Item 2. |
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
|
The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes included in “Part I, Item 1. Consolidated Financial
Statements” of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
This section discusses our results of operations for the current quarter ended March 31, 2023 compared to the immediately preceding prior quarter ended December 31, 2022.
General
We are a public residential real estate finance company focused on acquiring, investing in and managing residential mortgage assets in the United States. We were incorporated in Maryland on
October 31, 2012, and we commenced operations on or about October 9, 2013 following the completion of our initial public offering and a concurrent private placement. Our common stock, our 8.20% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (our
“Series A Preferred Stock”) and our 8.250% Series B Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (our “Series B Preferred Stock”) are listed and traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbols “CHMI”, “CHMI-PRA” and
“CHMI-PRB”, respectively. We are externally managed by our Manager, Cherry Hill Mortgage Management, LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser.
Our principal objective is to generate attractive current yields and risk-adjusted total returns for our stockholders over the long term, primarily through dividend distributions and secondarily
through capital appreciation. We attempt to attain this objective by selectively constructing and actively managing a portfolio of Servicing Related Assets (as defined below) and residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”) and, subject to
market conditions, other cash flowing residential mortgage assets.
We are subject to the risks involved with real estate and real estate-related debt instruments. These include, among others, the risks normally associated with changes in the general economic
climate, changes in the mortgage market, changes in tax laws, interest rate levels, and the availability of financing.
We elected to be taxed as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes commencing with our short taxable year ended December 31, 2013. We operate so as to continue to qualify to be taxed as a
REIT. Our asset acquisition strategy focuses on acquiring a diversified portfolio of residential mortgage assets that balances the risk and reward opportunities our Manager observes in the marketplace. Aurora has or is in the process of obtaining
the licenses necessary to invest in mortgage servicing rights (“MSRs”) on a nationwide basis and is an approved seller/servicer for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In addition to Servicing Related Assets, we invest in RMBS, primarily those backed by 30-, 20- and 15-year fixed rate mortgages that offer what we believe to be favorable prepayment and duration
characteristics. Our RMBS consist primarily of Agency RMBS on which the payments of principal and interest are guaranteed by an Agency. In the past, we have invested in collateralized mortgage obligations guaranteed by an Agency (“Agency CMOs”)
consisting of interest only securities (“IOs”) as well as non-Agency RMBS and may do so in the future subject to market conditions and availability of capital. We finance our RMBS with an amount of leverage, that varies from time to time
depending on the particular characteristics of our portfolio, the availability of financing and market conditions. We do not have a targeted leverage ratio for our RMBS. Our borrowings for RMBS consist of short-term borrowings under master
repurchase agreements.
Subject to maintaining our qualification as a REIT, we utilize derivative financial instruments (or hedging instruments) to hedge our exposure to potential interest rate mismatches between the
interest we earn on our assets and our borrowing costs caused by fluctuations in short-term interest rates. In utilizing leverage and interest rate hedges, our objectives include, where desirable, locking in, on a long-term basis, a spread
between the yield on our assets and the cost of our financing in an effort to improve returns to our stockholders.
We also seek to operate our business in a manner that does not require us to register as an investment company under the Investment Company Act.
Effective January 1, 2020, the Operating Partnership, owned 98.0% by the Company as of March 31, 2023, contributed substantially all of
its assets to Sub-REIT in exchange for all of the common stock of the Sub-REIT. As a result of this contribution, the Sub-REIT is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Operating Partnership and operations formerly conducted by the Operating
Partnership through its subsidiaries are now conducted by the Sub-REIT through those same subsidiaries. The Sub-REIT has elected to be taxed as a REIT under the Code commencing with its taxable year ended December 31, 2020.
From time to time, we may issue and sell shares of our common stock or preferred stock, including additional shares of our Class A Preferred Stock or Class B Preferred Stock. See “Item 1.
Consolidated Financial Statements—Note 6. Equity and Earnings per Common Share—Common and Preferred Stock.”
The Company has an at-the-market offering program for its common stock (the “Common Stock ATM Program” and, together with the Preferred Series A ATM Program, as defined below, the
“ATM Programs”) pursuant to which it may offer through one or more sales agents and sell from time to time up to $50.0 million of its common stock. In November 2022, the Company entered into amendments to the existing At Market Issuance Sales
Agreements, increasing the aggregate offering price to up to an aggregate of $100.0 million of its common stock at prices prevailing at the time, subject to volume and other regulatory limitations. As of March 31, 2023, approximately $23.4 million was remaining under the Common Stock ATM Program. During the three-month period ended March 31, 2023, the Company issued and sold 2,140,000 shares of common stock
under the Common Stock ATM Program. The shares were sold at a weighted average price of $6.03 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $12,905,000 million
before fees of approximately $258,000. During the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company issued and sold 5,212,841 shares of common stock under the Common Stock ATM Program. The shares were sold at a
weighted average price of $6.50 per share for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $33.9 million before fees of approximately $677,000.
The Company also has an at-the-market offering program for its Series A Preferred Stock (the “Preferred Series A ATM Program”) pursuant to which it may offer through one or more sales agents and
sell from time to time up to $35.0 million of its Series A Preferred Stock at prices prevailing at the time, subject to volume and other regulatory limitations. During the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 and the year ended December 31,
2022, the Company did not issue and sell any shares of Series A Preferred Stock pursuant to the Preferred Series A ATM Program.
In September 2019, the Company initiated a share repurchase program that allows for the repurchase of up to an aggregate of $10.0 million of its common stock. Shares may be repurchased from time
to time through privately negotiated transactions or open market transactions, pursuant to a trading plan in accordance with Rules 10b5-1 and 10b-18 under the Exchange Act or by any combination of such methods. The manner, price, number and
timing of share repurchases are subject to a variety of factors, including market conditions and applicable SEC rules. The share repurchase program does not require the purchase of any minimum number of shares, and, subject to SEC rules,
purchases may be commenced or suspended at any time without prior notice. During the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 and the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company did not repurchase any common stock pursuant to the repurchase program.
Effects of Federal Reserve Policy on the Company
Since March of 2022, the Federal Reserve has raised the federal funds rate 475 basis points to a range of between 4.75% and 5.0% and has signaled that further rate increases are possible over the
course of the year in response to the elevated level of inflation in the United States. In March 2023, the consumer price index rose 5.0% on a year-over-year basis. Although inflation has eased somewhat over the past few months, it is still
unclear how much the Federal Reserve will further increase interest rates to bring inflation down to its 2% percent target.
In March 2022, the Federal Reserve also ended its monthly asset purchases, including its purchases of agency debt and mortgage-backed securities, and has been reducing its holdings of both U.S.
Treasury securities and Agency debt and mortgage-backed securities by $60.0 billion and $35.0 billion, respectively, per month. With these actions, the Federal Reserve has reversed its policy stance from the highly accommodative polices it
adopted in 2020 in response to the macro-economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The ending of the Federal Reserve’s highly accommodative polices and initiation of a series of increases in the federal funds rate and reductions in the size of its balance sheet (referred to as
“quantitative tightening”) have resulted in higher interest rates across asset classes, including for Agency RMBS. These actions also may reduce economic activity in the United States, as well as decrease spreads on interest rates, reducing our
net interest income. They may also negatively impact our results as we have certain assets and liabilities that are sensitive to changes in interest rates. In addition, lower net interest income resulting from higher rates is expected to be
partially offset by lower prepayments which extends the length of cash flows from the MSRs and slows the premium amortization on the RMBS portfolio. Any benefit we expect to receive from lower prepayments on the mortgages underlying our MSRS and
RMBS could be offset by increased volatility in the market and increased hedging costs attributable to such volatility.
We cannot predict or control the impact future actions by the Federal Reserve will have on the overall economy or on our business. Accordingly, future actions by the Federal Reserve could have a
material and adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations and our ability to pay distributions to our stockholders.
Factors Impacting our Operating Results
Our income is generated primarily by the net spread between the income we earn on our assets and the cost of our financing and hedging activities as well as the amortization of any purchase
premiums or the accretion of discounts. Our net income includes the actual interest payments we receive on our RMBS, the net servicing fees we receive on our MSRs and the accretion/amortization of any purchase discounts/premiums. Changes in
various factors such as market interest rates, prepayment speeds, estimated future cash flows, servicing costs and credit quality could affect the amount of premium to be amortized or discount to be accreted into interest income for a given
period. Prepayment speeds vary according to the type of investment, conditions in the financial markets, competition and other factors, none of which can be predicted with any certainty. Our operating results may also be affected by credit losses
in excess of initial anticipations or unanticipated credit events experienced by borrowers whose mortgage loans underlie the MSRs held by Aurora or the non-Agency RMBS held in our portfolio.
Set forth below is the positive net spread between the yield on RMBS and our costs of funding those assets at the end of each of the quarters indicated below:
Average Net Yield Spread at Period End
Quarter Ended
|
|
Average
Asset Yield
|
|
|
Average
Cost of Funds(A)
|
|
|
Average Net
Interest Rate Spread
|
|
March 31, 2023
|
|
|
4.40
|
%
|
|
|
0.73
|
%
|
|
|
3.68
|
%
|
December 31, 2022
|
|
|
4.29
|
%
|
|
|
0.69
|
%
|
|
|
3.60
|
%
|
September 30, 2022
|
|
|
3.90
|
%
|
|
|
0.77
|
%
|
|
|
3.13
|
%
|
June 30, 2022
|
|
|
3.56
|
%
|
|
|
0.32
|
%
|
|
|
3.25
|
%
|
(A) Average Cost of Funds also includes the benefits of related swaps.
Changes in the Market Value of Our Assets
We hold our Servicing Related Assets as long-term investments. Our MSRs are carried at their fair value with changes in their fair value recorded in other income (loss) in our consolidated
statements of income (loss). Those values may be affected by events or headlines that are outside of our control, such as events impacting the U.S. or global economy generally or the U.S. residential market specifically, and events or headlines
impacting the parties with which we do business. See “Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors – Risks Related to Our Business” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022.
All of our investments in RMBS are reported at their fair value. At the time of purchase, ASC 320, Investments – Debt and Equity Securities requires us to designate a security as held-to-maturity, available-for-sale or trading, depending on our ability to hold such security to maturity. Alternatively, we
may elect the fair value option of accounting for securities pursuant to ASC 825, Financial Instruments. Prior to January 1, 2023, we designated all our investments in RMBS as available-for-sale. On
January 1, 2023, we began electing the fair value option of accounting for all RMBS acquired after such date. Unrealized gains and losses on RMBS classified as available-for-sale are reported in accumulated other comprehensive income, whereas
unrealized gains and losses on RMBS for which we elected the fair value option are reported in the consolidated statements of income (loss).
We evaluate the cost basis of our available-for-sale RMBS on a quarterly basis under ASC 326-30, Financial Instruments-Credit Losses: Available-for-Sale Debt
Securities. When the fair value of a security is less than its amortized cost basis as of the balance sheet date, the security’s cost basis is considered impaired. If we determine that we intend to sell the security or it is more likely
than not that we will be required to sell before recovery, we recognize the difference between the fair value and amortized cost as a loss in the consolidated statements of income (loss). If we determine we do not intend to sell the security or
it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery, we must evaluate the decline in the fair value of the impaired security and determine whether such decline resulted from a credit loss or non-credit related
factors. In our assessment of whether a credit loss exists, we perform a qualitative assessment around whether a credit loss exists and if necessary, we compare the present value of estimated future cash flows of the impaired security with the
amortized cost basis of such security. The estimated future cash flows reflect those that a “market participant” would use and typically include assumptions related to fluctuations in interest rates, prepayment speeds, default rates, collateral
performance, and the timing and amount of projected credit losses, as well as incorporating observations of current market developments and events. Cash flows are discounted at an interest rate equal to the current yield used to accrete interest
income. If the present value of estimated future cash flows is less than the amortized cost basis of the security, an expected credit loss exists and is included in provision (reversal) for credit losses on securities in the consolidated
statements of income (loss). If it is determined as of the financial reporting date that all or a portion of a security’s cost basis is not collectible, then we will recognize a realized loss to the extent of the adjustment to the security’s cost
basis. This adjustment to the amortized cost basis of the security is reflected in realized loss on RMBS, net in the consolidated statements of income (loss).
Impact of Changes in Market Interest Rates on Our Assets
The value of our assets may be affected by prepayment speeds on mortgage loans. Prepayment speed is the measurement of how quickly borrowers pay down the unpaid principal balance (“UPB”) of their
loans or how quickly loans are otherwise liquidated or charged off. Generally, in a declining interest rate environment, prepayment speeds tend to increase. Conversely, in an increasing interest rate environment, prepayment speeds tend to
decrease. When we acquire Servicing Related Assets or RMBS, we anticipate that the underlying mortgage loans will prepay at a projected rate generating an expected cash flow (in the case of Servicing Related Assets) and yield. If we purchase
assets at a premium to par value and borrowers prepay their mortgage loans faster than expected, the corresponding prepayments on our assets may reduce the expected yield on such assets because we will have to amortize the related premium on an
accelerated basis. In addition, we will have to reinvest the greater amounts of prepayments in that lower rate environment, thereby affecting future yields on our assets. If we purchase assets at a discount to par value, and borrowers prepay
their mortgage loans slower than expected, the decrease in corresponding prepayments may reduce the expected yield on assets because we will not be able to accrete the related discount as quickly as originally anticipated.
If prepayment speeds are significantly greater than expected, the fair value of the Servicing Related Assets could be less than their fair value as previously reported on our consolidated balance
sheets. Such a reduction in the fair value of the Servicing Related Assets would have a negative impact on our book value. Furthermore, a significant increase in prepayment speeds could materially reduce the ultimate cash flows we receive from
the Servicing Related Assets, and we could receive substantially less than what we paid for such assets. Our balance sheet, results of operations and cash flows are susceptible to significant volatility due to changes in the fair value of, or
cash flows from, the Servicing Related Assets as interest rates change.
A slower than anticipated rate of prepayment due to an increase in market interest rates also will cause the life of the related RMBS to extend beyond that which was projected. As a result, we
would have an asset with a lower yield than current investments for a longer period of time. In addition, if we have hedged our interest rate risk, extension may cause the security to be outstanding longer than the related hedge, thereby reducing
the protection intended to be provided by the hedge.
Voluntary and involuntary prepayment rates may be affected by a number of factors including, but not limited to, the availability of mortgage credit, the relative economic vitality of, or natural
disasters affecting, the area in which the related properties are located, the servicing of the mortgage loans, possible changes in tax laws, other opportunities for investment, homeowner mobility and other economic, social, geographic,
demographic and legal factors, none of which can be predicted with any certainty.
We attempt to reduce the exposure of our MSRs to voluntary prepayments through the structuring of recapture agreements with Aurora’s subservicers. Under these agreements, the subservicer attempts
to refinance specified mortgage loans. The subservicer sells the new mortgage loan to the applicable Agency, transfers the related MSR to Aurora and then subservices the new mortgage loan on behalf of Aurora. See “Part I, Item 1. Notes to
Consolidated Financial Statements—Note 7. Transactions with Related Parties” for information regarding Aurora’s recapture agreements.
With respect to our business operations, increases in interest rates, in general, may over time cause:
|
• |
the interest expense associated with our borrowings to increase;
|
|
• |
the value of our assets to fluctuate;
|
|
• |
the coupons on any adjustable-rate and hybrid RMBS we may own to reset, although on a delayed basis, to higher interest rates;
|
|
• |
prepayments on our RMBS to slow, thereby slowing the amortization of our purchase premiums and the accretion of our purchase discounts; and
|
|
• |
an increase in the value of any interest rate swap agreements we may enter into as part of our hedging strategy.
|
Conversely, decreases in interest rates, in general, may over time cause:
|
• |
prepayments on our RMBS to increase, thereby accelerating the amortization of our purchase premiums and the accretion of our purchase discounts;
|
|
• |
the interest expense associated with our borrowings to decrease;
|
|
• |
the value of our assets to fluctuate;
|
|
• |
a decrease in the value of any interest rate swap agreements we may enter into as part of our hedging strategy; and
|
|
• |
coupons on any adjustable-rate and hybrid RMBS assets we may own to reset, although on a delayed basis, to lower interest rates.
|
Effects of Spreads on our Assets
The spread between the yield on our assets and our funding costs affects the performance of our business. Wider spreads imply the potential for greater income on new asset purchases but may have
a negative impact on our stated book value. Wider spreads may also negatively impact asset prices. In an environment where spreads are widening, counterparties may require additional collateral to secure borrowings which may require us to reduce
leverage by selling assets. Conversely, tighter spreads imply the potential for lower income on new asset purchases but may have a positive impact on stated book value of our existing assets. In this case, we may be able to reduce the amount of
collateral required to secure borrowings.
Credit Risk
We are subject to varying degrees of credit risk in connection with our assets. Although we expect relatively low credit risk with respect to our portfolios of Agency RMBS, we may become subject
to the credit risk of borrowers under the loans backing any CMOs that we may own and to the credit enhancements built into the CMO structure. We also are subject to the credit risk of the borrowers under the mortgage loans underlying the MSRs
that Aurora owns. Through loan level due diligence, we attempt to mitigate this risk by seeking to acquire high quality assets at appropriate prices given anticipated and unanticipated losses. We also conduct ongoing monitoring of acquired MSRs.
Nevertheless, unanticipated credit losses could occur which could adversely impact our operating results.
Critical Accounting Policies and Use of Estimates
Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with US GAAP, which requires the use of estimates that involve the exercise of judgment and the use of assumptions as to future uncertainties.
Our most critical accounting policies involve decisions and assessments that could affect our reported amounts of assets and liabilities, as well as our reported amounts of revenues and expenses. We believe that the decisions and assessments upon
which our financial statements are based were reasonable at the time made and based upon information available to us at that time. Our critical accounting policies and accounting estimates may change over time as we diversify our portfolio. The
material accounting policies and estimates that we expect to be most critical to an investor’s understanding of our financial results and condition and require complex management judgment are discussed below. For additional information on our
material accounting policies and estimates, see “Item 1. Consolidated Financial Statements – Note 2. Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies”.
Investments in MSRs
We have elected the fair value option to record our investments in MSRs in order to provide users of our consolidated financial statements with better information regarding the effects of
prepayment risk and other market factors on the MSRs. Under this election, we record a valuation adjustment on our investments in MSRs on a quarterly basis to recognize the changes in fair value of our MSRs in net income as described below.
Although transactions in MSRs are observable in the marketplace, the valuation includes unobservable market data inputs (prepayment speeds, delinquency levels, costs to service and discount rates). The change in fair value of MSRs is recorded
within “Unrealized gain (loss) on investments in Servicing Related Assets” on the consolidated statements of income (loss). Fair value is generally determined by discounting the expected future cash flows using discount rates that incorporate the
market risks and liquidity premium specific to the MSRs and, therefore, may differ from their effective yields. In determining the valuation of MSRs, management uses internally developed pricing models that are based on certain unobservable
market-based inputs. The Company classifies these valuations as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy. For additional information on our fair value methodology, see “Item 1. Consolidated Financial Statements – Note 9. Fair Value”.
Revenue Recognition on Investments in MSRs
Mortgage servicing fee income represents revenue earned from the ownership of MSRs. The servicing fees are based on a contractual percentage of the outstanding principal balance and are
recognized as revenue as the related mortgage payments are collected. Corresponding costs to service are charged to expense as incurred. Servicing fee income received and servicing expenses incurred are reported on the consolidated statements of
income (loss).
Income Taxes
We elected to be taxed as a REIT under the Code commencing with our short taxable year ended December 31, 2013. We expect to continue to qualify to be treated as a REIT. U.S. federal income tax
law generally requires that a REIT distribute annually at least 90% of its REIT taxable income, without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net capital gains, and that it pay tax at regular corporate income tax rates to the
extent that it annually distributes less than 100% of its taxable income. Our taxable REIT subsidiary, Solutions, and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Aurora, are subject to U.S. federal income taxes on their taxable income.
We account for income taxes in accordance with ASC 740, Income Taxes. ASC 740 requires the recording of deferred income taxes that reflect the net tax
effect of temporary differences between the carrying amounts of our assets and liabilities for financial reporting purposes and the amounts used for income tax purposes, including operating loss carry forwards. Deferred tax assets and liabilities
are measured using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the years in which those temporary differences are expected to be recovered or settled. The effect of a change in tax rates on deferred tax assets and liabilities is
recognized in earnings in the period that includes the enactment date. For information on our assessment of the realizability of deferred tax assets, see “Item 1. Consolidated Financial Statements – Note 15. Income Taxes”. We assess our tax
positions for all open tax years and determine if we have any material unrecognized liabilities in accordance with ASC 740. We record these liabilities to the extent we deem them more-likely-than-not to be incurred. We record interest and
penalties related to income taxes within the provision for income taxes in the consolidated statements of income (loss). We have not incurred any interest or penalties.
Investments in Securities
Prior to fiscal year 2023, we designated all our investments in RMBS as available-for-sale pursuant to ASC 320, Investments – Debt and Equity Securities.
Although we may hold most of our securities until maturity, we may, from time to time, sell any of our securities as part of our overall management of our asset portfolio. All assets classified as available-for-sale are reported at fair value,
with unrealized gains and losses excluded from earnings and reported as a separate component of stockholders’ equity. On January 1, 2023, we began electing the fair value option of accounting pursuant to ASC 825, Financial Instruments, for all RMBS acquired after such date. Unrealized gains and losses on RMBS for which we elected the fair value option are reported in the consolidated statements of income (loss). Fair value of our
investments in RMBS is determined based upon prices obtained from third-party pricing providers. Changes in underlying assumptions used in estimating fair value impact the carrying value of the investments in RMBS as well as their yield. For
additional information on our assessment of credit-related impairment and our fair value methodology, see “Item 1. Consolidated Financial Statements – Note 4. Investments in RMBS and Note 9. Fair Value”.
Revenue Recognition on Securities
Interest income from coupon payments is accrued based on the outstanding principal amount of the RMBS and their contractual terms. Premiums and discounts associated with the purchase of the RMBS
are amortized or accreted into interest income over the projected lives of the securities using the effective interest method. Our policy for estimating prepayment speeds for calculating the effective yield is to evaluate historical performance,
consensus prepayment speeds, and current market conditions. Adjustments are made for actual prepayment activity. For information on how interest rates effect net interest income, see “Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market
Risk – Interest Rate Effect on Net Interest Income”.
Repurchase Transactions
We finance the acquisition of our RMBS for our portfolio through repurchase transactions under master repurchase agreements. Repurchase transactions are treated as collateralized financing
transactions and are carried at their contractual amounts as specified in the respective transactions. Accrued interest payable is included in “Accrued expenses and other liabilities” on the consolidated balance sheets. Securities financed
through repurchase transactions remain on our consolidated balance sheet as an asset and cash received from the purchaser is recorded on our consolidated balance sheet as a liability. Interest paid in accordance with repurchase transactions is
recorded in interest expense on the consolidated statements of income (loss).
Results of Operations
Presented below is a comparison of the Company’s results of operations for the periods indicated (dollars in thousands):
Results of Operations
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
|
March 31,
2023
|
|
|
December 31,
2022
|
|
Income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest income
|
|
$
|
11,795
|
|
|
$
|
9,906
|
|
Interest expense
|
|
|
11,955
|
|
|
|
8,539
|
|
Net interest (expense)
|
|
|
(160
|
)
|
|
|
1,367
|
|
Servicing fee income
|
|
|
13,874
|
|
|
|
13,700
|
|
Servicing costs
|
|
|
2,765
|
|
|
|
3,304
|
|
Net servicing income
|
|
|
11,109
|
|
|
|
10,396
|
|
Other income (loss)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized loss on RMBS, net
|
|
|
(981
|
)
|
|
|
(30,701
|
)
|
Realized gain (loss) on derivatives, net
|
|
|
(5,600
|
)
|
|
|
8,521
|
|
Unrealized loss on RMBS, measured at fair value through earnings, net
|
|
|
(192
|
)
|
|
|
-
|
|
Unrealized loss on derivatives, net
|
|
|
(12,246
|
)
|
|
|
(13,526
|
)
|
Unrealized loss on investments in Servicing Related Assets
|
|
|
(8,668
|
)
|
|
|
(7,198
|
)
|
Total Loss
|
|
|
(16,738
|
)
|
|
|
(31,141
|
)
|
Expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
General and administrative expense
|
|
|
1,523
|
|
|
|
1,587
|
|
Management fee to affiliate
|
|
|
1,680
|
|
|
|
1,597
|
|
Total Expenses
|
|
|
3,203
|
|
|
|
3,184
|
|
Loss Before Income Taxes
|
|
|
(19,941
|
)
|
|
|
(34,325
|
)
|
Benefit from corporate business taxes
|
|
|
(619
|
)
|
|
|
(1,572
|
)
|
Net Loss
|
|
|
(19,322
|
)
|
|
|
(32,753
|
)
|
Net loss allocated to noncontrolling interests in Operating Partnership
|
|
|
377
|
|
|
|
702
|
|
Dividends on preferred stock
|
|
|
2,463
|
|
|
|
2,463
|
|
Net Loss Applicable to Common Stockholders
|
|
$
|
(21,408
|
)
|
|
$
|
(34,514
|
)
|
Presented below is summary financial data on our segments together with the data for the Company as a whole, for the periods indicated (dollars in thousands):
Segment Summary Data
|
|
Servicing
Related Assets
|
|
|
RMBS
|
|
|
All Other
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Income Statement
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest income
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
11,795
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
11,795
|
|
Interest expense
|
|
|
873
|
|
|
|
11,082
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
11,955
|
|
Net interest income (expense)
|
|
|
(873
|
)
|
|
|
713
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(160
|
)
|
Servicing fee income
|
|
|
13,874
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
13,874
|
|
Servicing costs
|
|
|
2,765
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
2,765
|
|
Net servicing income
|
|
|
11,109
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
11,109
|
|
Other expense
|
|
|
(4,934
|
)
|
|
|
(22,753
|
)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(27,687
|
)
|
Other operating expenses
|
|
|
(563
|
) |
|
|
(165
|
)
|
|
|
(2,475
|
) |
|
|
(3,203
|
) |
Benefit from corporate business taxes
|
|
|
619
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
619
|
|
Net Income (Loss)
|
|
$
|
5,358
|
|
|
$
|
(22,205
|
)
|
|
$
|
(2,475
|
)
|
|
$
|
(19,322
|
)
|
Three Months Ended December 31, 2022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest income
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
9,906
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
9,906
|
|
Interest expense
|
|
|
818
|
|
|
|
7,721
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
8,539
|
|
Net interest income (expense)
|
|
|
(818
|
)
|
|
|
2,185
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
1,367
|
|
Servicing fee income
|
|
|
13,700
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
13,700
|
|
Servicing costs
|
|
|
3,304
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
3,304
|
|
Net servicing income
|
|
|
10,396
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
10,396
|
|
Other expense
|
|
|
(5,672
|
)
|
|
|
(37,232
|
)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(42,904
|
)
|
Other operating expenses
|
|
|
(530
|
) |
|
|
(150
|
) |
|
|
(2,504
|
) |
|
|
(3,184
|
)
|
Benefit from corporate business taxes
|
|
|
1,572
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
1,572
|
|
Net Income (Loss)
|
|
$
|
4,948
|
|
|
$
|
(35,197
|
)
|
|
$
|
(2,504
|
)
|
|
$
|
(32,753
|
)
|
|
|
Servicing
Related Assets
|
|
|
RMBS |
|
|
All Other
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Balance Sheet
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
March 31, 2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investments
|
|
$
|
270,941
|
|
|
$
|
1,077,899
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
1,348,840
|
|
Other assets
|
|
|
33,598
|
|
|
|
41,392
|
|
|
|
55,063
|
|
|
|
130,053
|
|
Total assets
|
|
|
304,539
|
|
|
|
1,119,291
|
|
|
|
55,063
|
|
|
|
1,478,893
|
|
Debt
|
|
|
177,928
|
|
|
|
991,618
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
1,169,546
|
|
Other liabilities
|
|
|
8,702
|
|
|
|
24,440
|
|
|
|
12,060
|
|
|
|
45,202
|
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
186,630
|
|
|
|
1,016,058
|
|
|
|
12,060
|
|
|
|
1,214,748
|
|
Net Assets
|
|
$
|
117,909
|
|
|
$
|
103,233
|
|
|
$
|
43,003
|
|
|
$
|
264,145
|
|
December 31, 2022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investments
|
|
$
|
279,739
|
|
|
$
|
931,431
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
1,211,170
|
|
Other assets
|
|
|
32,849
|
|
|
|
106,885
|
|
|
|
57,921
|
|
|
|
197,655
|
|
Total assets
|
|
|
312,588
|
|
|
|
1,038,316
|
|
|
|
57,921
|
|
|
|
1,408,825
|
|
Debt
|
|
|
183,888
|
|
|
|
825,962
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
1,009,850
|
|
Other liabilities
|
|
|
29,047
|
|
|
|
92,875
|
|
|
|
11,537
|
|
|
|
133,459
|
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
212,935
|
|
|
|
918,837
|
|
|
|
11,537
|
|
|
|
1,143,309
|
|
Net Assets
|
|
$
|
99,653
|
|
|
$
|
119,479
|
|
|
$
|
46,384
|
|
|
$
|
265,516
|
|
Interest Income
Interest income for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was $11.8 million as compared to $9.9 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The increase of $1.9 million in interest income was primarily due to the ATM proceeds being used to purchase new securities, as
well as replacing lower yielding securities with higher yielding securities in the existing portfolio.
Interest Expense
Interest expense for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was $12.0 million as compared to $8.5 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The increase of $3.5 million in interest expense was due to a rise in interest rates as well as an increase in repurchase liabilities.
Servicing Fee Income
Servicing fee income for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was $13.9 million as compared to $13.7 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The change in servicing fee income was nominal.
Servicing Costs
Servicing costs for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 were $2.8 million as compared to $3.3 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The decrease of $540,000 in servicing costs was due to timing of interest payments on escrowed loans as well as the size of the MSR portfolio.
Realized Loss on RMBS, Net
Realized loss on RMBS for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was approximately $981,000 as compared to $30.7 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The decrease of $29.7 million in realized loss on RMBS was due to fewer sales of RMBS securities during
the three-month period ended March 31, 2023.
Realized Loss on Derivatives, Net
Realized loss on derivatives for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was approximately $5.6 million as compared to a gain of $8.5
million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The increase of $14.1 million in realized loss on derivatives was substantially comprised of an increase of $17.8 million in losses on interest rate swaps and an increase of $6.1 million in losses on U.S. Treasury futures, offset by an increase of $7.5 million in gains on TBAs and an increase of $2.3 million in interest rate swaps periodic interest income due to changes in interest rates.
Unrealized Loss on Derivatives
Unrealized loss on derivatives for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was approximately $12.2 million as compared to $13.5 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The decrease of $1.3 million in unrealized loss on derivatives was primarily due to changes in interest rates
and the composition of our derivatives relative to the prior period.
Unrealized Loss on Investments in Servicing Related Assets
Unrealized loss on our investments in Servicing Related Assets for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was approximately $8.7 million as compared to $7.2 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The increase of $1.5 million in unrealized loss on our investments in Servicing Related Assets was primarily due
to changes in valuation inputs or assumptions and paydown of underlying loans.
General and Administrative Expense
General and administrative expense for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 was $1.5 million as compared to $1.6 million for the three-month period ended December 31, 2022. The change in general and administrative expense was nominal.
Net Income Allocated to Noncontrolling Interests in Operating Partnership
Net income allocated to noncontrolling interests in the Operating Partnership, which are LTIP-OP Units owned by directors and officers of the Company and by certain other
individuals who provide services to us through the Manager, represented approximately 2.0% and 2.1% of net income for the three-month periods ended March 31,
2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively. The decrease was due to the issuance of additional shares of common stock during the three-month period ended March 31, 2023.
For the periods indicated below, our accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) changed as a result of the indicated gains and losses (dollars in thousands):
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)
|
|
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2023
|
|
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, December 31, 2022
|
|
$
|
(29,104
|
)
|
Other comprehensive income
|
|
|
14,639
|
|
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, March 31, 2023
|
|
$
|
(14,465
|
)
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
December 31, 2022
|
|
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, September 30, 2022
|
|
$
|
(70,759
|
)
|
Other comprehensive income
|
|
|
41,655
|
|
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, December 31, 2022
|
|
$
|
(29,104
|
)
|
Our GAAP equity changes as the values of our RMBS are marked to market each quarter, among other factors. The primary causes of mark to market changes are changes in interest rates and nominal
spreads. During the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 a decline in interest rates caused a net unrealized gain on our available-for-sale RMBS, which is recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations section contains analysis and discussion of non-GAAP financial measures, including:
|
• |
earnings available for distribution; and
|
|
• |
earnings available for distribution per average common share.
|
Earnings available for distribution (“EAD”) is a non-GAAP financial measure that we define as GAAP net income (loss), excluding realized gain (loss) on RMBS, unrealized gain (loss) on RMBS measured
at fair value through earnings, realized and unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives, realized gain (loss) on acquired assets, realized and unrealized gain (loss) on investments in MSRs (net of any estimated MSR amortization) and any tax expense
(benefit) on realized and unrealized gain (loss) on MSRs. MSR amortization refers to the portion of the change in fair value of the MSR that is primarily due to the realization of cashflows, runoff resulting from prepayments and an adjustment
for any gain or loss on the capital used to purchase the MSR. EAD also includes interest rate swap periodic interest income (expense) and drop income on TBA dollar roll transactions, which are included in “Realized loss on derivatives, net” on
the consolidated statements of income (loss). EAD is adjusted to exclude outstanding LTIP-OP Units in our Operating Partnership and dividends paid on our preferred stock.
EAD is provided for purposes of potential comparability to other issuers that invest in residential mortgage-related assets. We believe providing investors with EAD, in addition to related GAAP
financial measures, may provide investors some insight into our ongoing operational performance. However, the concept of EAD does have significant limitations, including the exclusion of realized and unrealized gains (losses), and given the
apparent lack of a consistent methodology among issuers for defining EAD, it may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other issuers, which define EAD differently from us and each other. As a result, EAD should not be considered a
substitute for our GAAP net income (loss) or as a measure of our liquidity. While EAD is one indicia of the Company’s earnings capacity, it is not the only factor considered in setting a dividend and is
not the same as REIT taxable income which is calculated in accordance with the rules of the IRS.
Earnings Available for Distribution
EAD for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as compared to the three month period ended December 31, 2022 decreased by approximately $43,000, or $0.03 per average common share. The decrease in EAD was primarily driven by higher overall interest expense on repurchase agreements relating to current and newly-purchased RMBS as
well as a decrease in drop income on TBA dollar rolls. The decrease in EAD per average common share was primarily due to the issuance of additional shares of common stock during the three-month period ended March 31, 2023.
The following table reconciles the GAAP measure of net income (loss) to EAD and related per average common share amounts, for the periods indicated (dollars in thousands):
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
|
March 31,2023
|
|
|
December 31, 2022
|
|
Net Loss
|
|
$
|
(19,322
|
)
|
|
$
|
(32,753
|
)
|
Realized loss on RMBS, net
|
|
|
981
|
|
|
|
30,701
|
|
Realized loss (gain) on derivatives, net (A)
|
|
|
14,021
|
|
|
|
(2,180
|
)
|
Unrealized loss on RMBS, measured at fair value through earnings, net
|
|
|
192
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Unrealized loss on derivatives, net
|
|
|
12,246
|
|
|
|
13,526
|
|
Unrealized gain on investments in MSRs, net of estimated MSR amortization
|
|
|
(739
|
)
|
|
|
(1,206
|
)
|
Tax (benefit) expense on realized and unrealized (loss) gain on MSRs
|
|
|
459
|
|
|
|
(217
|
)
|
Total EAD:
|
|
$
|
7,838
|
|
|
$
|
7,871
|
|
EAD attributable to noncontrolling interests in Operating Partnership
|
|
|
(153
|
)
|
|
|
(143
|
)
|
Dividends on preferred stock
|
|
|
2,463
|
|
|
|
2,463
|
|
EAD Attributable to Common Stockholders
|
|
$
|
5,222
|
|
|
$
|
5,265
|
|
EAD Attributable to Common Stockholders, per Diluted Share
|
|
$
|
0.21
|
|
|
$
|
0.24
|
|
GAAP Net Income (Loss) Per Share of Common Stock, per Diluted Share
|
|
$
|
(0.87
|
)
|
|
$
|
0.24
|
|
(A) |
Excludes drop income on TBA dollar rolls of $538,000 and $749,000 and interest rate swap periodic interest income of $7.9 million and $5.6 million, for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and
December 31, 2022, respectively.
|
Our Portfolio
MSRs
Aurora’s portfolio of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MSRs have an aggregate UPB of approximately $21.3 billion as of March 31, 2023.
The following tables set forth certain characteristics of the mortgage loans underlying those MSRs as of the dates indicated (dollars in thousands):
MSR Collateral Characteristics
As of March 31, 2023
|
|
|
|
|
Collateral Characteristics
|
|
|
|
Current Carrying Amount
|
|
|
Current Principal Balance
|
|
|
WA Coupon(A)
|
|
|
WA Servicing Fee(A)
|
|
|
WA Maturity (months)(A)
|
|
|
WA Loan Age (months)(A)
|
|
|
ARMs %(B)
|
|
MSRs
|
|
$
|
270,941
|
|
|
$
|
21,273,274
|
|
|
|
3.49
|
%
|
|
|
0.25
|
%
|
|
|
307
|
|
|
|
34
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
%
|
MSR Total/Weighted Average
|
|
$
|
270,941
|
|
|
$
|
21,273,274
|
|
|
|
3.49
|
%
|
|
|
0.25
|
%
|
|
|
307
|
|
|
|
34
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
%
|
As of December 31, 2022
|
|
|
|
|
Collateral Characteristics
|
|
|
|
Current Carrying Amount
|
|
|
Current Principal Balance
|
|
|
WA Coupon(A)
|
|
|
WA Servicing Fee(A)
|
|
|
WA Maturity (months)(A)
|
|
|
WA Loan Age (months)(A)
|
|
|
ARMs %(B)
|
|
MSRs
|
|
$
|
279,739
|
|
|
$
|
21,688,353
|
|
|
|
3.49
|
%
|
|
|
0.25
|
%
|
|
|
310
|
|
|
|
31
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
%
|
MSR Total/Weighted Average
|
|
$
|
279,739
|
|
|
$
|
21,688,353
|
|
|
|
3.49
|
%
|
|
|
0.25
|
%
|
|
|
310
|
|
|
|
31
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
%
|
(A) |
Weighted average coupon, servicing fee, maturity and loan age of the underlying residential mortgage loans in the pool are based on the unpaid principal balance.
|
(B) |
ARMs % represents the percentage of the total principal balance of the pool that corresponds to ARMs and hybrid ARMs.
|
RMBS
The following tables summarize the characteristics of our RMBS portfolio and certain characteristics of the collateral underlying our RMBS as of the dates indicated (dollars in thousands):
RMBS Characteristics
As of March 31, 2023
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross Unrealized
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted Average
|
|
Asset Type
|
|
Original
Face
Value
|
|
|
Book
Value
|
|
|
Gains
|
|
|
Losses
|
|
|
Carrying Value(A)
|
|
|
Number of Securities
|
|
Rating
|
|
Coupon
|
|
|
Yield(C)
|
|
|
Maturity (Years)
|
|
RMBS, available-for-sale, measured at fair value through OCI
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae
|
|
$
|
508,440
|
|
|
$
|
463,657
|
|
|
$
|
4,000
|
|
|
$
|
(9,463
|
)
|
|
$
|
458,194
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
(B)
|
|
|
4.31
|
%
|
|
|
4.39
|
%
|
|
|
29
|
|
Freddie Mac
|
|
|
500,873
|
|
|
|
456,773
|
|
|
|
2,453
|
|
|
|
(11,337
|
)
|
|
|
447,889
|
|
|
|
38
|
|
(B)
|
|
|
4.18
|
%
|
|
|
4.24
|
%
|
|
|
29
|
|
RMBS, measured at fair value through earnings
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae
|
|
|
62,104
|
|
|
|
60,590
|
|
|
|
486
|
|
|
|
(485
|
)
|
|
|
60,591
|
|
|
|
6
|
|
(B)
|
|
|
4.72
|
%
|
|
|
4.78
|
%
|
|
|
28
|
|
Freddie Mac
|
|
|
113,497
|
|
|
|
111,417
|
|
|
|
432
|
|
|
|
(624
|
)
|
|
|
111,225
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
(B)
|
|
|
4.97
|
%
|
|
|
4.97
|
%
|
|
|
29
|
|
Total/weighted average RMBS
|
|
$
|
1,184,914
|
|
|
$
|
1,092,437
|
|
|
$
|
7,371
|
|
|
$
|
(21,909
|
)
|
|
$
|
1,077,899
|
|
|
|
94
|
|
|
|
|
4.35
|
%
|
|
|
4.40
|
%
|
|
|
29
|
|
As of December 31, 2022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross Unrealized
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted Average
|
|
Asset Type
|
|
Original
Face
Value
|
|
|
Book
Value
|
|
|
Gains
|
|
|
Losses
|
|
|
Carrying Value(A)
|
|
|
Number of Securities
|
|
Rating
|
|
Coupon
|
|
|
Yield(C)
|
|
|
Maturity (Years)
|
|
RMBS, available-for-sale, measured at fair value through OCI
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae
|
|
$
|
550,740
|
|
|
$
|
497,038
|
|
|
$
|
2,843
|
|
|
$
|
(16,484
|
)
|
|
$
|
483,397
|
|
|
|
45
|
|
(B)
|
|
|
4.27
|
%
|
|
|
4.34
|
%
|
|
|
29
|
|
Freddie Mac
|
|
|
500,873
|
|
|
|
463,380
|
|
|
|
1,384
|
|
|
|
(16,730
|
)
|
|
|
448,034
|
|
|
|
38
|
|
(B)
|
|
|
4.18
|
%
|
|
|
4.24
|
%
|
|
|
29
|
|
Total/weighted average RMBS
|
|
$
|
1,051,613
|
|
|
$
|
960,418
|
|
|
$
|
4,227
|
|
|
$
|
(33,214
|
)
|
|
$
|
931,431
|
|
|
|
83
|
|
|
|
|
4.23
|
%
|
|
|
4.29
|
%
|
|
|
29
|
|
(A) |
See “Part I, Item 1. Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements—Note 9. Fair Value” regarding the estimation of fair value, which approximates carrying value for all securities.
|
(B) |
The Company used an implied AAA rating for the Agency RMBS.
|
(C) |
The weighted average yield is based on the most recent gross monthly interest income, which is then annualized and divided by the book value of settled securities.
|
The following table summarizes the net interest spread of our RMBS portfolio as of the dates indicated:
Net Interest Spread
|
|
March 31, 2023
|
|
|
December 31, 2022
|
|
Weighted Average Asset Yield
|
|
|
4.18
|
%
|
|
|
4.44
|
%
|
Weighted Average Interest Expense(A)
|
|
|
0.77
|
%
|
|
|
0.67
|
%
|
Net Interest Spread
|
|
|
3.41
|
%
|
|
|
3.77
|
%
|
(A) Weighted average interest expense includes the benefits of related swaps.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Liquidity is a measurement of our ability to meet potential cash requirements, including ongoing commitments to repay borrowings, fund and maintain investments and other general business needs.
Additionally, to maintain our status as a REIT under the Code, we must distribute annually at least 90% of our REIT taxable income. In 2017, the Internal Revenue Service issued a revenue procedure permitting “publicly offered” REITs to make
elective stock dividends (i.e., dividends paid in a mixture of stock and cash), with at least 20% of the total distribution being paid in cash, to satisfy their REIT distribution requirements. In December 2021, the Internal Revenue Service issued
a revenue procedure that temporarily reduces the minimum amount of the total distribution that must be paid in cash to 10% for distributions declared on or after November 1, 2021, and on or before June 30, 2022, provided certain other parameters
detailed in the Revenue Procedure are satisfied. Pursuant to these revenue procedures, the Company has in the past elected to make distributions of its taxable income in a mixture of stock and cash.
Our primary sources of funds for liquidity consist of cash provided by operating activities (primarily income from our investments in RMBS and net servicing income from our MSRs), sales or
repayments of RMBS and borrowings under repurchase agreements and our MSR financing arrangements. The COVID-19 pandemic has not adversely affected our ability to access these traditional sources of our funds on the same or reasonably similar
terms as available before the pandemic.
In the future, sources of funds for liquidity may include additional MSR financing, warehouse agreements, securitizations and the issuance of equity or debt securities, when feasible, including,
without limitation, the issuance of shares of our common stock pursuant to our Common Stock ATM program or any other ATM program we have in place. For more information regarding issuances of our securities pursuant to our ATM programs, including
our Common Stock ATM Program, please refer to “—General” above. In the past we have used, and we anticipate that in the future we will use a significant portion of the paydowns of the RMBS to purchase MSRs. We may also sell certain RMBS and
deploy the net proceeds from such sales to the extent necessary to fund the purchase price of MSRs.
Our primary uses of funds are the payment of interest, management fees, outstanding commitments, other operating expenses, investments in new or replacement assets, margin calls and the repayment
of borrowings, as well as dividends. Although we continue to maintain a higher level of unrestricted cash than prior to the pandemic, we expect to invest more of that unrestricted cash in our targeted assets if normalization of the economy
continues. We may also use capital resources to repurchase additional shares of common stock under our stock repurchase program when we believe such repurchases are appropriate and/or the stock is trading at a significant discount to net asset
value. We seek to maintain adequate cash reserves and other sources of available liquidity to meet any margin calls resulting from decreases in value related to a reasonably possible (in the opinion of management) change in interest rates.
As of the date of this filing, we believe we have sufficient liquid assets to satisfy all of our short-term recourse liabilities and to satisfy covenants in our financing documents. With respect
to the next twelve months, we expect that our cash on hand combined with the cash flow provided by our operations will be sufficient to satisfy our anticipated liquidity needs with respect to our current investment portfolio, including related
financings, potential margin calls and operating expenses. While it is inherently more difficult to forecast beyond the next twelve months, we currently expect to meet our long-term liquidity requirements through our cash on hand and, if needed,
additional borrowings, proceeds received from repurchase agreements and similar financings, proceeds from equity offerings and the liquidation or refinancing of our assets.
Our operating cash flow differs from our net income due primarily to: (i) accretion of discount or premium on our RMBS, (ii) unrealized gains or losses on our Servicing Related Assets, and (iii)
impairment on our securities, if any.
Repurchase Agreements
As of March 31, 2023, we had repurchase agreements with 34 counterparties and approximately $991.6 million of outstanding repurchase
agreement borrowings from 13 of those counterparties, which were used to finance RMBS. As of March 31, 2023, our exposure (defined as the amount of cash and securities pledged as collateral, less the
borrowing under the repurchase agreement) to any of the counterparties under the repurchase agreements did not exceed five percent of the Company’s equity. Under these agreements, which are uncommitted facilities, we sell a security to a
counterparty and concurrently agree to repurchase the same security at a later date at the same price that we initially sold the security plus the interest charged. The sale price represents financing proceeds and the difference between the
sale and repurchase prices represents interest on the financing. The price at which the security is sold generally represents the market value of the security less a discount or “haircut.” The weighted average haircut on our repurchase debt at
March 31, 2023 was approximately 4.1%. During the term of the repurchase transaction, which can be as short as a few days, the counterparty holds the security and posts margin as collateral. The
counterparty monitors and calculates what it estimates to be the value of the collateral during the term of the transaction. If this value declines by more than a de minimis threshold, the counterparty requires us to post additional collateral
(or “margin”) in order to maintain the initial haircut on the collateral. This margin is typically required to be posted in the form of cash and cash equivalents. Furthermore, we are, from time to time, a party to derivative agreements or
financing arrangements that may be subject to margin calls based on the value of such instruments.
Set forth below is the average aggregate balance of borrowings under the Company’s repurchase agreements for each of the periods shown and the aggregate balance as of the end of each such period
(dollars in thousands):
Repurchase Agreement Average and Maximum Amounts
Quarter Ended
|
|
Average Monthly
Amount
|
|
|
Maximum Month-End Amount
|
|
|
Quarter Ending
Amount
|
|
March 31, 2023
|
|
$
|
972,138
|
|
|
$
|
991,618
|
|
|
$
|
991,618
|
|
December 31, 2022
|
|
$
|
808,623
|
|
|
$
|
825,962
|
|
|
$
|
825,962
|
|
September 30, 2022
|
|
$
|
776,544
|
|
|
$
|
865,414
|
|
|
$
|
865,414
|
|
June 30, 2022
|
|
$
|
679,702
|
|
|
$
|
702,130
|
|
|
$
|
683,173
|
|
March 31, 2022
|
|
$
|
820,270
|
|
|
$
|
859,726
|
|
|
$
|
764,885
|
|
December 31, 2021
|
|
$
|
830,099
|
|
|
$
|
865,494
|
|
|
$
|
865,494
|
|
September 30, 2021
|
|
$
|
790,587
|
|
|
$
|
821,540
|
|
|
$
|
777,416
|
|
June 30, 2021
|
|
$
|
858,269
|
|
|
$
|
897,047
|
|
|
$
|
897,047
|
|
The increase in the Company’s borrowings under its repurchase agreements as of March 31, 2023 as compared December 31, 2022 was primarily due to the ATM proceeds being used to purchase new RMBS securities, a large
portion of which are financed through repurchase agreements.
These short-term borrowings were used to finance certain of our investments in RMBS. The RMBS repurchase agreements are guaranteed by the Company. The weighted average difference
between the market value of the assets and the face amount of available financing for the RMBS repurchase agreements, or the haircut, was 4.1% and 4.3% as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022,
respectively. The following tables provide additional information regarding borrowings under our repurchase agreements (dollars in thousands):
Repurchase Agreement Characteristics
As of March 31, 2023
|
|
RMBS MarketValue
|
|
|
Repurchase Agreements
|
|
|
Weighted Average
Rate
|
|
Less than one month
|
|
$
|
1,001,205
|
|
|
$
|
954,858
|
|
|
|
4.87
|
%
|
One to three months
|
|
|
38,175
|
|
|
|
36,760
|
|
|
|
4.92
|
%
|
Total/Weighted Average
|
|
$
|
1,039,380
|
|
|
$
|
991,618
|
|
|
|
4.87
|
%
|
As of December 31, 2022
|
|
RMBS MarketValue
|
|
|
Repurchase Agreements
|
|
|
Weighted Average
Rate
|
|
Less than one month
|
|
$
|
750,218
|
|
|
$
|
715,899
|
|
|
|
4.39
|
%
|
One to three months
|
|
|
114,418
|
|
|
|
110,063
|
|
|
|
4.53
|
%
|
Total/Weighted Average
|
|
$
|
864,636
|
|
|
$
|
825,962
|
|
|
|
4.41
|
%
|
The amount of collateral as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, including cash, was $1,047.9 million and $869.0 million, respectively.
The weighted average term to maturity of our borrowings under repurchase agreements as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022 was 16 days
and 18 days, respectively.
MSR Financing
As of March 31, 2023, the Company had two separate MSR financing facilities: (i) the Freddie Mac MSR Revolver, which is a revolving credit facility for up to $100.0 million that is secured by all
Freddie Mac MSRs owned by Aurora; and (ii) the Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility, which is a revolving credit facility for up to $150.0 million, that is secured by all Fannie Mae MSRs owned by Aurora. Both financing facilities are available for
MSRs as well as certain servicing related advances associated with MSRs.
Freddie Mac MSR Revolver. In July 2018, the Company, Aurora and QRS V (collectively with Aurora and the Company, the
“Borrowers”) entered into a $25.0 million revolving credit facility (the “Freddie Mac MSR Revolver”) pursuant to which Aurora pledged all of its existing and future MSRs on loans owned or securitized by Freddie Mac. The term of the Freddie Mac
MSR Revolver is 364 days with the Borrowers’ option for two renewals for similar terms followed by a one-year term out feature with a 24-month amortization schedule. The Freddie Mac MSR Revolver was upsized to $45.0 million in September 2018.
The Company also has the ability to request up to an additional $5.0 million of borrowings. On April 2, 2019, Aurora and QRS V entered into an amendment that increased the maximum amount of the Freddie Mac MSR Revolver to $100.0 million. In
June 2022, the Borrowers entered into an amendment to the Freddie Mac MSR Revolver that extended the revolving period for an additional 364 days with the option for one more renewal of 364 days. At the end of the revolving period, the
outstanding amount will be converted to a one-year term loan. Amounts borrowed bear interest at an adjustable rate equal to a spread above one-month LIBOR. At March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, approximately $66.5 million and $68.5 million, respectively, was outstanding under the Freddie Mac MSR Revolver.
Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility. In October 2021, Aurora and QRS III entered into a loan and security agreement (the
“Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility”), pursuant to which Aurora and QRS III pledged their respective rights in all existing and future MSRs for loans owned or securitized by Fannie Mae to secure borrowings outstanding from time to time. The
maximum credit amount outstanding at any one time under the Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility is $150.0 million. The revolving period is 24 months which may be extended by agreement with the lender. During the revolving period, borrowings bear
interest at a rate equal to a spread over one-month LIBOR subject to a floor. At the end of the revolving period, the outstanding amount will be converted to a three-year term loan that will bear interest at a rate calculated at a spread over
the rate for one-year interest rate swaps. The Company has guaranteed repayment of all indebtedness under the Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility. At March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, approximately $112.0 million and $116.0 million, respectively, was outstanding under the Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility.
Cash Flows
Operating and Investing Activities
Our operating activities provided cash of approximately $3.6 million and our investing activities used cash of approximately $157.3 million for the three-month period ended March 31, 2023.
Dividends
U.S. federal income tax law generally requires that a REIT distribute annually at least 90% of its REIT taxable income, without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net
capital gains, and that it pay tax at regular corporate rates to the extent that it annually distributes less than 100% of its taxable income. We intend to make regular quarterly distributions of all or substantially all of our REIT taxable
income to holders of our common and preferred stock out of assets legally available for this purpose, if and to the extent authorized by our board of directors. Before we pay any dividend, whether for U.S. federal income tax purposes or
otherwise, we must first meet both our operating requirements and debt service on our repurchase agreements and other debt payable. If our cash available for distribution is less than our REIT taxable income, we could be required to sell assets
or borrow funds to make cash distributions, or, with respect to our common stock, we may make a portion of the required distribution in the form of a taxable stock distribution or distribution of debt securities. We will make distributions only
upon the authorization of our board of directors. The amount, timing and frequency of distributions will be authorized by our board of directors based upon a variety of factors, including:
|
• |
actual results of operations;
|
|
• |
our level of retained cash flows;
|
|
• |
our ability to make additional investments in our target assets;
|
|
• |
restrictions under Maryland law;
|
|
• |
the terms of our preferred stock;
|
|
• |
any debt service requirements;
|
|
• |
the annual distribution requirements under the REIT provisions of the Code; and
|
|
• |
other factors that our board of directors may deem relevant.
|
Our ability to make distributions to our stockholders will depend upon the performance of our investment portfolio, and, in turn, upon our Manager’s management of our business. Distributions will
be made quarterly in cash to the extent that cash is available for distribution. We may not be able to generate sufficient cash available for distribution to pay distributions to our stockholders. In addition, our board of directors may change
our distribution policy with respect to our common stock in the future. No assurance can be given that we will be able to make any other distributions to our stockholders at any time in the future or that the level of any distributions we do make
to our stockholders will achieve a market yield or increase or even be maintained over time.
We make distributions based on a number of factors, including an estimate of taxable earnings. Dividends distributed and taxable income will typically differ from GAAP earnings due
to items such as fair value adjustments, differences in premium amortization and discount accretion, and nondeductible general and administrative expenses. Our common dividend per share may be substantially different than our taxable earnings
and GAAP earnings per share. Our GAAP loss per diluted share for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022 was $0.87 and $1.59,
respectively.
Contractual Obligations
Our contractual obligations as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022 included repurchase agreements, borrowings under our MSR financing arrangements, our Management Agreement with our Manager,
and our subservicing agreements.
The following table summarizes our contractual obligations for borrowed money as of the dates indicated (dollars in thousands):
Contractual Obligations Characteristics
As of March 31, 2023
|
|
Less than
1 year
|
|
|
1 to 3
years
|
|
|
3 to 5
years
|
|
|
More than
5 years
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Repurchase agreements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings under repurchase agreements
|
|
$
|
991,618
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
991,618
|
|
Interest on repurchase agreement borrowings(A)
|
|
$
|
4,346
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
4,346
|
|
Freddie Mac MSR Revolver
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings under Freddie Mac MSR Revolver
|
|
$
|
66,500
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
66,500
|
|
Interest on Freddie Mac MSR Revolver borrowings
|
|
$
|
1,203
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
1,203
|
|
Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings under Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility
|
|
$
|
2,462
|
|
|
$
|
16,248
|
|
|
$
|
93,290
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
112,000
|
|
Interest on Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility
|
|
$
|
722
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
722
|
|
As of December 31, 2022
|
|
Less than
1 year
|
|
|
1 to 3
years
|
|
|
3 to 5
years
|
|
|
More than
5 years
|
|
|
Total
|
|
Repurchase agreements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings under repurchase agreements
|
|
$
|
825,962
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
825,962
|
|
Interest on repurchase agreement borrowings(A)
|
|
$
|
2,797
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
2,797
|
|
Freddie Mac MSR Revolver
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings under Freddie Mac MSR Revolver
|
|
$
|
68,500
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
68,500
|
|
Interest on Freddie Mac MSR Revolver borrowings
|
|
$
|
1,010
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
1,010
|
|
Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings under Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility
|
|
$
|
627
|
|
|
$
|
16,406
|
|
|
$
|
98,967
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
116,000
|
|
Interest on Fannie Mae MSR Revolving Facility
|
|
$
|
700
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
700
|
|
(A) |
Interest expense is calculated based on the interest rate in effect at March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively, and includes all interest expense incurred
through those dates.
|
Management Agreement
The Management Agreement with our Manager provides that our Manager is entitled to receive a management fee, the reimbursement of certain expenses and, in certain circumstances, a termination
fee. The management fee is an amount equal to 1.5% per annum of our stockholders’ equity, adjusted as set forth in the Management Agreement, and calculated and payable quarterly in arrears. We will also be required to pay a termination fee equal
to three times the average annual management fee earned by our Manager during the two four-quarter periods ending as of the end of the most recently completed fiscal quarter prior to the effective date of the termination. Such termination fee
will be payable upon termination or non-renewal of the Management Agreement by us without cause or by our Manager if we materially breach the Management Agreement.
We pay all of our direct operating expenses, except those specifically required to be borne by our Manager under the Management Agreement. Our Manager is responsible for all costs incident to the
performance of its duties under the Management Agreement. We believe that our Manager uses the proceeds from its management fee in part to pay the Services Provider for services provided under the Services Agreement. Our officers receive no cash
compensation directly from us. Our Manager provides us with our officers. Our Manager is entitled to be reimbursed for an agreed upon portion of the costs of the wages, salary and other benefits with respect to our chief financial officer, and,
prior to January 1, 2022, our general counsel, originally based on the percentages of their working time and efforts spent on matters related to the Company. The amount of the wages, salary and benefits reimbursed with respect to the officers our
Manager provides to us is subject to the approval of the compensation committee of our board of directors.
The term of the Management Agreement expires on October 22, 2023 and will be automatically renewed for a one-year term on each anniversary of such date thereafter unless terminated or not renewed
as described below. Either we or our Manager may elect not to renew the Management Agreement upon expiration of its initial term or any renewal term by providing written notice of non-renewal at least 180 days, but not more than 270 days, before
expiration. In the event we elect not to renew the term, we will be required to pay our Manager the termination fee described above. We may terminate the Management Agreement at any time for cause effective upon 30 days prior written notice of
termination from us to our Manager, in which case no termination fee would be due. Our board of directors will review our Manager’s performance prior to the automatic renewal of the Management Agreement and, as a result of such review, upon the
affirmative vote of at least two-thirds of the members of our board of directors or of the holders of a majority of our outstanding common stock, we may terminate the Management Agreement based upon unsatisfactory performance by our Manager that
is materially detrimental to us or a determination by our independent directors that the management fees payable to our Manager are not fair, subject to the right of our Manager to prevent such a termination by agreeing to a reduction of the
management fees payable to our Manager. Upon any termination of the Management Agreement based on unsatisfactory performance or unfair management fees, we are required to pay our Manager the termination fee described above. Our Manager may
terminate the Management Agreement, without payment of the termination fee, in the event we become regulated as an investment company under the Investment Company Act. Our Manager may also terminate the Management Agreement upon 60 days’ written
notice if we default in the performance of any material term of the Management Agreement and the default continues for a period of 30 days after written notice to us, whereupon we would be required to pay our Manager the termination fee described
above.
Subservicing Agreements
As of March 31, 2023, Aurora had four subservicing agreements in place, one of which is with Freedom Mortgage. Following the sale of the Ginnie Mae MSRs to Freedom Mortgage in June 2020, Freedom
Mortgage continued to subservice certain loans that had been purchased from Ginnie Mae pools due to delinquency or default. Freedom Mortgage ceased subservicing these loans during 2021 because these loans and any related advance claims had been
rehabilitated or liquidated. One of the other subservicing agreements is with RoundPoint. Freedom Mortgage acquired RoundPoint and it became a wholly-owned subsidiary of Freedom Mortgage in August 2020. The agreements have varying initial terms
(three years, for Freedom Mortgage, and two years for the other three sub-servicers) and are subject to automatic renewal for additional terms equal to the applicable initial term unless either party chooses not to renew. Each agreement may be
terminated without cause by either party by giving notice as specified in the agreement. If an agreement is not renewed by the Company or terminated by the Company without cause, de-boarding fees will be due to the subservicer. Under each
agreement, the subservicer agrees to service the applicable mortgage loans in accordance with applicable law and the requirements of the applicable Agency and the Company pays customary fees to the applicable subservicer for specified services.
All expiring agreements to date have been automatically renewed for the extended terms.
Joint Marketing Recapture Agreement
We attempt to reduce the exposure of our MSRs to voluntary prepayments through the structuring of recapture agreements with Aurora’s subservicers.
In May 2018, Aurora entered into a recapture purchase and sale agreement with RoundPoint, one of Aurora’s subservicers and since August 2020, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Freedom Mortgage. Pursuant to this
agreement, RoundPoint attempts to refinance certain mortgage loans underlying Aurora’s MSR portfolio subserviced by RoundPoint as directed by Aurora. If a loan is refinanced, Freedom Mortgage will sell the loan to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, as
applicable, retain the sale proceeds and transfer the related MSR to Aurora. The agreement continues in effect while the subservicing agreement remains in effect.
Inflation
Substantially all of our assets and liabilities are financial in nature. As a result, interest rates and other factors affect our performance more so than inflation, although inflation rates can
often have a meaningful influence over the direction of interest rates. As discussed above under “—Effects of Federal Reserve Policy on the Company,” the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates this year in response to the sharp increase in
inflation and has indicated that it may increase interest rate further throughout the year. Higher interest rates imposed by the Federal Reserve to address inflation may increase our interest expense, which expense may not be fully offset by any
resulting increase in our interest income. Furthermore, our financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP and our distributions are determined by our board of directors primarily based on our REIT taxable income, and, in each case,
our activities and balance sheet are measured with reference to historical cost and/or fair market value without considering inflation.
Item 3. |
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk
|
We seek to manage our risks related to the credit quality of our assets, interest rates, liquidity, prepayment speeds and market value while, at the same time, seeking to
provide an opportunity to stockholders to realize attractive risk-adjusted returns through ownership of our capital stock. While we do not seek to avoid risk completely, we believe the risk can be quantified from historical experience and seek
to actively manage that risk, to earn sufficient compensation to justify taking those risks and to maintain capital levels consistent with the risks we undertake.
Interest Rate Risk
Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including fiscal and monetary policies and domestic and international economic and political considerations, as well as
other factors beyond our control. We are subject to interest rate risk in connection with our assets and our related financing obligations. In general, we finance the acquisition of certain of our assets through financings in the form of
repurchase agreements and bank facilities. We expect to make use of additional MSR financing, as well as possibly warehouse facilities, securitizations, re-securitizations, and public and private equity and debt issuances in addition to
transaction or asset specific funding arrangements. In addition, the values of our Servicing Related Assets are highly sensitive to changes in interest rates, historically increasing when rates rise and decreasing when rates decline. Subject to
maintaining our qualification as a REIT, we attempt to mitigate interest rate risk and financing pricing risk through utilization of hedging instruments, primarily interest rate swap agreements and U.S. treasury futures, respectively. We may
also use financial futures, options, interest rate cap agreements, and forward sales. These instruments are intended to serve as a hedge against future interest rate or pricing changes on our borrowings.
Interest Rate Effect on Net Interest Income
Our operating results depend in large part on differences between the income earned on our assets and our cost of borrowing and hedging activities. The costs of our borrowings are generally based
on prevailing market interest rates. During a period of rising interest rates, our borrowing costs generally will increase (1) while the yields earned on our leveraged fixed-rate mortgage assets will remain static and (2) at a faster pace than
the yields earned on our leveraged adjustable-rate and hybrid adjustable-rate RMBS, which could result in a decline in our net interest spread and net interest margin. The severity of any such decline would depend on our asset/liability
composition at the time as well as the magnitude and duration of the interest rate increase. Further, an increase in short-term interest rates could also have a negative impact on the market value of our assets, other than our Servicing Related
Assets. A decrease in interest rates could have a negative impact on the market value of our Servicing Related Assets. If any of these events happen, we could experience a decrease in net income or incur a net loss during these periods, which
could adversely affect our liquidity and results of operations.
Hedging techniques are partly based on assumed levels of prepayments of our assets, specifically our RMBS. If prepayments are slower or faster than assumed, the life of the investment will be
longer or shorter, which would reduce the effectiveness of any hedging strategies we may use and may cause losses on such transactions. Hedging strategies involving the use of derivatives are highly complex and may produce volatile returns.
Interest Rate Cap Risk
Any adjustable-rate RMBS that we acquire will generally be subject to interest rate caps, which potentially could cause such RMBS to acquire many of the characteristics of fixed-rate securities
if interest rates were to rise above the cap levels. This issue will be magnified to the extent we acquire adjustable-rate and hybrid adjustable-rate RMBS that are not based on mortgages which are fully indexed. In addition, adjustable-rate and
hybrid adjustable-rate RMBS may be subject to periodic payment caps that result in some portion of the interest being deferred and added to the principal outstanding. This could result in our receipt of less cash income on such assets than we
would need to pay the interest cost on our related borrowings. To mitigate interest rate mismatches, we may utilize the hedging strategies discussed above under “—Interest Rate Risk.” Actual economic conditions or implementation of decisions by
our Manager may produce results that differ significantly from the estimates and assumptions used in our models.
Prepayment Risk; Extension Risk
The following tables summarize the estimated change in fair value of our MSRs as of the dates indicated given several parallel shifts in the discount rate, voluntary prepayment rate and servicing
cost (dollars in thousands):
MSR Fair Value Changes
As of March 31, 2023
|
|
|
(20)%
|
|
|
|
(10)%
|
|
|
|
-%
|
|
|
|
10%
|
|
|
|
20%
|
|
Discount Rate Shift in %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Estimated FV
|
|
$
|
295,585
|
|
|
$
|
282,767
|
|
|
$
|
270,941
|
|
|
$
|
260,006
|
|
|
$
|
249,870
|
|
Change in FV
|
|
$
|
24,645
|
|
|
$
|
11,826
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
(10,935
|
)
|
|
$
|
(21,071
|
)
|
% Change in FV
|
|
|
9
|
%
|
|
|
4
|
%
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(4
|
)%
|
|
|
(8
|
)%
|
Voluntary Prepayment Rate Shift in %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Estimated FV
|
|
$
|
287,603
|
|
|
$
|
279,323
|
|
|
$
|
270,941
|
|
|
$
|
262,772
|
|
|
$
|
254,920
|
|
Change in FV
|
|
$
|
16,663
|
|
|
$
|
8,382
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
(8,169
|
)
|
|
$
|
(16,021
|
)
|
% Change in FV
|
|
|
6
|
%
|
|
|
3
|
%
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(3
|
)%
|
|
|
(6
|
)%
|
Servicing Cost Shift in %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Estimated FV
|
|
$
|
279,665
|
|
|
$
|
275,303
|
|
|
$
|
270,941
|
|
|
$
|
266,579
|
|
|
$
|
262,216
|
|
Change in FV
|
|
$
|
8,725
|
|
|
$
|
4,362
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
(4,362
|
)
|
|
$
|
(8,725
|
)
|
% Change in FV
|
|
|
3
|
%
|
|
|
2
|
%
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(2
|
)%
|
|
|
(3
|
)%
|
As of December 31, 2022
|
|
|
(20)%
|
|
|
|
(10)%
|
|
|
|
-%
|
|
|
|
10%
|
|
|
|
20%
|
|
Discount Rate Shift in %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Estimated FV
|
|
$
|
305,821
|
|
|
$
|
292,241
|
|
|
$
|
279,739
|
|
|
$
|
268,201
|
|
|
$
|
257,526
|
|
Change in FV
|
|
$
|
26,082
|
|
|
$
|
12,502
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
(11,538
|
)
|
|
$
|
(22,213
|
)
|
% Change in FV
|
|
|
9
|
%
|
|
|
4
|
%
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(4
|
)%
|
|
|
(8
|
)%
|
Voluntary Prepayment Rate Shift in %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Estimated FV
|
|
$
|
296,237
|
|
|
$
|
288,025
|
|
|
$
|
279,739
|
|
|
$
|
271,707
|
|
|
$
|
264,005
|
|
Change in FV
|
|
$
|
16,498
|
|
|
$
|
8,286
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
(8,032
|
)
|
|
$
|
(15,734
|
)
|
% Change in FV
|
|
|
6
|
%
|
|
|
3
|
%
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(3
|
)%
|
|
|
(6
|
)%
|
Servicing Cost Shift in %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Estimated FV
|
|
$
|
288,345
|
|
|
$
|
284,042
|
|
|
$
|
279,739
|
|
|
$
|
275,436
|
|
|
$
|
271,133
|
|
Change in FV
|
|
$
|
8,606
|
|
|
$
|
4,303
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
|
$
|
(4,303
|
)
|
|
$
|
(8,606
|
)
|
% Change in FV
|
|
|
3
|
%
|
|
|
2
|
%
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(2
|
)%
|
|
|
(3
|
)%
|
The following tables summarize the estimated change in fair value of our RMBS as of the dates indicated given several parallel shifts in interest rates (dollars in thousands):
RMBS Fair Value Changes
As of March 31, 2023
|
|
|
|
|
Fair Value Change
|
|
|
|
March 31, 2023
|
|
|
-75 Bps
|
|
|
-50 Bps
|
|
|
-25 Bps
|
|
|
+25 Bps
|
|
|
+50 Bps
|
|
|
+75 Bps
|
|
RMBS Portfolio
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RMBS, net of swaps
|
|
$
|
832,591
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RMBS Total Return (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.42
|
)%
|
|
|
(0.22
|
)%
|
|
|
(0.09
|
)%
|
|
|
0.03
|
%
|
|
|
0.01
|
%
|
|
|
(0.06
|
)%
|
RMBS Dollar Return
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
(3,498
|
)
|
|
$
|
(1,853
|
)
|
|
$
|
(713
|
)
|
|
$
|
236
|
|
|
$
|
100
|
|
|
$
|
(477
|
)
|
As of December 31, 2022
|
|
|
|
|
Fair Value Change
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2022
|
|
|
-75 Bps
|
|
|
-50 Bps
|
|
|
-25 Bps
|
|
|
+25 Bps
|
|
|
+50 Bps
|
|
|
+75 Bps
|
|
RMBS Portfolio
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RMBS, net of swaps
|
|
$
|
785,308
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RMBS Total Return (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.43
|
)%
|
|
|
(0.23
|
)%
|
|
|
(0.09
|
)%
|
|
|
0.04
|
%
|
|
|
0.03
|
%
|
|
|
(0.02
|
)%
|
RMBS Dollar Return
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
(3,346
|
)
|
|
$
|
(1,840
|
)
|
|
$
|
(683
|
)
|
|
$
|
275
|
|
|
$
|
229
|
|
|
$
|
(120
|
)
|
The sensitivity analysis is hypothetical and is presented solely to assist an analysis of the possible effects on the fair value under various scenarios. It is not a prediction of the amount or
likelihood of a change in any particular scenario. In particular, the results are calculated by stressing a particular economic assumption independent of changes in any other assumption. In practice, changes in one factor may result in changes in
another, which might counteract or amplify the sensitivities. In addition, changes in the fair value based on a 10% variation in an assumption generally may not be extrapolated because the relationship of the change in the assumption to the
change in fair value may not be linear.
Counterparty Risk
When we engage in repurchase transactions, we generally sell securities to lenders (i.e., the repurchase agreement counterparties) and receive cash from the lenders. The lenders are obligated to
resell the same securities back to us at the end of the term of the transaction. Because the cash we receive from the lender when we initially sell the securities to the lender is less than the value of those securities (this difference is the
haircut), if the lender defaults on its obligation to resell the same securities back to us we would incur a loss on the transaction equal to the amount of the haircut (assuming there was no change in the value of the securities). As of March 31,
2023, the Company’s exposure (defined as the amount of cash and securities pledged as collateral, less the borrowing under the repurchase agreement) to any of the counterparties under the repurchase agreements did not exceed five percent of the
Company’s equity.
Our interest rate swaps and U.S. treasury futures contracts are required to be cleared on an exchange which greatly mitigates, but does not entirely eliminate, counterparty risk.
Our investments in Servicing Related Assets are dependent on the applicable mortgage sub-servicer to perform its sub-servicing obligations. If our sub-servicer fails to perform its obligations
and is terminated by one or more Agencies as an approved servicer, the value of the MSRs being subserviced by that sub-servicer may be adversely affected. In addition, when we purchase MSRs from third parties, we rely, to a certain extent, on the
ability and willingness of the sellers to perform their contractual obligations to remedy breaches of representations and warranties or to repurchase the affected loan and indemnify us for any losses.
Funding Risk
To the extent available on desirable terms, we expect to continue to finance our RMBS with repurchase agreement financing. We also anticipate continuing to finance our MSRs with bank loans
secured by a pledge of those MSRs. Over time, as market conditions change, in addition to these financings, we may use other forms of leverage. Weakness in the financial markets, the residential mortgage markets and the economy generally could
adversely affect one or more of our potential lenders and could cause one or more of our potential lenders to be unwilling or unable to provide us with financing or to increase the costs of that financing.
Liquidity Risk
Our Servicing Related Assets, as well as some of the assets that may in the future comprise our portfolio, are not publicly traded. A portion of these assets may be subject to legal and other
restrictions on resale or will otherwise be less liquid than publicly traded securities. The illiquidity of these assets may make it difficult for us to sell such assets if the need or desire arises, including in response to changes in economic
and other conditions.
Credit Risk
Although we expect relatively low credit risk with respect to our portfolio of Agency RMBS, our investments in MSRs and any CMOs we may acquire expose us to the credit risk of borrowers.
Inflation Risk
Almost all of our assets and liabilities are financial in nature. As a result, changes in interest rates and other factors drive our performance more directly than does inflation. However,
changes in interest rates generally correlate with inflation rates or changes in inflation rates, and therefore adverse changes in inflation or changes in inflation expectations can lead to lower returns on our investments than originally
anticipated. Our consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. Our activities and consolidated balance sheets are measured primarily with reference to fair value without considering inflation.
Item 4. |
Controls and Procedures
|
Disclosure Controls and Procedures. The Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer and the Company’s Chief Financial
Officer have evaluated the effectiveness of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d -15(e) under the Exchange Act) as of the end of the period covered by this report. The Company’s
disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable assurance that information is recorded, processed, summarized and reported accurately and on a timely basis. Based on such evaluation, the Company’s President and Chief
Executive Officer and the Company’s Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of the end of such period, the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective.
Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting. There have been no changes in the Company’s internal control over
financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f) under the Exchange Act) during the most recently completed fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the
Company’s internal control over financial reporting.
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1.
|
Legal Proceedings
|
From time to time, the Company may be involved in various claims and legal actions in the ordinary course of business. As of March 31, 2023, the Company is not aware of any material legal or
regulatory claims or proceedings.
None.
Item 2. |
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
|
None.
Item 3. |
Defaults Upon Senior Securities
|
None.
Item 4. |
Mine Safety Disclosures
|
Not Applicable.
Item 5. |
Other Information
|
Not Applicable.
Exhibit
Number
|
|
Description
|
31.1*
|
|
Certification of Principal Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
|
|
|
|
31.2*
|
|
Certification of Principal Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
|
|
|
|
32.1**
|
|
Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
|
|
|
|
32.2**
|
|
Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
|
|
|
|
101.INS*
|
|
Inline XBRL Instance Document
|
|
|
|
101.SCH*
|
|
Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema
|
|
|
|
101.CAL*
|
|
Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase
|
|
|
|
101.DEF*
|
|
Inline XBRL Taxonomy Definition Linkbase
|
|
|
|
101.LAB*
|
|
Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase
|
|
|
|
101.PRE*
|
|
Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase
|
|
|
|
104*
|
|
Cover Page Interactive Data File - cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document
|
*Filed herewith.
**Furnished herewith.
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Company has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
|
CHERRY HILL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT
|
|
CORPORATION |
|
|
|
May 8, 2023
|
By:
|
/s/ Jeffrey Lown II
|
|
Jeffrey Lown II
|
|
President and Chief Executive Officer (Principal
|
|
Executive Officer) |
|
|
|
May 8, 2023
|
By:
|
/s/ Michael Hutchby
|
|
Michael Hutchby
|
|
Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary
|
|
(Principal Financial Officer) |
CHERRY HILL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORPORATION
FORM 10-Q
March 31, 2023
INDEX OF EXHIBITS
Exhibit
Number
|
|
Description
|
|
|
Certification of Principal Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certification of Principal Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
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Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
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101.INS*
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Inline XBRL Instance Document
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101.SCH*
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Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema
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101.CAL*
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Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase
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101.DEF*
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Inline XBRL Taxonomy Definition Linkbase
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101.LAB*
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Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase
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101.PRE*
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Inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase
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104*
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Cover Page Interactive Data File - cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document
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*Filed herewith.
**Furnished herewith.
77