter, as impacted by the retail calendar shift.
Year-to-date 2024 gross profit margin was flat versus prior
year.
As a percent of net sales, SG&A expenses in the quarter were
28.0 percent compared to 28.1 percent in prior year, reflecting 10
basis points of leverage, on the lower, shifted sales base. The
decrease in SG&A expenses was due primarily to lower selling
costs at Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banner stores, which in the
quarter more than offset the costs of operating the recently
acquired Rogan’s stores. During third quarter 2024, the Company
captured synergies within Rogan’s and is ahead of schedule on
integrating the acquired operations.
Third quarter 2024 operating income totaled $24.5 million, as
compared to $27.9 million in third quarter 2023, as impacted by the
lower net sales from the calendar shift, partially offset by growth
from the Rogan’s acquisition and related synergies and lower
SG&A.
Third quarter 2024 net income was in line with the Company’s
expectation at $19.2 million, or $0.70 per diluted share (“EPS”),
compared to third quarter 2023 net income of $21.9 million, or
$0.80 per diluted share. In year-to-date 2024, net income and EPS
have increased 2.2 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively, versus
the prior year.
Third quarter 2024 GAAP results included $0.3 million in
expenses related to the Rogan’s acquisition, of which $0.2 million
were included in cost of sales and $0.1 million were included in
SG&A. On an adjusted basis, excluding these expenses, third
quarter Adjusted EPS was $0.71 and in line with the Company’s
expectation. Year-to-date 2024 Adjusted EPS totaled $2.19, an
increase of 3.8% versus prior year.
Rogan’s Acquisition
The Company continues to expect the Rogan’s acquisition to
deliver net sales of over $80 million in Fiscal 2024, with $22.3
million of net sales in third quarter 2024 and $63.9 million
year-to-date in 2024. The Company has completed the integration of
store operations, marketing, ecommerce platforms, point-of-sale
systems, merchandising, and back office. As a result of this
accelerated integration, synergy capture has also accelerated into
Fiscal 2024 ahead of expectations. The Company continues to expect
total synergies of approximately $2.5 million, with approximately
half of the synergies now expected to be achieved in the second
half of Fiscal 2024 in both BD&O and SG&A with a
significant portion of that captured in third quarter 2024.
Store Count and Rebanner Growth Strategy
As of November 21, 2024, the Company operated 431 stores, with
361 Shoe Carnival stores, 42 Shoe Station stores and the 28 Rogan’s
locations. One new Shoe Station store opened in third quarter 2024
in Tennessee, expanding this banner into a new market.
The Company advanced its store rebanner growth strategy during
the quarter, with seven Shoe Carnival stores being rebannered to
Shoe Station stores. Ten stores have now been rebannered. Through
third quarter 2024, rebannered stores have outperformed
expectations. Stores with more than one fiscal month of operating
history have experienced both a net sales increase and store-level
profitability increase of over 10 percent. Based on the successful
results of the strategy to date, the Company plans to rebanner 25
additional Shoe Carnival stores to Shoe Station stores in the first
half of Fiscal 2025.
Share Repurchase Program
As of November 21, 2024, the Company had $50 million available
for future repurchases under its share repurchase program. During
third quarter 2024, the Company did not repurchase any shares.
Capital Management and Cash Flow
The 2023 fiscal year end marked the 19th consecutive year the
Company ended a year with no debt, and through third quarter 2024,
the Company continued funding its operations and growth investments
from operating cash flow and without debt.
At the end of third quarter 2024, the Company had approximately
$91.1 million of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities,
an increase of $20.0 million compared to prior year. Operating cash
flow year-to-date 2024 totaled $58.1 million.
Fiscal 2024 Outlook
Based on year-to-date results, including third quarter
profitability in line with the Company’s expectation and net sales
lower than the Company’s expectation, the Company is providing
guidance ranges as follows:
Net Sales: Updated range to $1.20 billion to $1.23
billion, representing growth of 2 percent to 4.5 percent versus
Fiscal 2023. (Prior guidance range $1.23 billion to $1.25
billion)
Gross Profit Margin: Expected to be approximately even
with Fiscal 2023. (No change)
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
(“SG&A”): As a percent of net sales, SG&A is expected
to be approximately 30 basis points higher than Fiscal 2023.
(Previous guidance approximately 40 basis points higher than Fiscal
2023)
Income Tax Rate: Expected to be approximately 25.6
percent to 26 percent in Fiscal 2024. (Prior guidance approximately
26 percent)
GAAP EPS: Expected to be in a range of $2.55 to $2.70.
(No change)
Non-GAAP EPS (“Adjusted EPS”): Expected to be in a range
of $2.60 to $2.75. (No change)
The Company notes that its Fiscal 2024 is a 52-week year and
compares to a 53-week year in Fiscal 2023 and, combined with the
impact of the retail calendar shift versus prior year, results in
the loss of approximately $20 million in net sales in fourth
quarter 2024 compared to fourth quarter 2023 with an estimated
negative impact of approximately $0.10 on EPS.
Conference Call
Today, at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time, the Company will host a
conference call to discuss its third quarter results. Participants
can listen to the live webcast of the call by visiting Shoe
Carnival's Investors webpage at www.shoecarnival.com. While the
question-and-answer session will be available to all listeners,
questions from the audience will be limited to institutional
analysts and investors. A replay of the webcast will be available
on the Company’s website beginning approximately two hours after
the conclusion of the conference call and will be archived for one
year.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The non-GAAP adjusted results for third quarter 2024 and in the
Fiscal 2024 outlook discussed herein exclude purchase accounting
impacts associated with the Company’s acquisition of Rogan’s. These
impacts include the amortization expense included in cost of sales
associated with the fair value adjustment to acquisition inventory
and expenses included in SG&A related to deal formation and
legal and accounting advice and purchase accounting and integration
expenses. These adjusted results are provided to enhance the user's
overall understanding of the Company's historical operations and
financial performance and future projections. Specifically, the
Company believes the adjusted results provide investors with
relevant comparisons of the Company’s core operations. Unaudited
adjusted results are provided in addition to, and not as
alternatives for, the Company’s reported results and guidance
determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting
principles. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the
Company's GAAP results and guidance appears below in the tables
entitled "Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures"
and entitled “Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
for Fiscal 2024 Outlook” with respect to adjusted EPS in the Fiscal
2024 outlook.
About Shoe Carnival
Shoe Carnival, Inc. is one of the nation’s largest family
footwear retailers, offering a broad assortment of dress, casual
and athletic footwear for men, women and children with emphasis on
national name brands. As of November 21, 2024, the Company operates
431 stores in 36 states and Puerto Rico under its Shoe Carnival and
Shoe Station banners and offers shopping at www.shoecarnival.com
and www.shoestation.com. Headquartered in Evansville, IN, Shoe
Carnival, Inc. trades on The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC under the
symbol SCVL. Press releases and annual reports are available on the
Company's website at www.shoecarnival.com.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking
Information
As used herein, “we”, “our” and “us” refer to Shoe Carnival,
Inc. This press release contains forward-looking statements, within
the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995, that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, such as
statements about our future growth, operations, cash flows and
shareholder returns, as well as our growth strategy and profit
transformation.
A number of factors could cause our actual results, performance,
achievements or industry results to be materially different from
any future results, performance or achievements expressed or
implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include,
but are not limited to: our ability to control costs and meet our
labor needs in a rising wage, inflationary, and/or supply chain
constrained environment; the impact of competition and pricing,
including our ability to maintain current promotional intensity
levels; the effects and duration of economic downturns and
unemployment rates; our ability to achieve expected operating
results from, and planned growth of, our Shoe Station banner, which
includes the recently acquired stores and operations of Rogan’s,
within expected time frames, or at all; the potential impact of
national and international security concerns, including those
caused by war and terrorism, on the retail environment; general
economic conditions in the areas of the continental United States
and Puerto Rico where our stores are located; changes in the
overall retail environment and more specifically in the apparel and
footwear retail sectors; our ability to successfully utilize the
e-commerce sales channel and its impact on traffic and transactions
in our physical stores; the success of the open-air shopping
centers where many of our stores are located and the impact on our
ability to attract customers to our stores; our ability to attract
customers to our e-commerce platform and to successfully grow our
omnichannel sales; the effectiveness of our inventory management,
including our ability to manage key merchandise vendor
relationships and direct-to-consumer initiatives; changes in our
relationships with other key suppliers; changes in the political
and economic environments in, the status of trade relations with,
and the impact of changes in trade policies and tariffs impacting,
China and other countries which are the major manufacturers of
footwear; our ability to successfully manage and execute our
marketing initiatives and maintain positive brand perception and
recognition; our ability to successfully manage our current real
estate portfolio and leasing obligations; changes in weather,
including patterns impacted by climate change; changes in consumer
buying trends and our ability to identify and respond to emerging
fashion trends; the impact of disruptions in our distribution or
information technology operations including at our distribution
center located in Evansville, IN; the impact of natural disasters,
public health and political crises, civil unrest, and other
catastrophic events on our operations and the operations of our
suppliers, as well as on consumer confidence and purchasing in
general; the duration and spread of a public health crisis and the
mitigating efforts deployed, including the effects of government
stimulus on consumer spending; risks associated with the
seasonality of the retail industry; the impact of unauthorized
disclosure or misuse of personal and confidential information about
our customers, vendors and employees, including as a result of a
cybersecurity breach; our ability to effectively integrate Rogan’s,
retain Rogan’s employees, and achieve the expected operating
results, synergies, efficiencies and other benefits from the
Rogan’s acquisition within the expected time frames, or at all;
risks that the Rogan’s acquisition may disrupt our current plans
and operations or negatively impact our relationship with our
vendors and other suppliers; our ability to successfully execute
our business strategy, including the availability of desirable
store locations at acceptable lease terms, our ability to identify,
consummate or effectively integrate future acquisitions, our
ability to implement and adapt to new technology and systems, our
ability to open new stores in a timely and profitable manner,
including our entry into major new markets, and the availability of
sufficient funds to implement our business plans; higher than
anticipated costs associated with the closing of underperforming
stores; the inability of manufacturers to deliver products in a
timely manner; an increase in the cost, or a disruption in the
flow, of imported goods; the impact of regulatory changes in the
United States, including minimum wage laws and regulations, and the
countries where our manufacturers are located; the resolution of
litigation or regulatory proceedings in which we are or may become
involved; continued volatility and disruption in the capital and
credit markets; future stock repurchases under our stock repurchase
program and future dividend payments; and other factors described
in the Company’s SEC filings, including the Company’s latest Annual
Report on Form 10-K. In addition, these forward-looking statements
necessarily depend upon assumptions, estimates and dates that may
be incorrect or imprecise and involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors. Accordingly, any forward-looking
statements included in this press release do not purport to be
predictions of future events or circumstances and may not be
realized. Forward-looking statements can be identified by, among
other things, the use of forward-looking terms such as “believes,”
“expects,” “aims,” “on track,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,”
“pro forma,” “anticipates,” “intends” or the negative of any of
these terms, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of
strategy or intentions. Given these uncertainties, we caution
investors not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. We disclaim any
obligation to update any of these factors or to publicly announce
any revisions to the forward-looking statements contained in this
press release to reflect future events or developments.
Financial Tables Follow
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF INCOME
(In thousands, except per share
data)
(Unaudited)
Thirteen
Thirteen
Thirty-nine
Thirty-nine
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
November 2, 2024
October 28, 2023
November 2, 2024
October 28, 2023
Net sales
$
306,885
$
319,914
$
939,946
$
895,713
Cost of sales (including buying,
distribution and occupancy costs)
196,503
202,213
602,821
574,030
Gross profit
110,382
117,701
337,125
321,683
Selling, general and administrative
expenses
85,853
89,766
260,010
248,147
Operating income
24,529
27,935
77,115
73,536
Interest income
(1,148
)
(833
)
(2,623
)
(1,744
)
Interest expense
139
71
412
208
Income before income taxes
25,538
28,697
79,326
75,072
Income tax expense
6,296
6,836
20,225
17,244
Net income
$
19,242
$
21,861
$
59,101
$
57,828
Net income per share:
Basic
$
0.71
$
0.80
$
2.18
$
2.12
Diluted
$
0.70
$
0.80
$
2.15
$
2.11
Weighted average shares:
Basic
27,161
27,258
27,154
27,272
Diluted
27,565
27,400
27,488
27,433
Cash dividends declared per share
$
0.135
$
0.120
$
0.405
$
0.320
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE
SHEETS
(In thousands)
(Unaudited)
November 2,
February 3,
October 28,
2024
2024
2023
ASSETS
Current Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
77,235
$
99,000
$
59,895
Marketable securities
13,866
12,247
11,226
Accounts receivable
8,678
2,593
3,105
Merchandise inventories
406,599
346,442
368,344
Other
20,662
21,056
19,469
Total Current Assets
527,040
481,338
462,039
Property and equipment – net
174,171
168,613
164,982
Operating lease right-of-use assets
351,023
333,851
337,833
Intangible assets
40,979
32,600
32,600
Goodwill
18,018
12,023
12,023
Other noncurrent assets
13,198
13,600
13,995
Total Assets
$
1,124,429
$
1,042,025
$
1,023,472
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS'
EQUITY
Current Liabilities:
Accounts payable
$
57,283
$
58,274
$
42,944
Accrued and other liabilities
20,050
16,620
21,394
Current portion of operating lease
liabilities
58,432
52,981
57,091
Total Current Liabilities
135,765
127,875
121,429
Long-term portion of operating lease
liabilities
317,679
301,355
305,322
Deferred income taxes
17,639
17,341
16,647
Deferred compensation
13,449
11,639
9,770
Other
4,239
426
398
Total Liabilities
488,771
458,636
453,566
Total Shareholders’ Equity
635,658
583,389
569,906
Total Liabilities and Shareholders’
Equity
$
1,124,429
$
1,042,025
$
1,023,472
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(In thousands)
(Unaudited)
Thirty-nine
Thirty-nine
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
November 2, 2024
October 28, 2023
Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income
$
59,101
$
57,828
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net
cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
22,762
21,193
Stock-based compensation
5,204
3,548
(Gain) Loss on retirement and impairment
of assets, net
(415
)
79
Deferred income taxes
(676
)
4,803
Non-cash operating lease expense
41,790
41,853
Other
1,270
305
Changes in operating assets and
liabilities:
Accounts receivable
(3,720
)
(53
)
Merchandise inventories
(18,563
)
22,046
Operating leases
(40,139
)
(41,888
)
Accounts payable and accrued
liabilities
(8,714
)
(33,473
)
Other
188
(6,891
)
Net cash provided by operating
activities
58,088
69,350
Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Purchases of property and equipment
(24,778
)
(43,601
)
Investments in marketable securities
(502
)
(71
)
Sales of marketable securities and
other
1,406
0
Acquisition, net of cash acquired
(44,384
)
0
Net cash used in investing activities
(68,258
)
(43,672
)
Cash Flow From Financing Activities
Proceeds from issuance of stock
132
145
Dividends paid
(11,039
)
(8,928
)
Purchase of common stock for treasury
0
(5,445
)
Shares surrendered by employees to pay
taxes on stock-based compensation awards
(688
)
(2,927
)
Net cash used in financing activities
(11,595
)
(17,155
)
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash
equivalents
(21,765
)
8,523
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of
period
99,000
51,372
Cash and cash equivalents at end of
period
$
77,235
$
59,895
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP TO
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
(In thousands, except per share
data)
(Unaudited)
Thirteen Weeks Ended November 2,
2024
% of Net Sales
Thirteen Weeks Ended October 28,
2023
% of Net Sales
Reported gross profit
$
110,382
36.0
%
$
117,701
36.8
%
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
248
0.1
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted gross profit, pre-tax
$
110,630
36.1
%
$
117,701
36.8
%
Reported selling, general and
administrative expenses
$
85,853
28.0
%
$
89,766
28.1
%
Acquisition related fees and expenses
(121
)
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted selling, general and
administrative expenses, pre-tax
$
85,732
28.0
%
$
89,766
28.1
%
Reported operating income
$
24,529
8.0
%
$
27,935
8.7
%
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
248
0.1
%
0
0.0
%
Acquisition related fees and expenses
121
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted operating income, pre-tax
$
24,898
8.1
%
$
27,935
8.7
%
Reported income tax expense
$
6,296
2.0
%
$
6,836
2.1
%
Tax effect of amortization of acquisition
inventory fair value adjustment and acquisition related fees and
expenses
90
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted income tax expense
$
6,386
2.0
%
$
6,836
2.1
%
Reported net income
$
19,242
6.3
%
$
21,861
6.8
%
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
248
0.1
%
0
0.0
%
Acquisition related fees and expenses
121
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Tax effect of acquisition related fees and
expenses
(90
)
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted net income
$
19,521
6.4
%
$
21,861
6.8
%
Reported net income per diluted share
$
0.70
$
0.80
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
0.01
0.00
Acquisition related fees and expenses
0.00
0.00
Tax effect of acquisition related fees and
expenses
0.00
0.00
Adjusted diluted net income per share
$
0.71
$
0.80
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP TO
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
(In thousands, except per share
data)
(Unaudited)
Thirty-nine Weeks Ended November
2, 2024
% of Net Sales
Thirty-nine Weeks Ended October
28, 2023
% of Net Sales
Reported gross profit
$
337,125
35.9
%
$
321,683
35.9
%
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
745
0.1
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted gross profit, pre-tax
$
337,870
36.0
%
$
321,683
35.9
%
Reported selling, general and
administrative expenses
$
260,010
27.7
%
$
248,147
27.7
%
Acquisition related fees and expenses
(539
)
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted selling, general and
administrative expenses, pre-tax
$
259,471
27.7
%
$
248,147
27.7
%
Reported operating income
$
77,115
8.2
%
$
73,536
8.2
%
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
745
0.1
%
0
0.0
%
Acquisition related fees and expenses
539
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted operating income, pre-tax
$
78,399
8.3
%
$
73,536
8.2
%
Reported income tax expense
$
20,225
2.1
%
$
17,244
1.9
%
Tax effect of amortization of acquisition
inventory fair value adjustment and acquisition related fees and
expenses
312
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted income tax expense
$
20,537
2.1
%
$
17,244
1.9
%
Reported net income
$
59,101
6.3
%
$
57,828
6.5
%
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
745
0.1
%
0
0.0
%
Acquisition related fees and expenses
539
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Tax effect of acquisition related fees and
expenses
(312
)
0.0
%
0
0.0
%
Adjusted net income
$
60,073
6.4
%
$
57,828
6.5
%
Reported net income per diluted share
$
2.15
$
2.11
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory
0.03
0.00
Acquisition related fees and expenses
0.02
0.00
Tax effect of acquisition related fees and
expenses
(0.01
)
0.00
Adjusted diluted net income per share
$
2.19
$
2.11
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP TO
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
FOR FISCAL 2024
OUTLOOK
(Unaudited)
Low End of Fiscal 2024
Outlook
High End of Fiscal 2024
Outlook
Net income per diluted share (GAAP)
$
2.55
$
2.70
Amortization expense related to fair value
adjustment to acquisition inventory and acquisition related fees
and expenses
0.07
0.07
Tax effect of amortization of acquisition
inventory fair value adjustment and acquisition related fees and
expenses
(0.02
)
(0.02
)
Adjusted diluted net income per share
$
2.60
$
2.75
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241121755614/en/
Steve R. Alexander Shoe Carnival Vice President Investor
Relations (812) 867-4034
Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL)
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