Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO, NYSE: ERO) ("Ero" or
the “Company”) is pleased to announce its fourth quarter and
full-year 2022 production results and provide 2023 production, cost
and capital expenditure guidance. The Company expects to provide an
updated 5-year outlook in Q1 2023 upon completion of ongoing
Project Honeypot optimization work at the Caraíba Operations to
reflect newly identified mineralization and ongoing development and
sequencing efforts.
HIGHLIGHTS
Caraíba Production Record
Achieved
- The Caraíba Operations produced
46,371 tonnes of copper in concentrate for 2022, surpassing the
high-end of full-year guidance of 43,000 to 46,000 tonnes.
- Record full-year production was
driven by a strong fourth quarter totaling 12,664 tonnes of copper
in concentrate. Production results continued to benefit from the
addition of high-grade Project Honeypot stopes during the fourth
quarter.
Xavantina Delivers Record Quarterly and
Full-Year Gold Production
- The Xavantina Operations achieved
record production of 42,669 ounces of gold for 2022, above the
high-end of guidance of 39,000 to 42,000 ounces.
- Record fourth quarter production of
11,786 ounces of gold was driven by higher processed gold grades of
10.17 grams per tonne ("gpt"), an approximate 20%
quarter-on-quarter increase in processed grades.
2023 Production, Cost and Capital
Expenditure Guidance
- The Caraíba Operations are expected
to produce 44,000 to 47,000 tonnes of copper in concentrate during
2023 at an average C1 cash cost between $1.40 and $1.60 per pound
of copper produced. Primary assumptions, deemed prudent and
conservative for planning purposes, account for an increase of
approximately $0.30 to $0.40 per pound of copper produced compared
to prior projections for 2023.
- Full-year cost guidance assumes 100% of copper concentrate is
sold to the export market. The Company will continue to review
sales channel allocations throughout the year as its domestic
customer progresses through a financial restructuring that
commenced in Q4 2022. A resumption of domestic sales has the
potential to lower concentrate sales costs.
- Despite observed moderation in the pricing of key consumables,
these inputs have been assumed to remain at elevated Q4 2022
pricing levels for the duration of 2023 in forecasting operating
and capital costs.
- 2023 gold production at the
Xavantina Operations is expected to be 50,000 to 53,000 ounces at
average C1 cash costs between $475 to $575 per ounce of gold
produced and all-in sustaining costs ("AISC") between $725 and $825
per ounce of gold produced assuming key consumables remain at
elevated Q4 2022 levels for the duration of 2023.
- Capital expenditures, including
consolidated exploration programs, are expected to total $342 to
$389 million in 2023. This total includes:
- $150 to $165 million for the construction of the Tucumã
Project;
- $80 to $90 million to deliver projects under the Company's
Pilar 3.0 initiative, including the Caraíba mill expansion and
construction of the new external shaft at the Pilar Mine; and,
- $31 to $40 million in consolidated exploration expenditure,
which includes a significant allocation of drilling to the
Company's ongoing Caraíba nickel exploration program.
Company Protects Floor Price of $3.50
per pound of Copper for 2023
- Subsequent to year-end, the Company
entered into a zero-cost collar program on 3,000 tonnes of copper
per month for February through December of 2023. The collars
establish a floor price at $3.50 per pound of copper on total
hedged volumes of 33,000 tonnes of copper, representing
approximately 75% of full-year production volumes. The program
protects a meaningful portion of the Company's revenue at the
Company's 2023 budget copper price which was used for capital, cash
flow and liquidity planning purposes, while providing upside to
increases in the copper price up to a cap of $4.76 per pound -
within 5% of the all-time high copper price. The hedge contracts
are financially settled on a monthly basis.
Commenting on the production results and 2023
guidance, David Strang, Chief Executive Officer, said, "Our
operations delivered on our elevated expectations for the fourth
quarter and full-year, buoyed by strong copper and gold grades
across our operations. Recent efforts to incorporate Project
Honeypot into Caraíba's life-of-mine production plan, which was
announced in November 2022, allowed us to demonstrably improve our
fourth quarter copper grade profile and production results,
contributing to record copper production for 2022. At our Xavantina
Operations, we achieved both record quarterly and full-year
production results with increases in gold production driven by
higher processed tonnes and grades.
"For 2023, we are expecting another solid year
of operational performance and the continued execution of our
growth projects, including the construction of the Tucumã Project,
the construction of the new external shaft at the Pilar Mine and
the completion of our mill expansion at the Caraíba Operations. Our
primary objective on the exploration side of our portfolio this
year is to make significant advances in our ongoing nickel
exploration program, which we hope will lead to several additional
discoveries this year.
"Our guidance for 2023 reflects several benefits
from the integration of Project Honeypot, which includes allowing
the delivery date of our new external shaft to be deferred by
approximately nine months without impact to the Caraíba Operations'
expected production volumes. Despite significant inflationary
headwinds, the decision to defer project handover has allowed us to
maintain capital expenditure guidance for 2023 in-line with prior
estimates. This visibility on the majority of our capital
expenditure outlay to project completion, combined with our
recently executed hedge program, has positioned our Company for
another great year."
FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR 2022
PRODUCTION RESULTS
- At the Caraíba Operations,
approximately 2.9 million tonnes of ore grading 1.76% copper was
processed in 2022, resulting in 46,371 tonnes of copper in
concentrate produced after average metallurgical recoveries of
91.9%.
- Fourth quarter mill throughput of 745,850 tonnes of ore grading
1.84% copper resulting in 12,664 tonnes of copper in concentrate
produced after average metallurgical recoveries of 92.3%.
- At the Xavantina Operations,
189,743 tonnes of ore grading 7.61 gpt gold was processed during
the year, resulting in 42,669 ounces of gold and 27,885 ounces of
silver produced as a by-product after average metallurgical
recoveries of 91.9%.
- Fourth quarter mill throughput of 39,715 tonnes of ore grading
10.17 gpt gold resulting in 11,786 ounces of gold and 7,507 ounces
of silver produced as a by- product after average metallurgical
recoveries of 90.7%.
2023 PRODUCTION GUIDANCE
The Company expects to produce 44,000 to 47,000
tonnes of copper in concentrate at the Caraíba Operations in 2023
based on total ore processed of approximately 3.3 million tonnes,
average processed copper grades of approximately 1.50% and an
average metallurgical recovery of 91.5%. Processed totals are
expected to be comprised of:
- 1.9 million tonnes grading 1.60% copper from the Pilar
Mine;
- 850,000 tonnes grading 1.75% copper from the Vermelhos Mine;
and,
- 550,000 tonnes grading 0.70% copper from the Surubim Mine.
For the full year, copper production is expected
to be slightly weighted towards H2 2023 due to higher mill
throughput levels at the end of the year following the completion
of the Caraíba mill expansion, expected in Q4 2023. Copper
production in Q1 2023 is expected to be the lowest of the year
driven by planned stope sequencing.
At the Xavantina Operations, the Company expects
to produce 50,000 to 53,000 ounces of gold based on total ore
processed of approximately 175,000 tonnes, average gold grades of
approximately 10.00 gpt and average metallurgical recoveries of
92.0%. Gold production is also expected to be lowest in Q1 2023
with full-year gold production expected to be slightly weighted
towards H2 2023 due to higher mill throughput levels following the
expected commencement of production from the Matinha vein during H2
2023.
|
2022 Guidance |
2022 Results |
2023 Guidance |
Caraíba Operations |
|
|
|
Tonnes Processed |
3,000,000 |
2,864,230 |
3,300,000 |
Copper Grade (%) |
1.60 |
1.76 |
1.50 |
Copper Recovery (%) |
92.5 |
91.9 |
91.5 |
Copper Production (tonnes) |
43,000 - 46,000 |
46,371 |
44,000 - 47,000 |
|
|
|
|
Xavantina Operations |
|
|
|
Tonnes Processed |
168,000 |
189,743 |
175,000 |
Gold Grade (gpt) |
8.00 |
7.61 |
10.00 |
Gold Recovery (%) |
93.0 |
91.9 |
92.0 |
Gold Production (ounces) |
39,000 - 42,000 |
42,669 |
50,000 - 53,000 |
Silver Production (ounces) |
n/a |
27,885 |
n/a |
Note: Guidance is based on certain estimates and
assumptions, including but not limited to, mineral reserve
estimates, grade and continuity of interpreted geological
formations and metallurgical performance. Please refer to the
Company’s SEDAR and EDGAR filings, including the recent Annual
Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2021 and dated
March 11, 2022 (the "AIF"), for complete risk factors.
2023 COST GUIDANCE
The Company's 2023 C1 cash cost guidance range
for the Caraíba Operations of $1.40 to $1.60 per pound of copper
produced reflects (i) sales allocation of 100% of copper
concentrate produced to the international market and (ii) elevated
consumable cost input assumptions reflecting Q4 2022 consumable
pricing. The Company will continue to review sales channel
allocations throughout the year as its domestic customer progresses
through a financial restructuring that commenced in Q4 2022. A
resumption of domestic sales has the potential to lower concentrate
sales costs.
At the Xavantina Operations, the Company's C1
cash cost guidance range of $475 to $575 per ounce of gold produced
reflects the impact of significantly higher anticipated mined and
processed gold grades compared to 2022, partially offset by
elevated consumable cost assumptions, which also reflect Q4 2022
consumable pricing. The Company's AISC guidance range for 2023 is
$725 to $825 per ounce of gold produced.
The 2023 cost guidance assumes a USD:BRL foreign
exchange rate of 5.30, a gold price of $1,725 per ounce, and a
silver price of $20.00 per ounce.
|
2022 Guidance (Revised) |
2023 Guidance |
Copper C1 Cash Cost ($/lb) |
$1.20 - $1.35 |
$1.40 - $1.60 |
Gold C1 Cash Cost ($/oz) |
$600 - $700 |
$475 - $575 |
Gold All-In Sustaining Cost ($/oz) |
$1,000 - $1,100 |
$725 - $825 |
Note: C1 Cash Costs and AISC are non-IFRS
measures. Please see the Notes section of this press release for
additional information.
2023 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE GUIDANCE
Forecasted capital expenditures for 2023 include
meaningful investments in growth projects that are, collectively,
over the next two years, expected to double the Company's copper
production relative to 2022 production results as well as further
increase gold production at the Xavantina Operations. The Company's
planned exploration capital in 2023 will continue to focus on
supporting its Pilar 3.0 and NX60 growth initiatives as well as
fund the Caraíba Operations' dedicated nickel exploration
program.
The 2023 capital expenditure guidance assumes a
USD:BRL foreign exchange rate of 5.30. Capital expenditure guidance
has been presented below in USD millions.
|
2022 Guidance (Revised) |
2023 Guidance |
Caraíba Operations |
|
|
Growth |
$95 - $110 |
$80 - $90 |
Sustaining |
$85 - $95 |
$65 - $75 |
Exploration |
$25 - $30 |
$22 - $27 |
Total |
$205 - $235 |
$167 - $192 |
Tucumã Project |
Growth |
$70 - $80 |
$150 - $165 |
Sustaining |
– |
– |
Exploration |
$5 - $6 |
$0 - $1 |
Total |
$75 - $86 |
$150 - $166 |
Xavantina Operations |
Growth |
$2 - $4 |
$4 - $5 |
Sustaining |
$16 - $18 |
$12 - $14 |
Exploration |
$10 - $11 |
$6 - $7 |
Total |
$28 - $33 |
$22 - $26 |
|
|
|
Other Exploration Projects |
– |
$3 - $5 |
|
|
|
Total |
|
|
Growth |
$167 - $194 |
$234 - $260 |
Sustaining |
$101 - $113 |
$77 - $89 |
Exploration |
$40 - $47 |
$31 - $40 |
Total |
$308 - $354 |
$342 - $389 |
NOTES
Alternative Performance (Non-IFRS)
Measures
The Company utilizes certain alternative
performance (non-IFRS) measures to monitor its performance,
including C1 cash cost of copper produced (per lb), C1 cash cost of
gold produced (per ounce), AISC of gold produced (per ounce),
realized gold price (per ounce), EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted
net income attributable to owners of the Company, adjusted net
income per share, net (cash) debt, working capital and available
liquidity. These performance measures have no standardized meaning
prescribed within generally accepted accounting principles under
IFRS and, therefore, amounts presented may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other mining companies. These
non-IFRS measures are intended to provide supplemental information
and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for
measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
C1 Cash Cost of Copper Produced (per
lb)
C1 cash cost of copper produced (per lb) is a
non-IFRS performance measure used by the Company to manage and
evaluate the operating performance of its copper mining segment and
is calculated as C1 cash costs divided by total pounds of copper
produced during the period. C1 cash costs includes total cost of
production, transportation, treatment and refining charges, and
certain tax credits relating to sales invoiced to the Company's
Brazilian customer on sales, net of by-product credits and
incentive payments. C1 cash cost of copper produced per pound is
widely reported in the mining industry as benchmarks for
performance but does not have a standardized meaning and is
disclosed in supplement to IFRS measures.
C1 Cash Cost of Gold produced (per
ounce) and AISC of Gold produced (per ounce)
C1 cash cost of gold produced (per ounce) is a
non-IFRS performance measure used by the Company to manage and
evaluate the operating performance of its gold mining segment and
is calculated as C1 cash costs divided by total ounces of gold
produced during the period. C1 cash cost includes total cost of
production, net of by-product credits and incentive payments. C1
cash cost of gold produced per ounce is widely reported in the
mining industry as benchmarks for performance but does not have a
standardized meaning and is disclosed in supplemental to IFRS
measures.
AISC of gold produced (per ounce) is an
extension of C1 cash cost of gold produced (per ounce) discussed
above and is also a key performance measure used by management to
evaluate operating performance of its gold mining segment. AISC of
gold produced (per ounce) is calculated as AISC divided by total
ounces of gold produced during the period. AISC includes C1 cash
costs, site general and administrative costs, accretion of mine
closure and rehabilitation provision, sustaining capital
expenditures, sustaining leases, and royalties and production
taxes. AISC of gold produced (per ounce) is widely reported in the
mining industry as benchmarks for performance but does not have a
standardized meaning and is disclosed in supplement to IFRS
measures.
ABOUT ERO COPPER CORP
Ero Copper Corp is a high-margin, high-growth,
clean copper producer with operations in Brazil and corporate
headquarters in Vancouver, B.C. The Company's primary asset is a
99.6% interest in the Brazilian copper mining company, MCSA, 100%
owner of the Company's Caraíba Operations (formerly known as the
MCSA Mining Complex), which are located in the Curaçá Valley, Bahia
State, Brazil and include the Pilar and Vermelhos underground mines
and the Surubim open pit mine, and the Tucumã Project (formerly
known as Boa Esperança), an IOCG-type copper project located in
Pará, Brazil. The Company also owns 97.6% of NX Gold S.A. which
owns the Xavantina Operations (formerly known as the NX Gold Mine),
namely comprised of an operating gold and silver mine located in
Mato Grosso, Brazil. Additional information on the Company and its
operations, including technical reports on the Caraíba Operations,
Xavantina Operations and Tucumã Project, can be found on the
Company's website (www.erocopper.com), on SEDAR (www.sedar.com),
and on EDGAR (www.sec.gov). The Company’s shares are publicly
traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock
Exchange under the symbol “ERO”.
FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE
CONTACT
Courtney Lynn, VP, Corporate Development &
Investor Relations (604) 335-7504info@erocopper.com
CAUTION REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING INFORMATION
AND STATEMENTS
This press release contains “forward-looking
statements” within the meaning of the United States Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and “forward-looking
information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
legislation (collectively, “forward-looking statements”).
Forward-looking statements include statements that use
forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “could”, “would”,
“will”, “should”, “intend”, “target”, “plan”, “expect”, “budget”,
“estimate”, “forecast”, “schedule”, “anticipate”, “believe”,
“continue”, “potential”, “view” or the negative or grammatical
variation thereof or other variations thereof or comparable
terminology. Forward-looking statements may include, but are not
limited to, statements with respect to the Company's expected
production, operating costs and capital expenditures at the Caraíba
Operations, the Tucumã Project and the Xavantina Operations; the
significance of any particular exploration program or result and
the Company’s expectations for current and future exploration plans
including, but not limited to, Caraíba's dedicated nickel
exploration program; the efficacy of the Company's copper collar
hedge program; estimated completion dates for certain milestones,
including construction of the Tucumã Project, and completion of the
projects that comprise the Pilar 3.0 initiative, including the
Caraíba mill expansion and construction of the new external shaft
to access the Deepening Extension Zone; the ability of the Company
to realize benefits associated with Project Honeypot; the ability
of the Company to sell future copper concentrate production to its
domestic customer; and any other statement that may predict,
forecast, indicate or imply future plans, intentions, levels of
activity, results, performance or achievements.
Forward-looking statements are subject to a
variety of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that could cause actual results, actions, events, conditions,
performance or achievements to materially differ from those
expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including,
without limitation, risks discussed in this press release and in
the Company's AIF under the heading “Risk Factors”. The risks
discussed in this press release and in the AIF are not exhaustive
of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking
statements. Although the Company has attempted to identify
important factors that could cause actual results, actions, events,
conditions, performance or achievements to differ materially from
those contained in forward-looking statements, there may be other
factors that cause results, actions, events, conditions,
performance or achievements to differ from those anticipated,
estimated or intended.
Forward-looking statements are not a guarantee
of future performance. There can be no assurance that
forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual
results and future events could differ materially from those
anticipated in such statements. Forward-looking statements involves
statements about the future and are inherently uncertain, and the
Company’s actual results, achievements or other future events or
conditions may differ materially from those reflected in the
forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks, uncertainties
and other factors, including, without limitation, those referred to
herein and in the AIF under the heading “Risk Factors”.
The Company’s forward-looking statements are
based on the assumptions, beliefs, expectations and opinions of
management on the date the statements are made, many of which may
be difficult to predict and beyond the Company’s control. In
connection with the forward-looking statements contained in this
press release and in the AIF, the Company has made certain
assumptions about, among other things: continued effectiveness of
the measures taken by the Company to mitigate the possible impact
of COVID-19 on its workforce and operations; favourable equity and
debt capital markets; the ability to raise any necessary additional
capital on reasonable terms to advance the production, development
and exploration of the Company’s properties and assets; future
prices of copper, gold and other metal prices; the timing and
results of exploration and drilling programs; the accuracy of any
mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates; the geology of the
Caraíba Operations, the Xavantina Operations and the Tucumã Project
being as described in the respective technical report for each
property; production costs; the accuracy of budgeted exploration,
development and construction costs and expenditures; the price of
other commodities such as fuel; future currency exchange rates and
interest rates; operating conditions being favourable such that the
Company is able to operate in a safe, efficient and effective
manner; work force continuing to remain healthy in the face of
prevailing epidemics, pandemics or other health risks (including
COVID-19), political and regulatory stability; the receipt of
governmental, regulatory and third party approvals, licenses and
permits on favourable terms; obtaining required renewals for
existing approvals, licenses and permits on favourable terms;
requirements under applicable laws; sustained labour stability;
stability in financial and capital goods markets; availability of
equipment; positive relations with local groups and the Company’s
ability to meet its obligations under its agreements with such
groups; and satisfying the terms and conditions of the Company’s
current loan arrangements. Although the Company believes that the
assumptions inherent in forward-looking statements are reasonable
as of the date of this press release, these assumptions are subject
to significant business, social, economic, political, regulatory,
competitive and other risks and uncertainties, contingencies and
other factors that could cause actual actions, events, conditions,
results, performance or achievements to be materially different
from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The Company
cautions that the foregoing list of assumptions is not exhaustive.
Other events or circumstances could cause actual results to differ
materially from those estimated or projected and expressed in, or
implied by, the forward-looking statements contained in this press
release. Many assumptions are based on factors and events that are
not within the control of the Company and there is no assurance
they will prove to be correct.
Forward-looking statements contained herein are
made as of the date of this press release and the Company disclaims
any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement,
whether as a result of new information, future events or results or
otherwise, except as and to the extent required by applicable
securities laws.
CAUTIONARY NOTES REGARDING MINERAL RESOURCE AND
MINERAL RESERVE ESTIMATES
In accordance with applicable Canadian
securities regulatory requirements, all mineral reserve and mineral
resource estimates of the Company disclosed or incorporated by
reference in this press release have been prepared in accordance
with NI 43-101 and are classified in accordance with CIM Standards.
NI 43-101 is a rule developed by the Canadian Securities
Administrators that establishes standards for all public disclosure
an issuer makes of scientific and technical information concerning
mineral projects. NI 43-101 differs significantly from the
disclosure requirements of the Securities and Exchange Commission
(the “SEC”) generally applicable to U.S. companies. For example,
the terms “mineral reserve”, “proven mineral reserve”, “probable
mineral reserve”, “mineral resource”, “measured mineral resource”,
“indicated mineral resource” and “inferred mineral resource” are
defined in NI 43-101. These definitions differ from the definitions
in the disclosure requirements promulgated by the SEC. Accordingly,
information contained in this press release may not be comparable
to similar information made public by U.S. companies reporting
pursuant to SEC disclosure requirements.
Mineral resources which are not mineral reserves
do not have demonstrated economic viability. Pursuant to the CIM
Standards, mineral resources have a higher degree of uncertainty
than mineral reserves as to their existence as well as their
economic and legal feasibility. Inferred mineral resources, when
compared with measured or indicated mineral resources, have the
least certainty as to their existence, and it cannot be assumed
that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource will be
upgraded to an indicated or measured mineral resource as a result
of continued exploration. Pursuant to NI 43-101, inferred mineral
resources may not form the basis of any economic analysis.
Accordingly, readers are cautioned not to assume that all or any
part of a mineral resource exists, will ever be converted into a
mineral reserve, or is or will ever be economically or legally
mineable or recovered.
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