UPDATE: Applied Materials Backs 3Q Outlook, Cuts Chip Equipment View
July 12 2011 - 2:32PM
Dow Jones News
Applied Materials Inc.'s (AMAT) chief executive again lowered
projections on the amount chip manufacturers are expected to spend
on equipment this year, adding to concerns about weak demand for
computers and other devices.
The comments from Applied Materials Chief Executive Mike
Splinter are the latest indications of cautiousness in the
semiconductor industry, which has seen weakness of late. Consumer
spending on PCs has remained soft, some large handset makers have
been struggling and macroeconomic worries have hurt demand.
Splinter, at the Semicon West Conference in San Francisco, said
the company--which makes tools used to produce semiconductors,
television screens and solar panels--remains confident about its
third-quarter guidance despite uncertainty about the short-term
economic outlook.
In May, Applied Materials projected cautious fiscal
third-quarter results and lowered 2011 expectations for spending on
equipment to make chips.
Tuesday, Splinter again lowered expectations for such spending,
this time to $30 billion to $33 billion, down from prior estimates
for $31 billion to $34 billion. He noted that spending for dynamic
random access memory, typically used in PCs, and by foundries,
which manufacture chips for other companies, has been soft in the
short term.
"But fundamental drivers remain strong," he said. "We continue
to believe major semi companies are going to continue aiming at the
goals of spending they set earlier in the year."
Applied Materials shares, down 11% year-to-date, recently slid
3.2% to $12.56.
Fellow semiconductor equipment maker Novellus Systems Inc.
(NVLS) also projected weak third-quarter results Monday and warned
customers are feeling more cautious.
The comments from Applied Materials and Novellus, as well as a
dismal forecast late Monday from chip maker Microchip Technology
Inc. (MCHP), are raising investor concerns about the industry's
second half. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 3.2% in
recent trading.
A clearer outlook for the industry's second half should emerge
when larger companies--such as Intel Corp. (INTC), Texas
Instruments Inc. (TXN) and Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM)--post results in
the coming weeks.
Applied executives noted much of the weakness is coming from
foundries responding to soft consumer demand.
"What foundries are seeing more and more, and what we're seeing
overall, is a very tight linkage to consumer demand," Chief
Financial Officer George Davis said. "All of us are disappointed
with demand for PCs this year, and tablets probably will be 20
million units short of what people thought was possible for the
year."
Despite near-term softness, Davis noted Applied has an
"underlying tone of optimism for the markets."
And Splinter--who said tablets likely will total about 50
million units this year while PC shipments should grow less than
10%--added that factory utilization, or the percentage of a factory
being used, is trending down to the 80% level, "substantially lower
than we thought." Companies are leery to add capacity and buy new
equipment unless their factories are more full.
But Splinter said Applied has been working closely with the
foundries to respond quickly to demand fluctuations.
"Business is a bit soft at this point, but they want to be ready
to move quickly and put capacity in if it comes through from demand
in a very, very short period of time," Splinter said. "I don't
think talk about big pushouts to 2012 is there at this point."
Meanwhile, Splinter said Applied Materials has received approval
for its purchase of Varian Semiconductor Equipment Association Inc.
(VSEA) from half of the countries required, with approval still
needed from the U.S., China and South Korea.
Applied Materials in April agreed to buy Varian for $4.9 billion
in cash, betting that the demand for popular gadgets such as
smartphones and energy-efficient technology will drive growth at a
combined company.
"As we've gotten together planning integration work with Varian,
we're even more impressed," Splinter said. "We think it's an even
better deal than when we made it."
He said Applied Materials received a second request for
information from the U.S. Department of Justice and expects to
receive all approvals "sometime later in the year" to complete the
acquisition.
-By Shara Tibken, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2189;
shara.tibken@dowjones.com
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