UPDATE: UPS Swings To 4Q Profit On Smaller Charge, Positive Margins
February 03 2009 - 12:57PM
Dow Jones News
United Parcel Service Inc.'s (UPS) fourth-quarter profit slumped
below expectations amid a decline in freight volumes, as the
shipping company said it was freezing management salaries and
suspending its 401(k) matching contributions to cut costs.
"Conditions continue to worsen," Chief Executive Scott Davis
told analysts on a post-earnings conference call, adding that
"nobody is escaping pain this financial crisis."
UPS, the top package-delivery company, said fourth-quarter
volume dropped 3.7%, and it forecast first-quarter volume down 3%
to 5%. The company declined to forecast full-year volume but said
the figure likely will be down from 2008.
"Barring a substantial recovery in the second half of the year,
we will be challenged to show volume growth," Chief Financial
Officer Kurt Kuehn said in an interview.
Still, UPS shares climbed 4.9%, or $2.08, to $44.50. The shares
have slipped about 15% since Dec. 1, with some analysts noting
Tuesday that fourth-quarter volumes, while down, were above
expectations.
As a diversified transportation company that moves everything
from documents to building materials, UPS, along with FedEx Corp.
(FDX), is considered a barometer for the state of the U.S. economy.
Combined, the two companies move an average of 22 million packages
a day.
UPS swung to a fourth-quarter net income of $254 million, or 25
cents a share, from a year-earlier loss of $2.64 billion, or $2.52
a share. The latest results included a $575 million write-down
related to the UPS Freight business, while last year's included a
$6.1 billion pension-related charge. Excluding items, earnings fell
to 83 cents from $1.07 a share a year earlier.
Revenue decreased 5.2% to $12.7 billion.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected earnings of 85
cents a share on revenue of $13.2 billion.
The company said it has engaged in a number of moves to reduce
costs, consolidating its operating districts, reducing air segments
and eliminating some package-handling operations. It also said 2009
capital expenditures will total about $2.2 billion, $400 million
below 2008 levels and the lowest this decade.
Still, UPS hasn't laid off employees amid the current downturn,
with CFO Kuehn saying Tuesday that the company so far has been able
to manage by keeping vacancies open and by reducing work hours.
He also said the company will be on the lookout for acquisitions
amid the downturn.
"We think there will be opportunities for UPS to buy assets
and/or companies" at bargain prices, Kuehn said.
But UPS made clear that it doesn't see a quick end to the
ongoing economic pain, forecasting first-quarter earnings of 52
cents to 68 cents and declining to issue a full-year projection
because of ongoing uncertainty. Wall Street currently expects UPS
to earn 65 cents a share in the first quarter.
Revenue from the company's U.S. package unit declined 3.9% in
the fourth quarter and average volume slid 3.2%, although the unit
swung to an operating profit of $932 million. U.S. next-day air
volume fell 10%.
In the international packages division, fourth-quarter revenue
fell 8% as average daily volume was up 4.8%, though profits fell
6.9%.
The company noted that total export volume increased 1.6% in the
quarter, better than the industry average but below the
third-quarter growth rate of about 7%.
"We did see substantial slowing from the third quarter to the
fourth quarter" internationally, Kuehn said.
He said growth remains relatively strong in China at a low
double-digit rate, although he said the trend has been offset by
some weakness elsewhere in Asia.
In December, UPS's investment ratings were cut by several firms.
J.P. Morgan said UPS had relatively outperformed other transporters
since the beginning of November, but it no longer expects that
outperformance to continue.
-By Bob Sechler, Dow Jones Newswires; 512-394-0285;
bob.sechler@dowjones.com
(Kerry E. Grace contributed to this report)
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